Tag Archives: long-term investing

Loss avoidance: The power of long-term thinking

By John WIlson

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

A friend of mine was planning a long trip outside of Canada and didn’t really have a definite date as to when he’d be back. He was thinking a good six months to a year. I remember asking him about what he would do with his car; where he planned to park it. He thought it would cost too much to put it in long-term parking, somewhere around $200 to $300 a month. He was, as he saw it, just going to park it on the street.

You may detect where this story is heading.

A few months into the trip his car was impounded. As he wasn’t back in the country yet, he asked me if I could go to the lot on his behalf. About $2,500 in fees and several (not so enjoyable) hours later, his car was finally retrieved.

By choosing not to pay long-term parking up front, my friend may have enjoyed the short-term benefit of not having to put effort into making arrangements or paying any money. But the inherent risk in that decision played out; the car ended up in the impound lot and he had to pay quite a significant amount of money: not to mention the embarrassment of asking a friend to go for a long, impromptu visit to the lot on his behalf.

Short-term gratification can hurt in the long run

This story reminds me of how some of the highest-return investments in life are investments of time, where the payoff comes from the avoidance of loss.

We often see the tradeoff between short-term and long-term thinking in our interactions with management teams. For example, a company can really inflate its current earnings and make the latest report or annual release look a lot better by under-investing in intangibles, such as marketing.

Marketing is an expense that will hit the income statement every quarter, but often doesn’t provide a benefit until two, three, four or ten years down the road. The same thing goes with investments in R&D. The management team that focuses too much on optimizing current period earnings will often do so to the detriment of future profitability and competitive positioning. This is one of the reasons we encourage managers to adopt incentive plans that are based on long-term performance rather than short-term earnings targets or share price movements.

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