Decumulate & Downsize

Most of your investing life you and your adviser (if you have one) are focused on wealth accumulation. But, we tend to forget, eventually the whole idea of this long process of delayed gratification is to actually spend this money! That’s decumulation as opposed to wealth accumulation. This stage may also involve downsizing from larger homes to smaller ones or condos, moving to the country or otherwise simplifying your life and jettisoning possessions that may tie you down.

BMO ETFs’ third annual ETF Investor Day aimed at DIY investors

On Tuesday, BMO ETFs conducted its third annual ETF Investor day. Conducted at the Toronto Stock Exchange, Do-it-yourself investors and finfluencers [Financial Influencers] were on hand for the ceremonial opening of the exchange, shown in the photo on the left. The Investor Day will also be held in Montreal on June 18: Details here

This marks BMO’s 17th year as a Canadian ETF provider, with $165 billion in Assets under management and 66 tickers  with a 10-year track record.

The first presentation was an economic and investing overview from Fred Demers, Director of Multi Asset Strategy at BMO Global Asset Management. He teased whether the R word refers to a Recession or Resilience when it comes to forecasting the economy. While the world is likely to remain messy, “the good news is the world always carries on.”

Demers is particularly bullish about the long-term prospects of the U.S. economy and the Tech giants that power innovation and in particular the A.I. Capex boom and AI infrastructure buildout. Stock markets are already seeing beyond the drama of the war in Iran, he said, led by a 12% gain YTD 2026 in Emerging Markets, 9% or so for the Nasdaq and almost 8% for the TSX, as shown in the chart below taken from the presentation.

Fixed income is not doing much of anything, which is to be expected when the economy is doing well but would show its value if a Recession got under way accompanied by Job Loss, which he said is not yet where we are. Gold has returned almost 6%, disappointing given the Middle East conflict but “still doing its thing short-term.” Its role is not to diversify equities but to diversify fixed Income.

Obviously the oil shock hurts and is a clear negative for Growth but it remains to be seen how severe it will be. Demers said Trump’s Tariffs amount to basically the equivalent of a 3% GST (a reference to Canada’s Goods & Services Tax).

He said it’s good to diversify globally but investors worried about the impact of Trump should “be careful about exiting the U.S. entirely.” The AI race is primarily between the US and China and AI Capex will keep roaring for years if not for decades. We are “not even half way through the capex cycle.” AI Capex spending has reached a “phenomenal” US $350 billion, and is on track to pass US$750 billion in 2026; the hyperscalers are planning between $1.1 and $1.2 trillion.

By contrast, AI Capex in Canada is not even $50 billion. Just ten giant American companies generate a third of the country’s economic activity. These are the big-tech titans but the U.S. economy has also become an Energy Powerhouse: the biggest oil producer in the world and net exporter of energy. Next is Saudi Arabia and Russia, with Canada in fourth and Iran is ninth. (See chart shown in the Sector section below)

Sector ETFs

The second talk was by Simona Mocuta, managing director and chief economist for State Street Investment Management (shown on the left). BMO recently launched a suite of BMO SPDR Select Sector Index ETFs with State Street and sector investing was the focus of her talk.  She started by saying she agreed with everything Fred said, drawing laughs when she said “it’s nice to see a Canadian that still likes the United States.”

BMO’s vice president of Online Distribution ETFs Zayla Saunders asked Mocuta about a SPDR energy ETF [XLE/TSX] to capitalize on surging oil and gas prices sparked by the Iran conflict. “Go for it,” Mocuta says, “Talk AI all you want but you need Energy to make it happen.” With the Iran war, the U.S. is telling Europe to buy from the U.S., which makes Energy as “compelling buy-and-hold.” The chart below is from Demers’ presentation:

Among other sectors, Technology was by far the best performer in April, Mocuta said, but there have been over the last 12 months strong inflows into Industrials, Materials and Energy.” However, investors should also consider less-loved sectors like Healthcare.

