Family Formation & Housing

For young couples starting families, buying their first home and/or other real estate. Covers mortgages, credit cards, interest rates, children’s education savings plans, joint accounts for couples and the like.

Retirement Confidence is Crashing: Here’s how Canadians can take back Control

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Image via Pixels: Marcus Aurelius

By Ben McCabe, Bloom Finance

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Over the past year, Canadian seniors have faced rising inflation, high interest rates, and ongoing economic uncertainty, all of which are reshaping what retirement looks and feels like in Canada.

Retirement was once viewed as a time of ease and stability; instead, for many, it now feels like a constant calculation of trade-offs and tough decisions. Recent data paints an unfortunate picture, as retirement confidence is declining fast. Only 36% of Canadians feel confident in their ability to stay financially stable in retirement and just 7% feel very confident, while 27% are not confident at all.

This isn’t about long-term planning gone wrong: it’s about the real-time impacts of economic conditions that have changed dramatically over the last few years. Inflation has outpaced income, and daily essentials like food, utilities, medical care and housing are up nearly 30% over the past three years. However,  there are ways to regain control.

A Shifting Retirement Reality

Many older Canadians are now exploring alternative ways to stretch their resources. For some, that has even meant returning to work:  nearly half (46%) of Canadian homeowners aged 55+ are considering part-time jobs to make ends meet with rising living costs. For others, it means delaying retirement altogether: 67% say they’re concerned their savings won’t sustain the quality of life they had envisioned.

Meanwhile, traditional supports like the Canada Pension Plan, Old Age Security, and personal savings no longer offer the security they once did, especially since many seniors are financially supporting family members. According to another survey, 1 in 3 Canadian grandparents are financially supporting their children or grandchildren, with 53% saying that support has increased over the last two years. With 65% acknowledging that assistance impacts their own retirement savings, it’s clear that seniors are carrying more financial weight than ever.

Taking back Control

In response, seniors are taking steps to regain their financial control. One critical first step is getting a clear understanding of the full financial picture: knowing what money is coming in and what is going out. By distinguishing between “wants” and “needs,” retirees can prioritize essentials like housing, food, healthcare, and look for opportunities to cut back where possible.

Exploring New Solutions

In a financial landscape that is ever-changing, more and more seniors are open to innovative solutions that may not have been part of their initial retirement plans. Three-quarters of Canadian seniors own the homes they live in, and most entered the housing market decades ago. With years of sustained low interest rates and population growth that has outstripped new housing supply, home prices have tripled nationwide in the last 20 years (and more than that in many markets). Continue Reading…

“Unretirement” — more than one in four near-retirees plan to work in Retirement to make ends meet

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My latest MoneySense Retired Money column has just been published. You can find it by clicking on the highlighted text here: Why “unretirement” may be the fate of so many Canadians.

Even before the Tariffs threats emerged under Trump 2.0, Canadian seniors were starting to find the economic uncertainty and rising living costs to be unmanageable. No surprise then that many seniors approaching Retirement Age are delaying their exit from the workforce.

According to a report by HealthCare of Ontario Pension Plan, 28% of unretired Canadians aged 55-64 say they expect to continue working in retirement to support themselves financially.  Here’s a screenshot from the HOOPP survey:

 

The Healthcare of Ontario Pension Plan (HOOPP) commissioned Abacus Data to conduct its sixth annual Canadian Retirement Survey in the spring of 2024.  The latest survey finds “persistent high interest rates and a rising cost of living continue to have a significant negative impact on Canadians’ ability to save and manage the cost of daily life, threatening their retirement preparedness.” While all Canadians are struggling, “women and those closest to retirement are especially hard hit with lower savings and higher levels of financial stress.”

While most Canadians are struggling to save amidst a high cost of living, HOOPP finds women are particularly affected. Half (49%) of all Canadian women have less than $5,000 in savings and almost a third (28%) have no savings (compared to 33% and 17% of men, respectively), similar to the 2023 results

 

The MoneySense column also looks at more recent Retirement surveys that also reveal anxiety about rising costs of living. One is from Bloom Finance Co. Ltd., conducted by founder Ben McCabe after Trump’s Tariffs started to kick in this year.

