Family Formation & Housing

For young couples starting families, buying their first home and/or other real estate. Covers mortgages, credit cards, interest rates, children’s education savings plans, joint accounts for couples and the like.

Canadian stocks at all-time highs

 

By Dale Roberts, cutthecrapinvesting

Special to Financial Independence Hub

On Twitter [X] I was asked what the heck is going on. “I don’t get it” offered a follower and blog reader. The Canadian economy is entering a rough patch, things are supposed to get much worse, and Canadian stocks are surging higher. In fact, the TSX Composite just reached an all-time high. More proof that no one knows what is going to happen. We can’t time the market or sitting Presidents.

Around Tuesday April 8, President Trump began to walk away from his nonsensical tariff war blabbering, just as I had predicted on March 20th.

My take on the global tariff war concept was and is …

The bad news is a global tariff war spells economic destruction.

The good news is a global tariff war spells economic destruction. Essentially, it can’t happen, I think and hope. The markets will push back  …

The markets pushed back on Trump’s plans, Trump listened, and then stocks moved on to higher prices.

And remember, the stock market is not the economy. And nearly 50% of TSX companies’ revenues originate outside of Canada.

What sectors are driving the TSX Composite?

From April 8, the TSX Composite is up 19% [as of  May 16]. We know that financials and energy and resources drive Canadian stock markets so let’s have a look there first.

Sure enough, during that period the financials XFN-T are up 28%. The banks ZEB-T are up 16%. The insurers that are within the financials indexes have helped to drive returns well above that of the banking index. Diversifed financial Brookfield is up 36%. Fairfax Financial (Canada’s Berkshire Hathaway) is up over 44% over that last year and an incredible 540% over the last 5 years, not including the modest dividend.

So ya, the financials are humming. As I wrote in investing in Canadian banks, the banks are a proxy for the Canadian economy. But they are much more as well with considerable earnings in the U.S. and in other economies and regions. Same for the insurers who are very international.

I’m more than happy to hold this ETF in my personal RRSP. My wife holds most of the indivdual stocks in her RRSP.

Not including dividends

Canadian energy stocks

Let’s move on to energy and other resources. In October of 2020 I suggested that readers consider Canadian oil and gas stocks. The timing was fortunate as the sector went on an incredible run, up over 400% at the peak. The sector did some heavy lifting along the way.

But the sector has cooled and is down some 7.3% over the last year. The returns are also negative from April 8.

That said, the Canadian pipelines have been carrying the energy sector. Enbridge ENB-T and TC Energy TRP-T are leading constituents in the Canadian TSX Composite and they have greatly outperformed over the last year. They’ve made a minor contribution.

TC Energy is up about 35% over the last year while Enbridge is up in the area of 30%. Enbridge is the forth largest holding in the TSX while TC Energy is top 15.

The materials sector XMA-T helped to lift the TSX over the last year, up 26% at its peak a week ago. Gold stocks drove the index. Gold was and is the perfect hedge for Trump’s unpredictability and potential inflation-inducing tariff strategy. Materials did some lifting along the way.

Defensive equities rise to the occasion

Consumer staples XST-T have outperformed over the last year. They have been a wonderful defensive holding. They shone during the worst of the Trump fears. That said, they (unfortunately) have a very small weighting in the TSX.

Utilities XUT-T have kept pace with the markets over the last year and have offered recent support, as the sector is near all-time highs. More on this below when we discuss retirement and managing risk with defensive equities.

Canadian tech rocks

One of the main drivers to the new highs is the tech XIT-T sector. It’s up over 41% over the last year. Shopify is up 95% over the last year. Constellation Software is up 37.5% over one year. Shopify has the second largest weighting in the TSX. It will often trade places with RBC for top spot.

From April 8, XIT is up 26%, largely driven by Shopify.

Here’s the lift from Financials and Tech from 2023 … Continue Reading…

Review of Money for Couples

Amazon.ca

By Michael J. Wiener

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Having listened to a few episodes of Ramit Sethi’s podcast where he helps couples face and conquer their money issues, I looked forward to reading his book, Money for Couples.

In it, Sethi distills his experience helping hundreds of couples into strategies that cover a wide range of problems.

It’s clear that Sethi has the skills and experience necessary to help couples with their financial problems.

However, creating a book to help people solve these difficult issues on their own is a different challenge.  I’m optimistic that this book will be helpful for some couples with big money problems.

For many couples, talking about money is painful and ends in a fight.  A common theme throughout this book is that couples need to find a way to have money discussions that feel good.  To this end, Sethi provides many strategies as well as actual scripts of what to say.  These strategies go a long way to help draw in a spouse who avoids all talk about money.

Money personalities

Although many people think they’re just bad with money, “there’s no question you can get good at managing money, just like you became good at driving and speaking English.”  The way forward depends on your money personality.  Sethi sees four common money types: avoiders, optimizers, worriers, and dreamers (who think some big score will come soon to solve all their money problems).

