All posts by Financial Independence Hub

 RRSP Confusion

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By Michael J. Wiener

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Recently, I was helping a young person with his first ever RRSP contribution, and this made me think it’s a good time to explain a confusing part of the RRSP rules: contributions in January and February.  Reader Chris Reed understands this topic well, and he suggested that an explanation would be useful for the upcoming RRSP season.

Contributions and deductions are separate steps

We tend to think of RRSP contributions and deductions as parts of the same set of steps, but they don’t have to be.  For example, if you have RRSP room, you can make a contribution now and take the corresponding tax deduction off your income in some future year.

An important note from Brin in the comment section below: “you have to *report* the contribution when filing your taxes even if you’ve decided not to use the deduction until later. It’s not like charitable donations, where if you’re saving a donation credit for next year you don’t say anything about it this year.”

Most of the time, people take the deductions off their incomes in the same year they made their contributions, but they don’t have to.  Waiting to take the deduction can make sense in certain circumstances.  For example, suppose you get a $20,000 inheritance in a year when your income is low.  You might choose to make an RRSP contribution now, and take the tax deduction in a future year when your marginal tax rate is higher, so that you’ll get a bigger tax refund.

RRSP contribution room is based on the calendar year

Each year you are granted new RRSP contribution room based on your previous year’s tax filing.  This amount is equal to 18% of your prior year’s wages (up to a maximum and subject to reductions if you made pension contributions).  You can contribute this amount to your RRSP anytime starting January 1. Continue Reading…

Is short-termism hurting your investment?

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By Bob Lai, Tawcan
Special to Financial Independence Hub

Are you a patient investor? Or are you looking at your portfolio multiple times a day, having the itch to sell everything? Despite having done DIY investing for over a decade and making my shares of investment mistakes in the past, I am still learning about investing on a daily basis.

One key lesson I’ve learned is short-termism will hurt your investment. As investors, we need to have patience and a long term view.

What is short-termism?

Per Wikipedia, short-termism is giving priority to immediate profit, quickly executed projects and short-term results, over long term results and far-seeing action.

On the surface, it seems that short-termism is associated with investment strategies like day trading, momentum trading, short selling, and options trading. However, I believe many investors that invest in individual dividend stocks and passive index ETFs often fall into the short-termism trap as well.

How so?

On one hand, it’s about short-term profit taking. On the other hand, it’s about paying too much attention to the short-term share price movement and feeling the need to tweak your investment portfolio. Some common portfolio management questions I’ve seen on Facebook and Twitter are:

“Should I take profits when the stock goes up and re-invest the money later? Give me a reason why I shouldn’t sell and should just hold?”

“I purchased Royal Bank at $110. It’s frustrating seeing the share price going up to $150 and then dropping back down to $125. Should I sell when the stock is at a 52-week high and buy back when the stock price dips?”

“I have a small paper loss on Brookfield Asset Management, I don’t think the company is doing well, should I sell and invest the money elsewhere?”

“I bought some Apple shares recently. Apple had a terrible quarter and I’m down. I’m convinced that Apple is going to crash and burn. Should I sell and run now?”

And the questions go on and on…

Why do we fall into the short-termism trap?

There are many reasons why we fall into the short-termism trap. Some of the common reasons I believe are:

  • The need to be correct – we as investors want to see our investments increase in value once we make the purchase. When this happens, it means we’re right and made the correct investment decision. If the share price goes down, that must mean we are wrong and are terrible at investing. The need to be correct becomes a burning desire. Nobody wants to be told that they are wrong and be the laughingstock.
  • The need to be validated – we all have the need to be validated by others but for some reason, this need is even stronger when it comes to investing. We want others to validate that we made the right investment decision so we can feel good inside. The desire to be validated can be like drugs, once someone validates you, you begin to want even more. The need to be validated is a very slippery slope…
  • Looking for gains right away – It’s exciting to see investment gains. It is even more exuberating to see significant gains in a few days. It’s like going to the casino and winning 1000 times on your bet or winning the lottery. Why wait for five years to see multi-bagger gains when you can get the same type of gains in a week? Long-term investing is for losers!
  • Ego – for some reason we all believe we are better investors than who we truly are. Believe me, I fall into this trap from time to time. Deep inside, we believe that we can predict how companies will do in the future accurately by looking at past performance and public information.

How to escape the short-termism trap?

So how do we escape the short-termism trap? I think the best method is to understand your short-term, medium-term, and long-term goals. Are you investing for the short-term or are you investing for the long-term? Knowing this will dictate what kind of investments you should buy. Continue Reading…

Value Investing: Looking beneath the surface

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Image from Outcome/QuoteInspector.com.

By Noah Solomon

Special to Financial Independence Hub

It goes without saying that 2022 was a less than stellar year for equity investors. The MSCI All Country World Index of stocks fell 18.4%. There was virtually nowhere to hide, with equities in nearly every country and region suffering significant losses. Canadian stocks were somewhat of a standout, with the TSX Composite Index falling only 5.8% for the year.

