The fed won. I admit defeat. My point is that what just transpired was merely the most recent bout. Circumstances were extenuating. I demand a rematch. As soon as things begin to normalize, I absolutely believe I will win. To provide a bit of context for how I feel now, here’s a groovy little two-minute ditty from the Bobby Fuller Four to help channel the vibe…
One of the oldest adages in finance is “Don’t fight the fed.” In Canada, that translates into “Don’t fight the Bank of Canada.” That, in a nutshell is what I did. I brought a knife to a gun fight and I lost. Here’s why I lost that figh t… and why I absolutely expect to win the next one:
I took the position that markets (and especially the U.S. market) were expensive in early 2020. Sure enough, markets tumbled a month or two later – not because of fundamentals or valuations, but because of a global pandemic that no one saw coming. For five weeks starting in February, it looked very much like I had been vindicated. I suppose I could have taken credit for being prescient, but in fact, I was merely at the right place and the right time. By mid-March 2020, I was feeling pretty good about my call.
Then it happened. Central banks mercifully came riding to the rescue. It was the right thing to do when viewed through many lenses, including public health, economic stability, and small business viability. They did so with such fury and determination that no one had ever seen anything like it before. Interest rates were slashed to effectively zero. Governments of all political stripes around the western world took advantage of their newfound monetary cover and started sending cheques to what seemed like anyone who could fog a mirror. Before the end of March, markets hit a bottom and began an upward march. A massive bull market was unleashed.
I don’t honestly think anyone could have foreseen what ensued. There was certainly no precedent for markets dropping violently and then recovering equally quickly. To have expected that outcome would be to have expected something that had no antecedent in all of history anywhere on earth.
For nearly 23 months now, interest rates have remained at effectively zero. Pretty much everyone expects that to change in March. If lowering rates is like giving Popeye can of spinach, raising them is like giving Superman a bag full of kryptonite. Forgive many the pop culture references in this post, but I find it helps to make things accessible and vivid. Basically, the artificial party that has gone on for nearly two years and has given almost everyone a false sense of confidence is going to end. Soon. Badly. I’ll eat my hat if I’m wrong. Continue Reading…
When I created this blog over seven years ago, the sole purpose was to chronicle our journey for financial independence and joyful life. I wanted to share my knowledge with like-minded people. I could have just focused on writing articles about money and personal finance.
But I didn’t.
Right from the start, I put a strong emphasis on the joyful life aspect, because I realized that having all the money in the world does not automatically make one happy. Happiness needs to come from within and finding this internal happiness is a daily practice. I realized, that writing about money gets old quickly; I wanted to write about more than just the money.
Being the sole income earner of the family (for now), early retirement was never really a goal I had in mind. My focus has always been on financial independence. I want to reach financial independence so Mrs. T and I can have more options in life and have the freedom to work because we want to, rather than working because we have to.
Perhaps the reason that early retirement isn’t on my radar is because I enjoy what I do at work. Having been with the same company for 15 years, over a third of my life, I feel fortunate that I am still working at the same company where I started my engineering career.
To me, early retirement has always been just one of the nice things that we would have in life one day. It does not mean I must retire early in my 30s or 40s to make myself happy. Or that I must hit a specific FI number or hit a specific FI date.
Perhaps I am unique compared to most people, as I grew up in a family where multiple family members either retired in their early 40s or became financially independent but continued to work. Money has never been a taboo subject in my family, which has had a very positive impact on my life.
Another unique thing about our family is that we technically are financially independent, but we choose to prolong our financial independence journey. We wanted more flexibility, so we set the goal to create a dividend portfolio that had enough dividend income to cover our annual expenses. We set a goal of becoming “financially independent” by 2025 or earlier, but we aren’t too worried about whether we hit the goal by 2025 or not.
One of the distinctive benefits of having a dad who retired early and a stay-at-home mom is that my parents were always there when I needed them. Unlike many of my school friends, both my dad and mom could attend many of my school functions, like sports games, band concerts, and field trips.
Now I am a dad of two young kids, I am even more appreciative of what my parents could do for me and my brother when we were growing up. Always available and present at my kids’ important life and school events is something I want to achieve. I am practicing it right now as best as I can with a full-time job.
Growing up, we went on extended road trips because both my parents were free during school summer break. When I was in high school, every summer we would go on road trips that usually lasted over a month.
One year, we flew to Toronto and drove around Eastern Canada and the Eastern United States. Another year we drove from Vancouver to Alaska and back. Another time we drove from Vancouver to New Orleans and back. Then once to Prince Edward Island to drive around the Maritimes and Maine. Throughout high school, we also drove to Banff and Alberta multiple times.
