Victory Lap

Once you achieve Financial Independence, you may choose to leave salaried employment but with decades of vibrant life ahead, it’s too soon to do nothing. The new stage of life between traditional employment and Full Retirement we call Victory Lap, or Victory Lap Retirement (also the title of a new book to be published in August 2016. You can pre-order now at VictoryLapRetirement.com). You may choose to start a business, go back to school or launch an Encore Act or Legacy Career. Perhaps you become a free agent, consultant, freelance writer or to change careers and re-enter the corporate world or government.

Retired Money: Taking RetireMint for a test spin

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My latest MoneySense Retired Money column has just been published: you can find the full column by clicking on the highlighted headline here: What is RetireMint? The Canadian online platform shows retirement planning isn’t just about finances.

We provided a sneak preview of RetireMint late in August, which you can read here: Retirement needs a new definition. That was provided by RetireMint founder Ryan Donovan.

The MoneySense column goes into more depth, passing on my initial experiences using the program, as well as highlighting a few social media comments on the product and some user experiences provided by RetireMint.

RetireMint (with a capital M, followed by a small-case letter I rather than an e) is a Canadian retirement tool that just might affect how you plan for Retirement. There’s not a lot of risk as you can try it for free. One thing I liked once I gave it a spin is that it isn’t just another retirement app that tells you how much money you need to retire. It spends as much or more time on the softer aspects of Retirement in Canada: what you’re going to do with all that leisure time, travelling, part-time work, keeping your social networks intact and so on.

In that respect, the ‘beyond financial’ aspects of RetireMint remind me of a book I once co-authored with ex corporate banker Mike Drak: Victory Lap Retirement, or indeed my own financial novel Findependence Day. As I often used to explain, once you have enough money and reach your Financial Independence Day (Findependence), everything that happens thereafter can be characterized as your Victory Lap.

As Donovan puts it, this wider definition must “break free from the tethered association of solely financial planning.”

Donovan says roughly 8,000 Canadians will reach retirement every single week over the next 15 years. And yet more than 60% of them do not know their retirement date one year in advance, and more than a third will delay their retirement because they don’t have a plan in place.

Retirement not calendar date or amount in your bank account

Donovan says  “Retirement has become so synonymous with financial planning, and so associated with ‘old age,’ that they’re practically inseparable. Yet, in reality, retirement is a stage of life, not a date on the calendar, an amount in your bank account, and is certainly not a death sentence.” He doesn’t argue that financial planning is the keystone of retirement preparation, as “you won’t even be able to flirt with the idea of retiring without it.” But it’s much broader in scope than that. As he puts it, this wider definition must “break free from the tethered association of solely financial planning.” Continue Reading…

Vanguard unveils new Ultra-Short Canadian Government Bond ETF

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In what it says is its first new ETF announcement in four years, Vanguard Investments Canada Inc. today announced a new Fixed-Income ETF designed to met investors’ short-term savings needs. Here is the full release on Canada News Wire.

Trading on the TSX under the ticker VVSG, Vanguard Canada says the Vanguard Canadian Ultra-Short Government Bond Index ETF offers AAA-rated high-quality government bonds and treasury bills with a low management fee of 0.10%. It seeks to track the Bloomberg Canadian Short Treasury 1-12 month Float Adjusted Index. The release says the ETF will invest primarily in public, investment-grade government fixed-income securities with maturities of less than 365 days issued in Canada.

Vanguard Canada’s first new ETF in 4 years

In an email to me, Vanguard Canada spokesman Matthew Gierasimczuk confirmed “It’s our first ETF launch in four years.” It brings the total number of Vanguard ETFs in Canada to 38, with $80 billion (CAD) in Canadian ETF assets under management. You can find the full list on its website here. Continue Reading…

Now (and always) is the worst time to invest in bonds

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Image courtesy AlainGuillot.com

By Alain Guillot

Special to Financial Independence Hub

With friends on a rainy day
With friends on a rainy day

Anytime anyone consults a financial advisor, two things typically occur:

  1. The financial advisor tends to recommend their “in-house” products, which often come with high management expense fees ranging from 2-3%
  2. They inquire about your age and then miraculously present a fund tailored to individuals in your age group.

