All posts by Financial Independence Hub

Canadians worried about Inflation’s impact on their retirement savings, Questrade survey finds

It’s here, it’s not going away anytime soon, and every time you open a business news article, the word leaps out at you: “inflation.”

And, according to a recent Leger survey commissioned by Questrade of 1,547 Canadians, it’s not only very much top of mind for us, but it’s keeping many of us awake at night: not just about the short-term scenario, but also when we contemplate our retirement future.

According to the survey, four in five (84%) Canadians say they are worried about inflation, with almost two in five (39%) saying they are very worried.

For the short term, most of the Canadians surveyed are concerned about the everyday costs associated with rising inflation. More than eight in ten (86%) who are apprehensive about rising inflation say what worries them most is the increasing cost of food, while nearly as many (82%) are concerned about the increasing cost of everyday items. And not far from mind is the impact of inflation on savings and investments: 45% of those surveyed expressed concern about how inflation would affect their savings and investments, with 51% of those who are investing for their retirement saying this.

Investors are less worried about inflation than non investors

However, while many Canadians are experiencing inflation angst to varying degrees, those taking steps to invest for their retirement appear to be in a better overall frame of mind than those who aren’t. In the Questrade survey, of the 39% who say they are very worried about inflation-related costs, the worry is less with those investing for retirement (36%), compared to those not investing (49%). In particular, those holding an investment vehicle such as a mutual fund, RRSP, or TFSA appear to be consistently less worried about rising inflation than those not holding these products.

For those who are concerned about the longer-term impact of inflation on their investments and retirement, 39% are worried about the cost of living when they retire, followed closely by 38% who are concerned about lower purchasing power.

What’s interesting is that, despite their inflation anxieties, only one quarter of Canadians (23%) have made a change to their investments to safeguard themselves from possible inflationary effects. The remaining 77% either don’t know or haven’t made any change.

Of those who are making changes to their investments due to inflation, 24% are planning on contributing less while 22% are going to contribute more this year. The survey revealed that among those with an RRSP, 39% say they plan on contributing more to it this year, especially those aged 18–34 (57% vs. 36% for those aged 35+), with an average of about $5,409 extra. The reasons for contributing more to their RRSP vary, but for nearly half, it’s because retirement is a priority for them. Continue Reading…

Fidelity adds Bitcoin to Balanced ETF Portfolios

 

By Dale Roberts, Cutthecrapinvesting

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Bitcoin continues on the path to greater mainstream acceptance as a core portfolio asset. Last week, Fidelity added modest bitcoin exposure to their all-in-one asset allocation ETFs. The bitcoin weighting is at 1%, 2% or 3% depending on the portfolio risk level. These ETFs might be a way to dip your toe into some bitcoin exposure. You will see the effect over time. Historically it did not take much for bitcoin to have a very positive effect on balanced portfolios. And of course, bitcoin is highly volatile and rebalancing is key. Fidelity is adding bitcoin to balanced portfolios on the Sunday Reads.

Here’s a post that outlines the bitcoin exposure.

Chris Pepper, vice-president of corporate affairs at Fidelity, said that, subject to regulatory approval, the all-in-one balanced fund will have an allocation of approximately 2% to the Bitcoin fund, while the growth fund’s Bitcoin allocation will be around 3%. Fidelity is filing prospectus amendments in the next 10 days, he said.

And here is the link to the Fidelity ETFs.

Readers will know that I am investing in bitcoin at a 5% portfolio weighting.

Here’s a post that demonstrates the historical effect of bitcoin on a balanced portfolio.

Of course, this is not advice. Do your own research and decide if you want an allocation to bitcoin. I’m in for the long haul. That said, on Twitter I suggested …

My MoneySense weekly column

In Making Sense of the Markets for the past week we have the earnings season halftime report, inflation is up, up and away, and we’re also building a more recession-resistant portfolio.

On this site, this week, I had a simple solution if stock markets have you spooked.

 

Dale Roberts is the Chief Disruptor at cutthecrapinvesting.com. A former ad guy and investment advisor, Dale now helps Canadians say goodbye to paying some of the highest investment fees in the world. This blog originally appeared on Dale’s site on Feb. 13, 2022 and is republished on the Hub with his permission.

Balance: How to Invest and Spend for Happiness, Health, and Wealth

AndrewHallam.com

By Michael J. Wiener

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Andrew Hallam’s new personal finance book Balance is unlike any other financial book I’ve read.  He uses research to show us how to spend and invest in ways that create a happy and fulfilling life.

He uses vivid stories to illustrate his points that make the book a pleasure to read.  There’s a lot more to life satisfaction than just amassing personal wealth and owning fancy toys.

