Hub Blogs

Hub Blogs contains fresh contributions written by Financial Independence Hub staff or contributors that have not appeared elsewhere first, or have been modified or customized for the Hub by the original blogger. In contrast, Top Blogs shows links to the best external financial blogs around the world.

Investing in the Aftermath of the Trump victory

image005By Kara Lilly, Mawer Investment Management

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Donald Trump became the 45th president-elect of the United States last night. The businessman beat former secretary of state, Hillary Clinton, ending what has been a long and salacious presidential campaign. The GOP also kept control of both the Senate and the House, leaving the fractured party with room to implement its policy platform.

Markets were relatively calm today despite the knee-jerk selloff that was triggered by the impending victory last night. Equity indices have steadied and volatility indices have fallen as market anxiety has tempered. The greatest impacts so far appear in the bond and currency markets. Yields on longer term U.S. government bonds have risen amid wagers of higher spending. Meanwhile, the Canadian dollar and Mexico peso have sunk on concerns of unravelling economic integration with the U.S.. Within equities, pharmaceutical stocks rose as investors unwound bets that a Clinton win would usher in greater regulation.

No meltdown but still a significant investing event

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Investing for the Trumpocalypse; Review of Trump bio, Never Enough

trumpbookEditor’s Note. The Hub originally ran the book review that appears below last February but in light of last night’s shocking defeat of Hillary Clinton by Donald Trump, it seems timely to rerun it now, when the world is thinking of no other topic.

In the meantime,for the possible financial implications of the Trump victory: see my FP blog today on what investors should do in light of the feared “Trumpocalypse.

In brief, and as I noted in my Twitter feed last night, those overweight stocks could reasonably have expected a major plunge on the major US and stock indexes at this morning’s open. Markets elsewhere started to plunge as soon as the historic result became clear well before midnight. However, this did NOT occur once the American markets opened at 9:30 this morning: instead, US markets were mostly positive almost from the get-go and by the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 257 points, while the Canadian market was up more than 100 points.

Things could change over the coming days but as always diversification and asset allocation offers a degree of protection under such uncertain conditions. Those with cash, gold or precious metals, bonds, real estate and who are in some way partly hedged by being short certain equity ETFs should find themselves partly cushioned should markets go south. 

The unexpected election outcome was predicted in certain circles: documentary maker Michael Moore and currency expert James Rickards come to mind. But of course, very few would have heeded these warnings, so unbelievable did this outcome appear. While the expectation was that Clinton was good for markets and Trump was not, Wednesday’s market action confounded this notion. Still, if you’re an investor, definitely consult your financial advisor. 

I’d argue that if you didn’t take steps to hedge against this outcome before, the horse has already escaped the barn and it may be best to sit aside, try not to panic and wait for things to stabilize in a day or two. If you’re with a robo-adviser service, hopefully your asset allocation reflects your true investment personality and no major actions should be necessary. 

As advertised,  here’s the (very short) book review, as I originally wrote it:

Book Review: Never Enough — Donald Trump and the Pursuit of Success

The title of Michael D’antonio’s new biography of Donald Trump — Never Enough: Donald Trump and the Pursuit of Success — was enough to get me to order the book from the library and read it from cover to cover. After all, I was a big fan of John Bogle’s book with a similar but diametrically opposed title: Enough.

Perhaps my view of Donald Trump was long coloured by my late mother’s assessment that if I ever turned out like the Donald, she’d disown me, or words to that effect. After all, Trump epitomizes the main worldly goals of our era: his career was all about pursuing the holy triad of fame, money and power: in that order. And add a fourth, his admission that his main vice has been sex, even though he was largely an abstainer from other popular vices like drinking or drugs.

The original Wealthy Boomer

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Survey finds financial security beats milestones like buying a home and a car

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Laurie Campbell, Credit Canada Debt Solutions

In one of my books I’ve argued that young people should adopt the slogan “Freedom, Not Stuff” as a way to remind themselves that financial independence beats accumulating possessions via debt.

Now a survey being released by Credit Canada Debt Solutions and Capital One Canada has released a survey saying Canadians think financial security beats milestones like buying a home or a car. The two organizations are celebrating ten years of building financial literacy through Credit Education Week, which runs this week (Nov 7 to 11th).

The survey of 600 in four major regions of Canada asked consumers to share insights into their financial wins. While there’s a perception that Canadians hold the goal of home ownership above all else, the survey found that in reality, they rank milestones like buying a home (12 per cent) or car (8 per cent) as less important financial wins than feeling financially secure in their daily lives (25 per cent).

“There is so much to learn from the positive, everyday financial experiences of our friends and family,” says Brent Reynolds, Managing Vice President of Capital One Canada. “Milestone moments like a new home or car may garner more ‘likes’, but it’s the experiences not easily shared in 140 characters that are most impactful – like how we took charge of our finances or recovered from a financial stumble.”

80% reported a financial win this year

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LIRAs — the RRSP’s less flexible cousin

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Locked-in Retirement Accounts (LIRAs) differ from RRSPs in that you usually can’t “unlock” the funds in them before age 55.

I guess the annual RRSP season is just around the corner, based on some of my most recent writing assignments. Earlier in the week, for MoneySense.ca, I made the case for semi-retirees in their Sixties (like me!) for starting the process of withdrawing money from RRSPs early. Click on the headline Retirement Tax Tips. The Hub summary ran here under the headline The case for Early RRSP withdrawals.

Then at the end of the week, the Financial Post ran my column titled The RRSP’s less flexible cousin: Everything you need to know about the LIRA, which is also available in the Saturday print edition.

As TriDelta Financial wealth advisor Matthew Ardrey told me for the FP article, you’re going to see a lot more about LIRAs in the coming years. Whether you’re leaving a classic Defined Benefit pension plan or a more market-tied Defined Contribution pension plan, the job market these days is in such flux that a lot of people are going to have to start learning about what happens when you leave an employer pension plan earlier than you might once have envisaged.

LIRAs will multiply as Boomers reach Findependence

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FindependenceHub.com turns 2 today

depositphotos_114420670_s-2015It’s hard to believe, but the Financial Independence Hub (aka FindependenceHub.com) is now  two years old, a veritable toddler!

We launched the evening of Nov. 3, 2014, several months after I declared my Findependence Day on May 20, 2014.

This is post number 802, which means we have more than exceeded our original goal of providing fresh content every day (Sundays excepted). While I try to write one or two blogs a week myself, this wouldn’t have been possible without the many guest contributors who have lent their time, energy and names to the project.

Thanks also to the early supporters of the Hub: you know who they are from the banner ads that provide a little operating cash and a lot of moral support.

Thanks too to the many individuals who registered on the site and subscribed to our daily news email. There is no charge for this service (that’s why we need some banners to defray costs): all that’s needed is to supply a valid email address.

What’s next? 

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