Family Formation & Housing

For young couples starting families, buying their first home and/or other real estate. Covers mortgages, credit cards, interest rates, children’s education savings plans, joint accounts for couples and the like.

Americans extremely worried about job security, finances and Retirement due to Coronavirus

By Mike Brown

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Due to COVID-19, 57% of adult Americans are worried about their job security, while 63% are concerned about both their retirement savings and ability to make monthly student loan payments. Plus, many other insights from LendEDU’s newest survey.

At the time of this writing, Johns Hopkins’ Coronavirus Resource Center has reported 353,692 cases of Coronavirus around the world and 15,430 deaths. In the United States, there have been 35,345, while the total number of deaths is 473 by most estimates.

Then there’s the economic fallout in the U.S. as the stock market has gone into a tailspin, and a recession, or worse, seems likely. With the nation necessarily self-quarantining itself, countless small businesses are shuddering their doors and laying people off.

In the wake of this global pandemic, LendEDU has surveyed 1,000 adult Americans to better gauge the micro-level economic impact that COVID-19 will have on our country.

We found that a substantial proportion of people are worried about their job security, retirement savings, mortgage or student loan payments, and taking on too much credit card debt.

Click here to jump to the full survey results

If you would like to see a specific breakdown of the data other than those provided (ex. state-by-state, gender, age), please email me at brown@lendedu.com.

Observations & Analysis: How is Coronavirus Impacting the Finances & Employment of Americans?

All data is based on a survey of 1,000 adult Americans commissioned by LendEDU and conducted by research firm Pollfish. The survey was conducted on March 18, 2020. For some questions, the answer percentages may not add up to 100% exactly due to rounding.

Job Security

We first asked respondents how Coronavirus has already impacted their job since the virus’ impacts started being felt by the U.S.

35% of adult Americans have been fortunate enough to see no changes to their job due to COVID-19, while a combined 24% have not lost their job, but have seen their hours either reduced or eliminated. Unfortunately, 6% of respondents have lost their job in the Coronavirus fallout.

But, just because the majority of respondents have kept their job in some manner does not mean they aren’t still concerned about losing it. This rings especially true amongst those who have seen hour reductions.

Amongst those that maintained their job in some manner, the majority, 57%, were still concerned about job security moving forward as the impact of Coronavirus widens.

67% of those who have seen reduced hours are worried about keeping their job, while 73% of respondents who had their hours completely cut but kept their job are concerned over job security.

Compare these numbers to the 48% of those who have seen no change in their job, but are still worried about their losing it.

No matter the position employees find themselves in as COVID-19 takes hold, it is clear that stressing over job security will almost be impossible to avoid during this time. Maintaining morale will be a challenge for employees, employers, and the economy as a whole.

General Finances

Before Coronavirus and its impacts hit home here in the U.S., how many Americans were living paycheck to paycheck?

No matter how the data is broken down, the majority of respondents were living paycheck to paycheck before COVID-19 became a large-scale issue in the U.S. This has been reported in other studies as well.

So, while the Coronavirus outbreak in the U.S. may not drastically change the financial lives of those who have seen no changes to their jobs, it could cause severe trouble for those who have seen reduced hours or lost their jobs completely.

For example, 70% of those who have seen their hours partially cut due to COVID-19 were already living paycheck to paycheck, while 82% who have lost their jobs because of the pandemic were doing the same.

Over the next few weeks or even months, these folks will be stretched thin like never before when it comes to their finances. This is why a plan to send Americans checks due to COVID-19 is being discussed in Washington D.C.

With financial woes forthcoming or already here for many Americans, some will be drawing from an emergency fund or savings account to cover expenses.

And when it came to the expenses that Coronavirus has brought on, whether it be toilet paper or T-bone steaks, we found that our respondents have spent an average of $335.65 on COVID-19-related expenses since the pandemic began to seriously impact the U.S.