The book opens with the “four quadrants to a successful life”: “Having enough money,” “Maintaining strong relationships,” “Maximizing your physical and mental health,” and “Living with a sense of purpose.”

“I’ve met plenty of conventionally successful people (measured by money and career) who appeared less satisfied than, say, a family of Argentinians traveling through Mexico in a motorhome.”

I’ve had a similar experience seeing many executives with highly successful careers who are divorced and work so much that they do little at home other than eat, slump in front of a television, and sleep.

Stuff vs. Experiences

“What do you value more, your stuff or your life?”  This question has meaning for me having grown up with a parent who was a hoarder.  However, even non-hoarders often prioritize buying stuff over relationships and avoiding debt.  “If we want to live the best lives we can, we shouldn’t normalize credit card debts or auto loans.”  “Cars are the greatest personal wealth destroyer.”  Research shows that rich people often don’t drive fancy cars; when you see an expensive car, there’s a good chance its owner is in debt.

“Material things rarely boost life satisfaction.”  “Spend less money on stuff and more on memorable experiences.”  Experiences remain memorable for decades, but the stuff we buy is often quickly forgotten.   Some of the worst purchases are the ones we make solely to impress others.  “Before purchasing something, … Ask yourself, ‘Would I still buy this if nobody else could see it?’”

The things that affect happiness

Research shows that “we tend to be happier when we earn more than our neighbors.”  This leads to the advice to move to a neighbourhood where you have above-average income.  Unfortunately, that makes your new neighbours less happy.  It would be better if we could all be above such comparisons, but that’s easier said than done.

“Close relationships — far more than money — are the single greatest influence on a happy life.”  This resonates with me.  When I plan to travel somewhere warm for the winter months, my biggest concern is who I’m traveling with and what social activities we can get involved in.  For short trips, it’s good to go somewhere interesting, but for long trips, company trumps location.

“Research suggests we also narrow our social circles as we age.”  Focusing on those “we’ve formed deep connections with” works well for a time, but I think it’s a problem when these people start to pass away.  I wonder if this is part of the reason why we see so many desperately lonely older people living alone in a big house.

Hallam’s command of research on happiness and life satisfaction and his ability to use it to steer a good path in life are impressive.  The broad strokes of his lessons appear solid, but I wonder if some of the specific studies will fall to the widespread reproducibility crisis.  For example, there are “several large studies confirming that caring for others helps us live longer.”  Isn’t it necessarily the case that healthy people care for the weak?  It seems plausible that the causation is in the other direction: healthier people live longer and are more able to care for others.  Perhaps the studies’ authors found some way to prove that causation goes both ways to some degree.

Big purchases and budgeting

On the subject of stretching to buy a home, Hallam makes an excellent suggestion: “Ask yourself if you could still afford the mortgage if the interest rate doubled or you were out of work for six months.”  I’d change the “or” to an “and.” Too many people sign up for a decade or more of stress when they stretch to buy a house.  Renting is not synonymous with failure.  It’s possible to rent a nice place and get on with your life’s plans.

“To me, budgets are like diets.  Sometimes they work … but they usually don’t.”  Hallam advocates tracking your spending with a handy app, but he finds trying to set limits in advance on spending in various categories ineffective.  Just knowing how much you spend in each category will drive any needed change.

Investing

“Contrary to what many talking heads on YouTube, On TV, or in financial magazines may lead you to believe, you don’t need to follow the economy or know how to choose the best stocks to buy.”  “Banks, insurance companies, and investment firms … are filled with legally sanctioned crooks (and sometimes kind, naïve people).”

Hallam tells an interesting story to illustrate how savings accounts fail over the long- term because of inflation.  Many people pine for the days when savings accounts paid higher interest, but the story shows that the same inflation problem existed back in 1980.  One illuminating table shows how often U.S. savings accounts beat inflation over 5-year rolling periods from 1972-2020.  The answer: none!  The best place for long-term savings is stocks and bonds.

“Index funds are part of financial literacy.”  “If you learn to invest effectively, you could enjoy your chosen career instead of selling your soul for a higher-paying position you hate.”

Advisors and their Anti-Index Battle Plan

One of my favourite sections is “Financial Advisors and Their Anti-Index Battle Plan.”  It shreds the many practiced arguments the pushers of expensive mutual funds use to persuade people to avoid indexing.  The funny thing is that financial advisors seem to believe the things they are trained to say by their organizations.  In their own portfolios, “researchers found that they performed almost as badly as their clients.  When comparing their performances to an equal-risk-adjusted portfolio of index funds or ETFs, the advisors underperformed by about 3 per cent per year.”

The best plan is to choose some index funds or ETFs, and set some automatic contributions.  “The less you think about your investments, the more money you’ll likely make.”

