Building Wealth

For the first 30 or so years of working, saving and investing, you’ll be first in the mode of getting out of the hole (paying down debt), and then building your net worth (that’s wealth accumulation.). But don’t forget, wealth accumulation isn’t the ultimate goal. Decumulation is! (a separate category here at the Hub).

Re-examining our plans for Financial Independence

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Re-examine our financial independence plans
Image courtesy Tawcan.com

By Bob Lai, Tawcan

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

 

When we started our financial independence journey back in 2011, we didn’t set a specific FI date or number. In our minds, we do not doubt whether we could become financially independent or not. We knew we’d become financially independent in the future. It was just a question of time. We simply needed to have patience and let our investments compound over time.

A few years into our FI journey, our FI plan started to evolve. Rather than having a specific liquid net worth and utilizing the 4% safe withdrawal rule, we decided to have enough dividend income to cover our expenses. Looking at the calendar, we randomly set a target of reaching this milestone by 2025 or earlier.

It’s funny how ten years seemed to have gone by in the blink of an eye. At the same time, a lot has happened in our lives…

  • Getting engaged and married
  • Having two kids
  • Moving from an apartment in Vancouver to a house in the suburb
  • Me having different job titles, going from engineering to project managing to product marketing to engineering
  • Mrs. T starting her holistic doula practice
  • Starting my photography business ( I’ve been on a bit of break the last few years)
  • Starting this blog, writing articles, learning new things, and connecting with other like-minded people

One thing I’ve realized is that life is never static. It’s always dynamic. Although we can do as many projections and make as many plans as we possibly can, projections and plans do and will change. Therefore, with three years to go before 2025, I thought it would be a good time to re-examine our financial independence plans and see if we need to make any adjustments.

Our FI numbers 

Since starting our FI journey, we have tracked our expenses meticulously. Here are our annual expenses since 2012:

Total Necessities Total Annual Spending
2012 $26,210.52 $44,603.76
2013 $26,343.00 $45,260.88
2014 $29,058.96 $47,391.96
2015 $31,256.88 $47,270.16
2016 $29,831.40 $47,566.96
2017 $33,887.68 $51,144.77
2018 $31,840.75 $57,231.99
2019 $33,199.98 $54,906.02
2020 $35,511.60 $48,908.74
2021 $38,950.66 $71,852.02

Necessities cover core expenses like food, insurance, housing, clothing, utilities, car, etc. Other expenses are considered as non-core expenses which include things like dining out, skiing, camping, travel, charitable donations, gifts, etc.

The last two years have been abnormal in terms of spending. Due to the pandemic, our spending was much lower than usual in 2020. Then last year we had unplanned expenses of around $16,500 on our cat and our house. If we take this amount out, it’d put our 2021 annual spending to around $55,000.

Based on our historical spending trend, I would estimate that we need somewhere between $50,000 to $60,000 in dividend income annually to cover our expenses. To be on the safe side, I’d use $60,000 annual spending for any FI plans because we need to have inherent built-in flexibility on variables outside of our control, like major purchases, emergencies, etc.

The $60k annual spending estimate, of course, assumes that we continue to live in Vancouver and do not have many significant changes in our spending habits.

One thing to keep in mind is our spending can drastically come down if we decide to geo-arbitrage by moving to a smaller Canadian town or somewhere in South East Asia with a lower cost of living than Vancouver. On the flip side, the spending number can increase if we move to Denmark and live there for a few years (I’m ignoring the tax consequences for now).

How much do we need in our dividend portfolio?

How much do we need in our dividend portfolio to generate $60,000 in dividend income? Let’s do a quick math exercise, shall we?

For $60,000 dividend income per year, at 3% dividend yield, we’d need a dividend portfolio worth $2 million; at 4% dividend yield, we’d need a dividend portfolio worth $1.5 million. In other words, we need a portfolio valued between $1.5 million to $2 million. That’s certainly not a small chunk of change.

Now, if we take a middle-of-the-road approach and use a portfolio dividend yield of 3.5%, that means a portfolio value of around $1.714 million.

One thing is clear – we need to continue to save and invest money in our dividend portfolio. We also need to find the right mix between high-yield low-dividend growth stocks and low-yield high-dividend growth stocks.

With three years remaining in our FI timeline, it might be tempting to start buying more very-high-yield dividend stocks to make sure we can reach our FI target. But it is very important to make sure our dividend income is safe and remains sustainable over time. We definitely don’t want to hit $60,000 in dividend income one year only to see that amount slashed by 20% or more the next year.