When expenses run high, many consumers need to access debt, typically via credit card, to finance their purchases. We asked poll participants with at least one credit card if they will be taking on more credit card debt than they would like due to Coronavirus.

Retirement Savings

Coronavirus has already had a crippling impact on the stock market, and it’s likely to get worse. For older Americans especially, there’s a pervasive fear that retirement nest eggs might get completely decimated as a result.

38% of our respondents indicated they are currently saving for retirement through something like a 401(k), Roth IRA, or high-yield savings account. We asked these folks about their concerns over their retirement savings due to COVID-19.

Within each age breakdown, the majority of Americans indicated that they are worried about their retirement savings due to COVID-19 and the ramifications it will have on the market.

Not surprisingly, this is especially true for older Americans ages 55 and up who are in the retirement red zone. 67% of this cohort are concerned about their retirement nest eggs.

Monthly Finance Payments (Mortgages, Student Loans, & Credit Cards)

With financial worries widespread and budgets tightening, we wanted to ask a few questions related to common financial obligations that Americans have, like payments for student loans, credit cards, or a mortgage.

The following graphics are based on questions only asked to those respondents that stated they had a mortgage (35%), outstanding student loan debt (23%), and/or at least one open credit card account (63%).

Many respondents are quite concerned about meeting their monthly financial obligations, whether they be related to a mortgage, student loans, credit cards, or all three.

Most alarming was how those adult Americans that lost their jobs due to Coronavirus answered these few questions. 96% of this group was worried about meeting mortgage payments, 88% about student loan payments, and 93% about credit card payments.

Widespread delinquency or default would have severe implications on the economy at large. In an attempt to combat this, we have seen the Trump Administration waive further accruing interest on student loans and suspend all evictions and foreclosures until April for FHA-insured mortgages.

Investments

While we did touch on investments as they pertained to retirement savings earlier, we wanted to dedicate a section to more active, personal investments that consumers make through personal brokerage accounts.

To describe the stock market in the last couple of weeks as turbulent would be an understatement. There have been sharp rises and drops (mostly the latter), and trading has actually been halted a few times in recent weeks on both the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq. The 15-minute halts happen when an initial steep drop in the market triggers “circuit breakers” that shut down trading.

27% of our poll participants indicated that they were actively invested in the market through a personal brokerage account when COVID-19 started impacting the U.S.

We asked this group a couple of questions in regards to playing the market.

As expected, the vast majority of Americans who were making personal investments in the market when Coronavirus escalated got clobbered. 79% of respondents indicated they lost money, while just 8% made a profit.

And, how will these respondents invest moving forward as the pandemic continues to disrupt daily life?

As it turns out, the majority of investors plan on riding out the storm and holding steady on their stock plays. Meanwhile, 21% plan on buying more during this crisis, while 13% will be looking to dump shares.

Full Survey Results

Continue Reading…

How much would the Home Buyers’ Plan help in your market?

 

By Penelope Graham, Zoocasa

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

For those trying to scrape together a down payment in Canada’s hottest housing markets, the Home Buyer’s Plan is known as an effective tool. Offered by the federal government, it allows first-time buyers to pull funds from the RRSPs completely tax-free to put toward their home down payment. If you’re lucky enough to have RRSP matching via your employer, or have been saving for retirement for some time, it can seem an especially attractive method to amass down payment funds.

However, there are a few restrictions buyers should be aware of:

  • Buyers must have a signed Agreement of Purchase and Sale to buy or build a property before applying to access the funds.
  • They can pull up to a limit of $35,000 from an individual’s RRSP, and up to a combined $70,000 from RRSPs held by two individuals buying together (assuming the funds are saved in the first place).
  • The funds must have been sheltered within the RRSP for a minimum of 90 days before they can be accessed.
  • Buyers are required to “pay themselves back”, contributing one fifteenth of the withdrawn amount on an annual basis over a 15-year timeline, or be taxed on that portion at their full rate.
  • Buyers must qualify as “first timers,” which the Government of Canada defines as not having owned a home, or occupied one that your spouse has owned, in the four consecutive years before this home purchase is made. (However, there are exceptions in the case of a marriage or common-law relationship breakdown where former partners can restore their first-time buyer status.)
  • Buyers must intend to dwell in the home as their permanent residence within one year of its purchase or completion.