Looking below the surface, there was an interesting development underlying these broader market movements, with value stocks far outpacing their growth counterparts. Globally, value stocks suffered a loss of 7.5% as compared to a decline of 28.6% in growth stocks. This substantial outperformance was pervasive across countries and regions, including the U.S., Europe, Asia, and emerging markets. In the U.S., 2022’s outperformance of value stocks was the highest since the collapse of the tech bubble in 2000.

These historically outsized numbers have left investors wondering whether value’s outperformance has any legs left and/or whether they should now be tilting their portfolios in favor of a relative rebound in growth stocks. As the following missive demonstrates, value stocks are far more likely than not to continue outperforming.

Context is everything: Value is the “Dog” that finally has its Day

From a contextual perspective, 2022 followed an unprecedented period of value stock underperformance.

U.S Value vs. U.S. Growth Stocks – Rolling 3 Year Returns: 1982-2022

 

Although there have been (and will be) times when value stocks underperform their growth counterparts, the sheer scale of value’s underperformance in the several years preceding 2022 is almost without precedent in modern history. The extent of value vs. growth underperformance is matched only by that which occurred during growth stocks’ heyday in the internet bubble of the late 1990s.

Shades of Tech Bubble Insanity

The relative performance of growth vs. value stocks cannot be deemed either rational or irrational without analyzing their relative valuations. To the extent that the phenomenal winning streak of growth vs. value stocks in the runup to 2022 can be justified by commensurately superior earnings growth, it can be construed as rational. On the other hand, if the “rubber” of growth’s outperformance never met the “road” of superior profits, then at the very least you need to consider the possibility that crazy (i.e. greed, hope, etc.) had indeed entered the building.

The extreme valuations reached by many growth companies during the height of the pandemic bring to mind a warning that was issued by a market commentator during the tech bubble of the late 1990s, who stated that the prices of many stocks were “not only discounting the future, but also the hereafter.”

U.S. Value Stocks: Valuation Discount to U.S. Growth Stocks: (1995-2022)

 

Based on forward PE ratios, at the end of 2021 U.S. value stocks stood at a 56.3% discount to U.S. growth stocks. From a historical perspective, this discount is over double the average discount of 27.9% since 1995 and is matched only by the 56.6% discount near the height of the tech bubble in early 2000. This valuation anomaly was not just a U.S. phenomenon, with global value stocks hitting a 57.5% discount to global growth stocks, more than twice their average discount of 27.6% since 2002 and even larger than that which prevailed in early 2000 at the peak of the tech mania. Continue Reading…

North American stock portfolio outperforms when it counts

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By Dale Roberts, cutthecrapinvesting

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

For U.S. stocks, my wife and I hold 17 Dividend Achievers, plus 3 stock picks. In Canada, I hold the Canadian Wide Moat 7, while my wife holds a Canadian High Dividend ETF – Vanguard’s VDY. There is also a modest position in the TSX 60 – XIU. The U.S. and Canadian stocks both outperform their respective stock market index benchmarks. Working together, the U.S. and Canadian stocks form an all-weather portfolio base.

In this post I’ll offer up charts on our U.S. stock portfolio and the Canadian stock portfolio. And I’ll put them together so that we can see how they work together. The total portfolio was designed to be retirement-ready. The fact that it beats the market benchmarks is a welcome surprise. At the core of the portfolio is wonderful Canadian dividend payers – the U.S. dividend achievers and 3 picks fill in some portfolio holes. We will also take a look at how these stocks can be arranged to provide an all-weather stock portfolio base.

When I write ‘our portfolio,” I am referring to the retirement portfolios for my wife and me. As for ‘backgrounders’ on the portfolios please have a read of our U.S. stock portfolio and the Canadian Wide Moat 7 performance update.

The stock portfolios

In early 2015 I skimmed 15 of the largest-cap dividend achievers. What does skim mean? After extensive research into the portfolio “idea” I simply bought 15 of the largest-cap dividend achievers. For more info on the index, have a look at the U.S. Dividend Appreciation Index ETF (VIG) from Vanguard. That is a U.S. dollar ETF. Canadian investors can also look to Vanguard Canada for Canadian dollar offerings (VGG.TO).

You’ll find the dividend acheivers and Canadian high dividend stocks in the ETF portfolio for retirees post. Both indices are superior for retirement funding, compared to core stock indices.

Dividend growth plus quality

At the core of the index is a meaningful dividend growth history (10 years or more) working in concert with financial health screens. It leads to a high quality skew. Given those parameters the dividend achievers index will certainly hold many dividend aristocrats (NOBL).