In response to an audience question about the U.S. financial sector, Mocuta said that in the medium term banks are being deregulated, which is a huge positive after the regulatory burdens imposed after the Great Financial Crisis. Continue Reading…

Silver Tsunami: Why the Best Business Transitions involve a Warm Hand

Image: Unsplash

By Jeff Johnstone, National Bank Financial Wealth Management

Special to Financial Independence Hub

In my world, financial planning is a lot like building a home. You can spend decades refining the interior — growing revenue, managing cash flow, building something you are proud of — but without a strong foundation, the entire structure remains vulnerable.  For the roughly 500,000 small business owners across Ontario, that foundation isn’t only  the balance sheet; it’s a clear, well-structured succession plan.

 We’re standing on the edge of what many call a “silver tsunami.” By 2030, more than one in five Ontarians will be 65 or older. It represents one of the largest transfers of leadership and wealth in history. Today, nearly 75% of business owners are planning to exit within the next decade. For founders, that creates a new reality because it’s no longer about finding just a buyer, it’s about being a business worth finding and buying. Yet while many expect to exit, few have a clear plan for what happens next.

 When entrepreneurs sit down with us, three themes tend to surface:

  • Concentration risk — the majority of their net worth is tied to a single asset: the business
  • Tax complexity — not whether tax will be paid, but how much can be preserved
  • Uncertainty — stepping away is not just financial, but deeply personal

 These challenges are all interconnected. For incorporated business owners, personal and corporate wealth need to be aligned: linking how value is created inside the business with how wealth is ultimately realized outside of it. The goal isn’t  to extract value at the end, but to translate it gradually into long-term financial independence.  Without that bridge, the business risks becoming not a means to an end, but the end itself.

Founders often underestimate Timing

 One of the biggest misconceptions we see is timing. Many founders believe they can decide to sell and complete the process within six months. When in reality, a successful, high-value transition rarely follows a short-term timeline. The average timeline is closer to five years from initial planning to final sale. Understanding this matters because, if you wait until you’re ready to exit — or until you’re burned out — and believe it can be all closed quickly, you’ve already lost leverage and, in many cases, left value on the table. Buyers don’t just assess financial performance; they assess risk. A business heavily dependent on its founder carries a very different profile than one that can operate independently.

 The earlier you start, the more control you have. That’s the takeaway here.  Early planning changes what buyers see. It creates time to strengthen management, reduce key-person risk, and professionalize operations. It also allows for what I often describe as a “financial clean-up”—organizing financials, addressing shareholder loans, and ensuring the business can run without you at the center.  Because ultimately, it’s about being profitable, as well as it’s being sellable.

 One of the  most complex parts of succession is rarely financial, and  happens outside the boardroom and round the dinner table.  We call this “dinner table math,”  when assumptions are made but haven’t (or rarely) been discussed. For example, parents may assume the children will take over the business, but they do not want to. Yet,  the children may feel obligated to, even if their interests lie elsewhere. Beneath it all are unspoken expectations about what feels fair.

Where many transitions begin to unravel

 This is where many transitions begin to unravel. Nearly 70% fail because of breakdowns in communication and trust, versus market conditions. For example, in one case we had one family assume the business would pass to the next generation. Through structured conversations, it became clear that while the children respected what had been built, none of the kids wanted to run it. That honesty  was difficult, but the clarity was necessary.  It opened the door to a different path that was  focused on a structured sale to an external buyer, alongside a plan to distribute proceeds in a way that felt fair and transparent. Just as importantly, it preserved the family relationships.

 These are not decisions founders should navigate alone. With the right advisory team — wealth advisors, accountants and legal professionals — we can help create space for better conversations and more thoughtful decisions.  In our experience, the best work happens alongside a dedicated M&A and investment banking team who can help deliver a more coordinated approach. Preparation becomes more intentional, buyer selection more strategic and outcomes — across valuation, structure, and legacy — more aligned with what matters most. Continue Reading…

Retired Money: FIRE Bloggers starting Early Retirement in their 50s and even 40s

Deposit Photos

My latest MoneySense Retired Money column looks at a handful of FIRE bloggers who should be familiar to readers of this site, Findependence Hub: notably Mark Seed of myownadvisor and Bob Lai of Tawcan.