How long would it take to actually save for the HBP?

Assuming a buyer satisfies all the criteria above, they also need to actually save the funds in the RRSP in order to use them for their home purchase: and that’s easier said than done in some urban centres than others.

To see how long it would take to actually set aside the maximum $35,000 in an RRSP, Zoocasa sourced individual income thresholds in 14 cities across the nation. The data was based on 2017 tax filings as reported by Statistics Canada, and assumed the income was earned income, eligible to create RRSP contribution room, and that individuals contributed the maximum to their RRSP annually (18% of earned income, to a maximum of $26,500). The study also compared how long it would take for those in the top 50%, 25%, and 10% income groups to save $35,000.
According to the findings, for a median-income household contributing the max amount to an RRSP, it would take between 4.3 – six years to pull together $35,000.

(See Infographic at the top of this blog).

How far would $35,000 go in your Housing market?

As well, the extent that the maximum HBP funds would actually aid in a home purchase varies across Canada; it’s no surprise that in the priciest markets, such as homes for sale in Toronto or Vancouver, that it’s hardly a drop in the bucket – just 4.3% and 3.5% of a benchmark home price, respectively. Continue Reading…

7 promising Property trends to watch In 2020

By Vicky Scott

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

The real estate industry has always been promising. Though the year 2019 saw a downfall in real estate, the industry still seems to prosper and shine in 2020. Some of the prominent property trends to look forward to this year are discussed below:

Technological transformation

Technology has always played a major role in bringing transformational change in any industry. Real estate is no different. Technology has brought a change in almost all parts of the real estate sector.

Starting from construction to the purchase process and continue until after-sale service, technology has helped in improving the construction quality and fastening the construction process. Similarly, technology has changed the entire buying process. The concept of augmented and virtual reality has enabled customers to view the property without even visiting the site physically. Numerous forex software tools are another gift of technology to the real estate industry.

Conventional loan requirements less stringent

Getting a home loan has become much easier compared to what it was a few decades ago. Less strict rules and easy loan approval process has made property buying easier. Financial institutions are boosting property purchases by lowering credit scores, as well as the down payment. Potential buyers who were not eligible for taking a loan in the past can now get the loan without facing many difficulties.

Mortgage rates expected to remain lower

Mortgage rates play a critical role in the growth of the real estate industry. Lower the mortgage rates and more people would think about buying a property. Stability in the mortgage rate is another factor that stimulates the future of the real estate industry. The rates were quite lower in the year 2019, and many economists believe that this trend will continue in 2020 also. This is good news for interested buyers.

An increase in mortgage rates acts as a demotivating factor for potential buyers. Lower the mortgage rate and enthusiasm rises among property buyers. People prefer buying property when mortgage rates are lower,  as instalment payments are that much lower. Continue Reading…

Here’s what Buyers and Sellers can expect in the 2020 Housing Market

By Penelope Graham, Zoocasa

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

The long-awaited new decade is now upon us: but what does 2020 hold for Canada’s real estate market? According to a number of forecasts the year is shaping up to favour sellers, with a return to the type of conditions that prop up home prices.

However, with deeply discounted mortgage rates expected to linger throughout the year, not to mention a potential softening of the controversial stress test, home buyers could see a surge in their purchasing power in the near term. Let’s take a look at what could potentially be in the cards for the housing market as 2020 unfolds.

Slower sales in the rear view

While home sales took a tumble over the course of 2017 – 2018, last year saw sustained improvements in buyer activity in most of Canada’s urban centres. Much of this was due to buyers absorbing the shock of the federal mortgage stress test, which was introduced in January 2018, as well as a number of provincial taxes in Ontario and BC designed to reel in the demand end of the market.

