How to invest and shop during Trump idiocracy

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Theatrical release poster for the film, Idiocracy. via Wikipedia.

By Mark Seed, myownadvisor

Special to Financial Independence Hub

A few months ago I wrote:

“Yes, interesting times may call for interesting portfolio changes! Or not. :)”

Well, here we are.

Regardless about how you feel about the current U.S. Administration, I would think most people would agree that this U.S. President feels very emboldened right now. With no future term to go: this is his last shot at taking shots at pretty much anything and everyone he wants without too many consequences near-term. At least it seems that way …

Since writing this post below from December I thought I would update such a post about any recent portfolio changes and beyond that, how our shopping habits have shifted (if at all) in recent months.

How to invest and shop during Trump idiocracy

I put the term “idiocracy” in the post title since it’s very much how I feel right now.

It’s like watching the Ferris Bueller movie scene: on tariffs.

History repeats.

Now that tariffs are in place and we’re now in a (trade) war between Canadian and U.S. businesses, consumers and workers (sadly), I’m expecting these tariffs will roil stock markets for months or years to come.

I have.

This is how I intend to invest and shop during some prolonged Trump idiocracy.

Approach #1 – What investments can withstand stagflation?

New tariffs are likely, in my opinion, to trigger a sustained period of low economic growth and even higher inflation: which will impact everyone.

At the most basic level, inflation means a rise in the general level of prices of goods and/or services over a period of time. When inflation occurs, each unit of currency buys fewer goods and services. Inflation results in a loss in the value of money and purchasing power. We will all be impacted by this.

Stagflation is essentially a combination of stagnant economic growth, high unemployment, and high inflation. When you think about it …. this combination probably shouldn’t exist: prices shouldn’t go up when people have less or no money to spend. This could be a place where things are trending…

Farmland might perform well during stagflation but we don’t own any.

Instead, I own some “defensive stocks” including some in key economic sectors like consumer staples, healthcare and utilities in my low-cost ETFs that should be able to weather a prolonged disruption. I also consider a few selected stocks we own as defensive plays: waste management companies. At the time of this post, both Waste Management (WM) and Waste Connections (WCN) we own have held up very well and provided stellar returns over the last 5+ years that I’ve owned them.

  • WM is up almost 100% in the last 5-years.
  • WCN is up over 100% in the last 5-years.

We’ll see what the future brings and my low-cost ETFs are a great diversifier: regardless.

Approach #2 – Staying global while keeping cash

Beyend certain sectors, investors should always consider holding a well-diversified stock portfolio across different sectors and different economic regions to reduce the long-term reliance on industries directly affected by tariffs.

While I have enjoyed a nice tech-kicker return from owning low-cost ETF QQQ for approaching 10 years now, and I will continue to hold some QQQ in my portfolio, I could see technology stocks tanking near-term. To help offset that, I own some XAW ETF for geographical diversification beyond the U.S. stock market. Thankfully. 

Times of market stress are however times to buy stocks and equity ETFs.

Near-term and long-term investing creates buying opportunities for disciplined investors. A well-structured, diversified global mix of stocks including those beyond the U.S. could provide some decent defence against a very toxic, unpredictable economic and political agenda.

For new and established readers on this site, you might be aware I’ve mentioned that our investing approach could be considered a “hybrid approach” – a structure that was established about 15 years ago as follows:

  1. We invest in a mix of Canadian stocks in our taxable account: to deliver income and some growth, and
  2. Beyond the taxable account, we own a bunch of low-cost ETFs like QQQ and XAW inside our registered accounts: inside our RRSPs, TFSAs and my LIRA for extra diversification.

I like the hybrid approach, the process and the results to date.

At the time of this post, I just don’t see how I should be making any significant changes to our equity portfolio.

Beyond our portfolio of stocks and equity ETFs we keep cash/cash equivalents.