As you can see by clicking on the column headline, How are FIRE adherents making out?, Seed recently announced he has reached his Financial Independence in his early 50s. Bob Lai, meanwhile, is still working in his 40s but blogged on how he hopes to reach Findependence before 2030.

The MoneySense column also updates the status of veteran personal finance columnist Rob Carrick, who ended full-time employment at the Globe & Mail last year, the subject of an earlier Retired Money column.  And we mention a good blog by The Retirement Manifesto’s Fritz Gilbert about the 12 Good Years between age 60 and 72. As I ironically close the column with, it seems I have just used up my own 12 good years!

The real focus of the MoneySense column is however Mark Seed, just as it was Carrick last summer. In both cases, we exchanged views in Zoom or GoogleMeets over the course of an hour or so.

By now, it’s hardly necessary to remind readers that the FIRE acronym stands for Financial Independence Retire Early, as the image above  illustrates.

Note that our FIRE subjects in the column span four decades: Lai his 40s, Seed his 50s, Carrick his 60s and I am in my 70s, evidently still running this website and writing for MoneySense, a former employer.

The end of Salaried Employment does not mean no more Working

The observant reader will note that none of the bloggers mentioned here have actually begun the traditional “Full-Stop Retirement.” When FIRE proponents describe Early Retirement, they usually mean leaving the comfort of full-time salaried employment and all that it entails: commuting, bosses, endless meetings, tax deducted at source, annual performance reviews and so on. Continue Reading…

Early retirement planning – steps we’re taking in 2026

By Bob Lai, Tawcan

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Financial experts and business owners on their ETF strategies

Deposit Photos

Regular readers of this site are probably well aware of ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds). Indeed, many blogs here have covered their role either as Core holdings of Retirement portfolios or portfolios still in the Wealth-building phase. Some espouse ETFs as a Core holding but play around at the fringe with so-called “Explore” investments either in high-conviction individual stocks or in more tactical specialized ETFs. Many espouse a “hybrid” strategy of mixing ETFs with individual stocks, perhaps by “skimming” the same ETFs for particular stocks that appeal at some level, whether for income, growth or other reasons.

Roughly once a month for much of the existence of this site, Featured.com has provided useful content on investing and retirement. In the past year, it changed its strategy so editors like myself could have more input into the creation of its blogs. Now the process is one of posting a question or general request to its site, soliciting input from a wealth of largely US-based financial experts and business owners.

Today’s blog focuses on various strategies on ETFs and variants of using them as Core or Explore holdings, plus the pros and cons of the “hybrid” approach mentioned above. Most of these experts are on LinkedIn, as you may see by clicking on their company names below each entry.

Here’s how we posed the opening question for respondents:

When it comes to managing your personal Retirement Funds or that of clients, what role do ETFs (Exchange Traded Funds) play: Core, Explore, Tactical or what? If you do use ETFs, do you prefer to use them exclusively or do you like hybrid strategies where you also pick individual dividend-paying or growth stocks; or do you also cherry-pick individual stocks from favorite ETFs?

So with no further ado:

Hybrid Strategies of mixing ETFs with individual stocks can lead to trouble

When it comes to the role of ETFs, for the vast majority of people — especially the ones I see in my practice trying to build stable long-term wealth — they belong in the “Core” position. ETFs are a brilliant legal and structural innovation: they provide instant diversification, they are incredibly low-cost, and they are tax-efficient. They allow you to own the market rather than trying to guess which individual company will win, which is essentially an impossible game for most humans to play consistently over 30 years.

The hybrid strategy — mixing ETFs with individual dividend or growth stocks —is tempting, but it is often where people get into trouble. “Cherry-picking” individual stocks is not investing; it is gambling with better marketing. I have represented clients who lost their retirement savings because they became over-concentrated in a single “favorite” stock that cratered. When you cherry-pick, you aren’t just betting on the company; you are betting against the market, the sector, the economy, and your own lack of inside information.

