All posts by Financial Independence Hub

Should I change my investments during an election?

LowrieFinancial.com
By Steve Lowrie, CFA
Special to the Financial Independence Hub
Back during the Clinton/Trump U.S. presidential election four years ago, I ended up fielding a lot of questions from investors of all political bents. Many investors wondered whether they should adjust their portfolio in response to the change of the guards. At the time, I had this to say: 
  • Post pubBack during the Clinton/Trump U.S. presidential election four years ago, I ended up fielding a lot of questions from investors of all political bents. Many investors wondered whether they should adjust their portfolio in response to the change of the guards. At the time, I had this to say: 

“If you want to skip reading my more detailed explanation, the answer is: No. Even when political news is strongly felt, there will likely never be a good time to shift your investments — neither in reaction nor as a defence. First, no matter how certain one or another outcome may seem, how the market is going to respond to the news remains essentially unknown. Second, by the time you’ve heard the news, it’s already priced into the market anyway.”

Fast-forward to 2020. To say the least, a few things have changed!  But my advice remains the same: From one election to the next, other factors have exhibited a far greater impact on investment returns than which person or party holds the U.S. presidency. Whether leadership is more or less conservative, largely efficient markets have usually figured out a way to shift and grow, either way.

As we can see in this interactive chart from Dimensional Fund Advisors, these results are well-documented. They also make a lot of sense, given something called “stage-one and stage-two thinking.”

Thinking in Stages

Stage-one and stage-two thinking are terms popularized by economist Thomas Sowell in his book, “Applied Economics: Thinking Beyond Stage One.” Basically, before acting on an event’s initial (stage one) anticipated results, it’s best to engage in stage-two thinking, by first asking a very simple question:

“And then what will happen?”

By asking this question again and again, you can more objectively consider what Sowell refers to as the “long-run repercussions to decisions and policies.”

Who will next occupy the various seats of power around the globe, and what might the results be? Stage-two thinking helps us see past the usual proliferation of stage-one predictions that call for anything from financial ruin to unprecedented prosperity.

As financial author Larry Swedroe describes in a US News & World Report interview, “Stage one thinking occurs when something bad happens, you catastrophize and assume things will continue to get worse … Stage two thinking can help you move beyond catastrophizing … [so you can] consider why everything may not be as bad as it seems. Think about previous similar circumstances to disprove your catastrophic fears.”

Timeles lessons in terminal uncertainty

In the 2020 U.S. presidential race, we’re seeing prime examples of both dire and exuberant financial forecasts, presumably premised on who wins the election. The truth is, nobody has a clue what all the combined market-moving forces have in store for us in the near term, because nobody can know the answer to Sowell’s convoluted market-moving question: And then what will happen? Continue Reading…

Have you considered retiring later?

John DeGoey, CFP, CIM

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

There are countless pieces of advice regarding retirement planning out there.  Some of them deal with lifestyle issues (How will you fill your day?  Are you sure your spouse shares your vision of how time in retirement will be spent?  What will you do to stay sharp now that you’re no longer working?), but most deal with the financial aspects of retiring.  For people who are nearing retirements (i.e. those in their 50s and early 60s), there really are only four choices that can be manipulated to help maintain a suitable cash flow for your autumn years:

  • Save more
  • Invest more aggressively
  • Accept a lesser lifestyle in retirement
  • Retire later than you planned to

There is a long list of resources and pundits who offer input on the first two items … and virtually no one wants to talk about the third item, because it is seen as a last resort.  What about the fourth item?

Retiring later is not always an option, but for those people who have some discretion, it merits serious consideration.  To begin, there are plenty of experts who can attest to ‘staying involved’ as a pathway to staying young, vigorous and mentally sharp.  Not everyone feels this way, but many people working a bit longer (even if only part time) can attest to the fact that doing so helps in their retaining a sense of worth, identity, belonging and contribution.

Taking my own advice

At this point, I need to disclose that I am planning on taking my own advice.  Less than a decade ago, I told friends I’d retire at 65.  Then, when the age for full OAS was raised to 67, I told people I’d work to that age.  More recently, even as the age for full OAS has been lowered back to 65, I am thinking of staying in the workforce longer – until age 70, perhaps.  Once again, I really enjoy my work – this option isn’t for everyone! Continue Reading…

Is Retirement in your Future?

Billy and Akaisha Kaderli in Chapala, Mexico

By Billy and Akaisha Kaderli

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

The perfect time for retirement doesn’t exist.

This is what we have learned in our almost three decades of financial independence. Things change, and sometimes radically. There simply are no guarantees.

