Tag Archives: Financial Independence

Solving the home country bias in Canadian portfolios

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Canadian investors tend to suffer from home bias – a preference to hold more domestic stocks over foreign equities. This is actually true of investors in most countries, but it’s particularly troubling in Canada where our stock markets are highly concentrated in the financial and energy sectors.

The federal government could be partially to blame for our home bias tendencies. As recently as 2005 the government imposed a limit on the amount of foreign content allowed in RRSPs and pension plans. This cap was introduced in 1971 to help support the development of Canada’s financial markets but was scrapped in the 2005 federal budget, freeing Canadians up to invest abroad.

Sizes of World Stock Markets

It’s well known that Canada makes up less than 4 per cent of global equity markets (2.7 per cent, to be exact), yet 60 per cent of the equities in Canadian investors’ portfolios are in domestic securities.

Even most model ETF and index fund portfolios have Canadian investors overweighting domestic equities, holding anywhere from 20 to 40 per cent Canadian content.

Canadian home country bias

The result is a portfolio that is more volatile and less efficient than one with international equity diversification. Indeed, investors with a Canadian home bias are taking risks they could have diversified away by increasing their allocation to global equities.

My two-ETF portfolio

So how does my portfolio stack up? When I switched to my two-ETF solution, made up of Vanguard’s VCN (Canadian) and VXC (All World, ex-Canada), I chose to have an allocation 20-25 per cent Canadian stocks and 75-80 per cent international stocks.

That allocation would be relatively easy to monitor and rebalance if it was simply held in my RRSP. Whenever I added new money to my RRSP, I’d simply buy the ETF that was lagging behind its initial target allocation.

But I complicated things recently when I started contributing again to my TFSA. I wanted to treat my TFSA and RRSP as one total portfolio and keep the same asset mix in place. Since my RRSP was much larger than my TFSA, I decided to hold mostly foreign content (VXC) in my RRSP while putting Canadian stocks (VCN) in my TFSA.

This worked out great for several years but now I’ve run into a second problem; I’m contributing to my TFSA at a much faster pace than my RRSP. That’s because I’ve maxed out all of my unused RRSP contribution room and, due to the pension adjustment, I get a measly $3,600 per year in new contribution room.

Meanwhile I still have loads of unused TFSA contribution room and so I’ve been socking away $12,000 per year for the past two-and-a-half years. I hope to continue at that pace for many more years until I’ve completely caught up on all that available contribution room.

The result is a portfolio that is becoming increasingly more tilted to Canadian equities. At this rate, if I continue filling my TFSA with VCN, my portfolio will have more than 30 per cent Canadian content in five years, and nearly 40 per cent Canadian content in 10 years.

My Home Bias Solution

I’m considering a change to my two-fund portfolio. With the introduction of Vanguard’s new all-equity asset allocation ETF – VEQT – I could turn my two-fund solution into a true one-fund solution and make investing even more simple. Continue Reading…

Aman Raina’s 4-year Robo Advisor review

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By Aman Raina, SageInvestors

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Four years ago, Obama was President of the United States and Stephen Harper was Prime Minister of Canada. A Liberal was running America and a Conservative was running Canada. The New England Patriots were still making it to the Super Bowl, even winning a few…

…and I had opened my Robo Advisor account.

Yes it been a full 4 years since I opened up my Robo Advisor account. For those new to investing, a Robo Advisor is a new wave of wealth management companies that invest on behalf of others using an online platform and a combination of algorithms and computer coding to buy and sell specific investments and manage portfolios. Four years ago these firms were just stepping into the investing conciousness, but since then they have mushroomed and even traditional investment companies are now offering some flavor of online investment management services. It all seemed quite appealing however there was one thing that many marketing materials, blogs, and mainstream media was avoiding (and still are I might add)…do these types of services make money for investors?

Since no robo advisor company back then was interested in disclosing their performance (they still avoid it) other than citing research that their strategy is superior, I decided four years ago to try an experiment and find out for myself. I setup an account with one of the big Robo Adviser firms. My goal was to go through the process and blog about my experience and more importantly, the results. I’ve always said that we need a good five years to really get a handle on how effective these services are compared to traditional wealth management services. Well, we’re at the 80% mark of my ROBO journey, so let’s check back in and take a look at how it’s doing now and see if we can squeeze any conclusions about the service.