Cash savings remains a good hedge for a very uncertain near-term future. We have a mix of Interest Savings Accounts (ISAs) / High Interest Savings Accounts (HISAs), along with Money Market Funds (MMFs) in particular in our registered accounts. Generally, plain-vanilla savings accounts offer very low interest rates. So, if you want to earn more on your savings deposits (rather than simply using your savings account) then consider an ISA or HISA.

The greatest appeal of ISAs and HISAs for taxable savings IMO is liquidity, while earning interest, and member financial institutions of Canada Deposit Insurance Corporation (CDIC) insure savings of up to $100,000. It’s good business for banks and institutions as well since money deposited generates interest by allowing the bank to access those funds for loans to others. There are usually no fees for these accounts and while interest rates have come down in recent months, ISA and HISA interest rates are consistently north of 2% at the time of this post.

I believe some form of savings account / ISA / HISA remains the cornerstone of everyone’s personal finance portfolio since 1. your money is saved for future expenses or ready for emergencies, 2. it is safe/low risk, 3. it is liquid, and 4. you still earn returns.

Let your equities do as they wish after that.

Approach #3 – Shop local, buy local, and avoid U.S. travel

We are fortunate to live in an area in Ottawa where we can shop local and buy from local farmers. We will continue to do that.

For those that want to shop more in Canada and buy more Canadian goods visit here:

We’ve been fortunate to save up some money in our “sunshine fund” as I call it for some future travel. I/we have no near-term plans to spend our money in the U.S.

I’ve been fortunate to visit many, many U.S. States over the years but given this recent trade war initiated by this current U.S. Administration I hardly have any desire to spend my money in a country whereby that government talks about annexing us.

It’s that simple for us.

I encourage other Canadians who can and do travel, to consider the same – avoiding the U.S. – not because of its citizens but the U.S. Administration decisions. Continue Reading…

“Unretirement” — more than one in four near-retirees plan to work in Retirement to make ends meet

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My latest MoneySense Retired Money column has just been published. You can find it by clicking on the highlighted text here: Why “unretirement” may be the fate of so many Canadians.

Even before the Tariffs threats emerged under Trump 2.0, Canadian seniors were starting to find the economic uncertainty and rising living costs to be unmanageable. No surprise then that many seniors approaching Retirement Age are delaying their exit from the workforce.

According to a report by HealthCare of Ontario Pension Plan, 28% of unretired Canadians aged 55-64 say they expect to continue working in retirement to support themselves financially.  Here’s a screenshot from the HOOPP survey:

 

The Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan (HOOPP) commissioned Abacus Data to conduct its sixth annual Canadian Retirement Survey in the spring of 2024.  The latest survey finds “persistent high interest rates and a rising cost of living continue to have a significant negative impact on Canadians’ ability to save and manage the cost of daily life, threatening their retirement preparedness.” While all Canadians are struggling, “women and those closest to retirement are especially hard hit with lower savings and higher levels of financial stress.”

While most Canadians are struggling to save amidst a high cost of living, HOOPP finds women are particularly affected. Half (49%) of all Canadian women have less than $5,000 in savings and almost a third (28%) have no savings (compared to 33% and 17% of men, respectively), similar to the 2023 results

 

The MoneySense column also looks at more recent Retirement surveys that also reveal anxiety about rising costs of living. One is from Bloom Finance Co. Ltd., conducted by founder Ben McCabe after Trump’s Tariffs started to kick in this year.

A Bloom study conducted with Angus Reid found 46% of Canadians thinking of working part-time in Retirement. That’s in line with a Fidelity survey in 2024 that found half of Canadians plan to delay Retirement. According to the Bloom Report [in March 2024], 67% of Canadian homeowners over 55 were concerned their savings would not sustain their quality of life through retirement. Only 29% considered downsizing or alternative living situations to access their home equity earlier than expected. 59% of the same cohort agreed accessing micro-amounts of their home’s equity would help maintain their desired living standard. Continue Reading…

Passive Investing DOES exist

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Royalty-free image via Pixabay

By Michael J. Wiener

Special to Financial Independence Hub 

Many people like to say that passive investing doesn’t exist.  However, these people make a living from active forms of investing and are just playing semantic games to distract us.  Active fund managers and advisors who recommend active strategies are the main people I see claiming that passive investing doesn’t exist, but what they say isn’t true.

