Building Wealth

For the first 30 or so years of working, saving and investing, you’ll be first in the mode of getting out of the hole (paying down debt), and then building your net worth (that’s wealth accumulation.). But don’t forget, wealth accumulation isn’t the ultimate goal. Decumulation is! (a separate category here at the Hub).

Think you’re the only one without a retirement plan? Don’t press the panic button

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By Jordan Damiani, CFP, TEP, RRC 

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Like many Canadians with retirement on the short-to-midterm horizon, you may have spent more than one sleepness night worrying that you’re not prepared.

In fact, at least half of Canadians over the age of 50 think they’re not on track with their retirement planning and about the same number of non-retirees don’t have a financial plan.

Experience suggests that people may be afraid that they won’t have enough money to retire, but in reality, they may not even know the true answer. I take the view that not having a formal plan in place doesn’t necessarily equate to not being on track to retire. There are many steps you can take in the critical count-down years to retirement that will reframe your planning and investment approach and alleviate anxiety and stress.

Take inventory of present Financial Situation

I recommend assessing your last six months of credit, debit and cash spending: grouping your expenses into categories. To project for the future it’s important to understand where your money is being spent today. This activity will help to identify where better savings could be achieved. Completing a net-worth statement is also important to determine what you own vs what you owe.

Understanding your pension entitlements is also a key stress reliever. Pension plans will typically offer retirement projections. At 65, CPP has a maximum benefit of $1175.83 monthly and $613.53 for Old Age Security. It’s important to call Service Canada to get an accurate CPP projection to find out what you are eligible to receive. Similarly, OAS is tied to Canadian residency, with 40 years being a requirement for the maximum eligible payout.

Goal Setting and Strategic Planning

After taking inventory, the next step would be determining what income you actually need in order to retire. Completing a pre-and post-retirement budget is an exercise that will help determine the after-tax figure to target. Likely the targeted income would be tiered with a higher spend being projected for the first 10-15 years of retirement ($5000-$10,000 a year for travel) and lower lifestyle costs thereafter, with some planning as a buffer against long-term care costs. Continue Reading…

Articles 2 & 3 in my MoneySense mutual fund series: Best Mutual Fund Companies you never heard of; Fixed-Income Funds

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MoneySense.ca: Photo created by freepik – www.freepik.com

MoneySense magazine has now published the entire package of three mutual fund articles they commissioned me to write. You can find the first article by clicking on the highlighted headline: DSC mutual funds and the future of investment advice. It ran on January 16th. The second ran last weekend, around Jan. 25th, while I was away in Cuba for a week.

You can find the second article here: The best Mutual Funds you’ve never heard of.

The first article looked specifically at the gradual decline of the once-ubiquitous DSC sales structure, or Deferred Sales Charge. It recaps recent regularatory developments surrounding DSC, and addresses the related issue of embedded compensation for financial advisors, or so-called Trailer Commissions. These are gradually being eliminated in various Western nations (notably the UK and Australia/NZ) and they are also being phased out in all Canadian provinces, with the conspicuous exception of Ontario.

The lesser-known “Direct-to-Consumer” mutual fund families

The second article looks at two particular “camps” of mutual fund providers: the big-name Embedded Compensation firms you may have heard from (because they can afford to advertise) and a lesser known camp of Direct-to-Consumer managers whose names may be less familiar because they don’t generally have embedded compensation and whose fees are lower and typically mean they don’t have as much money to throw around on big marketing and advertising budgets. The article focusses on four firms in particular you may not have heard of, except through family referrals and word of mouth: Beutel Goodman, Leith Wheeler, Mawer, Steadyhand.

Space precludes mentioning that in the good old days of mutual fund mania (the 90s) there were several other direct-to-consumer firms that either were acquired or are now a shadow of their former selves: the list includes Altamira, Saxon, Sceptre and a few others. We also look at two deep value firms that are still around but get so much publicity about their performance that they can hardly be dubbed as “firms you’ve never heard of.” They are Irwin Michael’s ABC Funds and Francis Chou’s Chou & Associates.

