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My Own Advisor’s Top 5 Stocks

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By Mark Seed, myownadvisor

Special to Financial Independence Hub

Over the years of running this site, I have received numerous requests to share everything in my portfolio. For today’s post, I will reveal a bit more to help other DIY investors out since they are curious: what are my top-5 stocks?

Read on for this update including what has changed over the last year in this pillar post!

My Top-5 Stocks

As I approach 15 years as a DIY investor, a hybrid investor no less, we inch closer to our semi-retirement dream. Long-time subscribers will know we’ve always had two major financial goals to achieve as part of that journey:

1. Own our home.

Well, that goal is done!

You can read about our journey to mortgage-freedom / debt-freedom here below.

2. Beyond two workplace pensions, beyond our future CPP or OAS benefits, beyond any future part-time work – another big goal was for us to own a $1 million dollar investment portfolio for retirement.

Well, we accomplished that as well a few years ago.

We’ve actually been investing beyond that goal for some time only until recently – which I outlined in this Financial Independence Budget update.

Our investing goals have been accomplished using a hybrid investing approach – something that might appeal to you as well:

  • Approach #1 – we own a number of Canadian dividend-paying stocks for income and growth. We have essentially unbundled a Canadian dividend ETF for income and growth – and built our own ETF – without any ongoing money management fees.
  • Approach #2 – we own a few low-cost ETFs that focus on growth. We believe it is wise to invest beyond Canada for growth/diversification and so we do via a few low-cost ETFs like XAW and QQQ in particular. Our U.S. stocks are down to a handful now and potentially less over time in favour of those ETFs above.

A bias to getting paid – my top-5 stocks

With a bias to getting paid and getting more raises over time as a shareholder, we own a few stocks in particular. Before sharing my top-5 stocks, some highlights why DIY investing works for me.

1. Fees are forever.

With investing you usually get what you don’t pay for.

Based on all the information available today, to buy an index fund in particular, I don’t believe you need a money manager to perform indexing work on your behalf. That decision is up to you of course.

2. I/we control the portfolio.

Ultimately nobody cares more about your money than you do.

I run my site to help pay forward my successes but also share what’s not working. I have no problems admitting I am not perfect. I make investing mistakes. Most people do. Via my site, I share those lessons learned so you don’t have to make them. While there is no perfect portfolio you can design a portfolio that should meet many of your needs over time. Many DIY investors, readers here, have learned that sustainable dividend and distribution income is one such path to financial independence. In some cases, these DIY investors have been investing long enough that their portfolio income now exceeds their expenses – some of them earning over $100,000 per year from their portfolio after decades of investing. They’ve learned that the power of compounding is an incredible force if left uninterrupted. These DIY investors manage their investments based on their income objectives.

I simply hope to follow the same formula. 🙂

Given I control our portfolio, I feel I can manage our investments aligned to our objectives. A reminder about my free e-book below:

  • Chapter 1: Spend less than you make and invest the difference. Invest in mostly low-cost products. Strongly consider diversifying your investments including stocks from different sectors and countries that pay dividends and offer growth.
  • Chapter 2: Avoid active trading. Celebrate falling stock prices – buy more when they fall in price.
  • Chapter 3: Disaster-proof your life with insurance, where needed, to cover a catastrophic loss. Otherwise, keep investing and just keep buying.
  • Book conclusion: Read Chapters #1-3 and rinse and repeat for the next 30 years. Retire wealthy.

That’s the basics within 80,000+ personal finance books in just four bullets. 🙂

As a DIY investor I believe you have some powerful decisions most money managers will never possess:

  1. A money manager has to demonstrate value by trading. Otherwise, why use them when you can buy your own quality stocks or indexed funds instead?
  2. Money managers usually need approval for their transactions. Instead, you can decide when to celebrate lower prices to get your stocks on sale without another manager, director or VP-scrutiny involved.

To paraphrase the index investing community, with no way to consistently identifying manager performance ahead of time, there is very little chance of finding any money manager who after fees charged to clients can consistently best a basic index fund performance over the long-haul.

There are simply too many low-cost, diversified, easy-to-own ETF choices to build wealth with. As a DIY investor, you don’t ever have to pay someone else to do your work for you.

In the spirit of going it alone, doing it yourself and being accountable for your own results, I feel my hybrid approach offers the best of both worlds:

  • In Canada, we own many of the top-listed stocks in the TSX 60 index for income and growth.
  • Beyond Canada, beyond a few U.S. stocks, we use indexed ETFs for extra diversification.

We fired our money manager years ago and have never looked back … that approach might work for you too.

Without further delay, here are our top-5 stocks in our portfolio by portfolio weight current to the time of this post.

My Top-5 Stocks

1. Royal Bank (RY)

Since publishing the original post in fall of 2023, I can share that Royal Bank of Canada (RY) remains our largest single stock holding. About 4-5% of the total portfolio. We’ve owned RY for many years – profiled here.

Here are the returns compared to one of my favourite low-cost ETFs (XIU) for comparison:

Royal Bank September 2023

All images/sources with thanks to Portfolio Visualizer. 