We’ve discussed point #1 in previous posts. Financial advisors invariably promote funds with high expense fees because they receive kickbacks known as trailer fees, which constitute a significant portion of their income. However, it’s important to note that these trailer fees come out of your pocket. It is in the financial advisor’s best interest to consistently suggest products that offer the most generous commissions.

Despite the fact that there are numerous low-cost index funds and ETFs that might be the best options for their clients, financial advisers seldom recommend them because they do not generate commissions. The success of investment advis0rs often depends on their clients’ lack of knowledge.

As for point #2, they are equally inadequate. The typical formula for selecting a stock-and-bond portfolio is to subtract your age from 100%. This implies that if you are 30 years old, your portfolio should consist of 70% stocks and 30% bonds. If you are 50 years old, the recommended allocation is 50% stocks and 50% bonds, and so on.

Is age really the most significant factor? What if I am already a millionaire? What if I am struggling to pay my rent? What if I am in good health? What if I am in poor health? These factors seem to be overlooked, as financial advisers simply refer to tables provided by their employers and assign clients to predetermined brackets from their sales manuals.

Historically, stocks have consistently outperformed bonds as an investment, but investing in bonds can create a false sense of security. In reality, bonds offer reduced volatility, but less volatility does not equate to lower risk. Over the long term, bonds are not less risky than stocks; they are simply less volatile.

The truth is that the more bonds you hold in your portfolio, the more you limit your growth potential. Why would anyone sacrifice their potential for earnings simply because they are older? When you are older and in need of your money the most, that’s precisely when you would want your money to work its hardest for you. Continue Reading…

Should you use an All-Weather portfolio?

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By Mark and Joe

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Stock market volatility can and will happen, which can really spook many investors.

To help with that, should you use an all-weather portfolio for changing market conditions?

Would an all-weather portfolio be best long-term?

How would I build an all-weather portfolio using Canadian ETFs?

Read on and find out our take, including the pros and cons of this all-weather investing approach.

The portfolio is designed for all seasons

If you prefer a more passive approach to investing, building an all-weather portfolio may be right for you. While this portfolio is designed to perform well during all seasons of the market, from an economic boom or bust and the messy stuff in between, we’ll see below that this approach is not without some flaws and drawbacks – just like any investing approach. Further, you could be missing out on some important aspects or assets for investing entirely.

Understanding how an all-weather portfolio works can help you to decide if this path could be right for you, or even if a blended all-weather approach could make much more sense.

What Is an All-Weather Portfolio?

Just as the name sounds, an all-weather portfolio is a portfolio that’s built to do well, regardless of changing market conditions.

This investing approach was popularized by Ray Dalio, a billionaire investor and founder of Bridgewater Associates, the largest hedge fund in the world. At the time of this post, Bridgewater currently manages over $140 billion in assets.

(FYI – this sounds very impressive of course, but we don’t invest in hedge funds and neither should you!)

Dalio’s all-weather philosophy is largely this:

Diversify your investments, hold specific asset classes in certain allocations, such that the portfolio can perform consistently throughout most economic conditions. 

This includes periods of increasing volatility, rising inflation, and more. More specifically, this portfolio strategy is designed to help investors ride out four specific types of events:

  1. Inflationary periods (rising prices)
  2. Deflationary periods (falling prices)
  3. Rising markets (bull/booming markets)
  4. Falling markets (bear/busting markets)

How an All-Weather Portfolio Works

Based on back-testing, essentially Dalio and his Bridgewater team came up with a model after studying the relationship between asset class performance and changing market environments. The result of this relationship crystallized the following asset class allocation that would investors to benefit whether the market is moving up or down or sideways.

Here is the asset class breakdown:

 

We’ll provide more detailed funds to mimic this portfolio in a bit.

One thing you’ll realize from the portfolio above is the all-weather portfolio takes a much different approach than age-based allocations (i.e., more bonds as you get older in your portfolio), the traditional 60/40 balanced portfolio, or other popular couch potato approaches. It essentially ignores an investor’s personal need for changing risk appetite. A drawback we’ll discuss more in a bit.

