All posts by Jonathan Chevreau

My Review of “A Warning” by Anonymous

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Based on the arrival of my library copy of “A Warning” this weekend, it’s clear that the controversial book about Donald Trump written by “Anonymous” is now in wide circulation, and hence there will soon be a new wave of reviews.

Recall that what amounted to a sneak preview of the book came late in 2018 after the New York Times departed from normal practice and published an opinion piece credited only to “A Senior Trump administration official” that gave an inside look at what those unfortunate enough to be subordinate to Trump have to endure on an almost daily basis. Talk about the worst job in the world!

At 250 pages it’s a quick read. At one level, and as a friend of mine who also got an early copy remarked, there’s not that much new to anyone who has been following this train wreck of a presidency on CNN or MSNBC.

Indeed, many of the early reviews based on pre-release copies gave us a good flavour of what you can expect in this book. My favourite passage in the book used not the imagery of a train wreck but an even more dramatic one of air traffic control. To wit:

‘The day-to-day management of the executive branch was falling apart before our eyes. Trump was all over the place. He was like a twelve-year old in an air traffic control tower, pushing the buttons of government indiscriminately, indifferent to the planes skidding across the runway and the flights frantically diverting away from the airport.’

The book includes eight chapters, beginning with the collapse of the steady state (you remember the “grownups” who were supposed to act as guard rails, many now since departed), moves on to Trump’s numerous defects in character, his Fake Views, his Assault on Democracy, his weakness for Strongmen, and a chapter on how he has divided America with a “New Mason-Dixon Line.” Then he surveys the apologists and his enablers who put ambition and fear over service to country, and ends with an appeal to the Electorate.

Surprisingly, the author isn’t that keen on the prospect of impeachment: even though the book is current enough to include the early innings of the Ukraine scandal. Instead, and perhaps sensibly, the appeal is to American voters to come to their collective senses and vote him out in the 2020 election.

Three years too late?

A cynic might quip that the very title “A Warning” comes at least three years too late. But for anyone who believes another four years of this madness will all but destroy American democracy, the title is apt if understated. Perhaps a Trumpian superlative would be an improvement: something like “An Urgent Warning.” Continue Reading…

Retirement planning programs revisited

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More than a year ago I wrote a column for the Financial Post about a handful of Canadian retirement income planning software packages that help would-be retirees and semi-retirees plan how to start drawing down from various income sources: Click on the highlighted text to retrieve the full article: How you draw down your retirement savings could save you thousands: this program proves it.

The focus of the FP piece is Cascades but you can also find a MoneySense piece I wrote from late 2018 that looked at Viviplan, and one I wrote for the Globe & Mail last November that described Cascades, Viviplan and Doug Dahmer’s Retirement Navigator and BetterMoneyChoices.com.

Dahmer has been writing guest blogs on decumulation here at the Hub almost since this site’s founding in 2014. See for example his most recent one, or the similar articles flagged at the bottom: Top 10 Rules for Successful Retirement Income Planning. Dahmer says he’s pleased that others are waking up to the need for tax planning in the drawdown years: “Cascades provides a very good, easy-to-use introduction to these concepts.”

There may be as many as 26 distinct sources of income a retired couple may encounter, estimates Ian Moyer, a 40-year veteran of the financial industry and creator of the Cascades program described in the articles.

When he started to plan for his own decumulation adventure, six years ago, he felt there was very little planning software out there that was both comprehensive and easy to use. So, he hired a computer programmer and created his own package, now called Cascades.

Continue Reading…

Retirement not what many were expecting, and not in a good way: Sun Life survey

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My latest Financial Post column, which is on page FP 3 of Tuesday’s paper, looks at a Sun Life retirement survey released this morning. You can find it online by clicking on the highlighted headline: Canadians finding retirement is not all it’s cracked up to be.

So if you think Retirement is about eternal sea cruises and African safaris, you may be abashed by the Sun Life finding that almost one in four (23%) describe their lifestyle as a frugal one that involves “following a strict budget and refraining from spending money on non-essential items.”

Furthermore, many can expect to still be working full-time at age 66, which just happens to be my own age. And as you can see from this blog, I’m still working, if only on a self-employed semi-retirement basis.