Hallam lays out three choices for index investing: financial advisor, robo-advisor, or do-it-yourself (DIY).  Which you choose depends on your skills and interests.  He goes on to explain in detail how investors in different countries can succeed with index investing using each of the three approaches.

I enjoyed a story that began with “Do you believe in ghosts?” It explained why new investors should probably choose a slightly more conservative asset allocation than they think they can handle.  While I think it’s possible to learn to take market volatility in stride, if you haven’t had a chance to develop this equanimity, Hallam’s advice makes sense.

Social Responsibility

“Buy less of everything.  This should improve your happiness, your financial bottom line, and your children’s and grandchildren’s future.”  Buying less stuff isn’t just about saving the world; you’ll likely be happier as well. Continue Reading…

I fought the Fed

https://advisor.wellington-altus.ca/standupadvisors/

By John De Goey, CFP, CIM

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

The fed won.  I admit defeat. My point is that what just transpired was merely the most recent bout.  Circumstances were extenuating. I demand a rematch.  As soon as things begin to normalize, I absolutely believe I will win.  To provide a bit of context for how I feel now, here’s a groovy little two-minute ditty from the Bobby Fuller Four to help channel the vibe…

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OgtQj8O92eI

One of the oldest adages in finance is “Don’t fight the fed.”  In Canada, that translates into “Don’t fight the Bank of Canada.” That, in a nutshell is what I did.  I brought a knife to a gun fight and I lost.  Here’s why I lost that figh t… and why I absolutely expect to win the next one:

I took the position that markets (and especially the U.S. market) were expensive in early 2020.  Sure enough, markets tumbled a month or two later – not because of fundamentals or valuations, but because of a global pandemic that no one saw coming.  For five weeks starting in February, it looked very much like I had been vindicated.  I suppose I could have taken credit for being prescient, but in fact, I was merely at the right place and the right time.  By mid-March 2020, I was feeling pretty good about my call.

Then it happened.  Central banks mercifully came riding to the rescue.  It was the right thing to do when viewed through many lenses, including public health, economic stability, and small business viability.  They did so with such fury and determination that no one had ever seen anything like it before.  Interest rates were slashed to effectively zero.  Governments of all political stripes around the western world took advantage of their newfound monetary cover and started sending cheques to what seemed like anyone who could fog a mirror.  Before the end of March, markets hit a bottom and began an upward march.  A massive bull market was unleashed.

I don’t honestly think anyone could have foreseen what ensued.  There was certainly no precedent for markets dropping violently and then recovering equally quickly.  To have expected that outcome would be to have expected something that had no antecedent in all of history anywhere on earth.

For nearly 23 months now, interest rates have remained at effectively zero.  Pretty much everyone expects that to change in March.  If lowering rates is like giving Popeye can of spinach, raising them is like giving Superman a bag full of kryptonite.  Forgive many the pop culture references in this post, but I find it helps to make things accessible and vivid.  Basically, the artificial party that has gone on for nearly two years and has given almost everyone a false sense of confidence is going to end.  Soon.  Badly.  I’ll eat my hat if I’m wrong. Continue Reading…

RIP FIRE

By Bob Lai, Tawcan

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

When I created this blog over seven years ago, the sole purpose was to chronicle our journey for financial independence and joyful life. I wanted to share my knowledge with like-minded people. I could have just focused on writing articles about money and personal finance.

But I didn’t.

Right from the start, I put a strong emphasis on the joyful life aspect, because I realized that having all the money in the world does not automatically make one happy. Happiness needs to come from within and finding this internal happiness is a daily practice. I realized, that writing about money gets old quickly; I wanted to write about more than just the money.

Being the sole income earner of the family (for now), early retirement was never really a goal I had in mind. My focus has always been on financial independence. I want to reach financial independence so Mrs. T and I can have more options in life and have the freedom to work because we want to, rather than working because we have to.

Perhaps the reason that early retirement isn’t on my radar is because I enjoy what I do at work. Having been with the same company for 15 years, over a third of my life, I feel fortunate that I am still working at the same company where I started my engineering career.

To me, early retirement has always been just one of the nice things that we would have in life one day. It does not mean I must retire early in my 30s or 40s to make myself happy. Or that I must hit a specific FI number or hit a specific FI date.

Perhaps I am unique compared to most people, as I grew up in a family where multiple family members either retired in their early 40s or became financially independent but continued to work. Money has never been a taboo subject in my family, which has had a very positive impact on my life.

Another unique thing about our family is that we technically are financially independent, but we choose to prolong our financial independence journey. We wanted more flexibility, so we set the goal to create a dividend portfolio that had enough dividend income to cover our annual expenses. We set a goal of becoming “financially independent” by 2025 or earlier, but we aren’t too worried about whether we hit the goal by 2025 or not.