While the Canadian Real Estate Association (CREA) notes that growth is uneven across the nation – the Prairie and Maritime markets continue to struggle with sales volume – transactions surged in Ontario and British Columbia in the second half of the year, which helped drive overall national growth.

This year, CREA expects the upward trend to continue, calling for 530,000 sales in 2020, up 8.9%. The national average home price will also tick higher by 2.3$ to $531,000.

The Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation (CMHC), Canada’s largest provider of default mortgage insurance, and which acts as an overseer of the mortgage industry, has also called for home sales and prices to “fully recover” this year from their 2018 slump.

“Overall, economic and demographic conditions will remain supportive of housing activity over the forecast horizon, halting the declines in starts, sales, and average home prices that followed the highs of 2016 – 2017,” it states in its most recent Housing Market Outlook.

It forecasts home transactions to total between 480,600 – 497,700 sales in 2020, up 6%, with the average price between $506,200 – $531,000, up 5.6 – 6.7% from 2019.

While sales are on the rise, however, the same can’t be said for new MLS listings in Canada – and the resulting supply-and-demand gap could re-stoke unsustainable price growth. According to CREA, the national housing market was in sellers’ market territory in November with a sales-to-new-listings ratio (SNLR) of 66.3%. New supply declined 2.7% year over year, while the total months of inventory – the length of time it would take to completely sell off all available homes for sale – currently sits at 4.7 months, its lowest level since 2007.

This will be most acute in the hottest markets such as the Greater Toronto Area, which boasted a sizzling SNLR of 81% at the end of the year, indicating just under 20% of newly listed homes remained on the market.

That’s a growing concern for Toronto real estate prices; according to the Toronto Real Estate Board, as their Chief Market Analyst Jason Mercer stated, “Strong population growth in the GTA coupled with declining negotiated mortgage rates resulted in sales accounting for a greater share of listings in November and throughout the second half of 2019. Increased competition between buyers has resulted in an acceleration in price growth. Expect the rate of price growth to increase further if we see no relief on the listings supply front.”

Ontario and BC to Lead the Pack

As was the trend throughout 2019, the Ontario and BC housing markets will see the strongest growth, says CMHC; BC, in particular, is anticipated to experience a dramatic 20 – 22.6% surge as the region recovers from recently implemented foreign buyer and non-resident speculation taxes, totaling between 74,600 – 84,400 transactions. Home prices will rise between 2.8  – 3.6% to an average of $675,000 – $749,500. Continue Reading…

The Advantages and Disadvantages of listing your home in the Winter

Photo by unsplash

By Sean Cooper

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

If you’re thinking about selling your home, you probably believe the springtime is the best time to list it. While that may be true, wintertime can also be a good time to sell. Not only are homebuyers usually more serious then, you’re more likely to have more of your realtor’s attention. Let’s look at the advantages and disadvantages of listing your home in the wintertime.

Advantages

More serious Homebuyers

Although more people may visit your place in the spring, not everyone will be serious. Some will be nosey neighbours who want to see inside your place. Others will be people who are just considering buying a home and haven’t made up their mind yet. This means you can spend a lot of time showing off your home with few offers to show for it.

In the wintertime you better believe homebuyers are more serious. Chances are a homebuyer isn’t venturing out into the cold weather unless they really want to buy a home. Likewise, you’re probably listing your home because you’re serious about selling it. Since both parties are serious, you’re more likely to sell your home.

Fewer Sellers to compete against

When you’re listing your home in the springtime, you better make sure it’s looking its best. If your neighbourhood is popular, there could be quite a few homes for sale that you’ll be competing against for the attention of buyers.

Not so in the wintertime. Since there tends to be fewer people selling their homes, if you’re lucky your home might be the only home for sale in the neighbourhood. This doesn’t mean you shouldn’t stage your home and make sure it’s looking its best, but it does mean if someone really wants to buy a home in your neighbourhood, your home will be the only option, which could lead to a higher selling price for you. Continue Reading…