The stability of our dividend income is extremely vital.

We also want to make sure the portfolio value continues to appreciate over time. The rationale is simple – total returns matter. Having a stable and safe dividend income and a portfolio that increases value over time will give us more options.

By 2025, both Mrs. T and I will be in our early 40s. With decades ahead of us, we need to ensure our dividend income can grow organically over time and inflation doesn’t eat into our dividend income’s buying power. It will be necessary to have some low-yield high-dividend growth stocks in our portfolio to allow for organic dividend growth.

The plan of living off dividends 

Living off dividends is an amazing idea. Based on my dividend income projection, we should receive $51,000 in dividend income in 2025. However, when we compare that number with the $60,000 annual spending target, it doesn’t take a rocket scientist to realize that we are short by several thousand dollars. Continue Reading…

14 things you didn’t know Personal Capital® can do for you

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Personal Capital is a financial technology company that provides a range of financial services, including investment management, retirement planning, and financial planning through its website and mobile app. The company also provides personalized financial advice from certified financial advisors. But what exactly can Personal Capital do for YOU? 

We reached out to 14 Personal Capital clients and asked them this question –  “What are the most helpful things you didn’t know Personal Capital could do for you?” From how easy it is to plan retirement to getting multiple credit lines, here are 14 helpful things that Personal Capital can do for you: 

  • Easily Plan Retirement
  • Create and Manage a Budget
  • Provide Educational Resources
  • Guidance for Investment Portfolio Management 
  • Clearly Describe Your Asset Allocation
  • Track Spending
  • Analyze Investment Fees
  • Help to Maximize Retirement Savings
  • Breakdown Your Holdings Accurately
  • Generate a Tax-Optimized Investment Plan
  • Earn a 3.85% APY
  • Show Debt Paydown Progress
  • Monitor Student Loans
  • Grant Access to Two Lines of Credit

Easily Plan Retirement

Using Personal Capital has been of enormous help. I did not know I could plan or budget for my retirement until I read a post that said, “I am a retiree, and I can say that Personal Capital has made this retirement journey smooth for me as I began planning my retirement with the app seven years before I retired.” 

After reading this post, I started making my retirement plans using Personal Capital, which has been very pleasant and put me at ease. Personal Capital is an excellent tool for planning your retirement because it provides a retirement calculator that helps you track your long-term saving goals, an investment checkup tool that will tell how well your portfolio is performing, and a fee analyzer to track if your investment account loses money to hidden fees. 

Overall, I would say that the platform is very comprehensive, well thought out, and intuitive to use, making it even more appealing. — Peter Bryla, Community Manager, ResumeLab

Create and Manage a Budget

Personal Capital can help you create and manage a budget. With just a few clicks, you can quickly set up your budget categories, track and monitor your spending, and make adjustments as needed. You’ll be able to see where your money is going, how much you’re making each month, and what areas of your life could use improvement. 

Plus, you can set up reminders to ensure you stick to your budget, as well as get alerts if you exceed it. This way, you’ll have a better understanding of your overall financial picture and be able to make informed decisions about where to allocate your resources. — Amira Irfan, Founder & CEO, A Self Guru

Provide Educational Resources

An added benefit of the Personal Capital system is the immense library of resources on personal finance. Financial literacy is one of the few things you don’t get to learn about in school, but it applies to everyone. 

Even with very little knowledge about personal finance, you can learn through Personal Capital’s resources. You can find articles on retirement planning, understanding 401K plans, investment metrics, and more. This is a great tool for people who don’t know how to manage their finances but are looking to learn. — David Ring, Sr. Marketing Manager, MCT

Guidance for Investment Portfolio Management 

One thing that I recently learned about Personal Capital is that they offer investment portfolio management services

I think this is a really helpful feature for those who may not have a lot of experience with investing or who want professional guidance in managing their portfolio. With Personal Capital, you’ve got a team of advisors and some fancy technology on your side, helping you make informed decisions about your investments. And on top of that, they offer personalized recommendations based on individual goals and risk tolerance.

So in my opinion, it’s a great resource for anyone looking to make the most of their money. — Tiffany Homan, COO, Texas Divorce Laws

Clearly Describe your Asset Allocation

The analysis provided by Personal Capital on my asset allocation is far more thorough and precise. Did you realize, for instance, that VTSAX comprises 3% to 4% REITs? When I looked at Personal Capital’s blocky breakdown of what I actually invested in, I learned this. 