A Bloom study conducted with Angus Reid found 46% of Canadians thinking of working part-time in Retirement. That’s in line with a Fidelity survey in 2024 that found half of Canadians plan to delay Retirement. According to the Bloom Report [in March 2024], 67% of Canadian homeowners over 55 were concerned their savings would not sustain their quality of life through retirement. Only 29% considered downsizing or alternative living situations to access their home equity earlier than expected. 59% of the same cohort agreed accessing micro-amounts of their home’s equity would help maintain their desired living standard. Continue Reading…

Looking to treat your loved one this Valentine’s Day? Give the gift of a financial conversation

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Only half of Canadian couples discuss finances in detail, an IG Wealth Management study conducted by Pollard found. This week may be a good time to examine your joint lifestyle and retirement goals.

 

Image by Deposit Photos

By Blair Evans

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Valentine’s Day is here and while love may be in the air, there’s an often-overlooked gift that can strengthen your relationship: a meaningful conversation about finances.

Unsurprisingly, many Canadian couples shy away from discussing money with their partners. According to a recent study by IG Wealth Management, in partnership with Pollara Strategic Insights, only half of married or common law Canadians discuss finances with their partner in detail, with roughly a third talking about it only briefly.

Yet, when thinking about your future together, especially retirement, these conversations are crucial. You and your partner should be aligned on your retirement goals and lifestyle to ensure you plan appropriately and are fiscally prepared to enjoy those golden years.

Transparency on Finances can pay off in multiple ways

Image by Pexels

Transparency around your finances and having proactive conversations with your partner can also pay off come tax season.

Working together to file each of your tax returns can unlock opportunities to maximize deductions and credits.

You may be able to transfer unused credits, like tuition and disability amounts, to your partner to help alleviate their tax bill.

Couples can also combine their medical expenses and charitable donations together to minimize their overall tax obligation.

If your relationship is built for the long haul, it’s important to plan for life’s uncertainties.  Building an emergency fund, as well as having an updated will and power of attorney, along with proper life and disability insurance plans are essential to prepare for any emergencies or untimely circumstances. Continue Reading…

Estate Planning Checklist for Entrepreneurs

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Photo courtesy Pexels/Featured.com

By Robert Theofanis

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Estate planning is like going to the dentist. Everyone knows they should do it. But whether it’s getting your teeth drilled or contemplating your mortality, we’d all rather fill our time with just about anything else.

For entrepreneurs, this problem is even more acute. Your business depends on you, and high-priority items constantly appear at the top of your to-do list.

What I’ve found as an estate planning attorney is that my clients can get more done when we approach estate planning in a systematic way. This post contains an actionable plan for entrepreneurs like you to design and implement an estate plan.

I’ve organized the list by priority, with the most critical items first:

Obtain Term Life Insurance

If you have minor children, life insurance is the most important component of your estate plan. Most parents of young children simply haven’t had enough time to accumulate sufficient wealth to sustain a family without any additional income.

I like term insurance for this baseline protection because it’s cheaper than a permanent policy.

I also recommend that both parents have policies. Irrespective of who earns the income, both parents contribute to the household.

For the benefit amount, err on the side of more coverage and consider purchasing separate policies (e.g., two $1 million policies rather than one $2 million policy). This allows you to scale back the coverage amount without dropping coverage entirely.

If you don’t have children yet but are planning to, I still suggest getting coverage now. Life insurance premiums increase with age and pregnancy-related health issues may make it difficult to secure coverage later.

Create a Revocable Living Trust

A basic revocable living trust is the foundational legal document for an estate plan. Its purpose is to keep you and your property out of conservatorship and probate proceedings.

Included in this step is creating the other estate planning legal documents:

  • A pour-over will ensures that all property is distributed in accordance with the terms of your living trust, even if it’s inadvertently left out of the trust;
  • A durable power-of-attorney authorizes a financial agent to conduct transactions on your behalf if you’re incapacitated;
  • A medical directive authorizes a healthcare agent to make medical decision for you if you are unable to and specified your healthcare and end-of-life wishes (in some states, two separate documents are prepared for this purpose);
  • A guardian nomination appoints a guardian to raise your minor children if you are unable to.