In previous years, I have stated that for us to get a real handle on their effectiveness, we need to see these robo-portfolios experience some stress. Up until 2018, the markets have been quite tame. We’ve seen how these portfolios operate in a period of rising stock prices. In 2018 we finally hit some periods where there were major swings in stock prices around the world. In February we saw the Dow Jones on several days drop more than 1000 points and in December we had the Christmas Eve Massacre where stock prices fell off a cliff creating a lot of hand wringing over the Christmas break. Finally meaningful, although short-term stress points for the ROBO portfolio.

Performance

Below is the current status of my ROBO portfolio as of January 30, 2019 and below that is the chart of annual returns over the past four years.

My ROBO Advisor portfolio as of January 30, 2019

My ROBO Advisor portfolio as of January 30, 2019

ROBO Portfolio Annual Return

(annual returns)

 The first year was a rough one for ROBO as it had lost 2.15 per cent. In the second year and third year, ROBO picked up its game. The portfolio generated a 13.2 per cent return in Year 2 and in Year 3 it posted another solid year with a 14.2 per cent return. In 2018, the portfolio pulled back going down a total of 2.1 per cent. The loss was tempered by dividends, where the portfolio generated $142.91 in dividend income. The ROBO was also saved a bit by a strong rebound in stock prices in January coming off the correction in December. The losses could have been much worse. Considering the largest component of the ROBO portfolio was concentrated in US and Canadian stocks and where the S&P500 and TSX/S&P Composite were down 6.3 and 11.7 per cent respectively in 2018, a 2.1 per cent drop is very reasonable. I lost money but not as much. Since January 2015, the portfolio is up 22 per cent over the last 4 years.

Asset Allocation

When I set up the account I answered a series of questions about my financial literacy and risk tolerance. ROBO took my responses and crafted a portfolio that it felt was compatible with my profile. As I am pretty experienced with investing and have a long-term investment horizon, ROBO determined that a portfolio mix of 85 per cent stocks and 15 per cent bonds would work for me. It has since then retained the same stocks/bonds ratio.   Continue Reading…

How federal housing policies could impact first-time homebuyers

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By Jordan Lavin, Ratehub.ca

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

For a little more than a decade, the Federal Government has been making policies that make it harder to buy your first home in Canada.

It’s hard to blame them. The great recession of 2008-09 was principally caused by a crash in the U.S. housing market which, in turn, had been caused by lax mortgage lending standards. Hundreds of thousands of people bought homes they couldn’t really afford, and were later foreclosed on or forced to sell. Left behind was a glut of housing inventory and an equal glut of people who had lost everything. The ripple effect was felt throughout the world, including here in Canada.

Fortunately, the mortgage problem was isolated to the United States. But the repercussions hit Canada hard, and interest rates fell to unprecedented lows as a response to the worsening economic situation. During the recovery, mortgage rates in Canada continued to fall and house prices quickly rose. In hot markets like Vancouver and Toronto, the average price of a home nearly doubled between 2010 and 2016.

All this left government officials on this side of the border wondering if it was possible for the mortgage and housing market to fail here. With the compounding worry of a housing market crash – what if prices went back down as quickly as they had gone up? – they began making new policies with the goal of making it more difficult for Canadians to qualify for a mortgage, especially if that mortgage were to be insured by the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC).

Among the changes: Limiting amortization length for insured mortgages to 25 years; Limiting CHMC insurance to homes purchased for under $1-million only; Establishing a minimum down payment of 5% and then increasing the minimum for homes over $500,000; and expanding a “stress test” to eventually force all mortgage borrowers to qualify at a higher interest rate than they would actually pay.

This cocktail proved poisonous for first-time homebuyers. High house prices, harder qualification criteria and lower earning potential forced first-time homebuyers to get creative, finding new ways to afford homes.

Today, the government is looking at two new policy changes that could have an impact on first-time homebuyers.

A return to 30-year insured mortgages for first-time homebuyers

Currently, the longest you can take to pay back an insured mortgage (mortgage insurance is usually required when you have a down payment of less than 20%) is 25 years. But one policy change the government says they’re looking at is increasing that limit to 30 years.