 

2. TD Bank (TD)

While the management team at TD is certainly due for some changes, I will disclose that TD is our second largest stock position at the time of this post. Like RY, we’ve owned TD for many years – profiled here – as early as 2009.

Again, returns for comparison purposes:

TD Bank September 2023

Banking is just one important sector in our Canadian economy. Fortis owns and operates multiple transmission and distribution subsidiaries in Canada and the United States, serving a few million electricity and gas customers.

Last time I checked, just like people need to bank or borrow money (see the desire for us to own banks!) folks love electricity and power.

I own Fortis for steady dividend income and some capital gains. I started my ownership in Fortis also back in 2009. You can read about that here.

Again, historical returns for context:

Fortis September 2023

Our Canadian stock market operates in an oligopoly, meaning there are a few dominant players controlling the market. We see this in banking, utilities, and it continues with our telco industry. As a shareholder, Telus has been focused on expansion in recent years but in doing so has also taken on some debt in the process. The share price has lagged. With interest rates due to come down further over the coming 24 months, I believe Telus is a great buy to add more to my portfolio.

You can read about when I started buying Telus here.

Again, returns for comparison purposes:

Telus September 2023

5. Canadian Natural Resources (CNQ)

Following the stock split and rise in share price, CNQ continues to be a stock on the rise in my portfolio.

I’ve been a CNQ shareholder for many years – the evidence is here since 2013.

Again, some recent returns for comparison purposes current to 2024:

CNQ vs. XIU August 2024

My Top-5 Stocks Summary

You’ll notice a few things in this post. Continue Reading…

Now (and always) is the worst time to invest in bonds

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Image courtesy AlainGuillot.com

By Alain Guillot

Special to Financial Independence Hub

With friends on a rainy day
With friends on a rainy day

Anytime anyone consults a financial advisor, two things typically occur:

  1. The financial advisor tends to recommend their “in-house” products, which often come with high management expense fees ranging from 2-3%
  2. They inquire about your age and then miraculously present a fund tailored to individuals in your age group.

We’ve discussed point #1 in previous posts. Financial advisors invariably promote funds with high expense fees because they receive kickbacks known as trailer fees, which constitute a significant portion of their income. However, it’s important to note that these trailer fees come out of your pocket. It is in the financial advisor’s best interest to consistently suggest products that offer the most generous commissions.

Despite the fact that there are numerous low-cost index funds and ETFs that might be the best options for their clients, financial advisers seldom recommend them because they do not generate commissions. The success of investment advis0rs often depends on their clients’ lack of knowledge.

As for point #2, they are equally inadequate. The typical formula for selecting a stock-and-bond portfolio is to subtract your age from 100%. This implies that if you are 30 years old, your portfolio should consist of 70% stocks and 30% bonds. If you are 50 years old, the recommended allocation is 50% stocks and 50% bonds, and so on.

Is age really the most significant factor? What if I am already a millionaire? What if I am struggling to pay my rent? What if I am in good health? What if I am in poor health? These factors seem to be overlooked, as financial advisers simply refer to tables provided by their employers and assign clients to predetermined brackets from their sales manuals.

Historically, stocks have consistently outperformed bonds as an investment, but investing in bonds can create a false sense of security. In reality, bonds offer reduced volatility, but less volatility does not equate to lower risk. Over the long term, bonds are not less risky than stocks; they are simply less volatile.

The truth is that the more bonds you hold in your portfolio, the more you limit your growth potential. Why would anyone sacrifice their potential for earnings simply because they are older? When you are older and in need of your money the most, that’s precisely when you would want your money to work its hardest for you. Continue Reading…

7 Leaders reveal their favorite Index Funds for Financial Independence

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Photo by Mikhail Nilov on Pexels

 

In the quest for Financial Independence through savvy investing, we’ve gathered insights from Presidents and CEOs to share their top index fund picks.

From choosing a high-dividend yield ETF to recommending a total stock market index fund, explore the seven expert recommendations that could pave your path to financial freedom.

 

 

  • Choose High-Dividend Yield ETF
  • Suggest Vanguard Total Stock ETF
  • Prefer Zero Fee Total Market Fund
  • Select Australian-Domiciled International ETF
  • Opt for Monthly Distribution Index
  • Pick Broad-Market S&P 500 ETF
  • Recommend Total Stock Market Index Fund

Choose High-Dividend Yield ETF

My go-to for building Financial Independence has got to be the Vanguard High-Dividend Yield ETF. A lot of folks who’ve made it to FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early) live off dividends, and if that’s your goal, this ETF is worth considering. It sports a yield of 3.65% and keeps costs low with an expense ratio of just 0.06%. The fund aims to mirror the performance of the FTSE High-Dividend Yield Index.

It’s packed with stocks known for higher-than-average yields. You won’t find many fast-growing tech stocks here because those companies usually reinvest their profits into growth rather than paying out dividends. Instead, the ETF focuses on older, established companies with a strong history of profitability. As of the last update, the top five holdings included big names like Johnson & Johnson, JPMorgan Chase, Procter & Gamble, Verizon Communications, and Comcast.