This tool not only examines broad categories but also allows you to click on any specific block to view a breakdown of that category. The US stock market now comprises a large-cap core, mid-cap growth, small-cap value, etc. Your overseas allocation is broken down similarly, and it will change daily based on your present holdings and the changing holdings of those holdings. — Steve Pogson, Founder & E-Commerce Strategy Lead, First Pier

Track Spending

Personal Capital is a useful tool that can track all of your spending in one place. I didn’t know this at first, but it makes sense. It syncs all of your checking account and credit card data in one place, so you have easy access to all of your financial information. 

Tracking your spending is a vital part of achieving financial stability and independence. Once you know your normal spending habits, you’ll be able to change them to achieve your financial goals, such as making a large purchase or going on that vacation you’ve always wanted. You can even create your own categories for expenditures if you don’t find a predetermined category that matches your needs. — Dustin Ray, Co-CEO & Chief Growth Officer, Incfile

Analyze Investment Fees

Personal Capital is a tool with many capabilities. The ability to analyze investment fees is one of the most surprising benefits of this tool. People don’t always think about the investment fees that they’ll need to pay when they’re looking into expanding their portfolios. 

Personal Capital has a built-in fee analyzer so you can get more out of your returns. It’s estimated that, on average, approximately 1% of returns are lost to fees. Personal Capital can ensure that you minimize that loss so that you can get the most out of your investments. This tool can analyze many investment accounts, from 401(k)s to Roth IRAs. — Alex Mastin, CEO & Founder, Home Grounds

Help to Maximize Retirement Savings

One thing that Personal Capital can do for me I didn’t know is that it can help me optimize my 401(k) plan. Personal Capital’s 401(k) Fee Analyzer tool suggests ways to reduce fees and improve returns. This can be useful if you have an employer-sponsored 401(k) plan and are looking to maximize your retirement savings. 

I recently learned that Personal Capital offers a retirement planner that helps users determine how much they need to save for retirement and provides recommendations for investments and saving strategies. — Karen Cate Agustin, Business Analyst, Investors Club

Breakdown your Holdings Accurately

Compared to using a spreadsheet, Personal Capital’s breakdown is much more thorough and accurate. This tool not only examines broad categories but also allows you to click on any specific block to view a detailed breakdown of such a category.  — Connie Glover, General Manager, Product & Market Development, BFX Furniture

Generate a Tax-Optimized Investment Plan

Personal Capital can help you create and manage an investment portfolio tailored to your individual goals and risk profile. The technology uses sophisticated algorithms to identify the best investments for your situation, taking into consideration your current savings rate, expected returns, taxes, fees, and more.  Continue Reading…

Call Option ETFs showed their value in 2022

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This was not an easy year for markets, but one asset class delivered cash flow for investors despite these headwinds

Pixels/Javon Swaby

By Paul MacDonald, CFA, Harvest ETFs

(Sponsor Content)

After the euphoria of 2021’s everything rally, 2022 brought many investors right back down to earth. The asset classes that led in the latter periods of the most recent bull market  lost ground in this year as the ‘permacrisis’ — Collins dictionary’s word of the year — was felt across markets and asset classes since the end of February.

We know the story: inflation, supply chain challenges, rate hikes, and war in Ukraine all conspired to wreak havoc.

As the graphs below show, few areas of the market were immune from 2022’s tribulations.

 

Source:  Bloomberg, Harvest Portfolios Group Inc. December 21, 2022

Sector & Market Returns YTD

 

Source:  Bloomberg | Data as on December 22, 2022; prices normalized to 100 (starting December 31, 2021)

While markets have been decisively in the red for the year, the path has been marked by significant volatility spikes – both to the upside and downside.  As a proxy for volatility, the VIX Index, aptly called the CBOE Volatility Index, visually shows the volatility spikes that were experienced by most investors. One can also see that volatility has been at levels on average that are meaningfully higher than in recent history.

Source:  Bloomberg, December 20, 2022.  Additional Information:  https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/vix/

The dramatic and volatile swings in equity markets outlined above should, in a normal year, have been offset by investors’ bond holdings. That’s the logic of the traditional 60/40 equity/bond portfolio.

2022 was not a normal year. Rising interest rates pushed down the value of bonds at the same time as equities were falling. The FTSE Canada Universe Bond Index, for example, was down 9.91% YTD as at December 21st.

