Hub Blogs

Hub Blogs contains fresh contributions written by Financial Independence Hub staff or contributors that have not appeared elsewhere first, or have been modified or customized for the Hub by the original blogger. In contrast, Top Blogs shows links to the best external financial blogs around the world.

The 5 worst financial decisions you can make

 By Alana Downer

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Sometimes when it comes to your finances it can be difficult to know if you’re making the right decision. What bank account should you pick? Should you buy a car outright or pay it off as you go? Are you eating too much takeaway? Every day we have to make decisions that affect our finances and some are harder and more consequential than others. In fact, sometimes one small financial decision can have a lasting impact on the health of your bank account. Here are the five worst financial decisions you can make, so you can avoid making the wrong choice in the future!

1.) Spending more than you earn

Overspending is probably the number one money mistake that you can make. You cannot build wealth or be financially secure if you are spending more than you’re earning. By spending money that you should be saving you are doing serious damage to your finances and stalling your financial progress.

It’s true that not everyone has high-paying jobs or huge inheritances, but this doesn’t mean you can’t build up healthy savings by simply monitoring your spending. Part of spending less than you earn means putting effort into living below your means. Track your spending and take a hard look at your spending habits. Are you buying two or three coffees a day? Do you pay a lot of money every month for a gym membership you don’t use? Or perhaps on a bigger scale, you have a huge house or luxury car that you just don’t need.

2.) Never Budgeting

Creating a budget goes hand in hand with learning how to spend less than you earn. A budget is a blueprint for financial success. Without budgeting, it is nearly impossible to keep track of your expenses and ascertain whether or not you are spending more than you should. By creating a budget to follow week-to-week or month-to-month you can stay on top of your finances and prevent yourself from making financial decisions that you may regret.

When creating a budget, it’s a good idea to look at your whole year and the payments that you have to make, such as your rent, your bills, your car registration and cost of transport. Use bills, your bank statements and receipts to help you understand all your expenses. Once you’ve figured out roughly how much you spend over a certain period, figure out your net income (i.e. the money deposited in your bank account each pay period). Subtract your expenses from your income and what is left should be what you aim to save.

3.) Not creating an Emergency Fund

Many people have the mindset that bad things won’t happen to them and that if they do, they will find some way to deal with it when the time comes. This is not a financially intelligent way to think and could leave you in serious trouble if something goes wrong. An emergency fund is exactly what the name suggests, a bank account that can you use in the case of an emergency without having to dip into your savings or rearrange your budget. It is money set aside specifically for use when things go haywire.

Continue Reading…

The 2018 MoneySense ETF All-Stars

The 2018 edition of the MoneySense ETF All-Stars has just been published: you can read the whole article by clicking on the highlighted headline: The Best ETFs for 2018.

The “All-Star” portfolio consists of a 7-person expert panel plus myself. While the number of ETFs trading in Canada have reached 583, the All-Star list is now at 20, up from 14 a year ago. We added one to each existing category (except international equity) and
created a new category: the panel was unanimous in declaring the three new Vanguard Asset Allocation ETFs as All-Stars. See the Hub’s February 1st commentary on the launch of those three new products: Gamechanger.

In addition to adding the new category we call “One Decision” Packages, the panel added a single new ETF in three of the four existing categories: Canadian equities, US Equities and Fixed Income. We stood pat on the three international equity ETFs, although that asset class is also covered by the new Vanguard products.

Canadian equities

New in Canadian equities is the BMO S&P TSX Capped Composite IDX ETF (ticker ZCN), which expands the list from the returning three picks: Vanguard FTSE Canada ;All-cap Index ETF (VCN/TSX) XIC: the iShares Core S&P/TSX Capped Composite Index ETF; and HXT: Horizons S&P/TSX 60 ETF.

The panel was unanimous in retaining all three of these picks, since the trio maintain the lowest management fees among the segment, and HXT is particularly tax efficient and low cost for non-registered portfolios. But the panel agreed with Forstrong’s recommendation to add ZCN, which has the same rock-bottom annual fee of 0.05% as VCN and XIC. ZCN now has more assets than VCN.

US Equities

The panel agreed to add a fourth pick to the US all-cap space, again from BMO: BMO S&P500 Index ETF (CAD), ticker ZSP. As the Forstrong team observed, ZSP’s fee of 0.08 is the same as VFV’s and the fund now has the most assets of the four core US ETFs.

Two of our returning US equity picks are the hedged and unhedged versions of Vanguard Canada’s S&P 500 ETFs: VSP and VFV respectively, plus the iShares Core S&P US Total Market ETF (XUU.)

Fixed Income

The panel added a sixth ETF to the existing lineup of fixed-income ETFs: the iShares Core Canadian Short Term Bond Index ETF (XSB). Continue Reading…

“So what do you make of bitcoin?” – question from a curious investor

Bitcoin, blockchain, initial token offerings  … yikes!  As financial headlines dedicate an increasing amount of coverage to this relatively new area, it’s left many investors scratching their heads.  What is bitcoin?  Do I need to know about this?  Am I missing out on an opportunity?   Below we present a question and answer that we hope investors might find helpful.

From a curious investor: 

So what do you make of bitcoin?  I am interested in your views on it as both an ‘investment’ and as a game changer.  Much to my annoyance, although I believe the world banks are inflating the money supply and the price of hard assets, this has not shown up in the price of gold.

