
By now, there’s not much I can add to the ubiquitous media coverage of Donald Trump’s shocking imminent return to power.
Since our “beat” here is Financial Independence I’ll spin this that way. A few weeks back we looked at a Franklin Templeton webinar on the investment implications of either a Harris or a Trump victory. See this blog I wrote on October 23rd, headlined Don’t mix politics and investing but financial community thinks a Trump victory more positive for stocks.
You can say that again. As I write this in a daze mid Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1300 points or 3%. Bond prices, on the other hand, are going in the opposite direction.
Franklin Templeton also issued a press backgrounder conveying the view of various money managers. For obvious reasons, below I have cherrypicked the ones that address a Trump victory.
Before we get to that, I’ll point to a Globe & Mail column by Andrew Coyne published Wednesday (Nov 6th), in the aftermath of the election result. The headline tells the tale: Trump’s election is a crisis like no other, not only for the U.S. but the world. (likely under a paywall.) The world yes, but especially Canada. If you can access the column also check the hundreds of reader comments, which offer many and varied takes on the implications of Trump 2.0 on the Canadian economy and politics.
Personally, during the run-up to the election I did not tinker with our family’s portfolio to take advantage of any alleged “Trump trade” or “Kamala stocks.” Those who noted this site’s 10th anniversary the day before the election will probably feel this is a broken record, but I’ve found that a globally diversified balanced portfolio with exposure to all major asset classes is adequate preparation for whatever the investment world may have in store for us.
Asset Allocation ETFs play offence and defence
Let the money managers at places like Franklin Templeton, Vanguard Group, BMO ETFs, Blackrock or Robo advisors decide the relative proportions. Those who engage financial advisors or portfolio managers may want to check in for a portfolio update. For average DIY investors, those Asset Allocation ETFs often referred to in this site should allow investors to sleep at night no matter what horrors await us in January and beyond. In other words, the stocks component of these AA ETFs let you play offence and benefit from the rising of stocks as animal spirits take over investors. But a healthy fixed-income allocation also allows you to play defence in case things get too ebullient. As the old saying goes, you want to “Eat well and sleep well.”