The book gives specific advice for each money personality.  For example, “Worriers change when they have skin in the game (for example, they manage part of the family finances), when they’re educated about money, and when their finances are extremely simple so they can understand them.”  In the case of dreamers, “I have no advice, because you’re not reading this book.”  Instead, Sethi offers advice to spouses of dreamers.

I saw myself a little bit in the optimizer personality description, but not much in the other personalities.  Even the optimizer personality doesn’t fit well, though: I’ve never tried to maintain a budget and have only tracked spending a few times.  I don’t seem to fit into any of these personalities.  Perhaps, these are the money personalities of people who have money issues, and there are other money personalities for people who don’t have money issues.  I’m not sure.

Moving toward a rich life

Sethi is known for saying people should stop focusing on $3 questions and start focusing on $30,000 questions.  This is the difference between deciding whether to buy $3 coffee vs. big-ticket items like “automating investments,” “minimizing investment fees,” and “creating a debt -payoff plan.”

Some take this to mean that it’s always okay to spend small amounts.  I’m not sure this is what Sethi means.  In any case, as I see it, it’s a mistake to agonize over small amounts every day.  Analyze how you spend money in small amounts, add up a full year’s worth of small amount spending in each category, and then decide if each category of spending fits in your financial plan.  You now have a quick yes or no answer to every type of small amount for the next year.  This frees up some mental bandwidth for thinking about bigger questions.

This shift to thinking about big money questions is an important part of what Sethi calls “designing your rich life vision.”  When a couple agree on what really matters to them and how they want to live in the future, they can take steps to make their vision a reality.  Otherwise, they might just continue wasting money on things they don’t care much about and never get where they’d really like to be.

As I read this book, I decided to do some of the exercises myself, and I squirmed a little as I got to the big questions about what kind of life I really want.  These questions can be daunting, but they’re important.  Even for a retiree like me who has already found the life I want for now, thinking about what I want my future to look like isn’t easy.  Facing these questions and coming to agreement with a spouse matters.

Couples dynamics or … how to stop fighting over money

The book describes three common problematic couples dynamics: sitcom (where couples take jabs at each other to entertain others rather than really communicating), chaser/avoider, and innocent doe/enabler.  For each dynamic, Sethi describes specific ways to break dysfunctional patterns, create meaningful communication, and handle money better.  He also provides scripts of what healthy conversations about money look like.

After solving some of these emotional issues, couples are ready to move into some of the more numerical pursuits, like creating what Sethi calls a Conscious Spending Plan (CSP) and setting up an automated system of bank accounts and credit card accounts.  A CSP lays out what percentage of income should go toward fixed costs, short-term savings, long-term investments, and guilt-free spending.  Putting an end to feeling guilty every time you buy something is a dream for many people!

I’ve seen enough young couples mess up their finances to see the value in Sethi’s methods, but I wonder how many couples out there are like my wife and me.  We kept all our accounts separate, which Sethi doesn’t recommend.  We never automated our savings and just saved what was left over.  This turned out to be a lot of money most of the time, despite the warnings from the Wealthy Barber, Sethi, and others that you must pay yourself first.

Although we’ve made good strides in spending meaningfully, my wife and I tend more toward underspending.  Many joke about how they wish they (or their spouses) were underspenders, but it can be a real problem.  The book mainly focuses on the more common problems relating to overspending, but it does have a subsection specifically about underspending.

Calling out businesses

One thing Sethi does that I find useful and amusing is calling out businesses to avoid.  In one example, a couple closes their Wells Fargo account “because they are one of the worst predatory banks in the world.”

For many people, “their parents never talked about money, so when they reached adulthood, they were defenseless, left to make sense of the world against companies like Wells Fargo and Ameriprise as well as whole-life insurance scammers.”

Specific advice

Sethi advises couples to set a “worry-free spending number.”  The idea is that anything under some threshold, like $20, is automatically not subject to criticism by a spouse.  I find this lacks a time component.  My wife and I have a number like this, but the threshold is very different depending on whether it is a one-off or if it’s daily.  I can buy $1,000 worth of sports equipment a few times a year without a family discussion, but I can’t spend $200 on lunch a few times a week. Continue Reading…

Retirement Confidence is Crashing: Here’s how Canadians can take back Control

Image via Pixels: Marcus Aurelius

By Ben McCabe, Bloom Finance

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Over the past year, Canadian seniors have faced rising inflation, high interest rates, and ongoing economic uncertainty, all of which are reshaping what retirement looks and feels like in Canada.

Retirement was once viewed as a time of ease and stability; instead, for many, it now feels like a constant calculation of trade-offs and tough decisions. Recent data paints an unfortunate picture, as retirement confidence is declining fast. Only 36% of Canadians feel confident in their ability to stay financially stable in retirement and just 7% feel very confident, while 27% are not confident at all.

This isn’t about long-term planning gone wrong: it’s about the real-time impacts of economic conditions that have changed dramatically over the last few years. Inflation has outpaced income, and daily essentials like food, utilities, medical care and housing are up nearly 30% over the past three years. However,  there are ways to regain control.

