Tag Archives: Toronto real estate

Affordable Housing: Which Toronto neighbourhoods are friendliest for Condo buyers?

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By Penelope Graham, Zoocasa

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

There’s no denying Toronto real estate prices have tumbled since the Fair Housing Plan was introduced by the Ontario government last April, to address the searing 33-per-cent year-over-year price growth that alarmed buyers and policymakers alike. Detached house prices – the hardest hit segment following the Plan – have since declined 14.8 per cent, representing a dollar loss of $180,878, while the average aggregate home price is down 11.8 per cent, a loss of $108,696.

However, affordability continues to be a keenly-felt issue in the city, especially among what is supposed to be the affordable entry point for new home buyers: condos.

While the priciest home segments posted deep declines in the volatile months following the Plan, condos consistently posted year-over-year gains in value; now, just over a 15 months later, they’re sitting at an average of $561,097, an increase of 8.1 per cent.

FHP did little for first-time buyers

That means that, while those in the move-up markets have enjoyed improved buyer conditions, the most vulnerable and cash-strapped have faced only worsening affordability following the new policies. Rather than find an affordable entry-hold in the 416, first-timers are increasingly drawn to further-flung communities, such as homes for sale in London, Ontario, or even Ottawa real estate, where detached living can be had at the fraction of the cost for a city condo.

However, these are aggregate data, reflecting home prices collected from the entire region monitored by the Toronto Real Estate Board. As real estate is extremely local, and can differ from neighbourhood to neighbourhood, savvy condo buyers seeking a deal may still have options within the City of Toronto proper.

Toronto’s most affordable Condo communities

To identify where this is possible, Zoocasa crunched the affordability numbers per neighbourhood, factoring in the average price in each as well as the median income earned in Toronto households.

The findings revealed that, for households earning two or more incomes at the median of $96,294, 18 of the 35 examined markets remained within the realm of affordability.  They are:

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Toronto vs Chicago housing: An Arbitrage for being under-weight Canadian bank stocks

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Figure 1: Chicago and Toronto Home Prices
By Jeff Weniger, CFA, WisdomTree

Of the major North American cities that feel most like Toronto, Chicago is clearly the closest fit. It’s Toronto’s sister. Chicago is the third most-populous city in the U.S., behind New York and Los Angeles. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, Chicago proper has a population of 2.7 million, almost exactly the same amount as Toronto.1 Both cities have several million more living in the immediate suburbs. Chicago’s money resides mostly on one side of the city, with most of its poverty found on the city’s south and west sides. Wealthy suburbs span almost to Wisconsin in the city’s “North Shore” suburbs, which consist of some of the wealthiest zip codes in the U.S.

Like Toronto, Chicago is a money centre. It is widely considered to be in that tier of financial hubs that includes Boston and San Francisco, behind the center of it all in New York. Its construction is dense; people take trains and buses to commute into the downtown core. Critically, as far as desirability of property goes, Chicago’s weather is miserable, just like Toronto’s. The two cities are also characterized by left-leaning politics, so there isn’t much of a difference on that front either.

When we engage Torontonians about the U.S. and Chicagoans about Canada, time and again the answer comes back: the city that is most like Toronto is Chicago.

Except in one way.

Chicago homes are one third or half of similar homes in Toronto

There is a major arbitrage just sitting there for anyone who liquidates Toronto property, hops on a 75-minute flight and purchases a mirror-image property for one-third or half the price in Chicago. Yes, Chicago is riddled with violence, but not in the neighbourhoods where someone would spend C$767,818, the average Toronto home price in February.2 In those neighbourhoods, the biggest risk is having a $500 stroller run over your toe.

Just what could C$767,818 get in Chicago?

According to the National Association of Realtors’ (NAR) Illinois chapter:

In the nine-county Chicago Primary Metropolitan Statistical Area (PMSA), home sales (single-family and condominiums) in January 2018 totaled 5,777 homes sold, down 8.0 percent from January 2017 sales of 6,277 homes. The median price in January 2018 was $224,000 in the Chicago PMSA, an increase of 7.2 percent from $209,000 in January 2017.

Converting US$224,000 to Canadian dollars at the January exchange rate of $1.231, that is C$275,856 for the median house in Chicago. Granted, U.S. housing data tends to be measured by the median, whereas the Canadian norm is to take the average, but there is still not much of a comparison; the gap is yawning, and this all started happening only in recent years. Continue Reading…

The stress of moving sideways in high-priced housing markets

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By Penelope Graham, Zoocasa

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Think breaking into the Toronto real estate market is tough? Try making a lateral move; there’s a whole new crop of challenges facing those looking to cash in on their home’s equity, according to a recent bank report.

While much has been made over the plight of first-time buyers, they’re not the only ones feeling the pinch. Home owners with a long-term position in the market and who have become considerably house-rich — namely baby boomers — are also put off by the market’s challenges.

And while this generation has received criticism for hunkering down in their family homes rather than adding them back to the supply of low-rise, detached housing, the fact is many would love to cash out: but they face the same hurdles as their millennial counterparts.

According to a recent poll conducted by CIBC, two in five Canadian homeowners planning to sell their homes are poised to profit on their home sale — but 62% are reluctant to put it on the market due to the high cost of buying another home.

“In today’s market, homeowners are facing a conundrum as to whether to buy, sell or stay put,” says David Nicholson, vice-president of CIBC Imperial Service. “Buying or selling your home is one of the biggest decisions you’ll make. That’s why it’s important to make the decision for the right personal and financial reasons and see past the noise in the marketplace. Evaluating the pros and cons as part of an overall financial plan can help you decide what’s best for you.”

Sixty-seven per cent of boomers (aged 55 and up) indicated they wished to downsize to a smaller home, condo or nursing / retirement home.

The search for affordable options

Most downsizing boomers aren’t looking to acquire another million-dollar detached property, but recent price surges within the condo market may leave them feeling as though their options are limited. The Greater Toronto Area market has infamously experienced a 33% year-over-year price increase, and much of that double-digit growth has spilled over into the condo segment.

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Why it may get tougher for Toronto move-up home buyers

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By Penelope Graham, Zoocasa

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

It’s no secret the Toronto real estate market is one of Canada’s toughest: scant supply and spiralling prices make it exceedingly difficult for first timers to break in.

However, given the average detached house price has surpassed $1.3 million, according to the Toronto Real Estate Board, it can be even more challenging for buyers needing an upgrade – and a recent City Hall proposal threatens to make it even costlier to move up in the market.

The City of Toronto’s Executive Committee has been mulling over hiking the land transfer taxation rate for the portion of homes valued between $250,000 to $400,000 to 1.5%: a 0.5% increase. The move would effectively “harmonize” the municipal tax rate with the province of Ontario’s, and raise $77 million for the city’s beleaguered budget. It would also equate to a $750 increase on top of the $11,000 already paid in Land Transfer Taxes to City Hall. Enough is enough, argues the Toronto Real Estate Board (TREB).

Double the tax in Toronto

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