Certain funds in one asset class, despite the negative overall returns in the market, were able to earn and deliver solid tax efficient cash flows for investors by monetizing some of the market volatility: call option ETFs.

What are call option ETFs?

Call Option ETFs — also called equity-income ETFs — are investment funds that hold portfolios of equities, but use call option strategies to generate income for unitholders. Those call option strategies trade a certain amount of market upside potential for certainty of some cash flows during a specific period: selling the option to buy a stock tomorrow at today’s price in exchange for a premium. Call Option ETFs pass those premiums on to unitholders as tax-efficient cash flow. They forego a certain amount of market upside, if markets swing higher, but generate a consistent amount of ‘income’. A ‘bird in the hand’ as it were.

That ‘bird in the hand’ income came at high rates in 2022. Many of Harvest’s call option ETFs had annualized yields  of more than 8% or even 10% during the year. That income — when considered a portion of total returns — was able to offset some of the losses in underlying equity values through the year, as the below example of the Harvest Healthcare Leaders Income ETF (HHL:TSX) demonstrates.

For illustrative purposes only.

The chart above is based on a hypothetical initial $100,000 CAD investment and only shows the market value per unit of Harvest Healthcare Leaders Income ETF (“HHL”) using the daily market close on the TSX and identifies the monthly cash distributions paid by HHL on a cumulative basis. The cash distributions are not compounded or treated as reinvested, and the chart does not take into account sales, redemption, distribution or optional charges or income taxes payable by any unitholder. The chart is not a performance chart and is not indicative of future market values of HHL or returns on investment in HHL, which will vary.

Why actively managed call option ETFs offer advantages

All of Harvest’s call option ETFs use an active and flexible call option writing strategy. That means the ETFs’ portfolio managers can sell as many or as few calls as they need to generate the ETF’s monthly distribution: up to a hard 33% write limit. That means at all times a minimum of 67% of each ETF’s holdings is fully exposed to potential market upside. It also allows these ETFs to capture market opportunities in a way that passively managed call option ETFs cannot.

Key to this advantage is the fact that options generate a higher premium when markets are more volatile. When stock prices swing wildly in the way they did throughout 2022, options cost more. Therefore the premium earned is higher. Since covered call ETFs sell options, they can generate the cash for their monthly distributions by potentially selling fewer options when markets are more volatile. This means that more of the ETF’s portfolio may be exposed to potential market upside compared to a passive systematic covered call strategy.

As much as 2022 was treated as a down year on markets, it’s notable that many of the volatile swings we’ve seen have been to the upside. By earning higher premiums from options during periods of volatility, Harvest ETFs have been able to capture some of those upswings, but have also been able to generate high and consistent cash flows for investors.

Many of the macro conditions that had negatively impacted markets in 2022 have shown signs of abating, too. Inflationary pressures have let off slightly, and the final Federal reserve rate hike of 2022 was only 0.5%: lower than the year’s cadence of 0.75% increases. If a less hawkish fed and signs of inflation dropping manifest more fully in 2023 we may see a market recovery. In such an instance these actively managed call option ETFs may be better able to capture more market upside than a passively managed call option ETF, but until that recovery is in full bloom, the Harvest ETFs can generate significant monthly cash flows.

The right strategy for the right time

In a year where everything seemed to be falling, many call option ETFs offered Canadian investors attractive income yields: paid monthly these were a source of returns at a time when returns were hard to find. The greater opportunities for upside capture afforded by an active & flexible call option writing strategy may give Harvest’s call option ETFs an advantage over passively managed ETFs.

As predictions for 2023 roll in, with the prospects of both market recoveries and economic recession on the horizon, the aspects of call option ETFs that delivered for investors this past year may prove themselves valuable once again. 2022 may have been the year call option ETFs announced their importance for Canadian investors, but we believe that importance will continue to be borne out in the years to come.

Paul MacDonald is the Chief Investment Officer and Portfolio Manager with Harvest Portfolios Group Inc. 

 

 

 

Commissions, management fees and expenses all may be associated with investing in HARVEST Exchange Traded Funds (managed by Harvest Portfolios Group Inc.) Please read the relevant prospectus before investing. The funds are not guaranteed, their values change frequently and past performance may not be repeated. All comments, opinions and views are of a general nature and should not be considered as advice and/or a recommendation to purchase or sell the mentioned securities or used to engage in personal investment strategies. Tax, investment and all other decisions should be made with guidance from a qualified professional.

Investing in Crypto or Stocks: Which is safer for your Portfolio?