My extensive travels growing up is the exact reason why I want travelling to be part of my family’s life in the future. I want Baby T1.0 and Baby T2.0 to learn invaluable lessons that can only be learned from travelling and seeing the world with their own eyes. There are so many things that you simply cannot learn from reading books or sitting in a classroom. You must see them and experience them yourself.
We have been very fortunate to have travelled quite a bit with both kids already. We went to Denmark multiple times, we visited Japan and Taiwan, and various parts of Canada and the US.
Although I am involved in the FIRE community, shamefully I didn’t know the acronym until a few years after I started this blog. For a while, I was confused whenever people used this acronym.
For a while, FIRE was the only acronym, then folks started coming up with different acronyms to categorize FIRE. There’s lean FIRE, fat FIRE, barista FIRE, and the list goes on.
FIRE has been getting more and more mainstream coverage lately. Almost every other day I would come across articles on so-on retired at age 38, or someone who retired at age 27 to travel around the world, or someone who retired after saving extremely aggressively for 5 years, or someone who retired by saving up one million dollars in less 5 years.
To me, FIRE is flawed in these articles.
They don’t provide the general public with what FIRE really means.
Almost all of these articles only focus on the early retirement aspect and provide a false image of relaxed and luxurious life in retirement – travelling around the world, leaving the 9-5 rat race, saying FU to the employers, and sipping piña colada on the beach. Early retirement is all fun and games. There are no drawbacks and no negatives to early retirement.
But it is a lie, because no matter where you go, you will always bring yourself. So if you are not in a happy place while pursuing FIRE, you sure won’t be happy once you reach it.
Many of these articles also fail to acknowledge that many of these early retirees are not really “retired” in the traditional sense. In fact, many of these early retirees are still earning money through side hustles or even part-time jobs.
These articles are click baits. They are there to get the average Joes and Janes to click on them, read, and feel more miserable about their lives.
Because most of them cannot fathom the idea of financial independence or early retirement. A small minority even gets so fed up with the idea of early retirement, they become trolls and leave very negative comments on these articles.
The fundamental problem with FIRE
The root of the problem is that too many people hate their jobs.
They despise what they do at work, they don’t like their bosses, they don’t like their co-workers. Through media, these people have been told that owning expensive things will make them happy. Purchasing things will solve all of their problems.
So, they mindlessly spend money on things they don’t need, only to find out that they need to somehow make more money to sustain their expensive-never-ending-purchasing-spree. They work simply because they need the money to pay for the new things that would supposedly make them happier in life.
Therefore, they continue to clock in and clock out every day despite hating their jobs. Due to how they feel about their jobs, they are constantly looking forward to the weekend or their next vacation, because that’s when they can be completely free from their jobs. And so, the Monday blues sets in whenever they are back to work from weekends or their vacations.
To them, FIRE is an escape. The happy ending. The escape route. The finish line.
They tell themselves that they will only be happy once they are retired. Before they get there, they will never be happy. They constantly remind themselves how miserable their life is and how wonderful their life will be once they are free from their 9-5 job. So, they constantly look forward to that retirement day so they can give their employers the middle finger and tell their coworkers to get lost.
This video is a perfect example of this endless vicious cycle of going nowhere and believing that buying things will lead to happiness.
Connecting life problems to not having money, financial independence, or retire early is simply incorrect and fallacious.
Reaching financial independence and retire early does not automatically mean that you have crossed the finish line and that automatically makes you happy. If you are in a bad relationship with your partner or spouse, do you really think everything will be rosy when you have more money? Most divorces are caused by money issues!
If there are marital problems, FIRE certainly won’t solve them. Over the last few years, we have seen some prominent figures in the FIRE community ending their marriages… Continue Reading…
The “investing world” can seem like a challenging mountain to climb if you are just getting started. The “investing world” itself isn’t a practical term for what should instead be thought of as an interdependent system of markets tied to the valuation of assets.
The tremendous scope of this investing world can push people away from sinking their teeth in and learning about how this exciting and lucrative system works. I could never hope to explain something as complicated and broad as the “investment world” in a single post, so instead, I will focus on a very specific investment market – that of commercial real estate investing – and how you can start your journey as an investor.
Most people cannot afford to be Full-Time Investors
Unless, of course, that is their full-time job. Without the help of crowdfunding real estate investment platforms, real estate private equity firms, or real estate investment trusts (REITs), most retail investors would lack the capital, resources, and time to manage real estate properties effectively.
However, retail investors can pool their capital in a number of ways to add commercial real estate into their portfolios and benefit from the growth of the commercial real estate market.