There is a continuum between passive and active investing; they are not absolute properties.  We can reasonably call an investment approach passive even if it involves some decisions, just as we can call a person thin even if their weight isn’t zero.  We may disagree on the exact threshold between passive and active investing, but the concept of passive investing still has meaning.

By “passive investing,” most people mean some form of broadly-diversified index investing with minimal trading.  Although passive investing usually requires substantially less work than active investing, passive investors still have decisions to make.  They need to choose an asset allocation, funds, accumulation strategy, rebalancing strategy, decumulation strategy, etc.  The term “passive” comes from the fact that there is no need for day-to-day or even week-to-week decisions.  It’s possible for passive investment to run on autopilot for a year without adjustment.  In contrast, more active strategies need closer attention.

Threat to Active Fund Management

The rise of passive investing is a threat to active fund management.  Even factor-based investing that leans toward the passive end of the continuum is threatened by more passive forms of investing.  It’s hard to argue against the success of broadly-diversified index investing with minimal trading.  So, rather than trying to argue in favour of more active strategies, it’s easier to meander into a pointless discussion about how passive investing doesn’t really exist. Continue Reading…

We Don’t Recommend the Dogs of the Dow Investing Approach: Here’s Why

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Here’s a Look at the Dogs of the Dow Investment Strategy

1. The Traditional Dogs of the Dow Approach

Photo by Pexels/Arwa Askafi

The Dogs of the Dow approach involves buying the highest-yielding stocks in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. It’s based on the idea that a high dividend yield is an indicator of an undervalued stock.

To apply this approach, at the end of each year, you pick the 10 stocks with the highest dividend yields from the 30 stocks that make up the Dow index.

You then invest an equal dollar amount in each of these 10 stocks and hold them for one year. You repeat the selection process and re-jig the portfolio at each year-end.

In theory, these stocks should outperform the market (the DJIA or the S&P 500).

2. The Small Dogs of the Dow Approach

In another variation, you pick the 10 highest dividend-yielding stocks, then select the five with the lowest stock price. Invest an equal dollar amount in each of those, hold them for a year, and repeat. This variation is known as the Small Dogs of the Dow, or simply The Dow 5.

Here’s a Dogs-of-the-Dow ETF

The ALPS Sector Dividend Dogs ETF (symbol SDOG on New York) follows its own version of the Dogs-of-the-Dow strategy. It picks five stocks with the highest dividend yields from each of the 10 sectors of the S&P 500 index. These sectors are consumer discretionary, consumer staples, energy, financials, health care, industrials, information technology, materials, telecommunication services, and utilities.

Each holding begins with roughly the same dollar value, so every company starts out with a similar influence on the ETF’s total return. The end result is a portfolio of 50 large-cap stocks.

Currently, the fund now holds a number of stocks we recommend as buys for subscribers of our Wall Street Stock Forecaster advisory. They include AT&T, Verizon, Kraft Heinz, Snap On, 3M, Newmont Mining and IBM. However, the ETF also holds a lot of stocks we don’t recommend.

Should you Follow the Dogs of the Dow Approach?

One best-selling book of the early 1990s advised investors to buy the Dogs of the Dow: the lowest-priced, highest-yielding Dow stocks. Followers of the approach made money. Of course, anybody who bought stocks in the early 1990s made money.

The Dogs of the Dow strategy worked well in the 1990s because interest rates were going down. This tended to raise all stock prices. But high-yielding stocks were affected more than most because they attracted bond investors who were switching into stocks.

That’s how things work with most formulaic approaches: Sometimes they seem to add value, because they happen to lead you to invest in stocks that were likely to go up for some reason other than the formula’s actual focus.

Of course, you also need to keep in mind that high yields can signal danger, rather than a bargain.