A Shifting Retirement Reality

Many older Canadians are now exploring alternative ways to stretch their resources. For some, that has even meant returning to work:  nearly half (46%) of Canadian homeowners aged 55+ are considering part-time jobs to make ends meet with rising living costs. For others, it means delaying retirement altogether: 67% say they’re concerned their savings won’t sustain the quality of life they had envisioned.

Meanwhile, traditional supports like the Canada Pension Plan, Old Age Security, and personal savings no longer offer the security they once did, especially since many seniors are financially supporting family members. According to another survey, 1 in 3 Canadian grandparents are financially supporting their children or grandchildren, with 53% saying that support has increased over the last two years. With 65% acknowledging that assistance impacts their own retirement savings, it’s clear that seniors are carrying more financial weight than ever.

Taking back Control

In response, seniors are taking steps to regain their financial control. One critical first step is getting a clear understanding of the full financial picture: knowing what money is coming in and what is going out. By distinguishing between “wants” and “needs,” retirees can prioritize essentials like housing, food, healthcare, and look for opportunities to cut back where possible.

Exploring New Solutions

In a financial landscape that is ever-changing, more and more seniors are open to innovative solutions that may not have been part of their initial retirement plans. Three-quarters of Canadian seniors own the homes they live in, and most entered the housing market decades ago. With years of sustained low interest rates and population growth that has outstripped new housing supply, home prices have tripled nationwide in the last 20 years (and more than that in many markets). Continue Reading…

“Unretirement” — more than one in four near-retirees plan to work in Retirement to make ends meet

My latest MoneySense Retired Money column has just been published. You can find it by clicking on the highlighted text here: Why “unretirement” may be the fate of so many Canadians.

Even before the Tariffs threats emerged under Trump 2.0, Canadian seniors were starting to find the economic uncertainty and rising living costs to be unmanageable. No surprise then that many seniors approaching Retirement Age are delaying their exit from the workforce.

According to a report by HealthCare of Ontario Pension Plan, 28% of unretired Canadians aged 55-64 say they expect to continue working in retirement to support themselves financially.  Here’s a screenshot from the HOOPP survey:

 

The Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan (HOOPP) commissioned Abacus Data to conduct its sixth annual Canadian Retirement Survey in the spring of 2024.  The latest survey finds “persistent high interest rates and a rising cost of living continue to have a significant negative impact on Canadians’ ability to save and manage the cost of daily life, threatening their retirement preparedness.” While all Canadians are struggling, “women and those closest to retirement are especially hard hit with lower savings and higher levels of financial stress.”

While most Canadians are struggling to save amidst a high cost of living, HOOPP finds women are particularly affected. Half (49%) of all Canadian women have less than $5,000 in savings and almost a third (28%) have no savings (compared to 33% and 17% of men, respectively), similar to the 2023 results

 

The MoneySense column also looks at more recent Retirement surveys that also reveal anxiety about rising costs of living. One is from Bloom Finance Co. Ltd., conducted by founder Ben McCabe after Trump’s Tariffs started to kick in this year.

A Bloom study conducted with Angus Reid found 46% of Canadians thinking of working part-time in Retirement. That’s in line with a Fidelity survey in 2024 that found half of Canadians plan to delay Retirement. According to the Bloom Report [in March 2024], 67% of Canadian homeowners over 55 were concerned their savings would not sustain their quality of life through retirement. Only 29% considered downsizing or alternative living situations to access their home equity earlier than expected. 59% of the same cohort agreed accessing micro-amounts of their home’s equity would help maintain their desired living standard. Continue Reading…

Looking to treat your loved one this Valentine’s Day? Give the gift of a financial conversation

Only half of Canadian couples discuss finances in detail, an IG Wealth Management study conducted by Pollard found. This week may be a good time to examine your joint lifestyle and retirement goals.

 

Image by Deposit Photos

By Blair Evans

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Valentine’s Day is here and while love may be in the air, there’s an often-overlooked gift that can strengthen your relationship: a meaningful conversation about finances.

Unsurprisingly, many Canadian couples shy away from discussing money with their partners. According to a recent study by IG Wealth Management, in partnership with Pollara Strategic Insights, only half of married or common law Canadians discuss finances with their partner in detail, with roughly a third talking about it only briefly.

Yet, when thinking about your future together, especially retirement, these conversations are crucial. You and your partner should be aligned on your retirement goals and lifestyle to ensure you plan appropriately and are fiscally prepared to enjoy those golden years.

Transparency on Finances can pay off in multiple ways

Image by Pexels

Transparency around your finances and having proactive conversations with your partner can also pay off come tax season.

Working together to file each of your tax returns can unlock opportunities to maximize deductions and credits.

You may be able to transfer unused credits, like tuition and disability amounts, to your partner to help alleviate their tax bill.

Couples can also combine their medical expenses and charitable donations together to minimize their overall tax obligation.

If your relationship is built for the long haul, it’s important to plan for life’s uncertainties.  Building an emergency fund, as well as having an updated will and power of attorney, along with proper life and disability insurance plans are essential to prepare for any emergencies or untimely circumstances. Continue Reading…