By Maria Weyman, creditcardGenius
Special to the Financial Independence Hub
Retirement, whether near or far, is a pretty big milestone in a person’s life.
We start saving for it as early as possible and put as much towards it as we can in order to be better prepared.
Whether we want to spend it travelling, immersing ourselves in our favourite hobbies, or spending some quality time with loved ones, most of us look forward to our retirement but don’t see it happening in the near future.
The average age of retirement in Canada is 64 years old, but the popularized FIRE movement – which stands for “Financial Independence, Retire Early” – is the lifestyle concept that proposes an alternative scenario.
By living as frugally as possible and saving every bit possible while maximizing income and revenue, FIRE-devotees plan on retiring much earlier than the Canadian average.
Although we all want to retire early, and being financially independent enough to retire at a young age is possible, it might not be attainable for everyone.
We can all dream, but it’s important to look at the concept without those rose-colored, heart-shaped glasses we all get when thinking about early retirement. Realistically, the FIRE movement can be quite extreme.
Reasonable income
Living from paycheque to paycheque is still the sad reality for many Canadians, some not even being able to set aside money for normal retirement. Living as frugally as possible is just a means of survival rather than a means to a bigger end.
Stagnant wages and the ever-increasing cost of living has made it harder than ever to be financially stable, let alone financially independent, especially for lower or middle-income brackets.
Not to mention getting higher-income jobs in the first place requires many years of education and consequently entails large amounts of student loans, which in itself can take decades to pay off.
Investment risks
Even if you have an income that allows some wiggle room, saving alone probably isn’t enough. To be successful in the FIRE movement requires some savvy investing.
And since we’re taking away the option of long-term, stable, compounded interest savings, the timeframe is much shorter.
But with higher rewards usually come higher risks.
It’s up to you to decide if the risk is worth the potential payout.
Retirement timeframe
Another glitch in the FIRE movement lifestyle is retirement timeframe: how long you’ll actually be retired for.
Savings breakdown
Let’s crunch some numbers just to get a general idea. The most complicated part of this calculation is compounding interest. Thankfully, we can summarize the effects of compound interest using a multiplier.
Let’s say you’re 23 years old and you plan on retiring early at 40 years old. The average life expectancy in Canada is 82 years old, meaning your retirement fund will have to be sufficient enough to carry on for over 42 years.
Compound interest allows our savings to “go further” than they otherwise would. If we are looking at a compound interest of 3.5% (moderate yield rate) we can calculate how much further savings would go for a period of 42 years:
Savings Multiplier = (1 + Annual Interest Rate)^42 = 1.035^42
Savings Multiplier = 4.241
Where the “^” indicates an exponential power (that is 2^3 = 2x2x2). This means that over a period of 42 years, your savings will essentially be multiplied by a factor of 4.2, which shows you how powerful a force compounding interest really is.
While it’s nice that our savings can grow exponentially with compound interest, taking money out of our savings results in losses that grow with compound interest. As such, if we take money out of our savings at the beginning of that 42 year period, that money is also multiplied by a factor of 4.241. Taking the money out one month after would have a slightly lower multiplier and so on. By summing the total effect of each monthly withdrawal we can also obtain a monthly expense multiplier. The first step is to find the monthly interest rate. This can be obtained as follows:
Monthly Interest Rate = (1+Annual Interest Rate)^(1/12) – 1 = (1+0.035)^(1/12) – 1
Monthly Interest Rate = 0.28708987%
Note that calculating a power x^(1/12) is a 12th root and will require a scientific calculator. After obtaining the monthly interest rate, you need to do a recursive sum representing the multipliers for all monthly withdrawals: Continue Reading…