Debt & Frugality

As Didi says in the novel (Findependence Day), “There’s no point climbing the Tower of Wealth when you’re still mired in the basement of debt.” If you owe credit-card debt still charging an usurous 20% per annum, forget about building wealth: focus on eliminating that debt. And once done, focus on paying off your mortgage. As Theo says in the novel, “The foundation of financial independence is a paid-for house.”

Millennials value property more than looks when it comes to dating: HSBC study

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HSBC.com

It seems Canada’s soaring real estate market has started to affect Millennial dating patterns. According to a survey coming out today from HSBC Bank Canada 61% of Millennials feel anxious about buying a property, so much so that shared financial (39%) or property (33%) goals are considered more important than looks when daters are considering a potential future partner.

HSBC adds that this obsession with shared property has a downside for Canadian millennials: “They are far more likely to say they had stayed in a bad relationship due to property (16%) than Canadians on average (6%).” Sounds like a possible basis for a new Millennial situation comedy!

All this is contained in Beyond the Bricks, an HSBC-sponsored annual global survey of almost 12,000 adults in ten countries, including 1,077 in Canada.

HSBC says that getting on the property ladder can be both exciting and stressful for Canadian millennial once they’ve found their perfect partner.  Most (62.8%) Canadian millennials said financial considerations drove their last house move, and the top two reasons for the move were getting more house for their money (25.5%) or a lower cost of living (23.4%). And the biggest source of tension was accepting money from parents for the purchase (in 14% of cases.) Continue Reading…

Which came first: the Chicken or the Egg?

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By Kevin Flanagan, WisdomTree Investments
 
Special to the Financial Independence Hub
A funny thing happened recently when I walked into the office. No, this is not the setup for some joke; rather, I’m referring to what I heard regarding movement in the stock and bond markets. Specifically, the narrative was that the decline in U.S. equities resulted from the drop in the U.S. Treasury (UST) 10-Year yield.
Because I’ve been a “bond guy” for quite some time now, the rhetoric was fascinating to me and brought to mind this age-old question: Which came first: the chicken or the egg?

In my experience, the bond market typically reacts to developments in the stock market, not the other way around. Being a baby boomer (right at the tail end, mind you), I thought: Am I missing something here? Could the paradigm have shifted? Thus, I decided to do a little bit more investigating, and what I found was that, in my opinion, no, the paradigm had not shifted. The recent decline in the UST 10-Year yield had its genesis in the latest sell-off in the stock market, which began in early May and continued throughout the month.

Dow Jones Industrial Avg. vs. UST 10-Year Yield

UST vs Stock Market

Take a look at the graph. The UST 10-Year yield was essentially straddling the 2.50% threshold in the opening days of May until the Dow Joes Industrial Average (DJIA) took a nearly 475-point nosedive on May 7. This began the downward trend in which we find ourselves now. Remember, that trend was in response to the breakdown in U.S./China trade talks and the attendant escalation in “tariff talk.” Then round 2 hit as the DJIA plunged 617 points on May 13, leading the UST 10-Year to break through the 2.40% level, ultimately falling down to 2.37% —which, at that time, matched the 2019 low watermark set back in March. Notice how stocks rebounded somewhat after this episode: and what did the 10-Year yield do? That’s right, it moved back up as a result. Continue Reading…

3 easy ways to build an Investment Portfolio on the cheap

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I ditched my financial advisor about a decade ago and started investing on my own. I was fed up with paying high fees for underperforming mutual funds. Dividend-paying stocks were growing in popularity so I decided to take the plunge and build my own portfolio of blue-chip companies.

Several years later I realized my folly; it’s hard to pick winning stocks. It’s even more difficult to consistently pick winners and avoid losers over the long term. Overwhelmingly, the academic research showed that passive investing using mutual funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has a much better chance of outperforming active investing that focuses on stock picking and market timing.

I bought into the research, sold my dividend stocks, and set up my new investment portfolio using two low-cost, broadly diversified ETFs.

Today investors have many more choices available to build an investment portfolio on the cheap. I’ll show you three ways to lower your investment costs, diversify your portfolio, and reduce the time you spend worrying about investing.

1). Use a robo-advisor

A traditional financial advisor or wealth manager might cost an investor between 1.5 to 2.5 per cent in management fees each year. Then along came robo-advisors to disrupt the portfolio management model and drive down costs to less than 1 per cent.

A robo-advisor helps you build a portfolio based on your risk tolerance, experience, and time horizon. Once your model portfolio is built all you have to do is make regular contributions and the robo-advisor will allocate your cash into the appropriate investments.

The robo-advisor takes care of rebalancing your money whenever the portfolio drifts away from its original allocation (due to market movements or from your own contributions).

Competition is heating up in the robo-advisor space with the likes of Wealthsimple, Nest Wealth, Justwealth, ModernAdvisor, Questwealth, and WealthBar all vying for your investment dollars. BMO SmartFolio has been around for a while and more recently RBC launched its own robo-platform with RBC InvestEase.