The 15 companies that I purchased in early 2015 are 3M (MMM), PepsiCo (PEP), CVS Health Corporation (CVS), Walmart (WMT), Johnson & Johnson (JNJ), Qualcomm (QCOM), United Technologies, Lowe’s (LOW), Walgreens Boots Alliance (WBA), Medtronic (MDT), Nike (NKE), Abbott Labs (ABT), Colgate-Palmolive (CL), Texas Instruments (TXN) and Microsoft (MSFT).

United Technologies merged with Raytheon (RTX) and then spun off Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) and Otis Worldwide (OTIS). We continue to hold all three and they have been wonderful additions to the portfolio. Given that those stocks are not available for the full period, they are not a part of this evaluation. That said, the United Technologies spin-offs added to the outperformance.

Previous to 2015 we had three picks by way of Apple (AAPL), BlackRock (BLK) and Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.B). Those stocks are overweighted in the portfolio. As you might expect, Apple has contributed greatly to the portfolio outperformance. Though the achievers also outperform the market with less volatility.

In total it is a portfolio of 20 U.S. stocks.

The Canadians

I hold a concentrated portfolio of Canadian stocks. What I give up in greater diversification, I gain in the business strength and potential for the companies that I own to not fail. They have wide moats or exist in an oligopoly situation. For the majority of the Canadian component of my RRSP account I own 7 companies in the banking, telco and pipeline space. I like to call it the Canadian wide moat portfolio. They also provide very generous and growing dividends. These days, they’d combine to offer a starting yield in the 6% range.

Here are the stocks:

Canadian banking

Royal Bank of Canada (RY), Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD) and Scotiabank (BNS).

Telco space

Bell Canada (BCE) and Telus (T).

Pipelines

Canada’s two big pipelines are Enbridge (ENB) and TC Energy (TRP).

*Total performance would be improved by holding the greater wide moat portfolio that includes grocers and railway stocks. That is a consideration for those in retirment and in the accumulation stage.

The Canadian mix outperforms the market, the TSX Composite. You’ll also find that outperformance in the Beat The TSX Portfolio. That BTSX strategy (like the Wide Moat 7) finds big dividends, strong profitability and value.

Once again, my wife holds an ETF – the Vanguard High Dividend (VDY) and a modest position in XIU. I did not want to expose her portfolio to concentration risk.

The charts

Here’s the returns of the U.S. and Canadian portfolios, plus a 50/50 U.S/CAD mix as the total portfolio. The period is January of 2015 to end of September 2022. Please keep in mind the returns are not adjusted for currency fluctuations. A Canadian investor has received a boost thanks to the strong U.S. dollar. U.S. investors owning Canadian stocks would experience a negative currency experience. Continue Reading…

Fixing your Credit for a Real Estate Purchase

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By Jessica Mohajer

Special to Financial Independence Hub

To purchase a home, having good credit is essential to be approved for mortgage financing.

If your credit needs some improvement, then there are steps you can take to fix it and make yourself more attractive to lenders when seeking approval for a real estate purchase.

What is the credit score, and why do you need it for real estate purchases?

Your credit score is a numerical value calculated using information from your credit report. It typically ranges from 300 to 850 and reflects how likely you are to repay debts based on factors like payment history, the total debt owed, length of credit history, and types of accounts used.

A good credit score can make it easier for you to get approved for a mortgage loan and secure favorable interest rates and terms. Conversely, a low credit score can result in higher borrowing costs and potentially even difficulty obtaining financing for a home. For this reason, it is vital to ensure that your credit score is in good shape before attempting to purchase real estate. It’s also a good idea to check your credit score regularly, as it can change based on any changes in your credit activity.

Enlist the Help of a Credit Repair Service

Enlisting the help of a credit repair service can be an effective way to improve your credit score for a real estate purchase. A reputable credit repair service can work with you to identify errors on your report, dispute information, and offer guidance on how best to handle any financial issues dragging down your score.

Look for a credit repair service that offers personalized services such as customized plans, detailed analysis of your credit report, and a team of certified professionals. It’s also important to check the credit repair service’s reputation: ensure they have good reviews from past clients and are licensed in your state.

Have a positive payment history

Your credit score is one of the key factors that lenders look at when evaluating your loan application, and a good payment history will help you get approved more quickly. Paying your bills on time every month is crucial because it shows that you are responsible for managing your finances. The longer and more consistently you can make your payments, the better. It’s also a good idea to keep track of late payments and rectify them as quickly as possible. If you have missed a payment or two in the past, work on building up your credit score by making timely payments in the future. This will show lenders that you are taking steps to repair your credit and are dedicated to staying on top of your finances.

Check for errors on your credit report

It is important to check for errors on your credit report before you start buying a home. Errors on your credit report can cause significant problems when trying to secure financing and result in delays or even denial of loan applications. While there are several ways to review your credit report, the most efficient method is to get a copy from each of the three major credit bureaus: Experian, Equifax, and TransUnion. By getting a copy from each bureau, you can compare results and make sure all information is accurate. Continue Reading…