Hub Blogs

Hub Blogs contains fresh contributions written by Financial Independence Hub staff or contributors that have not appeared elsewhere first, or have been modified or customized for the Hub by the original blogger. In contrast, Top Blogs shows links to the best external financial blogs around the world.

Retired Money: Suddenly Retired while Covid lingers

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My latest MoneySense Retired Money column looks at how the last two years of the Covid pandemic may have caused many older workers to find themselves suddenly retired, whether by their choice or not. You can find the full column by clicking on the highlighted text: Does it make sense to retire when we’re still in a pandemic?

Depending on when you had originally planned to retire — typically the traditional Retirement age in Canada is around 65 — the unexpected loss of Employment income may create any of several possibilities.

A major one is Semi-Retirement: a sort of half-way house between full employment and traditional full-stop Retirement. They may embrace a so-called Portfolio Career, generating multiple streams of income: employer pensions, government pensions, investment income, annuities, self-employment income; rental income, book royalties, speaking fees and the like.

Those in their early 60s may decide re-employment is not in the cards, which means a severance package may be your ticket to launching an encore career and becoming self-employed.

While self-employment may seem scary to those who spent more of their careers as salaried employees, self-employment doesn’t necessarily mean starting a business and employing others. Freelancing or consulting is typically a one-person gig; it may even just mean cobbling together several part-time jobs.

The column also addresses the possibility of downsizing to a smaller or less expensive place in the country, which many sudden retirees have done during the Covid era. Of course, the whole WorkfromHome phenomenon has shown how new technologies like Slack and Zoom make it possible to work remotely from anywhere with a reliable Internet connection. Two years into living with the pandemic, such technologies seem to have become permanent fixtures of working, whether remotely or a hybrid of commuting and telecommuting.

Those who were already near retirement and who enjoy good employer pensions and/or solid nest eggs from RRSPs, TFSAs and other savings, may decide they can get by without finding new employment or braving the waters of self-employment.

Time may be worth more than money

The column quotes financial marketer Darin Diehl, laid off at age 60 before Covid: “Even before Covid, my wife and I were thinking about whether we’d stay in our Mississauga home for the transition years into retirement, or downsize and relocate out of the city … Covid caused us to think about our options more thoroughly.” Continue Reading…

Canadians fret about meeting day-to-day expenses and inflation’s impact on Saving

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With rising inflation driving up the costs of goods and services, a Scotiabank survey released Monday reveals over half [53%] of Canadians are worried about their ability to pay for day-to-day expenses. The majority (78%)of expect to be spending more on basic necessities like groceries and food, or gas (71%), and 53% expect to spend more on utilities (53%). 47% say these issues are impacting their ability to save for longer-term financial goals and 37% feel it’s impacting their current standard of living. Scotia Economics expects inflation to peak later this summer before starting a slow descent to 3.6% in 2023 and back to target by 2024.

“Canadians are feeling heightened levels of anxiety as a result of inflation: especially younger people and women who were also hardest hit by the pandemic,” said D’Arcy McDonald, Senior Vice President of Retail Payments and Unsecured Lending at Scotiabank via a press release. “The cost of everything is on the rise and Canadians are worried about their ability to afford the essentials such as food and gas. At the same time, there have never been so many jobs in the Canadian economy, wages are picking up, and inflation will come down over time.”

Financial stress hits differently across the country

Where Canadians live dictates how much they believe rising costs will impact their finances and ability to pay their bills. 49% of residents in the Atlantic think inflation is having a major impact on their ability to set and stick to a budget, compared to 36% of residents of British Columbia and Quebec. 

When it comes to feeling financial anxiety, 57% of Quebecers are least likely to be concerned about their ability to pay for day-to-day expenses, compared to residents of Alberta (45%), Manitoba/Saskatchewan (44%), Ontario (43%), and the Atlantic (39%).

The young are most impacted and most concerned

Women, younger Canadians, and those with lower household incomes are significantly more concerned about their financial situation over the next few months. Women (44%) are more likely than men (35%) to say inflation and the rising costs of goods and services is having a major impact on their ability to set and stick to a budget.

Canadians between the ages of 18-34 (45%) and 35-54 (46%) say inflation and the rising costs of goods and services is having a major impact on their ability to set and stick to a budget, compared to Canadians 55+ (30%). Continue Reading…

Why the highest-yielding investment funds might not be the best for ETF investors

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The investment funds claiming the highest yields aren’t always the best for every investor

By David Kitai,  Harvest ETFs

(Sponsor Content)

A look at the “Top Dividend” stock list on the TMX website will show an investor a selection of the highest yielding investment funds and stocks available in Canada. That list features some astronomically high numbers on investment funds: yields upwards of 20%. An income-seeking investor might look at those numbers and rush to buy, believing that with a 20%+ yield, their income needs are about to be met.

As attractive as the highest-yielding investments might appear, there are a wide range of other factors for investors to consider when shopping for an income paying investment fund. Investors may want to consider the crucial details of how, when and why that yield is paid as income: as well as their own risk tolerances and investment goals. This article will outline how an investor can assess those factors when deciding what income investment fund is right for them.

Looking ‘under the hood’ of the highest-yielding investment funds

If you see a big yield sticker on an investment fund in excess of 20%, you may want to look more closely at the details of its income payments.

Because income from investment funds is not always solely derived from dividends, the income characteristics will be listed under the term “distributions.” Information like the distribution frequency and the distribution history will tell a prospective investor a great deal about a particular investment fund’s high yield.

Investment funds will pay their distributions monthly, quarterly, or annually. By looking at the distribution frequency of an investment fund, investors can assess whether an investment fund meets their particular cashflow needs.