In fact, among the 2150 employed Canadians polled by the 2019 Sun Life Barometer poll conducted by Ipsos, almost half (44 per cent) expect they’ll still be employed full-time at age 66. Among the “frugal” retirees still working after the traditional retirement age, 65 per cent say it’s because they need to work for the money rather than because they enjoy it.

In an interview, Sun Life Canada president Jacques Goulet mentioned most of the main reasons, few of which will come as a surprise to this blog’s readers. Mostly there is a failure to plan for Retirement early enough to save the kind of sums involved. Another familiar culprit is the ongoing decline of employer-sponsored Defined Benefit pension plans, which are becoming more and more rare in the private sector. Most of us can only envy the tax-payer backed guaranteed inflation-indexed DB pensions enjoyed by most government workers, politicians and some members of labor unions: a bulletproof source of income that you can’t outlive.

47% at risk of outliving their money

The alternative for many are employer-sponsored Defined Contribution pensions (DC plans), group RRSPs or personal RRSPs and TFSAs, which means taking on market risk and longevity risk. Both are challenges in the current climate of seemingly perpetual low interest rates and ever volatile stock markets, not to mention rising life expectancy. Even then, Goulet told me Canadians with DC pensions are leaving a lot of money on the table: $3 or $4 billion a year in “free money” that is obtainable if you enrol in a DC pension where the employer “matches” the employee contributions: typically 50 cents for every $1 contributed.

Finally, there is a large group that have no employer pension of any kind, or indeed any steady job with benefits, and these people are unlikely to have saved much in RRSPs or even TFSAs, which they should if they can find the means. This group may account for a whopping 47% of working Canadians, Sun Life finds, and about the only thing they’ll be able to count on in Retirement is the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) as early as age 60, Old Age Security at 65 and probably the Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS) to the OAS. These people would be better off continuing to work till 70 in order to get higher government benefits, a time during which they can build up their Tax-Free Savings Accounts (TFSA)s. TFSA income does not impact CPP/OAS/GIS, which is not the case for RRSPs and RRIFs.

Finally, a word about continuing to work into one’s 60s and even 70s. I know many who do, and not always for the money. I’m in the latter category myself, even though personally my wife and I could be considered the poster children for maximizing retirement savings, living frugally and investing wisely. There are worse things in life than going to a pleasant job that provides mental stimulation, structure and most of all purpose. Many of these ideas are explored in the book I jointly co-authored with Mike Drak: Victory Lap Retirement.

 

5 years of Findependence: The Hub celebrates its fifth anniversary

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How time flies! Five years ago this Sunday — Nov. 3, 2014 — the Financial Independence Hub [aka “The Hub”] was launched. From the start the idea was to publish a blog every business day, 52 weeks a year. Thanks to a wide variety of guest bloggers and other contributors, that has been achieved: as of this writing, the Hub had published almost 1,700 blogs.

For those curious, this link will take you to the very first Hub blog, which outlined the planned direction. From the get-go we tried to make a distinction between traditional full-stop Retirement and Findependence, which of course is the contraction for Financial Independence. The related book is Findependence Day (available in both Canadian and US editions).

Findependence is different from Retirement

Even some of the republished blogs the past week indicate how much the term Financial Independence has caught on, although sadly, the term Findependence less so. Just a few days ago, regular Hub contributor Mark Seed published a blog on Strive for Financial Independence not Early Retirement.  (We’re working on getting him to use the term Findependence but Rome wasn’t built in a day!)

I wrote much the same thing soon after the Hub was launched in 2014: Why Financial Independence is a better term than Retirement.

I may as well take this opportunity to clarify a few things about how the Hub operates. First though, we’d like to thank our advertisers, some of which (like Vanguard) have been with us since almost the beginning. It’s that kind of support that means the Hub remains free to users, who by now realize that most Hub blogs publish around 9:10 am, with a daily digest going out around 10 am.