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Considering whether to buy crypto or stocks? Investing in top stocks makes a lot more sense than buying crypto and we explain why in this article.

Are you interested in investing in crypto or stocks? I still can’t think of anything that would make me optimistic on bitcoin or any cryptocurrency, even after the deep slump the whole sector has gone through recently. The best thing I can say about bitcoin is that it will probably remain volatile, rather than vaporizing like the worst crypto performers.

Please don’t misunderstand. I respect and agree with the many investors who have high expectations for the future of blockchain. (That’s the digital technique that serves as a foundation for bitcoin and other crypto creations.) Some investor/digital gurus think blockchain will change the world. They may be right. However, bitcoin is simply the earliest and most widely known blockchain user.

Bitcoin’s stature as a blockchain poster child has earned it plenty of media and public recognition. But bitcoin’s link with blockchain has no bearing on the future of bitcoin (or any other cryptocurrency) as a substitute for money.

This may surprise respondents to a recent survey about their plans for retirement financing. One quarter of those surveyed, and 30% of millennials, said they were planning to rely on “cryptocurrencies” to finance some of their golden years.

Should I invest in crypto or stocks? Understanding false narratives and how it relates to Bitcoin investment risk

The term “false narrative” has been around at least since the 1830s, but came into common use around the time of the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election. Each of the two main political parties accused the other of concocting and spreading an incomplete and/or biased story that falsely showed their candidate in a bad light.

However, it’s easy to concoct your own false narrative and let it guide your financial decisions. Widespread false narratives happen rarely enough that they find a way into history. Personal false narratives happen much more often. But each one is a little different from the next, and most people would prefer not to talk about them.

Here is a look at a false narrative involving Bitcoin investment risk: Continue Reading…

Retired Money: Inflation and some compensations in federal tax brackets and contribution limits

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My latest MoneySense Retired Money column has just been published and can be accessed by clicking the highlighted headline: Inflation and investments: Heads up if you’re retired or retiring soon. 

It looks at the anxiety of would-be retirement savers in the light of soaring inflation and in particular, a recent Leger Questrade poll that looked at how inflation is affecting Canadians’ intentions to contribute to TFSAs and RRSPs. My Hub blog on this includes 4 charts on the topic.

Not surprisingly, inflation is a particular concern for retirees and those hoping to retire soon. The 2023 RRSP Omni report found that while 87% of Canadians are worried about rising prices, it also found 73% of RRSP owners still plan to contribute again this year, and so do 79% of TFSA holders. That’s despite the fact 69% fret that inflation will impact their RRSPs’ value and 64% worry about their TFSAs’ value. Seven in ten with RRSPs and 64% with TFSAs are concerned about inflation and a possible recession: 25% “very” concerned.

A Silver Lining

The MoneySense column also summarizes some of the compensating factors that Ottawa builds into the retirement saving system: as inflation rises, so too do Tax brackets, the Basic Personal Amount (BPA: the tax-free zone for the first $15,000 or so of annual earnings), and of course TFSA contribution limits (now $6500 in 2023 because of inflation adjustments). This was nicely summarized late in 2022 by Jamie Golombek in the FP, and reprised in this Hub blog early in the new year.

Because tax brackets and contribution levels are linked to inflation, savers benefit from a little more tax-sheltered (or tax deferred) contribution room this year. The RRSP dollar limit for 2023 is $30,790, up from $29,210 in 2022, for those who earn enough to qualify for the maximum. And TFSA room is now $6,500 this year, up from $6,000, because of an inflation adjustment. As Golombek noted, the cumulative TFSA limit is now $88,000 for someone who has never contributed to one.

Golombek, managing director, Tax & Estate planning for CIBC Private Wealth, wrote that in November 2022, the Canada Revenue Agency said the inflation rate for indexing 2023 tax brackets and amounts would be 6.3%: “The new federal brackets are: zero to $53,359 (15%); more than $53,359 to $106,717 (20.5%); more than $106,717 to $165,430 (26%); more than $165,430 to $235,675 (29%); and anything above that is taxed at 33%.”

Another break is that the yearly “tax-free zone” for all who earn income is rising. The Basic Personal Amount (BPA) —the annual amount of income that can be earned free of any federal tax — rises to $15,000 in 2023, as legislated in 2019.

CPP and OAS inflation boosts in late January

 On top of that, retirees collecting CPP and/or OAS can expect significant increases when the first payments go out on or around Jan. 27, 2023. (I include our own family in this). There’s more information here. Continue Reading…