If you are a professional investor with the time to research, the discipline to rebalance, and the stomach for volatility, go ahead. But for the average person, or even the professional focused on their own career, the most successful strategy is usually the simplest: Core, boring, broad-market index ETFs.

The most successful retirement portfolio is often the one you forget you own, not the one you tinker with every week based on a “hot tip” or a gut feeling. I’ve never seen a client file for bankruptcy because they were too boring with their index funds. I have seen clients file because they tried to get clever with individual stocks and got decimated by a market downturn. Complexity is rarely your friend in long-term wealth building. Keep it simple, keep costs low, and let time do the heavy lifting. That isn’t just good investment advice; it’s sound risk management. — Lyle Solomon, Principal Attorney, Oak View Law Group

ETFs are foundational to my plan for retirement. The consistency and broad market exposure that they represent allow them to be at the core of all of my other investment decisions. I use a blended model. In order to achieve this blend, I have selected low cost indexed products (that provide for consistency) in addition to specific dividend producing stock selections to provide additional income. — Zack Moorin, Founder, Zack Buys Houses

ETFs as Core with individual Satellite positions like Crypto

My personal approach to retirement portfolio construction uses ETFs as the core, with a satellite allocation to individual positions including crypto assets.

The core ETF layer serves a specific purpose: broad market exposure at near-zero cost, with automatic rebalancing and no single-company risk. For U.S. equity exposure, a total market or S&P 500 ETF handles this. For international exposure, a developed-markets ETF. For bonds, a total bond market ETF scaled by risk tolerance and time horizon. This core doesn’t require active management or conviction: it just needs to capture beta.

The satellite layer is where I allocate capital I’m willing to analyze actively and hold with genuine conviction. For me, this includes individual positions in companies I’ve studied deeply and blockchain assets backed by whitepapers I’ve read and evaluated (through ChainClarity’s own research process). The satellite allocation is sized so that a complete loss wouldn’t materially affect the core goal.

Why I don’t go pure ETF: I find that having no individual positions reduces my engagement with the market as a learning mechanism. Tracking companies or protocols I own forces me to read earnings reports, understand industry dynamics, and notice when my thesis was wrong. That active attention makes me a better analyst, which has compounding value beyond the direct investment return.

The hybrid strategy I’d caution against: owning both an S&P 500 ETF and individual U.S. large-cap stocks. The ETF already owns those companies: you’re just adding concentration risk and management overhead without meaningful diversification. If you’re going to pick stocks, pick categories the ETF doesn’t cover adequately.

Roman Vassilenko is the founder of ChainClarity (chainclarity.io), an AI platform that makes blockchain whitepapers accessible to investors and developers. — Roman Vassilenko, Founder, ChainClarity

Active Strategies only work if you a demonstrable Edge

The statistics don’t favor an active equity allocation strategy. Over the 10 years ending 2021, 84% of U.S. large-cap growth funds lost to their benchmark, the S&P 500. Even if we add back some of those funds to the universe that died along the way, the failure rate only drops to 91%. You might still have to explain why you’d invest money for a 0.66% expense ratio, which is what active equity funds average compared with 0.03% for their passive alternatives (SPY, VOO). On $500K invested for 30 years that grows at a real rate of 7% annually, you can expect to have spent nearly $387K in fees over your investment horizon. Half of this goes to the active funds manager, whether they perform well or poorly.

The exception to this advice comes if you feel an edge exists. Perhaps you work in Silicon Valley and have insight into Netflix or perhaps have engineer-level technical understanding on why a company’s underlying product will prevail over competitors, but unless you genuinely possess such an asymmetric advantage, most of the advice below comes from investing in low-cost ETF cores, keeping a few per cent in cash or cash alternatives and picking one or two individual stocks that you’re willing to lose money entirely, without jeopardizing your Financial Independence. I think anything beyond that could fit onto one side of a sheet of paper. — Jere Salmisto, Founder, CalcFi

ETFs remove the big risk of your own Decision-Making

Most investors treat ETFs as a convenience tool, but their real power is that they quietly remove the biggest risk in portfolios: your own decision-making.