From our point of view, a full and rich retirement is still possible for many people right now. Sometimes it takes personal flexibility in how one’s retirement is defined, as well as self-discipline and commitment to making one’s dream happen.

Many potential retirees will find themselves working part time to supplement their retirement lifestyle and perhaps to obtain a medical insurance plan. They may work from home in a virtual style of employment, make money from their hobby, or take advantage of a less stressful second-career opportunity.

Medical tourism will become more commonplace, as corporations look for financial alternatives to providing health care for their employees. As this idea becomes more familiar, retirees and potential retirees will consider this type of health care as a viable option if they are underinsured or if their own health care plan is lacking or if it’s too expensive to maintain.

Moving to more affordable countries

Moving to more affordable countries such as Mexico, Panama, Ecuador, The Philippines, Costa Rica, or Thailand will also become more attractive to those whose portfolios have been compromised for one reason or another. One can live a reasonably comfortable lifestyle in these countries for far less than in the United States or Canada.

Grander retirement dreams may be scaled back, but that is not necessarily a bad thing. Less can be more when one’s retirement money is spent for living rather than for maintaining things.

If one’s future retirement life is based upon the idea of keeping the same level of spending after there is no longer a paycheck coming in, you could be in for a shock. But if you have learned to live below your means, have kept your monthly expenses reasonably low, and have not loaded up with huge amounts of consumer debt, then the road of retirement ahead will not pose a threat. Continue Reading…

The Fundamentals of Financial Independence for the long haul

By Howie Bick

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

 

Financial Independence is a goal that many have and encompasses a variety of different elements into its equation. Depending on the type of lifestyle you live, the type of costs and expenses you have, and the amount of income you generate, Financial Independence is something that incorporates each one in a different way.

Becoming Financially Independent is a process that takes a bit of time and learning a few important principles. Understanding what you can and cannot afford, what is essential versus non-essential, and the type of security or stability that you’re comfortable with as well, are all important when it comes to Financial Independence (aka Findependence).

Continuing to work and generate Income

Working towards Financial Independence is an ongoing battle, one that requires constant effort, continuous working, and keeping a close eye on expenses. Continuing to work is an important element to the Financial Independence equation, as it allows you to continue producing income, and keeping the flow of money coming in.

One of the aspects of life is the way it continuously moves and flows from one thing to another. Along the way, there are often costs, unexpected expenses, and bills that may arise. By continuing to work and generating income, you can not only have the ability to pay your current expenses or costs, but you can also maintain the assets or resources you’ve been able to acquire as well. If the time comes when the flow of income stops, you might look towards the assets or resources that you’ve been able to acquire or build up over time. Continuing to work and generate income is an element to the Financial Independence equation that is important to consider, and important to continue producing, in order to continue managing and keeping your expenses in check, while also protecting or preserving the assets or resources you’ve been able to acquire over time.

Managing Expenses

One of the important elements to the Financial Independence equation are the types of costs or expenses you have as well. Depending on the amount of costs or expenses you have, you can then figure out how much you need to generate or income you need to produce. Considering the amount of costs or expenses you have, gives you a framework of how much income or money you need to generate in order to continue moving forward, or to continue affording the lifestyle you’re currently living.

The expenses you have is something that is very well within your control, even though controlling them might be difficult. Whether it’s reducing the amount of money you spent on food or entertainment, or cutting down the costs of the monthly subscriptions or memberships you have, the costs or expenses that you have is something that is well within your control, and important to manage when trying to become Financially Independent (or “Findependent.”)

What you can afford versus what you can’t afford

This element is important, as it will guide you or direct you on the type of spending decisions you make, the type of purchases you decide to purchase, and the type of lifestyle you decide to live. The amount of income you have often plays an important role in what you can and what you can’t afford.

Based on the amount of income you have, you can get a sense of the type of house, apartment, or living space that you can afford. You can figure out what you may think is too much, or will be pushing the envelope too far, or what you feel comfortable with and is within your means. Part of figuring out what you can and cannot afford is also how you like to live. Whether it’s with a high level of security of comfort, or you like to push it to the limit, and try to maximize or utilize all the resources you do have. Part of it comes down to what you feel comfortable with, and what you’re ok with, because Financial Independence is something that is different for everyone, with different types of lifestyles, costs, expenses, and goals alike.

Living below your means

Part of transitioning and becoming Financially Independent for the long haul, is learning how to live below your means and what you can manage for the foreseeable future. Especially in the beginning it may be tough, as you’re accustomed to or familiar with a different type of lifestyle: one that you may not be able to afford, or able to manage, but by living below your means, you can begin your journey of Financial independence.