Be sure to actually fund the trust! This is one of the biggest mistakes people make. This involves transferring title to real property, opening new financial accounts (bank, brokerage, etc.), and updating beneficiary designations.

Establish and Implement a Written Financial Plan

Estate planning is more than just creating a set of legal documents. It’s a multifaceted plan to achieve positive outcomes for you and your loved ones. So, while the first two items on this list are about limiting your downside, this item concerns your upside. Continue Reading…

To Hedge FX Risk, or not to Hedge

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To Hedge FX Risk, or Not to Hedge: Currency markets are notoriously difficult to call but can meaningfully impact portfolio returns. ETF Strategist Bipan Rai provides a detailed framework for investing outside the Canadian market.

Image Getty Images courtesy BMO ETFs

By Bipan Rai,  BMO Global Asset Management

(Sponsor Blog)

Admittedly, using a spin on a famous Shakespeare quote to start a note on currency hedging1 is verging on trite. Nevertheless, if Hamlet were running a portfolio of overseas assets, his primary concern would have to be the “slings and arrows” of currency markets — which are notoriously difficult to call but can meaningfully impact portfolio returns.

For Canadian investors, looking abroad provides several benefits. The most important is diversification, whether it’s through access to other regions that are less correlated with Canadian markets or to other products that aren’t available domestically.

However, investing abroad also means taking on foreign exchange risk given that international assets are priced in currencies other than the Canadian dollar (CAD).

For illustrative purposes, consider Chart 1, which shows the total return for the S&P 500 in U.S. dollars (USD) and in CAD terms for Q1 of this year. In USD terms, the index was up 10.6% over that time frame, but since that period also corresponded to weakness in the CAD relative to the USD (or USD/CAD moved higher) the index outperformed in CAD terms (up 13.3%). That means that Canadian investors would have fared much better leaving their USD exposure unhedged ex ante.

Chart 1 – S&P 500 Total Return for Q1 2024

Source: BMO Global Asset Management

Now let’s look at an alternative period in which the CAD strengthened against the USD. Chart 2 shows a comparison of the total return for the S&P 500 from April 2020 to April 2021 (in which USD/CAD was lower by over 11%). During that period, the total return index outperformed in USD terms by close to 20%. In this scenario, an investor who had hedged their FX risk would have been in the optimal position.

Chart 2 – S&P 500 Total Return Between April 2020 – April 2021

Source: BMO Global Asset Management

As these examples show, currency risk is a key consideration for any investor who wants to look beyond Canada for diversification. That risk can cut both ways, which amplifies the importance of hedging decisions. In our minds, the decision to hedge foreign exchange (FX )risk (including the degree to which foreign exposure is hedged) comes down to the following:

  1. An investor’s view of the underlying currency pair
  2. Whether the currency pair is positively or negatively correlated2 with the underlying asset

In this note, we’ll make a brief comment on the first point but focus largely on the second one. as we feel that should be given more weight for hedging decisions.

FX Markets are Tough to Call

Taking a view on the underlying currency pair is easy to do — but difficult to capitalize on.

Indeed, foreign exchange markets are notoriously fickle. One reason why is the relationship between predictive factors and currency pairs is rarely stationary. For instance, a lot of market participants tend to use front-end (2-year) yield spreads as a proxy for central bank divergence in the spot FX market. Chart 3 shows the current correlation between those spreads and the different CAD crosses, and as expected, the relationship isn’t consistent from a cross-sectional perspective.

Chart 3 – Correlation Between Two-Year Spreads and the CAD Crosses

* * Correlation window is 2 years. The CAD is used as a base currency for this analysis. The spread is tabulated by subtracting the foreign 2-year yield from the CAD 2-year yield. Source: Bloomberg, BMO Global Asset Management.

We can also see this by looking closer at the relationship between a factor and a currency pair over time. Chart 4 shows the rolling 100-day correlation between USD/CAD and the price of oil (proxied by the prompt WTI contract3) going back ten years. Note how frequently the strength of the correlation (as well as the sign) changes over time. Continue Reading…