While it might not match the S&P 500 in terms of rapid growth or impressive returns, the stability and consistent income it offers can be a major advantage, especially if you’re looking for reliable dividend income. — Eric Croak, CFP, President, Croak Capital

Suggest Vanguard Total Stock ETF

As a CFO, I recommend index funds like the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) for building long-term wealth. It provides broad exposure to over 3,600 U.S. stocks with an ultra-low expense ratio of 0.03%. 

Over the past 25 years, the total U.S. stock market has returned over 9% annually. While volatile, for long-term investors, index funds are a simple, low-cost way to earn solid returns. I have leveraged index funds in my own portfolio and for clients to build wealth over time. 

Vanguard’s scale and expertise allow for minimal costs and maximum tax efficiency. For small or large portfolios, VTI should be a core holding. For clients aiming to retire early or build wealth, low-cost broad market exposure is the most effective strategy. Total U.S. stock market funds provide the broadest, most diversified exposure available. — Russell Rosario, Owner, RussellRosario.com

Prefer Zero-Fee Total Market Fund

The Fidelity Zero Total Market Index Fund is my top pick for building Financial Independence. It covers the full spectrum of the U.S. market without charging any management fees, which means your investment grows faster without extra costs. This fund’s wide exposure to both established and emerging companies helps balance risk and reward. For anyone serious about long-term growth, it’s a great tool to steadily build wealth over time. — Jonathan Gerber, President, RVW Wealth Continue Reading…

Canadians leave $17 billion on the table each year from High Fees

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Thanks to high-fee mutual funds, Canadians are leaving a lot of money on the table. While superior ETF investment options have been available for more than two decades, Canadians are slow to help themselves out. Those fees are wealth destroyers. We’re not making the move to ETFs at the pace of the rest of the developed world. It’s a no-brainer. Canadians can find investment options at less than 1/10th the cost. But too much money is still going into the wrong pockets – that of advisors and the mutual fund providers. We’re leaving too much money on the table, in the Sunday Reads.

Here’s the graphic that shows Canada is slow on the uptake …

The irony is that Canadians need to embrace low-cost index funds more than most people on earth. We pay some of the highest fees on the planet. And those high-fee mutual funds most often come attached to an advisor who offers no advice, or poor advice. They are salespersons, not real advisors. From the Globe & Mail piece …

Canadian investors, on the other hand, have been far slower to shift their allegiances to indexing. Since 2013, Canadian passive funds increased their market share from 10.4 per cent to just 15.5 per cent currently. Continue Reading…

Is it reasonable to have irrationally high return expectations?

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Image courtesy Pexels: Jakub Zerdzicki

By John De Goey, CFP, CIM

Special to Financial Independence Hub

When I ask clients and prospective clients about the return expectations they have for their portfolios, the responses vary wildly …  anywhere from ‘about 5%’ to ‘over 10%.’  Almost all of these expectations are too high.

 Admittedly, clients have different risk profiles leading to different asset allocations and ultimately, different outcomes. That’s reasonable.  A problem crops up when otherwise reasonable people have been socialized into having out-sized expectations.  How does one ethically re-calibrate expectations for irrational optimists who nonetheless think they’re within their rights to have those expectations?

The behavioural finance concept is overconfidence, although the attitude involves elements of optimism bias, cognitive dissonance and old-fashioned hubris, too. To quote J.M. Keynes: “Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” Few investors are prepared to acknowledge that the recent bull market seems unlikely to continue and that a recession appears to be on the horizon.

Learning from past Crashes

If we have learned anything from the great crashes of 1929, 1974, 2001 and more recently, the global financial crisis, it is that investors (often spurred by accommodative policy positions) can come to think of themselves as being all but invincible when central bankers are accommodative. Too often, they also lose their nerve when markets tumble and stay low for a prolonged period.

A good deal of personal finance is grounded in social psychology: especially group psychology.  People can get ahead through investing not only by being shrewd about valuations and such, but also by accurately anticipating how other market participants might react to a given set of circumstances.  Of course, it cuts both ways: and having reasonable expectations in the first place often assists investors in staying the course.

My concern is with the messaging being offered by many in the personal finance community these days is something I call “Bullshift.”  The industry shifts peoples’ attention to make them feel more bullish. To hear many in the business tell it, there’s no appreciable need to be concerned about high valuations, high debt levels (both public and private), a long-inverted yield curve and interest rates at generational highs.  Any one of these considerations would ordinarily give a rational investor pause. Taken together, they pose a clear and present danger for investors in the second half of 2024. Few seem concerned and it is that very lack of concern that concerns me.

Misleading investors with “Bullshift”

There is a directionally and mathematically accurate ad running by Questrade making the rounds that doesn’t tell the whole picture, either. Again, even the ‘good guys’ tend to mislead the average investor with Bullshift. The advertisement shows what you would earn over a long timeframe at 8% and what you would earn at 6%.

My question to you is simple: is it reasonable to assume an 8% return is even possible? There is longstanding evidence that higher-cost active investment strategies actually fail to outperform cheaper strategies such as passive index investing and that product cost certainly does matter. Continue Reading…