So, let’s have a look at some of the options:
Crowdfunding Commercial Real Estate Platforms
In the early 2010s, the rise of investing platforms such as Robinhood and Fundrise opened investment markets to millions of new and eager retail investors. With these new investment apps, the average person could now invest in markets previously only available to people who had private brokerage accounts or professional investors who could meet the often high investment minimums.
So, what are some of the investment platforms available to retail investors?
Fundrise
Founded in 2012, Fundrise was one of the first crowdfunded investment platforms. It is currently unavailable in Canada but is open to US residents (don’t worry, there are plenty of options for Canadians, too – see below). Users of Fundrise do not need to be accredited investors to open up an account, but Fundrise does offer accounts exclusive to accredited investors.
Fundrise has several investment tiers, and the least expensive tier starts at 10 dollars, meaning practically anyone can start investing. Investor capital is spread out among many REITs or real estate investment trusts. REITs are a type of mutual fund that takes the investment capital they receive and manages various high-value real estate properties.
Fundrise investors receive a percentage of the profits made by the REITs. Depending on the type of investment account, users saw an average ROI of between 7.31% and 16.11% over five years.
What are some comparable crowdfunding real estate platforms available in Canada?
NexusCrowd
NexusCrowd was founded in 2015 and was Canada’s first online investment platform that allowed accredited investors to team up with institutional investors to invest in real estate.
A benefit of NexusCrowd is that it heavily vets its investment opportunities. It only invests in projects that are at least 50% funded by other investors. If the investment project fails to meet its fundraising goal, NexusCrowd reimburses investors. Continue Reading…
By Mark Lindbloom and Travis Carr, Western Asset Management, a Franklin Templeton Specialist Investment Manager
(Sponsor Content)
The new investing year started with renewed uncertainty around the Omicron wave of the COVID-19 pandemic, inflation, central bank policy and the global recovery.
What are Canadians with fixed income investments to do? Our answer is to use diversified strategies in this market to find yield across a broad range of sources.
This is certainly a challenging time for an investment manager to arrive in Canada, but we at Western Asset Management welcome the challenge to help Canadians build fixed income portfolios with substantial yield advantages within their risk tolerance.
Western Asset is a Specialist Investment Manager of Franklin Templeton, with US$492.4 billion in assets under management as of December 31, 2021. Founded in 1971, we specialize in active fixed income investing — it’s our sole focus. All our attention and resources are concentrated on the bond market and active strategies for investors. We are a globally integrated firm with offices and senior investment professionals in North America, South America, Europe, Asia and Australia, which gives us direct knowledge of and expertise in markets around the world.
Investment Approach
Financial markets tend to move from euphoria to depression — sometimes quickly — and this affects the pricing of individual securities, sectors of the fixed income market, and interest rates. As a fundamental value investor, we strive to find opportunities in this mispricing by doing research and analysis of a security or sector. We want to buy when prices are below our assessment of fair value and when prices are likely to increase over time.
As we are an active manager, we work together globally to employ a top-down view of markets, economies and central banks and develop our macro and credit investment outlook. This will drive decisions on duration (a measure of the sensitivity of the price of a bond or other debt instrument to interest rate changes), yield curve, country, currency, sector, and subsector positioning. We also use our deep bottom-up research and analysis to make individual security selections, supported by rigorous risk management.
Four core beliefs describe our investment philosophy and drive how we make investment decisions:
Markets often misprice securities: Prices can deviate from fundamental fair value, but over time, they typically adjust to reflect inflation, credit quality fundamentals and liquidity conditions. Consistently investing in undervalued securities may deliver attractive investment returns.
We strive to identify mispricing: We try to identify and capitalize on markets and securities that are priced below their fundamental fair value. We do this through deep analysis to compare prices to the fundamental fair values estimated by our macroeconomic and credit research teams around the world.
Our portfolios emphasize our highest convictions: The greater the difference between our view of fair value and a market price, the bigger the potential value opportunity. The greater the degree of confidence in our view of fundamentals, the greater the emphasis of the strategies in our portfolios.
We seek diversified sources of investment returns: We aim to meet or exceed the performance objectives of our investors, within their risk tolerance. We seek to diversify investments and add value across interest rate duration, yield curve, sector allocation, security selection, countries and currencies. We deploy multiple diversified strategies that benefit in different environments so no one strategy dominates performance, which can dampen volatility. Continue Reading…
It is a common question from readers. How do I create reliable retirement income with ETFs? It is a simple answer if we consider the last 40 years. A simple mix of Canadian, U.S. and International stocks has provided the necessary growth component. Core bond funds have offered the required risk management. Stocks for offense. Bonds for defense. A typical balanced or balanced growth couch potato portfolio did the trick. Today, we’ll look at the 2021 returns for retirement ETF portfolios.