I think of ETFs as a “behavioral anchor.” In most retirement strategies, they should be the core, not because they outperform everything else, but because they reduce the chances of overtrading, emotional decisions, and concentrated mistakes. They create a stable base you’re less tempted to interfere with.

In practice, I’ve seen this play out repeatedly. Clients who built portfolios purely on individual stock picks often drifted into overexposure or reactive selling during volatility. In contrast, those with ETF-heavy cores made fewer impulsive changes and stayed aligned with long-term goals. When we added individual stocks, it was deliberate and limited, more of a satellite layer than a competing strategy.

The takeaway is simple. ETFs are not just about diversification, they’re about discipline. Use them as your foundation, then layer in individual stocks only where you have conviction and a clear reason. The goal isn’t to outperform the market every year, it’s to avoid the mistakes that quietly destroy returns over time. — Omer Malik, CEO, ORM Systems

ETFs are my core. Period.

ETFs are my core. Period. I don’t have the time or the ego to think I can outpick the entire market with every dollar I own. My retirement strategy is built exactly like our risk models at Insurance Panda: you need a massive, diversified base to survive the outliers. I put the vast majority of my capital into broad-market index funds and let them ride. It’s the only way to ensure you actually have a pile of cash when you’re ready to exit the game.

But I’m a business owner, so I can’t help but look for an edge. I use a hybrid model. I keep the boring foundation in ETFs, then I pick individual growth stocks in sectors I actually understand: specifically digital infrastructure and software. I don’t bother “cherry-picking” individual names from a favorite ETF. That’s just over-analytical busywork. If I see a company we’re actually using in our own tech stack that’s clearly dominating its niche, I buy the stock directly.

And here is the hard truth. Most people mess this up by being too tactical with money they can’t afford to lose. They treat their Retirement fund like a casino. Don’t do that. Secure the base layer first with low-cost funds. Then, and only then, use your actual industry knowledge to take a few shots on individual winners. If you don’t have a clear information advantage, stay in the index. — James Shaffer, Managing Director, Insurance Panda

ETFs should be the core 70 to 80% of your Retirement Portfolio

To any of our MintWit readers who are saving for retirement, my advice will be to build the bulk of your retirement portfolio using ETFs because they provide instant diversification and very low fees. In essence, ETFs will form the basis, or the bread and butter, as part of your investment strategy, making up 70%-80% of your retirement portfolio. The message we always preach is that you use the ETFs as a safety measure; then you explore by buying a few stocks, such as those paid by dividends from companies such as Johnson & Johnson and Coca-Cola, to make up the remaining 10%-20%. –– Scott Brown, Founder, MintWit

ETFs as Core help maintain Target Allocations

ETFs are most useful as core holdings in a retirement portfolio because they offer broad exposure and make it simple to maintain a target allocation. I recommend using ETFs to establish the backbone of a portfolio, then layering in individual dividend or growth stocks only when they serve a clear, specific purpose. Relying exclusively on ETFs can work for many investors, but a hybrid approach lets you target income or single-stock opportunities without losing diversification. Keep the overall asset allocation aligned with your risk tolerance and time horizon. Automate contributions and set a regular rebalancing schedule so ETFs and any individual holdings stay within your intended ranges. Consult a qualified advisor for tax and account-structure considerations before making changes. — Amir Husen, Content Writer, SEO Specialist & Associate, ICS Legal

Hybrid Strategy uses indexing and select individual stocks

I view EFTs (Exchange Traded Funds) as my base of operations for overall market exposure and stability. I prefer to implement an index fund or hybrid strategy which incorporates both index investing and selected individual stock investments into my portfolio. The Hybrid Strategy will allow me to maintain broad based investment diversification by utilizing index fund(s), and also pursue greater returns on investment via selected individual equities. At times, I review the top holdings in the most popular EFTs to see if they are among my potential long-term investment options. — Mike Otranto, Founder, Wake County Home Buyers

ETFs belong in the Retirement core bucket but not a fan of Index Skimming

I’m coming at this as someone who’s been in estate planning since 2008 and now leads operations at Safeguard in Arizona, where retirement planning and asset protection are part of the same conversation every day. My view is that ETFs usually belong in the core bucket because retirement money needs clarity, liquidity, and a structure that’s easier to coordinate with the rest of the estate plan.

