Posted By By Alain Guillot
Shortly after Donald Trump was elected, I sold some of my Canadian index (XIU) holdings in Canadian dollars and bought a small-cap stock index in the U.S. called the Russell 2000, in U.S. dollars.
The Russell 2000 is a stock market index that represents the 2,000 smallest publicly traded stocks in the U.S. I purchased the ETF IWM, which tracks the Russell 2000, at $240.
What are small companies?
Small companies are those with a market value between $300 million and $2 billion. These companies are underrepresented in major indexes such as the S&P 500.
Reading the writing on the wall
I usually don’t let politics influence my investment decisions, but sometimes you have to read the writing on the wall.
In this case, Donald Trump made it clear that he:
- Wanted to reduce taxes
- Wanted lower interest rates
- Wanted to increase tariffs
More precisely, he intended to impose a 25% tariff on Canadian goods. It would have been irresponsible for me to ignore this information and do nothing.
Reducing Canadian Exposure
My decision to sell the Canadian index was partially motivated by fear. Donald Trump’s clear stance on imposing tariffs on Canadian products signaled potential trouble for the Canadian economy and currency. Based on this, I decided to reduce my Canadian exposure and increase my U.S. exposure.
Why Small-Cap Stocks and Not Large-Cap?
Since much of my wealth is already invested in the S&P 500, which represents large corporations, I thought diversifying by market capitalization would be beneficial.
Lower taxes tend to benefit smaller companies more than larger ones because big corporations often use international tax strategies not available to smaller firms. For example, companies like Apple, Amazon, Google, and Microsoft have subsidiaries in countries with lower tax jurisdictions and already pay reduced taxes. A tax cut doesn’t significantly benefit them.
Additionally, tariffs on imported goods can benefit domestic corporations by protecting them from competition. Foreign products become more expensive, giving domestic companies an edge.
How about you?
Have you made any trades based on Trump’s policies? Let me know in the comments below.
Alain Guillot is a part time event photographer, part time Salsa teacher, and part time personal finance blogger. He came to Quebec as an immigrant from Colombia. Due to his mediocre French he was never able to find a suitable job, so he opened a Salsa/Tango dance school and started his entrepreneurship journey. Entrepreneurship got him started into personal finance and eventually into blogging. Now he lives a Lean FIRE lifestyle and shares his thoughts in his blog AlainGuillot.com. This blog appeared first on his blog and is republished here with permission. P.S. While granting permission to republish this article here, Alain added that so far, this bet “is not turning out so well. My Small-cap US is negative while the XIU is doing just fine. “