Where the Hub’s content comes from

Why daily content? I guess it goes back to my days as a newspaper reporter and columnist, when my personal motto was “A story a day keeps the editor away.” Of course, it wouldn’t be much of a Semi-Retirement if I had to write a blog for the Hub every day all by myself so from the get-go we were open to guest blogs. An early supporter was Robb (and Marie) Engen of Boomer & Echo: skip over to the Hub’s search function and you’ll find dozens of stories by them. And by the way, that search tool can be very useful in accessing any of the 1700 blogs or so that the Hub has published: they’re still there; you just have to retrieve them with the tool.

Also early in giving us permission to republish blogs were Patrick McKeough of The Successful Investor, Adrian Mastracci of KCM Wealth Management, Mike Drak, my co-author on Victory Lap Retirement, Billy and Akaisha Kaderli of RetireEarlyLifestyle.com and many more. Just this year we’ve added a few more excellent bloggers: Mark Seed of MyOwn Advisor, Michael Wiener of Michael James on Money, Dale Roberts of Cut the Crap Investing, Fritz Gilbert, the Plutus award winning blogger behind Retirement Manifesto and a few more I hope I’ve not forgotten.

I can hear critics questioning the rationale of this republishing approach: all I can say is that you can consider it sort of the Greatest Hits of Financial Independence, given that our goal has always been to be — as you can see in our slogan elsewhere on this site — North America’s Portal to Financial Independence. We are chiefly an aggregator, although there is also original content.

Yes, I try to write a blog most weeks, though as regular readers may realize, they tend to be “throws” — summaries of paid columns or blogs I’ve written elsewhere, including MoneySense.ca, the Financial Post, Motley Fool Canada, the Globe & Mail on occasion, and Money.ca. Think of it as a sort of one-stop-shopping for what I personally write, even as I retrench a bit as my Semi-Retirement unfolds. (I’ll be 67 in April). In a way, the outside revenue I get from writing for the mass media helps defray the Hub’s modest costs, and of course helps to promote the site to new readers.

Apart from republished blogs, the Hub also regularly tries to publish at least two pieces a week of fresh content written by a variety of other contributors: financial advisors and other investment professionals, occasionally marketers or  firms representing a cross-section of the financial services industry.

The Hub’s 6 categories for the Human Financial Life Cycle

We try to publish a wide selection of topics corresponding to the human financial life cycle: if you’ve not noticed, take a look at the blue menu near the top of the site and you’ll see that our blogs are categorized in six sections. We start with young people (Millennials) who are just getting started in their financial lives. So we start with Debt and Frugality, followed by Family Formation and Housing: they will be interested in topics like real estate and buying their first home, mortgages, interest rates, credit cards etc. From almost the Hub’s inception, Zoocasa.com’s Penelope Graham has contributed excellent articles monthly on the real estate industry. Continue Reading…

Retired Money: Should big savers still fear outliving their money?

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MoneySense.ca: Photo created by freepik – www.freepik.com

My latest MoneySense Retired Money column looks at the topic of whether average savers transitioning to Retirement really need to fear outliving their money. The piece picks up from a blog this summer from Michael James on Money, which will be republished in its entirety tomorrow here on the Hub.

You can access the full MoneySense column by clicking on the highlighted text: How long will your retirement nest egg last?  In addition to citing Michael J. Wiener’s work, the piece passes on the views of two prominent recently retired actuaries: Malcolm Hamilton and Fred Vettese, as well as my co-author on Victory Lap Retirement, ex corporate banker Mike Drak.

Like this blog, despite being online the column’s scope is somewhat constrained by a word limit. In fact, in an email, Hamilton told me he didn’t think such a topic could be addressed in just 800 or 900 words.

Actuary and retirement expert Malcolm Hamilton

“Why? We presume that good advice is universal … that it applies to everyone. It does not, particularly when addressing concerns about running out of money. For years I have looked for evidence that large numbers of seniors spent too much and suffered as a consequence. I haven’t found anything persuasive.”

No one knows how much Canadians should save or how quickly they should draw down their savings after retirement, Hamilton added: “Some people are frugal. They save heavily before retirement and spend sparingly after retirement, leaving large amounts to their children when they die. We all want parents like this. Others are spendthrift. They save little before retirement and live frugally after retirement because they have no money except government pensions.”
Finding balance between extremes of Over-Saving and Over-Spending