I do not understand it at all. A friend of a friend has become a millionaire and yes he sold enough to make it real money …

Our response

While we’re by no means experts, we’ve thought about this and where we’re at with bitcoin is that while it may be a game changer, we wouldn’t invest in it as an asset in its own right.

Let me back up a bit.

The underlying technology that allows for the creation of bitcoin and other crypto-currencies , blockchain, is complex but the concept is not complex.  Essentially, rather than having a centralized system such as an accounting system or bank where the data is all held and processed centrally, blockchain allows for the data and processing to be decentralized.

They refer to it as distributed ledger technology.   It’s out there on the web, accessible to anyone but encrypted and secure.  Digital or crypto-currencies are just a really interesting application of this blockchain distributed ledger technology.  Up until now, it’s really only been national central banks that have been able to issue currencies and lots of middlemen (banks, brokers, other lenders) have developed to help manage the system and they all take a little off the top to help keep the system running.  Digital currencies can be huge disrupters of this status quo, cutting out middlemen and removing the central banks from the process entirely (maybe).

Bitcoin just happens to be the leading crypto-currency at this point.  There are lots of other ones as well as what’s referred to as crypto-tokens which not only serve as a medium of exchange but also have some other utility attached to them like they allow you to buy something or to receive a service (loyalty programs are a bit like this).  It’s still very early days in terms of any of these being a reliable medium of exchange.  For example for bitcoin the average transaction settlement time is around 45 minutes and often can be days.  Imagine being at the grocery store and wanting to pay with bitcoin from your digital wallet and you have to stand there for 6 hours before the grocer gets confirmation that you have sufficient bitcoin and can transfer it to the grocer’s digital wallet.  Your ice cream would have melted by then.  People also want a medium of exchange to be stable.  Bitcoin and other crypto currencies are wildly volatile.

Blockchain is a game changer

That said, I do believe the people that say blockchain and the application of it to crypto-currencies is a game changer.   I don’t know where it ends up or even if bitcoin will remain as the main crypto-currency but this could be a massive change.  Continue Reading…

What is a Mortgage Vacation?

By Sean Cooper

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Do you enjoy going on vacation? Who doesn’t? So, the term “mortgage vacation” has to be something similar, right? When you hear mortgage vacation, you’re probably picturing yourself laying on a warm, sandy beach, drinking an umbrella drink. Well I hate to break it to you, but although you got the vacation part right, you forgot the most important part: the mortgage part.

A mortgage vacation is a feature that lets you skip paying mortgage payments for up to a few months, but with a catch. You have to prepay the amount in advance. In an era where savings rates are near record lows and household debt is near a record high, mortgage vacations have become a popular feature with mortgage lenders. Who needs to save for a rainy day when you have a mortgage vacation?

A mortgage vacation can help you out when you run into financial difficulty or when you want to use your cash flow towards something else. But as the saying goes, there’s no such thing as a free lunch. By planning ahead of time, you can avoid taking a mortgage vacation and still be on your way to burning your mortgage.

What is a Mortgage Vacation?

If you’re like most homeowners, you’re introduced to mortgage vacations in this way. You get a letter in the mail from your lender letting you know that you’ve been approved for a mortgage vacation. Yippee! The banks market mortgage vacations like they’re a privilege for their best clients, but as I mentioned earlier, there’s a catch. Hidden in the fine print is what happens when you skip your mortgage payment. Continue Reading…

U.S. Inflation: A case of high anxiety?

U.S. CPI vs. U.S. CPI ex-Food & Energy Year-over-Year Change from 1/31/2010 to 1/31/2018

By Kevin Flanagan, WisdomTree Investments

 Special to the Financial Independence Hub

There is no doubt that inflation fear has reared its ugly head early in 2018, impacting the money and bond markets in rather noteworthy fashion. Some key headline-grabbing measures, such as wages and the Consumer Price Index (CPI), have come in above consensus forecasts to start the year, fueling a case of high anxiety for the fixed income arena. Naturally, the million (or should it be billion?) dollar question is: Are these heightened inflation fears warranted?

As we entered the new year, consensus forecasts for inflation were that readings at both the overall and core (ex-food and energy) levels would essentially remain unchanged. Interestingly, economists’ projections have been revised upward of late and now post slightly elevated readings. Indeed, the CPI is now expected to come in at a year-over-year rate of +2.3%, or 0.2 percentage points (pp) higher than the prior projection. The alternate measure, the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, has been changed to a +1.9% increase (also up 0.2 pp), with the core PCE gauge being lifted 0.1 pp to +1.8%. The bottom line is that these revised estimates now all look for some modest increase from 2017 levels.

What about the Federal Reserve (Fed)? For now, all investors have to go by is the policy makers’ December projections. The March FOMC meeting, scheduled for March 21st, will be the Fed’s next chance to make any potential adjustments to their prior forecasts.. The preferred measure is the PCE price index, and the policy makers provide projections for both the overall and core PCE gauges. The Fed’s central tendency estimate is similar to the revised market consensus, with a range of +1.7% to +1.9% for each index. It should be noted that both the economists’ and the Fed’s current PCE projections still fall below the +2.0% target laid out by the policy makers.

Let’s take another look

So, let’s take another look at the aforementioned wages and CPI numbers. Continue Reading…