All posts by Financial Independence Hub

Retirement Reflections during our 32nd year of Financial Independence

Billy and Akaisha Kaderli on Lake Atitlan, Guatemala

By Billy and Akaisha Kaderli, Retireearlylifestyle.com

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

In January, 2022 we began our 32nd year of Financial Independence. Few people can say they have 30 years of self-funded retirement by the age of 68 and have a higher net worth after spending and inflation than when they started. This is something of which we are quite proud.

As we have aged, one thing we have learned is that long term is getting shorter every day. Life is to be enjoyed now, not someday:  the older we get the more we appreciate that view. Life is continuously full of opportunities and we want to take them.

Opportunities abound

For example, a couple of years ago we were approached by a startup company which sponsored us for several months in Saigon, Vietnam in exchange for sharing our past experience in the restaurant and service industry and for exposure to our readers through our popular website and blog. That was a fabulous trip, and it got us back over to Asia again.

Then we were approached for a partnership, offering tours to Europe and South America. Can you imagine? There are always opportunities!

These are just two examples of why we say that life is full of chances to grow and learn something new if you want to take them. And neither of these recent options could have been presented to us if we were still working.

Portfolio getting stronger

Since the 2008 financial meltdown the markets certainly have performed well, thereby increasing our portfolio. And for a longer term view the S&P 500 closed at 312.49 when we retired in 1991, producing a better than 8% annual ride plus dividends. So, our advice is to get invested now and in a couple of decades looking back you will have wished you had invested more. Probably a lot more.

We suggest people track their spending now, then multiply that number by 25 to get a rough estimate of the portfolio amount they need to retire. Once you know that amount, in simple terms, assuming the same 8% growth in the future and you withdraw 4% for living expenses, this leaves you 4% to cover inflation and growth so you are all set.

The 4% rule is a guide not set in stone and ours bounces around depending on the markets and our expenses, but on average we have been able to maintain it easily below 4%. Our data over 30 years gives us security knowing that if one year it is higher we can make adjustments the following year to correct it. Then again, the markets could move higher helping us out as well, which is usually the case. Plus, we now are receiving Social Security, so payments and dividends cover our expenses. You can read our reasoning behind this decision here.

Practical considerations

Another note is that because we have a good percentage of assets in retirement accounts, when we turned 56 years old we used IRS rule 72T to withdrawal an annual amount close to our estimated Social Security payments, thus creating a bridge until we actually qualified. Now that we are receiving benefits we have turned off that spigot and are letting the IRAs grow once again.

The age of 72 is now coming into our sight and RMD, required minimum distributions, are the next issue to deal with, but we still have time and no one knows what the tax laws will be then.

With that statedwe still maintain a core holding of buy and hold (DVY, SPY, VTI) which sends us a steady stream of dividends in our taxable accounts as well as tracking the market. But in our IRAs, where we have no tax issues regarding trading, we have been more active using market seasonality with the idea of side-stepping larger declines. Some years have been better than others but we have been taking about half of the market risk than being all in all the time and that is comforting.

Where to retire, cost of living and healthcare

We are not alone anymore, with Boomers retiring at 10,000 a day, we see more retirees everywhere! But in terms of the foreign locations that we visit, the retirement community of Chapala, Mexico is growing at a fast pace. The Colonial town of Antigua, Guatemala has also attracted its share of Expats, and there is a solid and active retirement community in Chiang Mai, Thailand and Panama.

We would recommend Mexico, Panama and Guatemala for their proximity to the US and Canada as well as being on similar time zones as family and financial markets in the States. We would say that Thailand is attractive for its excellent medical care, warmer weather and uniqueness. All of these locations offer excellent lifestyle for cost of living. Continue Reading…

Retirement Options for Small Business Owners

By John Shrewsbury, RICP

Special to Financial Independence Hub

As a small business owner who is emotionally, physically, mentally, and financially engaged in a growing startup, you may feel consumed in the now. So many small business owners put everything back into their company without setting aside their profits in a tax-efficient way. If you run your business without an eye to the future, you will never reach the point where work becomes optional. Your business is your vehicle to financial independence, but it won’t happen without years of careful preparation.  

The independence and freedom of your entrepreneurial path comes with an array of responsibilities. As the business owner, the weight of preparing for your retirement and the retirement of your employees falls entirely on your shoulders. After all, if you don’t plan for your retirement, who will? Start building retirement savings into your company budget and making it a part of your compensation for running the company.

Business owners in the U.S. have retirement options for many situations

As a small business owner, you have a retirement option for almost every situation. When choosing a plan, your most significant consideration is the cost of contributing. If you can only afford to set aside a small amount of money each year, an individual retirement account (IRA) will serve you well. 

A Simplified Employee Pension plan (SEP) is the equivalent of a jumbo IRA. This plan works best for self-employed entrepreneurs with few or no employees. You can contribute up to 25% of your compensation to a SEP, with a maximum of $61,000 per year allowable in 2022. Keep in mind that if you have eligible employees, an SEP requires you to contribute an equal percentage of their salaries to the percentage you contribute from your own revenue. For example, a business owner with an employee making $100,000 per year would have to contribute 25% of the employee’s salary if they want to maximize their own contribution at 25%. If you have a number of employees, a SEP will most likely be your most expensive option.  Continue Reading…

A Retirement-ready portfolio of Canadian and U.S. stocks

 

By Dale Roberts, cutthecrapinvesting

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

In this post I’ll offer up charts on our U.S. stock portfolio and the Canadian stock portfolio. And I’ll put them together so that we can see how they work together. The total portfolio was designed to be retirement-ready. The fact that it beats the market benchmarks is a welcome surprise. At the core of the portfolio is wonderful Canadian dividend payers – the U.S. stocks fill in some portfolio holes. Let’s have a look at our U.S. and Canadian stock portfolio.

