Is it just our imagination or has there been an uptick lately in exciting “new” trading tactics for seizing riches from exotic new markets?

After a year of sitting at home, an excitable generation of do-it-yourself traders has replaced traditional leisure-time activities with online pursuits: including aggressive, Tweet-worthy trading for fun and profit.

The result? Waves of volatile financial feeding frenzies and overnight sensations, egged on by a brood of freshly hatched social media stars and a spate of flashy new trading platforms with captivating names like Robinhood.

All this might seem new and different, if I hadn’t already seen such eerily similar circumstances so often before, with so many unhappy endings. I suppose that puts me in the same curmudgeonly camp as 97-year-old billionaire Charlie Munger (Warren Buffett’s long-time Berkshire Hathaway partner). He pulled no punches in this recent interview about Robinhood:

“[Some] may call it investing,” he said, “but that’s all bulls**t. It’s really just wild speculation, like casino gambling or racetrack betting. There’s a long history of destructive capitalism, these trading orgies whooped up by the people who profit from them.”

Speaking of Warren Buffett, a recent Financial Post article asked the question: “What would Warren Buffett make of this stock market silly season?”  The answer was that he already has weighed in on the matter many times before, including one of my favourite “Buffettisms”:

“The stock market is a device for transferring money from the impatient to the patient.”

Impatience in Action

But maybe this time is different after all? Let’s take a closer look. The current wave of “get rich quick” mentality launched in January 2021, when a Reddit-driven rally abruptly sent the prices of several unloved stocks like GameStop through the roof.

More recently, special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) have captured a lot of attention. “When SPAC-Man Chamath Palihapitiya Speaks, Reddit and Wall Street Listen,” observed a recent Wall Street Journal column. “Amateur traders hang on [Palihapitiya’s] every word for clues about his next target: and for the insults he hurls at the high-finance elite.”

Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) have also been taking the trading world by storm. If you think of an NFT as being like a collectible — say, an autographed baseball card — but in digital format, you’re getting close to envisioning its worth. Similar to playing cards, people are collecting these pieces of code, typically exchanging them in cryptocurrency such as bitcoin.

How much can an NFT be worth if the collectible attached to it is in high demand?  However much the market decides.  In this recent extreme case, “NFT Mania” garnered $69 million for a piece of digital artwork.

Innovations vs. Investments

At least on paper, some have amassed rapid fortunes by trading into these sorts of innovations to catch a wave of risk-laden opportunity. But will these brave speculators manage to convert their good fortune into lasting wealth once today’s trends fizzle or fly? Continue Reading…