2.) Invest in index funds

An index fund tracks a stock or bond market and aims to deliver market returns minus a very small fee. All of the big banks offer index funds, typically at half the cost (or lower) than their traditional equity or bond mutual funds.

One popular set of index funds is TD’s e-Series funds. These funds can only be purchased online but they offer tremendous savings over their actively managed mutual fund cousins. Investors can find e-funds for Canadian equities, Canadian bonds, as well as U.S. equities and International equities all for fees of about 0.50 per cent or less.

Another solid set of index funds comes from Tangerine’s Investment Funds. These are one-fund solutions that come in five flavours; with the traditional 60 per cent equities, 40 per cent bonds balanced portfolio being its most popular. The expense ratio on Tangerine’s funds comes in at 1.07 per cent: higher than TD’s e-Series funds, but still a bargain compared to the industry average. Continue Reading…

Motley Fool: Best vehicles for an Emergency Fund

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What are the best investment vehicles for holding a safe and highly liquid Emergency Fund? That’s the focus of the third in my latest series of blogs for Motley Fool Canada introducing the basic principles of establishing Financial Independence.

You can find the latest instalment by clicking on the highlighted headline here: One Essential Tip for Achieving Financial Freedom.

In the first two installments of this new series of articles, we looked at two key steps toward Financial Independence: jettisoning debt and, once that is accomplished, applying the resulting surplus to savings and ultimately long-term investments.

As the latest blog argues, you could even argue that an emergency cash cushion should take precedence over both debt elimination and saving/investing.

What should you be looking at in an Emergency Fund? First, you need liquidity: the ability to access the cash at a moment’s notice. Second, you want safety of capital, which really means cash equivalents or fixed income, not equities normally held with a time horizon of more than five years. Third, assuming some sort of fixed income that’s not locked up like a 5-year GIC, you want at least a reasonable rate of interest to be paid on it.

Normally, you shouldn’t regard RRSP investments as an emergency cushion, since you’ll have to pay tax to access the funds. Most people will try to keep relatively high cash balances in their chequing accounts that can serve as a cushion, although typically these accounts pay next to nothing in interest income. One possibility is short-term or redeemable GICs that may pay somewhere between 1 and 2% per annum. Another good place to “park” such funds is a High Interest Savings Account (HISA).

As the name suggests, HISAs pay high amounts of interest, usually more than 2%. According to this source, several pay more than that: as of mid 2019, EQ Bank was paying 2.3%, Motus Bank up to 2.5%, Tangerine was offering a promotional rate of 2.75%, and Motive Financial was paying 2.8%, Wealth One Bank of Canada was paying 2.3% and WealthSimple 2%. Pretty nice returns for liquid cash cushions! Continue Reading…

Retired Money: What to do about falling GIC rates

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PWL Capital’s Ben Felix

My latest MoneySense Retired Money column has just been published. It looks at the reversal the past year in interest rates, which impacts seniors who had started to look forward to at least half-decent GIC rates near 3%. You can find the full piece by clicking on the highlighted headline: Are GICs right for retirees looking for Fixed Income? 

Short of embracing high-yielding dividend paying stocks, the more palatable alternative for conservative retirees might be fixed-income ETFs. The article focuses on a recent video by CFA Charterholder Benjamin Felix, an Ottawa-based portfolio manager for PWL Capital. Felix argues that at a minimum such investors should have a mix of both fixed-income ETFs and GIC ladders.

The latter let you sleep at night because they are invariably “in the green” in investment accounts. But while in the short term fixed-income ETFs can be in the red — just like equity ETFs — Felix makes a compelling argument for the higher potential returns of bond ETFs.

Felix believes that what really matters for investors is total return: “Holding a lower-rate GIC after a rate increase still results in an economic loss.” Bond returns consist of principal, interest payments and reinvested interest, so focusing only on return of principal misses the point. Individual bonds are not ideal for individual investors, as they require extensive research, are relatively expensive and tricky to trade.

Short-term GICs miss out on the term premium

But short-term GICs miss out on the term premium, which is substantial over time. Going back to 1985, Felix says short-term bonds returned 6.51% annualized versus 7.97% for the aggregate bond universe (which includes some short-term bonds).  This shows how much mid- and long-term bonds bring up the overall return. To be clear, this period captures one of the greatest bond markets in history but Felix says it is still reasonable to expect a relationship between riskier longer-term bonds and higher expected bond returns. Risk and return should be related.

GICs are also illiquid, so even if an investor chooses to include GICs in a portfolio, they will generally also include bond ETFs, which – like stock ETFs – can be sold any trading day. Nor do GICs provide exposure to global bonds.

Of course, a nice alternative are those asset allocation ETFs we have often discussed on this site. See for example this excellent overview by CutthecrapInvesting’s Dale Roberts: Which All-in-One, One-Ticket Portfolio is right for you? 

The Felix video can be found at his Common Sense Investing YouTube series here.