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By Mark Seed, myownadvisor
Special to Financial Independence Hub
A reader recently asked me the following based on reading a few pages on my site:
Mark, does it make sense to have 100% of your portfolio in stocks? If so, at what age would you personally dial-back to own more cash or GICs or bonds? Thanks for your answer.
Great question. Love it. Let’s unpack that for us.
References:
Should you have 100% of your portfolio in stocks?
Maybe as a younger investor, you should.
Let me explain.
Members of Gen Z, which now includes the youngest adults able to invest (born in the late-1990s and early-2000s), represent a cohort that could be investing in the stock market for another 60 more years.
According to a chart I found on Ben Carlson’s site about stuff that might happen in 2023, over 60+ investing years in the S&P 500 (as an example) historical indexing performance would suggest you’d have a better chance of earning 20% returns or more in any given year than suffering an indexing loss. Pretty wild.
Source: A Wealth of Common Sense.
Shown another way as of early 2023:
Source: https://www.slickcharts.com
This implies younger investors, in my opinion, should at least consider going all-in on equities to take advantage of long-term stock market return power when they are younger given:
- As you age, your human capital diminishes – your portfolio (beyond your home?) can become your greatest asset.
- Younger investors can also benefit from asset accumulation from periodic price corrections – adding more assets in a bear market; allowing assets to further compound at lower prices when corrections or crashes occur (i.e., buying stocks on sale).
Consider in this post on my site:
In the U.S.:
- a market correction occurs at least once every 2 years, of 10% or more
- a bear market at least every 7 years, where market value is down 20% or more
- a major market crash at least every decade.
And in Canada for additional context:
The C.D. Howe Institute’s Business Cycle Council has created a classification system for recessions, grouping them together by category.
According to the council: Continue Reading…