I recently received requests to share our U.S. stock portfolio holdings. While I often track that portfolio on Seeking Alpha (the land of stock pickers) that’s not a regular event on this blog. I have certainly shared the Canadian Wide Moat Portfolio on Cut The Crap Investing.

On Seeking Alpha, here is our U.S. stock portfolio. The post may be paywalled for those who have exceeded the 3 free reads on Seeking Alpha. Again, that’s why I will share some details here. But keep in mind, this is not advice. But you may be on the receiving end of some ‘good’ lessons on building the simple stock portfolio.

Skimming the dividend achievers index

In early 2015 I skimmed 15 of the largest-cap dividend achievers. What does skim mean? After extensive research into the portfolio “idea” I simply bought 15 of the largest cap dividend achievers. For more info on the index, have a look at the U.S. Dividend Apprecation Index ETF (VGG.TO) from Vanguard Canada. At the core is a meaningful dividend growth history working in concert with financial health screens. It leads to a high quality skew.

You will find that index ETF in the ETF portfolio for retirees post.

At Questrade you can buy ETFs for free.

I won’t get too deep into the methodology and how and why I constructed our portfolio in this post. I will offer more details in a post next week. Today, I will just get to the fun stuff – the holdings and the return charts and tables.

The U.S. Dividend Achievers

The 15 companies that I purchased in early 2015 are 3M (MMM), PepsiCo (PEP), CVS Health Corporation (CVS), Walmart (WMT), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Qualcomm (QCOM), United Technologies, Lowe’s (LOW), Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), Medtronic (MDT), Nike (NKE), Abbott Labs (ABT), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Texas Instruments (TXN) and Microsoft (MSFT). Continue Reading…

Nobody knows what will happen to an Individual Stock

Image via Pixels/Tima Miroshnichenko

By Michael J. Wiener

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

 

When I’m asked for investment advice and I say “nobody knows what will happen to an individual stock,” I almost always get nodding agreement, but these same people then act as if they know what will happen to their favourite stock.

In a recent case, I was asked for advice a year ago by an employee with stock options.  At the time I asked if the current value of the options was a lot of money to this person, and if so, I suggested selling some and diversifying.  He clearly didn’t want to sell, and he decided that the total amount at stake wasn’t really that much.  But what he was really doing was acting as though he had useful insight into the future of his employer’s stock.

He proceeded to ask others for advice, clearly looking for a different answer from mine.  By continuing to ask others what they thought about the future of his employer’s stock, he was again contradicting his claimed agreement with “nobody knows what will happen to an individual stock.”

How a seemingly token amount can become a painful loss

Fast-forward a year, and those same options are now worth about 15 times less.  Suddenly, that amount that wasn’t that big a deal has become a very painful loss.  He has now taken advantage of a choice his employer offers to receive fewer stock options in return for slightly higher pay.  It’s hard to be sure without seeing the numbers, but in arrangements I’ve seen with other employers, a better strategy is to take the options and just sell them at the first opportunity if the stock is far enough above the strike price.  Again, he’s acting as though he has useful insight into the future of his employer’s stock.

The lesson from this episode isn’t that people should listen to me.  I’m used to people asking me for advice and then having my unwelcome advice ignored.  What I find interesting is that even if I can get someone to say out loud “I don’t know what’s going to happen to any individual stock,” they can’t help but act as though either they know themselves, or they can find someone who does know.

Michael J. Wiener runs the web site Michael James on Moneywhere he looks for the right answers to personal finance and investing questions. He’s retired from work as a “math guy in high tech” and has been running his website since 2007.  He’s a former mutual fund investor, former stock picker, now index investor. This blog originally appeared on his site on Sept. 20, 2022 and is republished on the Hub with his permission. 

An Ode to Dividends

By Noah Solomon

Special to the Financial Independence Hub 

Companies that pay sustainable dividends have provided the best returns over time, including during periods of elevated inflation.

Ned Davis Research (NDR) studied the relative performance of S&P 500 stocks according to dividend category from 1973-2020. Their findings are summarized in the following table:

 

Returns by Dividend Category (1973-2020)

Over the past 48 years, dividend-paying stocks have outperformed their non-dividend paying counterparts by 4.7% on an annualized basis. When coupled with the power of compounding, this difference is nothing short of astronomical. A $1 million investment in dividend payers over the period would have been valued at $68,341,836 as of the end of 2020, which is $60,070,380 higher than the value of only $8,271,456 for the same amount invested in non-dividend paying stocks.

Within the dividend-paying complex, dividend growers and initiators have been the clear champions, with an annualized return of 10.4% vs. 9.2% for all dividend-paying stocks. A $1 million investment in dividend growers and initiators would be valued at $115,482,326, which is $47,140,940 more than the same amount invested in all dividend payers.

Not only have dividend-paying companies outperformed their non-dividend paying counterparts, but they have done so while exhibiting lower volatility.

NDR’s study also examined the relative performance of dividend payers vs. non-payers in various macroeconomic environments. Specifically, their research set out to ascertain how the outperformance of dividend vs. non-dividend paying stocks has been impacted by inflation, economic growth, and interest rates.

Inflation’s Impact on Returns by Dividend Category (1973-2020)

Dividend-paying stocks have on average outperformed their non-dividend paying counterparts regardless of whether inflation has been low, moderate, or high.

Unsurprisingly, dividend growers and initiators outperformed other dividend-paying companies during periods of moderate to high inflation.

The Economy’s Impact on Returns by Dividend Category (1973-2020)

During recessions, dividend-paying stocks have underperformed non-payers by 2.5% on an annualized basis. This shortfall pales in comparison to their 4.8% outperformance during economic expansions, especially considering that economies spend far more time expanding than contracting. Continue Reading…