What matters most to me is not “ETF vs stock” in isolation, but whether the investment setup works cleanly with beneficiary designations, trust funding, and the reality of incapacity or death. A simple ETF-based core is often easier for a spouse, successor trustee, or family to understand and manage than a scattered collection of hand-picked positions.

I’m generally more comfortable with a hybrid only when there’s a clear purpose for it, not because someone wants more activity. For example, if a family has a living trust and wants long-term retirement assets organized so a successor trustee can step in smoothly, broad ETF holdings tend to create fewer administrative headaches than a portfolio full of one-off stock ideas.

I’m not a fan of cherry-picking names out of favorite ETFs just because they showed up on a list. In retirement and wealth preservation, I’d rather see a plan that accounts for inflation, Social Security timing, healthcare costs, and smooth transfer to heirs than a portfolio that becomes harder to administer when the family needs simplicity most. — Julie Jewett, Director of Operations, Safeguard.

ETFs should have a clear purpose, like Targeted Income or Tactical Exposure

I view ETFs as core building blocks of retirement portfolios, especially for taxable accounts, given their tax characteristics. Asset location is critical, so I often favor index ETFs in taxable brokerage accounts to help control when gains and income are realized.

Dividend-paying stocks and corporate bonds are typically better held in tax-advantaged accounts to avoid current taxation on dividends and interest. ETFs that do not distribute frequent income also give more control over timing because you generally recognize gains when you sell.

However, I do not use ETFs exclusively. I treat them as the foundation and layer individual securities when they serve a clear purpose, such as targeted income or tactical exposure. The precise mix depends on a client’s tax situation, income needs, and retirement phase, with asset location guiding those choices. — Clint Haynes, Financial Planner, NextGen Wealth

The point of ETFs is to provide exposure to an idea without taking single-stock blowup risks

ETFs are immensely diverse, that’s the first thing to clear up. Income ETFs, dividend-growth ETFs, low-volatility ETFs, broad-market index ETFs, growth ETFs, and speculative covered-call funds (YieldMax, Roundhill) are all ETFs, but they serve fundamentally different roles. Their shared job is to express an investment thesis with diversification. The point of an ETF is to give you exposure to an idea without taking the single-stock blowup risks (management, execution, etc.) that come with picking individual names.

For Retirement, low-volatility and dividend-growth ETFs are the natural fit, because they prioritize stability of distributions and capital preservation, which is what matters when you’re drawing down rather than accumulating. Speculative income products like YieldMax or Roundhill weekly-pay funds can play a role, but they’re a speculative income tilt, not a core retirement holding. The high headline yields often come at the cost of NAV erosion that trailing yield figures don’t show. A retiree leaning on these without understanding the option-writing mechanics underneath can find their principal halved over five years even while collecting “income.”

Growth ETFs are a different beast entirely. Their volatility and lower (or zero) distributions don’t suit the liquidity and income needs of someone in retirement, but they’re the right call for accumulators in their 20s, 30s, or 40s with decades-long time horizons. Different season, different tool.

On methodology: the right way to think about an ETF is bottom-up, not top-down. If you research the underlying stocks and like what you see, the businesses, the dividend track records, the valuations … you buy the ETF as a convenient, low-cost container for that thesis. It’s not a common or advised investment strategy to cherry-pick individual stocks out of an ETF you like, without having done the individual fundamental work. That’s reverse-engineering: you’ve already paid for the diversification, picking out individual names just adds concentration risk while losing the structural benefit. If you want concentrated exposure to one or two names, buy the stocks directly. If you want diversified exposure to a thesis, hold the ETF that expresses that thesis.

Across age cohorts and goals, the principle is the same: an ETF is a way to express a stock thesis efficiently, not a substitute for having one. — Ignacio Planas Gonzalez, Founder, YieldMaxCalc Continue Reading…