Actively managed mutual funds may also work for Fixed Income space

MoneySense.ca: Photo created by pressfoto – www.freepik.com

The third article, which ran January 30th, looks at the related topic of whether mutual funds can make sense in the fixed-income space, given today’s minuscule interest rates and the relatively higher impact investment management costs can have on active management of fixed-income investments. You can find it by clicking on the highlighted headline: Can Active Management pay for itself in Fixed Income Funds?

Arguably, GICs, direct investments in government and corporate bonds (or strip bonds) is more cost-effective, and if you prefer the “basket” approach that mutual funds provide, fixed-income ETFs. But the article links to some surprising research that even in fixed income, actively managed mutual funds may be able to recoup their fees and “add value” to investment returns.

Those vice presidents’ allegiance is to the bank, not you! The case for DIY investing

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By Ian Duncan MacDonald

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

The most productive new business salesman I ever employed is now a “Vice President” with the investment division of one of Canada’s largest banks. His special skill was in belittling prospects who did not see the benefit of his sales pitch.

Frequently, I got told by his new sales that they would buy but they never wanted to see him again. Not understanding the role of investment advisors employed by a bank, I was surprised when I learned that this strong “closer” could have risen to the “executive” ranks.

With a better understanding of bank investment advisors, I now understand why he has been successful. I learned that the title of Vice President is often given to financial advisors who are great closers. It impresses the naïve. The illusion of trust and knowledge is further enhanced with several impressive designations on their business cards.

Much to my surprise, I learned that investment advisors are hired off the street the same as any sales representative is hired. If they can show they are successful closers, they are well along the way to being hired. With little internal training, they are then set loose on a public full of meek sheep who know even less about investing than this newly hired investment “expert.”

Banks already know if you’re a prime prospect

It is almost impossible to function in our society without being a bank customer. The bank does not have to guess at your net worth and whether you are a prime prospect for their full-service investment advisors. They know.

You will be contacted by phone or during a visit to your bank branch with a seductive pitch that goes like this, “Surely you would appreciate some free advice on how best to manage that great sum of money you have on deposit. It is earning next to nothing. Don’t you want to be rich? Let us make your money work for you. Our fees are so small you won’t even notice them. When can we set up an appointment for you with our vice president? Here is his very impressive business card.” Continue Reading…

Artificial Intelligence: A new twist on an old idea

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By Noah Solomon

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Although the use of artificial intelligence (AI) has become increasingly popular over the past several years, the idea that algorithms make better decisions than humans has been around for over 60 years.

In 1954, psychologist Paul Meehl published Clinical vs. Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Review of the Evidence. Following extensive research, Meehl claimed that mechanical, data-driven algorithms were better at predicting human behavior than trained clinical psychologis

Meehl’s controversial findings, which challenged the assumption of human rationality in modern economic theory, have since been corroborated by several scholars including Daniel Kahneman, who was awarded the 2002 Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Sciences for his work on the psychology of judgment and decision-making. In his most recent book, Thinking Fast and Slow, Kahneman illustrates that in situations involving uncertainty and unpredictability, simple algorithms match or outplay humans and their “complex” decision making criteria essentially every time.

Terrifying but True 

In The Undoing Project, author Michael Lewis describes a study conducted by the Oregon Research Institute on radiologists’ x-ray diagnoses.

The experiment started with the creation of a simple algorithm for determining the likelihood of an ulcer being malignant. The algorithm was based on an equal weighting of seven criteria that the doctors in the study had identified as being important for diagnostic purposes. The researchers then took a sample of 96 x-rays of different stomach ulcers and asked the doctors to judge the probability of cancer in each x-ray on a scale ranging from “definitely malignant” to “definitely benign.” Without telling the doctors, researchers showed them each ulcer twice.

The doctors’ diagnoses were all over the map. The experts didn’t agree with each other. More surprisingly, when presented with duplicates of the same ulcer, the doctors contradicted themselves and rendered more than one diagnosis. On the other hand, the model-driven diagnoses were far more accurate. The simple algorithm had not only outperformed the group of doctors as a whole, but actually managed to outperform even the most accurate doctor. If patients wanted to know whether they had cancer, they were better off using the algorithm than they were asking a radiologist to study an x-ray.

