Tag Archives: investment returns

Is your investing style to preserve or perform?

Many investors tell me they want the highest returns for the least risk. However, savvy investors know that to be a myth.

A periodic reassessment of the facts is time well spent for every investor. One where plenty of frankness prevails.

For example, step back and revisit your investor style. Even rethink if it truly fits the financial goals you seek.

My question helps:
“What drives your investing style: “preserve” or “perform ?

Let’s define these two types:

1.) “Preserve” investors care first about risks they incur. They lean toward capital conservation.

2.) “Perform” investors seek high returns with less concern for risks. They prefer more exciting growth strategies.

Rightly or wrongly, my observation is that the majority are clearly driven and sold by performance. Their exuberance too often chases fleeting past performance, a mugs game at best.

Wise investors know that some portfolio preservation is desirable strategy. However, performance just has far more cachet and always will.

Every family needs to find their acceptable investing balance. That is, between becoming too conservative and throwing caution to the winds.

Establishing your profile

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FWB TV video: Can we expect lower returns in the future?

Screen Shot 2016-01-18 at 2.07.41 PMThe latest FWB TV video is now up now here and at FWBSecurities.com, titled Can we expect lower returns in the future?.

As usual, it will also be housed at Findependence.TV.

The preamble to the 3.5-minute video observes that If you have invested for any length of time, you will have heard the expression “Past results are not an indication of future performance.” The best minds in the investment industry not only agree with that but some feel that in the coming years we should prepare ourselves for lower returns than we are used to.

The corollary to this is that If the markets are indeed prepared to not be as generous, then keeping fees as low as possible has never been more important. We need to keep as much of the overall return as possible. Continue Reading…

Who gets the Porsche — you or your investment firm? … Fees Matter! Introducing FWB TV

The Financial Independence Hub is excited to unveil a new Internet video project on investing made possible by FWB TV,  a unit of Toronto based Financial Wealth Builders Securities.

Starting today and on a regular basis, the Hub’s sister site, Findependence.TV, will be housing video content provided by FWB TV Paul Philip CLU, CFP and his associates.  These high-quality videos generally run between two and four minutes and focus on investment strategies that are quite consistent with the content normally run on the Hub blogs.

You can find the first one by clicking on this headline:  Who gets the Porsche — you or your investment firm? … Fees Matter! Expect the next instalment in a week or two.

Q&A on the rationale for FWB TV

To introduce the series and explain the rationale, here is a Q&A between myself and FWB TV owner Paul Philip CLU, CFP:

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“Stop Doing” #2: Stop Reacting to Market Noise

SL Picture - Full Colour
Steve Lowrie

By Steve Lowrie, Lowrie Financial

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

In recently revisiting Jim Collins’ classic, bestselling business book “Good to Great,” I was reminded of this timeless tip:

Successful business owners make as much use of “stop doing” lists as they do of “to do” lists.

“Most of us lead busy but undisciplined lives,” says Collins. “We have ever-expanding ‘to do’ lists, trying to build momentum by doing, doing, doing – and doing more. And it rarely works.”  In his related piece, “Pulling the Plug,” He adds: “One key decision about what to stop doing might have as much impact as five new initiatives.”

Stop Reacting to Market Noise

Having a “stop doing” list seems like a fantastic idea – in business, in life and especially in your financial management. So often, I see investors who would probably be doing fine if they would just form a plan that reflects their personal goals, build a low-cost, globally diversified portfolio that complements those plans … then STOP reacting to near-term market noise that distracts them from their focus.

And Stop Reacting to Others Who React to Market Noise

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Protecting investment returns from Inflation

Prices Increase Showing Financial Report And Economy

By Robb Engen, Boomer & Echo

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Earlier this year, the Financial Planning Standards Council (FPSC) updated the numbers it uses for projected investment returns and inflation. Financial planners use these numbers as guidelines when projecting retirement needs and income for their clients.

The FPSC’s latest guidelines for 2015 peg annual inflation at 2 per cent and make the following assumptions for investments returns (nominal returns, not adjusted for inflation):

  • Short term: 2.90 per cent
  • Fixed income: 3.90 per cent
  • Canadian equities: 6.30 per cent

Portfolio return assumptions

Planners (and investors) need to consider inflation in their retirement projections, so these numbers should be adjusted down by 2 per cent.

We also need to account for investment fees and expenses in order to calculate the net portfolio returns. The FPSC assumes the majority of Canadians are invested in mutual funds and therefore use a management expense ratio of up to 2.25 per cent for Canadian equity investments and 1.50 per cent for the fixed-income security portion.

This chart shows net portfolio returns (after fees, but before inflation) for three types of investors: conservative, balanced, and aggressive:

FPSC guidelines

Once adjusted for inflation these returns range from 0.80 per cent annually for the conservative investor to 1.70 per cent for the aggressive investor.

Do those numbers sound realistic? Conservative?

According to data collected by the Million Dollar Journey blog (and pulled from online financial resource, Money Chimp), the compound annual growth rate after inflation for the S&P 500 during any 30-year period dating back to 1950 was between 4.32 per cent and 8.42 per cent.

It appears as though the new FPSC guidelines are being cautious with future investment returns; although keep in mind they’re using Canadian equity markets in their assumptions, not U.S. or international markets. These guidelines also use the highest average investment expenses – which is unfortunately true for most Canadian investors – to calculate net portfolio returns.

Projecting returns for my clients

When projecting investment returns for my clients I use 5 percent annual growth for investments and a 2.5 percent annual target for inflation. That leaves a net return of 2.5 per cent annually: after inflation, but before investment costs.

Now keep in mind that most of my clients have switched from expensive bank mutual funds into low cost index funds or ETFs,  so their investment fees and expenses are a fraction of what the FPSC uses in its guidelines.

For example, a portfolio of TD e-Series funds with 25 per cent allocated to each of the Canadian index, U.S. index, International index, and Canadian bond funds has an average MER of just 0.42 per cent. If we use those costs for the aggressive investor in the FPSC guidelines then the net portfolio return now equals 5.2 per cent after costs and 3.2 per cent when adjusted for inflation. Not bad.

Assumptions for my own portfolio

For my personal retirement planning assumptions I use an 8 per cent nominal return on my investments (remember, I’m 100 per cent in equities – both domestic and international – with my two-ETF solution).

The total costs for my portfolio each year is just 0.29 per cent, which leaves a net portfolio return of 7.71 per cent. I peg inflation at 2.50 per cent annually. That leaves inflation adjusted investment returns of 5.21 per cent for my retirement portfolio.

Why costs matter

The main takeaway from looking at these guidelines shouldn’t be which number to arbitrarily attach to your projected investment returns in order to boost your retirement income. Even inflation, although real, is largely out of your control.

What you can control is your investment costs. Fees matter; and the difference between a low-cost portfolio of index funds and a smattering of expensive bank mutual funds could mean the difference between your portfolio handily beating inflation over time or just treading water and barely keeping up.

What assumptions do you use when projecting investment returns and inflation?

RobbEngenIn addition to running the Boomer & Echo website, Robb Engen is a fee-only financial planner. This article originally ran on his site on July 26th and is republished here with his permission