This is a boon to affordability, at least at the qualification level. Ratehub’s mortgage payment calculator shows that the monthly payment on a $500,000 mortgage at today’s best rate of 3.29% will be $2,441 when amortized over 25 years, or $2,181 when amortized over 30 years. Since mortgage affordability is based on a fraction of your income, a lower payment equals a higher purchase price you can qualify for.

But there’s a significant downside. The obvious is the additional 5 years of mortgage payments later in life. If you’re over 35, signing a new 30-year mortgage could keep you making payments into retirement. Continue Reading…

Retired Money: What retirement savers can learn from the finances of pro athletes

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My latest MoneySense column looks at the seemingly enviable situation of professional athletes, and what us ordinary folk can learn about what it’s like to retire from a (typical) five-year career of earning big bucks, but then having a half century ahead of them. Click on the highlighted text to retrieve the full story: Why so many athletes run into financial trouble.

The article is based on an interview with Chris Moynes, a financial planner who specializes in managing money for NHL and other pro athletes, and reviews his book After the Game. it is available at Amazon.com or directly through his web site at www.onesports.ca, as is an earlier book called The Pro’s Process.

Most pro athlete careers average about 5.5 years. The median is just 4 years (so half have careers that last less than that) and of course a sudden critical injury could end it all at any moment. Of course, while it lasts the pay is astronomical compared to what mere mortals can generate in regular jobs: an average US$2.4 million per season. That means the average pro athlete will earn about $13 million over that short career. However, citing sportrac.com, Moynes says 200 of the 683 players in the NHL earn less than US$1 million per year, because the stats are skewed by the huge salaries of the biggest stars.

The 6 financial “Landmines” facing pro athletes

The opening chapter of After the Game outlines the six biggest “landmines” facing pro athletes. First is overspending and the combination of big paycheques spread over a short career. They seldom understand finances and often make poor investment choices, typically being prime targets for those selling “can’t miss” investments like nightclubs, casinos, real estate ventures and other private-equity type deals. Continue Reading…

5 common financial mistakes Millennials are making

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By Noel Gonzales

Millennials have many opportunities in their hands today. With their skills and talent, they can earn more and do more with their lives. However exciting this is, it also becomes quite a challenging task for millennials to use wisely what they have.

Today’s trends on consumerism entice people to buy and spend more when they earn more, and this is where the trap of debt begins. Aside from this, here are five other common financial mistakes that millennials are making:

1.) Millennials don’t invest in the stock market or other financial markets

Millennials are tech-savvy, and most own a smartphone. Hence, investing in the stock market is not difficult to do nowadays. However, a lot of people, including millennials, still consider traditional savings as the way to go; they’re unaware that stocks grow more income than savings.

If you’re confused with how to start, you can take advantage of online resources and tools that can do the following:

  • Teach the basics of financial markets and investing.
  • Maximize your income, like a great position size calculator, that decides the estimated amount of currency units to buy or sell.

In investing, the younger you start, the better. If you start early, you’d surely thank your young and smart self 10 years from now.

2.) Millennials don’t invest in health insurance

Health insurance is a good investment for your future, as you have a shield that covers all your costs in the event of any health issues. Remember, health is your greatest asset. Illness can be very expensive, but when you have health insurance, your expenses are covered and you can focus on recovering.

There are now easy payment plans on health insurance, depending on your salary. You’ll be surprised to know that paying your insurance premiums can cost you less than the money you spend on your daily coffee run.

3.) Millennials don’t have an emergency fund  

As a millennial, you’re at the top of your health and age. Hence, you forego saving for an emergency fund. An emergency fund refers to money set aside to cover:

  • Emergency travel, such as when you need to go home because a family member died
  • Home repairs after a natural disaster
  • Sudden job loss

You should have at least three to six months’ worth of your monthly expenses as savings for emergencies. For example, if you spend a total of 500 USD every month to cover living expenses, home loan, etc., 3000 USD should be your emergency fund.

4.) Millennials don’t write a monthly budget

Not writing down a monthly budget is a mistake that can lead you to overspend. When you write your budget down, you can visualize it better and stick to it; hence, you know where and how to allocate your money efficiently. Continue Reading…