All in all, we don’t recommend the Dogs of the Dow strategy.

Here’s why high yields can be a danger sign

To reiterate: a high dividend yield may be a danger sign. It may mean insiders are selling and pushing the price down. A falling share price makes a stock’s yield goes up (because you still use the latest dividend payment as the numerator to calculate yield: but the denominator, the price, has dropped). But when a stock does cut or halt its dividend, its yield collapses. Continue Reading…

How Pursuing Financial Independence has Positively Impacted our Stress Levels

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Image by Pexels: Count Chris

Navigating the complexities of personal finance can be overwhelming, but strategic approaches lead to significant stress reduction. This article delves into the transformative power of  Financial Independence, drawing on the expertise of seasoned professionals. Gain actionable insights on how to fortify financial health and secure a more serene state of mind.

  • Automate Investments and Minimize Unnecessary Expenses
  • Prioritize Savings to Build Financial Cushion
  • Build Financial Resilience for Future Security
  • Automate Finances to Improve Sleep Patterns
  • Pay Off Debt to Reduce Mental Strain
  • Diversify Income to Ease Financial Stress
  • Maintain Safety Net for Peace of Mind
  • Pursue Financial Independence for Strategic Decisions
  • Financial Stability Empowers Value-Based Choices

Automate Investments and Minimize Unnecessary Expenses

Before discovering Financial Independence, every surprise expense felt like a mini heart attack. A sudden car repair or an unplanned medical bill would throw my whole month into chaos. I used to track my expenses obsessively, but it felt more like watching a sinking ship than steering it.

When I embraced the principles of Financial Independence, everything changed. I automated my investments to ensure consistent growth, minimized unnecessary expenses, and started treating my net worth like leveling up in a video game. Each step forward brought a tangible sense of progress, like gaining “health points” for life’s challenges.

The real difference came when the unexpected happened. For instance, when my car needed a major repair last year, I calmly paid cash instead of scrambling for a solution. That moment solidified my newfound confidence: I was prepared, not panicked.

Pursuing financial independence has been transformative for my stress levels. It’s not just about the numbers-it’s about turning fear into opportunity and anxiety into control. Every step toward independence feels like reclaiming a piece of peace. — Ahmed Yousuf, Financial Author & SEO Expert Manager, CoinTime

Prioritize Savings to Build Financial Cushion

Breaking free from the paycheck-to-paycheck cycle was one of the most transformative changes in my life, and it significantly reduced my stress and anxiety. Early on, I found myself constantly worrying about covering expenses, with little room to plan ahead. It felt like I was stuck in a cycle of survival, with no opportunity to build stability or security for the future. That constant financial uncertainty weighed heavily on me, affecting my focus, decision-making, and even my health.

The turning point came when I decided to prioritize savings. Even with modest means, I began setting aside a small percentage of each paycheck into a high-yield savings account. At first, it required discipline, sacrificing small luxuries like dining out or unnecessary purchases, but over time, the effort began to pay off. Watching my savings grow gave me a sense of control that I had never felt before. Instead of reacting to emergencies, I started feeling prepared for them.

A defining moment came during a time of professional uncertainty when layoffs were happening at my workplace. Previously, the prospect of losing a job would have left me in a panic, consumed by questions about how to pay for rent, bills, or necessities. This time, however, I had built a financial cushion that gave me peace of mind. Knowing I had several months of living expenses saved, I was able to remain calm, evaluate my options, and focus on finding the right path forward instead of making decisions out of desperation.

That experience taught me the profound power of financial stability. It not only reduced my anxiety but also allowed me to approach challenges with clarity and resilience. Building that security was a key step toward greater personal and professional confidence, reinforcing my commitment to the values of preparation and intentionality. — Sean Smith, CEO & ex Head of HR, Alpas Wellness

Build Financial Resilience for Future Security

Pursuing Financial Independence has had a profoundly positive impact on my stress levels and anxiety by creating a sense of security, freedom, and control over my future. The process of building financial resilience has allowed me to approach challenges with more confidence and reduced the mental burden of living paycheck to paycheck.