It’s about what A.I. doesn’t have

AI is often lauded for its ability to do what humans cannot. Algorithms can rapidly perform complex analysis on massive quantities of data to find patterns and identify predictive signals. Notwithstanding this clear advantage, it is the specifically “human” characteristics that AI doesn’t have that perhaps constitute its largest advantage over human decision-making. Continue Reading…

Put that $6,000 of TFSA contribution for 2020 to work as soon as possible

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The federal government kept the annual TFSA contribution limit at $6,000 for 2020 – the same annual TFSA limit that we had in 2019. It’s good news for Canadian savers and investors, who as of January 1, 2020, have a cumulative lifetime TFSA contribution limit of $69,500.

The Tax Free Savings Account (TFSA) was introduced in 2009 by the federal conservative government. The TFSA limit started at $5,000 that year: an amount that “will be indexed to inflation and rounded to the nearest $500.”

TFSA Contribution Limit Since 2009

The table below shows the year-by-year historical TFSA contribution limits since 2009.

Year TFSA Contribution Limit
2020 $6,000
2019 $6,000
2018 $5,500
2017 $5,500
2016 $5,500
2015 $10,000
2014 $5,500
2013 $5,500
2012 $5,000
2011 $5,000
2010 $5,000
2009 $5,000
Total $69,500

Note that the maximum lifetime TFSA limit of $69,500 applies only to those who were 18 or older on January 1, 2009. If you were born after 1991 then your lifetime TFSA contribution limit begins the year you turned 18.

You can find your TFSA contribution room information online at CRA My Account, or by calling Tax Information Phone Service (TIPS) at 1-800-267-6999.

TFSA Overview

The Tax Free Savings Account is a flexible vehicle for Canadians to save for a variety of goals. You can contribute every year as long as you’re 18 or older and have a valid social insurance number.

That means young savers can use their TFSA contribution room to establish an emergency fund or save for a down payment on a home. Long-term investors can use their TFSA to invest in ETFs, stocks, or mutual funds and save for the future. Retirees can continue to save inside their TFSA for future consumption or withdraw from their TFSA tax-free without impacting their Old Age Security or GIS.

Unlike an RRSP, any amount contributed to your TFSA is not tax deductible and so it does not reduce your net income for tax purposes.

  • You can contribute room is capped at your TFSA limit. Excess contributions will be taxed at 1 per cent per month
  • Any withdrawals will be added back to your TFSA contribution room at the start of the next calendar year
  • You can replace the amount of your withdrawal in the same year only if you have available TFSA contribution room
  • Any income earned in the account, such as interest, dividends, or capital gains is tax-free upon withdrawal

How to Open a TFSA

Any Canadian 18 or older can open a TFSA. You are allowed to have more than one TFSA account open at any given time, but the total amount you contribute to all of your TFSA accounts cannot exceed your available TFSA contribution room.

To open a TFSA you can contact any bank, credit union, insurance company, trust company or robo-advisor and provide that issuer with your social insurance number and date of birth.

The most common type of TFSA offered is a deposit account such as a high interest savings account or a GIC.

You can also open a self-directed TFSA account where you can build and manage your own savings and investments.

Qualified TFSA Investments

That’s right: you’re not just limited to savings accounts and GICs. Generally, you can put the same investments in your TFSA as you can inside your RRSP. These types of allowable investments include:

  • Cash
  • GICs
  • Mutual funds
  • Stocks
  • Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs)
  • Bonds

You can contribute foreign currency such as USD to your TFSA. Note that your issuer will convert the funds to Canadian dollars. The total amount of your contribution, in Canadian dollars, cannot exceed your TFSA contribution room.

If you receive dividend income from a foreign country inside your TFSA, the dividend income could be subject to foreign withholding tax.

Gains inside your TFSA

Some investors may be tempted to put risky assets inside their TFSA account to try and earn tax-free capital gains. There are two advantages to this strategy:

  1. Earn tax-free capital gains
  2. Potentially increase your available TFSA contribution room Continue Reading…