The theory of the All-Weather Portfolio is that:

  • The equity portion will thrive in bull markets.
  • Commodities and gold should support the portfolio for inflation.
  • Bonds will help investors when stock market growth is suffering…

You get the idea. Continue Reading…

Retirement needs a new Definition

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By Ryan Donovan

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Before we dive into this article, let’s play a quick game: a word association game. I’ll bet you a crisp $5 bill, or a shiny loonie for the more risk averse out there, that with three chances, I can guess the first word that pops into your head. Now, it has to be the first word, so no cheating. Ready, set… the word is ‘Retirement.’

If you said ‘Retirement Income,’ ‘Retirement Savings’ or ‘Retirement Home,’ I’ll come to collect my winnings. If you said anything like ‘Travel,’ ‘Hobbies’ or ‘Exploration,  then good on you; I’ll send along an IOU.

The reason I felt so confident taking that bet is because when I tell people that I work in retirement planning, 99 out of 100 times, they assume that I work in financial services. The other time, people ask about senior living. Retirement has become so synonymous with financial planning, and so associated with ‘old age,’ that they’re practically inseparable. Yet, in reality, retirement is a stage of life, not a date on the calendar, an amount in your bank account, and is certainly not a death sentence.

One of our primary goals when creating our startup, RetireMint, was to reframe the national conversation around “what it means to retire,” which, at its core, requires redefining how Canadians prepare for retirement.

Now, I am not discounting the importance and necessity of a sound financial plan. After all, you are reading this in Financial Independence Hub … Yes, financial planning is the keystone of retirement preparation, as you won’t even be able to flirt with the idea of retiring without it. Yet, retirement planning must adopt a much wider definition and break free from the tethered association of solely financial planning.

Retirement should really be a time to enjoy the fruits of your hard labour:  a chapter that will hopefully span decades, fuelled by leisure, exploration, discovery and meaning.

Answering the ‘what, where and how’ of everything you want to see, do and accomplish in this next chapter requires conscious preparation in areas far beyond spreadsheets and bank statements. 

The industry paradigm is that you have about 8,000 days in retirement, or around 22 years. In each of those years, you will have more than 2,000 hours of new-found free time that would have been spent working throughout the majority of your life. Filling these thousands of hours with meaningful and purposeful activity is much more easily said than done.

The common approach to retirement planning (yes, we are now using the wider definition) has been to ‘punt the ball down the field’ and ‘cross that bridge when you get to it.’ Yet, we see time and time again that those who leave their lifestyle planning to their first day of retirement are the ones who have the hardest time transitioning into this next chapter.

The people who say, “I’ll never get tired of sipping Piña Coladas on a beach,” face the same fate as the ones who say “I can’t wait to golf every day.” While these may be dream activities for retirees, they ultimately see diminishing returns if they’re your only activities, because humans are funny creatures:  we need meaning and variation.

Despite its innocent demeanour, retirement has some dark, inconvenient truths: 

  • Ages 50-64, 65-84 and 85+ have the three highest suicide rates in North America, and in the last five years, we’ve seen a 38% increase in suicides among Baby Boomers.
  • Canadians over 65 have a divorce rate three times the national average.
  • Over 25% of older Canadians are socially isolated, which causes a 50% increased risk of dementia.
  • And, 77% of older Canadians live with at least two chronic illnesses or conditions.

It’s statistics like these that starkly highlight the importance of planning for your lifestyle, wellness and purpose, as well as the need for trusted resources to help with this planning. This was the a-ha moment that sparked our urgency to develop RetireMint.

RetireMint stemmed from empirical evidence showing that once people’s finances are at least on the right track, their primary concerns and conversations with their financial advisors shift far beyond the scope of their meetings. “What am I going to do with the grandkids?,” “Where am I going to travel?” “What happens when I lose my work insurance coverage?,” are just a few of the plethora of questions that popped up time and time again.

It’s fantastic that Canadians have this level of trust and comfort with their advisors, but the truth is that financial advisors are not equipped to answer all of these broader retirement inquiries, and they’ll be the first to admit it. It’s clear that this undue burden falls on the shoulders of financial professionals, but if not for them, who is going to provide the answers? Continue Reading…