Living below your means means earning more than you spend, and deciding to make purchases or increases in lifestyle in a slow fashion, in a way that you can accumulate or save and prepare before taking on a larger share of expenses or costs. While it might not be what you once had, or what you envisioned, living below your means allows you to have the freedom and flexibility to navigate the other costs, expenses, or spending decisions you may want to make. Whether that’s opening a business one day, investing into assets you like, or rewarding yourself with something you desire, living below your means can be the engine to getting to where you want to go, and give you the ability to manage or navigate the different life expenses or unexpected costs that may come your way.

Saving and Preparing

Another element that can be important for your Financial Independence is saving and preparing for what may be ahead. Whether it’s a goal you have, a path you want to pursue, or something that unexpected that arises, through saving and preparing you can plan in advance, and use time to your advantage, or work your way to where you want to go, or be prepared for whatever comes your way.

It’s often very difficult to manage and navigate situations at the time they arise, without the resources you may need, or the resources you would like, which is the reason why saving and preparing can be helpful. By putting money aside or keeping a certain amount of funds or reserve on hand, you can be better prepared to manage whatever life throws at you, and to navigate any murky waters you might encounter. Continuing to put money away, whether it’s slowly, or quickly, can help you be prepared and navigate any unforeseen or unexpected life expenses that may come your way, or put you on a path to achieving or pursuing the type of lifestyle or goals you may have in mind. Continue Reading…

8 Employee Education tips on Health Savings Accounts

Health Savings Accounts (HSAs) are often a foreign concept when employers offer them to employees. What should employees know – or ask – about a Health Savings Account offered as a part of an employer’s benefit plan? 

To create this article, we posed that question to employers, employees, and financial services professionals. The focus here is on the United States: An HSA is a type of medical savings account available to taxpayers strictly in the United States who are enrolled in high-deductible medical insurance plans.

Here are eight employee education tips for health savings accounts: 

  • Understand Your Options
  • Analyze your Past Records
  • Focus on Interest Rates and Penalties
  • Understand Your Health Care Needs
  • Research Specialized Service Coverage
  • HSAs Aren’t For Everyone
  • Tax Advantages
  • Other Health Insurance Are Not Allowed Under an HSA

Let’s dive deeper into each education tip offered by employers and financial service professionals.

Understand your options

The first thing to do is understand what a health savings account is. Do your research until you know your options and then understand your options. The golden key here is knowledge. You should never make major decisions without fully understanding what it is you are dealing with. — Ken Chipman, Arrow Lift

Analyze your past records

You should know that Health Savings Accounts aren’t for everyone. Gather all your records and decide if it is something you need rather than something you want to get just because it is being offered. Understanding benefit plans is tricky, but take the time to look through everything. Don’t just go with what everyone else is doing. — Peter L. Babinski, Stomadent Dental Lab 

Focus on Interest Rates and Penalties

Employees should focus on things like interest rate, if the money is pre-taxed and if there is a penalty for early withdrawal. Interest rates often get overlooked, but over time they make a huge difference in the amount of money that is accumulated. Employees should also be aware of the taxing process as well as their options should they need to withdraw the money early. — Ryan Nouis, TruPath 

Understand your Health Care needs 

Like any health care option, a Health Savings Account has its pros and cons. Evaluate your healthcare needs and your budget for the next year. Someone young and healthy will most likely view an HSA as an attractive choice. Someone not as healthy with expensive medical care needs might forego the HSA option. It’s all about doing what’s best for you and your situation and taking advantage of the benefits an HSA has to offer you. — Kayla Centeno, Markitors 

Research specialized Service Coverage

Many employees want to know if they can use their health savings account (HSA) to pay for dental implants. The answer is that in most cases, dentures are eligible for reimbursement with an HSA plan. Dentures may also be eligible for reimbursements through a flexible spending account (FSA), a health reimbursement arrangement (HRA) and a limited care flexible spending account (LCFSA). The plan where dentures are often not eligible for reimbursement is a dependent care flexible spending account (DCFSA). When in doubt, always check with your insurance carrier to get a more personalized answer. — Henry Babichenko, DD, European Denture Center

They aren’t for everyone

These accounts don’t make sense for everyone, but are really great for individuals and families with predicted medical expenses above their deductibles. If you know that you will outspend your deductible this year, then I highly recommend an HSA. — Anna Caldwell, Accredited Debt Relief

Tax advantages

Young and healthy employees should really look into the triple-tax-advantage of HSAs as a long-term financial planning vehicle. Continue Reading…