A useful way to assess the track record of an investment fund is by looking at the distribution history page published on its website. This will show how much income was paid on each distribution. Some funds have very consistent distributions history, while others fluctuate frequently over time. The distributions history can be a useful way to assess the reliability of the income paid by an investment fund.

Assessing these characteristics can be a useful first step in deciding whether an income investment is right for you. But investors should also consider why the yield number next to an ETF is so high.

Is the high-yield number temporary?

The yield numbers next to investment funds on a resource like the TMX “Top Dividend” list reflect the most recent distribution paid by an investment fund or stock. In the case of investment funds, that distribution could have been a one-off ‘special distribution.’

A special distribution could be the result of a wide range of factors. For example, one of the fund’s holdings could have paid a significant dividend that is being passed on to unitholders. Special distributions are often accompanied by a press release. Continue Reading…

How Low-Volatility ETFs can help in this environment

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By Sa’ad Rana, Senior Associate – ETF Online Distribution, BMO ETFs

(Sponsor Blog)

With recent market volatility, investors are demanding solutions that stay afloat during market ups and downs. When looking at behavioural finance studies around loss aversion, an interesting finding arises that people’s fear of loss is (psychologically) twice as powerful versus the pleasure they experience from gains. This is one reason we have seen investors pulling money out of the markets in the past couple months. In reality, this may be a disservice to themselves, if they could just stay invested in a solution that could ease those bumps in the road, they would be better off. Low Volatility investing is one such solution.

So, what is Low Volatility (Low Vol) Investing? Well, it is an approach to investing that allows one to gain equity exposure for some possible growth in their portfolio while providing downside protection.

The chart below (long-term historical performance of the MSCI ACWI – global equities) perfectly demonstrates this. Low Vol is sitting a little bit higher than the broad market (from a returns aspect) but, yet significantly reducing risk. Low Vol sitting at around 10%, whereas the average equity risk is approx. around 15%.

Measuring Low volatility and BMO ETFs’ Approach

Low-volatility is a type of factor-based investing, which is a process that is repeatable and disciplined in its execution. Therefore, in order to invest in this manner, you need to use metrics to identify between what is considered a low volatility stock vs. a high volatility stock. There are a lot of different approaches in the market. The two most prevalent are the Low Beta and Standard Deviation methodologies.

Beta is a risk metric that measures an investment’s sensitivity to fluctuations in the broad market (market sensitivity). The broad market is assigned a beta value of 1.00, an investment with a beta less than 1.00 indicates the investment is less risky relative to the broad market. Low beta investments are less volatile than the broad market and can be considered defensive investments. Over the long term, low-beta stocks may benefit from smaller declines during market corrections and still increase during advancing markets. Additionally, low-beta stocks tend to be more mature and provide higher dividend yield than the broad market. Continue Reading…

Maintaining Balance in Volatile Markets

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Franklin Templeton/Getty Images

By Ian Riach, Portfolio Manager,

Franklin Templeton Investment Solutions

(Sponsor Content)

It’s been a volatile first half of the year for the world’s capital markets. In many countries, both equities and fixed income have declined, which has led to the second-worst performance for balanced portfolios in 30 years. Typically, bonds outperform stocks in down markets, but not this time. In fact, this has been the worst start to the year for fixed income in the past 40 years, thanks to higher inflation and the resultant rise in interest rates.

Supply-side inflation harder to tame

Central banks use rate hikes as a tool to curb demand for goods and services; but the current inflation is being driven more by supply-side issues stemming largely from the COVID-19 pandemic and exacerbated by the Russia/Ukraine war. Unfortunately, central banks have little influence over supply. All they can do is try to dampen demand with an aggressive interest-rate adjustment process, but they must be careful not to overshoot. Raising rates too quickly runs the risk of tipping weak economies over the edge into recession territory.

Canada’s most recent inflation imprint, released in June, showed an increase to 7.7% year-over-year. One negative consequence is that real incomes are being squeezed as inflation continues to accelerate.

Rates are rising quickly

Both the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) and Bank of Canada (BoC) have increased their overnight lending rates from essentially 0% prior to March of this year to 1.5%-plus in June. The Canadian futures market had priced another 75-basis point (bp) increase at BoC meeting in July, which ended up an even higher 100-bps with indications of more to come in September.

Rising interest rates are hurting several sectors of Canada’s economy, notably real estate — especially risky for the economy as housing and renovations have been leading Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for the past few years. A significant correction in that sector could lead to a recession.

If there is any silver lining in the current situation, it may be in the Canadian dollar versus its U.S. counterpart. Short-term rates in Canada have moved higher than in the United States. This differential, along with the direction of oil prices, affects the value of the Canadian dollar against the U.S. dollar. If the differential widens and stays higher in Canada, the loonie will likely benefit.

Recession risks are growing

The likelihood of recession is hotly debated within our investment team. Recession in North America is not our base case, but a soft landing will be very difficult. We are currently in a stagflationary environment and recession risks are increasing daily. Europe may already be in recession.

The stock market is a good leading economic indicator, and its recent decline indicates the risk of recession is rising. In addition, the yield curve is very flat, which typically portends an economic slowdown. These market signals have somewhat altered our team’s thinking. Given the current environment, we are reducing risk in our portfolios. In fact, we recently went slightly underweight equities.

Regionally, we are reducing the Europe weighting as that region is more exposed to the negative headwinds associated with war. We are slightly overweight the U.S. but acknowledge that valuations are subject to disappointment with declining earnings growth. We are overweight Canada, which continues to benefit from rising resource prices. Continue Reading…