By Justin Bender, CFA, CFP
Special to Financial Independence Hub
Unless you were literally born yesterday, you’re probably already aware that 2022 was an extraordinary year for investing … extraordinarily bad, that is. It hardly mattered which asset mix you invested in. Both stock and bond markets experienced double-digit losses, so even conservative investors with bond-heavy holdings saw their portfolio values plummet.
That’s investing for you. We may not like it, but we actually expect some years to serve up heaping helpings of realized risk, sometimes across the board. It’s the price we pay to expect these same markets to deliver longer and stronger runs of future returns.
From this perspective, we hope you’ll keep your eyes and your asset allocations focused on the future as we review the 2022 performance for the Vanguard, iShares, BMO, and Mackenzie asset allocation ETFs.
Before we look at the 2022 returns for our asset allocation ETFs, let’s check out the year-end results for their underlying holdings, starting with the equity ETFs.
2022 Equity ETF Returns
Canadian equity ETF returns were similar across the board, with losses of around 6%.
Disappointing, for sure, but their performance was still better than that of global stock markets, which lost 12% in Canadian dollar terms. That’s in large part due to the Canadian stock market’s overweight to energy companies. The energy sector happened to have a stellar year, returning over 50% during 2022.
U.S. equity ETFs also ended 2022 on a low note, losing around 20% in U.S. dollar terms. During this time, the U.S. dollar appreciated by 6.8% against the Canadian dollar, reducing the loss for unhedged Canadian investors. Once we factor in the return bump from U.S. dollar exposure, our selection of U.S. equity ETFs lost around 12%-14%, in Canadian dollar terms, net of withholding taxes.
BMO’s trio of U.S. equity ETFs had noticeably higher returns than the others. This is largely due to the methodology used to construct the S&P indexes tracked by BMO’s ETFs. For these indexes, an S&P index committee selects which companies to include in each index. The indexes tracked by the Vanguard, iShares, and Mackenzie ETFs have a less subjective process. This means there is more active decision-making going on in the three S&P indexes tracked by BMO’s ETFs, which led to a wider short-term return difference between BMO and the rest of the more passive index-tracking providers in 2022.
International equity ETFs ended the year on a disappointing note as well, losing between 8%-10%.
Two components explain most of the performance differences among our international ETF providers: Continue Reading…