In early 2019 I posted the simple 7-ETF portfolio for retirees. Please have a read of that post for background on the ETFs, risk, and the retirement scenario.
Seek retirement and investment advice
You can self-direct your investments if you have the knowledge and you understand your risk tolerance level. But I’d suggest that you contact an experienced fee-for-service financial planner who has expertise in the retirement arena. With a fee-for-service advisor you will pay as you go. You can pay by the hour, or perhaps pay a flat fee for the evaluation and plan. You might then set off on your own to build the portfolio with all the right pieces in the right place.
Your retirement ETF will be one piece of the retirement funding plan. The following represents a model for consideration and evaluation.
The 7-ETF Portfolio for Canadian retirees
You may choose to go more aggressive or more conservative in your approach. And keep in mind the above is not advice, but ideas for consideration. That said, I do see it as a sensible conservative mix. You may decide to add more inflation protection by way of energy stocks or commodities.
And let’s cut to the retirement funding chase. Here’s the returns for the 7-ETF portfolio for retirees for 2021. Charts and tables are courtesy of portfoliovisualizer.com
Yup, that simple mix delivered a return of 13.8% in 2021. That is a very good return for a conservative mix that has a 45% bond allocation.
Here’s the returns of the individual assets for 2021.
With inflation fears dominating the back half of 2021 the inflation-sensitive assets of the Canadian High Dividend VDY and REITs performed very well. Keep in mind that two of the assets are in U.S. Dollars. You can substitute and use Canadian Dollar holdings. See the original 7-ETF post.
At Questrade you will hold dual currency (U.S. and Canadian dollar) accounts. You can buy ETFs for free.
Vanguard VRIF ETF for retirement
Recently I also looked at Vanguard’s VRIF Retirement ETF. That retirement funding ETF delivered a very nice income increase for 2022.
Here’s the VRIF distribution scorecard
Distributions per share.
2020 0.83
2021 0.87 (4.5% increase)
2022 0.94 (7.6% increase)
The portfolio income
Portfolio visualizer offers that the starting yield (2021) in the 7-ETF portfolio would be in the area of 2.8%. You will sell assets to create additional income.
Creating that retirement income
You may choose to ‘fund as you go’. While you will have portfolio income (from bonds and dividends) that is accumulating, you will likely have to sell assets to create the desired portfolio income. The basic idea of asset harvesting would be to keep the portfolio close to the original asset weighting. You do not have to be exact in this regard.
You may choose to sell assets monthly, quarterly, or you may even move the assets to a cash (ETF) at the beginning of the year to ensure that you have your retirement income for the year safely stored in cash. Of course, consider fees and taxes.
Retirement spend rate
Here’s an example of a 4.8% spend rate. That is to say, each year you would spend 4.8% of the initial total portfolio value. Each $100,000 would create $4,800 of income, before taxes, each year. A $1,000,000 portfolio would deliver $48,000 of annual income, before taxes.
The chart runs from January of 2015 to end of 2021. This is for demonstration purposes. I have not adjusted for inflation.
So the good news for this simple mix of ETFs is that you would have enjoyed a decent spend rate and the portfolio value would have increased by 17.4%. Of course it is favorable to have a buffer to weather the storms such as the great financial crisis that began in 2008, or the dot-com crash of the early 2000’s. An increasing portfolio value will offer that much-welcomed cushion.
The bonds and cash help in that regard as well – to protect against severe market corrections.
And keep in mind that we enter the retirement risk zone about 10 years previous to our retirement start date. We need to de-risk and prepare the portfolio well in advance.
And here is an interesting approach. You can remove sequence of returns risk (entirely) by going very conservative as you begin retirement. You would then increase your stock allocation (and growth potential) in retirement. That is called a retirement equity glidepath.
A portfolio spend rate example
Here’s an example with the 4.8% spend rate from the year 2000. That is a very unfortunate start date as 2000 is the first year of the dot-com crash. U.S. markets were down three years in a row. Canadian markets suffered as well.
We see that the Balanced Portfolio is still chugging along in 2021, while the all-equity global portfolio went to zero in 2017. We have to protect against an unfortunate start date.
Keep in mind that there are many periods when the most optimal option is an all-equity or equity-heavy portfolio that would provide greater retirement income. But with an aggressive portfolio you run the risk of retiring and running head first into a severe market correction. You don’t want to gamble and hope that you get lucky. Most retirement specialists would recommend a Balanced or Balanced Growth model. Continue Reading…
Posted By 
These articles are click baits. They are there to get the average Joes and Janes to click on them, read, and feel more miserable about their lives.