One of the distinctive benefits of having a dad who retired early and a stay-at-home mom is that my parents were always there when I needed them. Unlike many of my school friends, both my dad and mom could attend many of my school functions, like sports games, band concerts, and field trips.

Now I am a dad of two young kids, I am even more appreciative of what my parents could do for me and my brother when we were growing up. Always available and present at my kids’ important life and school events is something I want to achieve. I am practicing it right now as best as I can with a full-time job.

Growing up, we went on extended road trips because both my parents were free during school summer break. When I was in high school, every summer we would go on road trips that usually lasted over a month.

One year, we flew to Toronto and drove around Eastern Canada and the Eastern United States. Another year we drove from Vancouver to Alaska and back. Another time we drove from Vancouver to New Orleans and back. Then once to Prince Edward Island to drive around the Maritimes and Maine. Throughout high school, we also drove to Banff and Alberta multiple times.

My extensive travels growing up is the exact reason why I want travelling to be part of my family’s life in the future. I want Baby T1.0 and Baby T2.0 to learn invaluable lessons that can only be learned from travelling and seeing the world with their own eyes. There are so many things that you simply cannot learn from reading books or sitting in a classroom. You must see them and experience them yourself.

We have been very fortunate to have travelled quite a bit with both kids already. We went to Denmark multiple times, we visited Japan and Taiwan, and various parts of Canada and the US.

We plan to travel around the world for a year and live abroad for an extended period of time in the near future. We can live off dividends via geo-arbitrage already but building up our portfolio will provide even more possibilities.

FIRE the end

Although I am involved in the FIRE community, shamefully I didn’t know the acronym until a few years after I started this blog. For a while, I was confused whenever people used this acronym.

For a while, FIRE was the only acronym, then folks started coming up with different acronyms to categorize FIRE. There’s lean FIRE, fat FIRE, barista FIRE, and the list goes on.

FIRE has been getting more and more mainstream coverage lately. Almost every other day I would come across articles on so-on retired at age 38, or someone who retired at age 27 to travel around the world, or someone who retired after saving extremely aggressively for 5 years, or someone who retired by saving up one million dollars in less 5 years.

To me, FIRE is flawed in these articles.

They don’t provide the general public with what FIRE really means.

Almost all of these articles only focus on the early retirement aspect and provide a false image of relaxed and luxurious life in retirement – travelling around the world, leaving the 9-5 rat race, saying FU to the employers, and sipping piña colada on the beach. Early retirement is all fun and games. There are no drawbacks and no negatives to early retirement.

But it is a lie, because no matter where you go, you will always bring yourself. So if you are not in a happy place while pursuing FIRE, you sure won’t be happy once you reach it.

Many of these articles also fail to acknowledge that many of these early retirees are not really “retired” in the traditional sense. In fact, many of these early retirees are still earning money through side hustles or even part-time jobs.

These articles are click baits. They are there to get the average Joes and Janes to click on them, read, and feel more miserable about their lives.

Because most of them cannot fathom the idea of financial independence or early retirement. A small minority even gets so fed up with the idea of early retirement, they become trolls and leave very negative comments on these articles.

The fundamental problem with FIRE

The root of the problem is that too many people hate their jobs.

They despise what they do at work, they don’t like their bosses, they don’t like their co-workers. Through media, these people have been told that owning expensive things will make them happy. Purchasing things will solve all of their problems.

So, they mindlessly spend money on things they don’t need, only to find out that they need to somehow make more money to sustain their expensive-never-ending-purchasing-spree. They work simply because they need the money to pay for the new things that would supposedly make them happier in life.

Therefore, they continue to clock in and clock out every day despite hating their jobs. Due to how they feel about their jobs, they are constantly looking forward to the weekend or their next vacation, because that’s when they can be completely free from their jobs. And so, the Monday blues sets in whenever they are back to work from weekends or their vacations.

To them, FIRE is an escape. The happy ending. The escape route. The finish line.

They tell themselves that they will only be happy once they are retired. Before they get there, they will never be happy. They constantly remind themselves how miserable their life is and how wonderful their life will be once they are free from their 9-5 job. So, they constantly look forward to that retirement day so they can give their employers the middle finger and tell their coworkers to get lost.

This video is a perfect example of this endless vicious cycle of going nowhere and believing that buying things will lead to happiness.

Connecting life problems to not having money, financial independence, or retire early is simply incorrect and fallacious.

Reaching financial independence and retire early does not automatically mean that you have crossed the finish line and that automatically makes you happy. If you are in a bad relationship with your partner or spouse, do you really think everything will be rosy when you have more money? Most divorces are caused by money issues!

If there are marital problems, FIRE certainly won’t solve them. Over the last few years, we have seen some prominent figures in the FIRE community ending their marriages… Continue Reading…