How It Reduced Stress:

  • Peace of Mind: Knowing I have a financial cushion reduces the worry about unexpected expenses, such as medical bills or job loss.
  • Freedom to Make Choices: Financial independence provides the ability to take calculated risks, whether in career changes, starting a business, or investing.
  • Clear Goals: The structured process of saving, investing, and reducing debt brings a sense of purpose and direction, alleviating financial uncertainty.

In 2023, a major opportunity arose for me to transition from a salaried role to building my company. While exciting, the leap into entrepreneurship came with inherent risks, including the loss of a stable income. However, my pursuit of financial independence over the years had equipped me with:

  • An emergency fund covering 12 months of living expenses.
  • A diversified portfolio generating passive income.

This financial safety net allowed me to focus on growing the business without the anxiety of immediate financial pressure. Instead of stressing over daily operational costs, I was able to make thoughtful decisions about hiring, marketing, and product development. The result was not only professional growth but also improved mental health, as I could prioritize long-term success over short-term survival.

Pursuing financial independence isn’t just about wealth: it’s about reducing uncertainty and empowering yourself to lead a balanced, fulfilling life. It’s one of the most impactful ways to mitigate stress and foster a sense of control. — Kalpi Prasad, Finance Partner, Renown Lending

Automate Finances to Improve Sleep Patterns

Reducing financial stress has profoundly improved my overall well-being, and one of the most noticeable changes has been in my sleep patterns. Before I began focusing on financial stability, my nights were filled with worry, whether it was about unexpected bills, looming due dates, or just the general uncertainty of not having a financial plan. I often found myself lying awake, replaying scenarios about how I might manage in case of emergencies. This mental turmoil not only disrupted my sleep but also impacted my ability to fully show up for others during the day, especially in my personal and professional life.

One of the most transformative steps I took was automating my finances. By creating a system where a portion of my income automatically went into savings and setting up automatic bill payments, I removed the risk of late fees and the constant fear of forgetting due dates. For instance, I prioritized building an emergency fund by setting aside a small percentage of my income every month. Slowly but surely, watching that fund grow gave me a sense of security I hadn’t felt before. My recurring expenses were handled without the stress of constantly monitoring them, which freed up mental space for more meaningful pursuits.

This sense of order allowed me to sleep peacefully for the first time in years. Knowing that my financial house was in order provided a deep sense of relief, allowing me to let go of the endless cycle of “what-ifs” that had previously kept me awake. A pivotal moment for me came when an unexpected family expense arose. In the past, I would have spiraled into worry, trying to figure out how to manage. Instead, I was able to handle the situation calmly, knowing I had prepared for moments like this. That experience reinforced how much my financial independence was improving my life.

Now, I wake up rested, focused, and ready to continue serving others, which has always been my greatest passion. Recovery taught me the importance of building stability in all areas of life, and Financial Independence has become a key part of that journey. It’s a reminder that taking small, consistent steps toward stability creates a foundation for lasting peace and purpose. — Tyler Bowman, Founder & CEO, Brooks Healing Center

Pay off Debt to Reduce Mental Strain

Paying off debt was a transformative milestone in my journey toward Financial Independence and significantly reduced my stress and anxiety. The weight of monthly payments was a constant source of mental strain, creating a cycle of worry that seemed impossible to break. I vividly remember how overwhelming it was to see interest charges pile up, making progress feel out of reach. It often felt like no matter how much I tried, I was stuck in a loop that only deepened my stress.

To address this, I took a methodical approach, prioritizing high-interest debts and creating a structured repayment plan. Each payment became a small victory, reinforcing my determination to push forward. It wasn’t always easy, but focusing on the long-term goal of freedom kept me motivated even during challenging moments. The day I cleared my debt was nothing short of life-changing. The relief I felt was profound, like a weight I had been carrying for years was suddenly gone. Continue Reading…