Decumulate & Downsize

Most of your investing life you and your adviser (if you have one) are focused on wealth accumulation. But, we tend to forget, eventually the whole idea of this long process of delayed gratification is to actually spend this money! That’s decumulation as opposed to wealth accumulation. This stage may also involve downsizing from larger homes to smaller ones or condos, moving to the country or otherwise simplifying your life and jettisoning possessions that may tie you down.

They have $1.2 million in their 50s and no pensions: can they retire?

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A million dollars isn’t what it used to be, especially C$ and with no employer pension

By Mark Seed, MyOwnAdvisor

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

 

They say a million bucks or so ain’t what it used to be … but I still think that’s a pile of money.

Which begs the question: does this couple with C$1.2 million in invested assets have enough to retire on?

Before we get into this latest case study however (thanks to a reader question by the way, I’ve changed the names of the readers for privacy reasons), this is a great time to remind you I’ve done other case studies like this on my site before: there are a few on this Retirement page in particular.

Mike and Julie want to spend $50,000 per year. Did they save enough?

This couple believes they could fulfill their early retirement dreams at age 52. What does the financial math say?

This single senior hopes he can retire at age 60 on a lower income. Is it possible?

What is enough for some is not enough for others

Passionate readers of this site will know I believe personal finance is personal. What works well for some investors or families will not work at all for others.

You need to carve your own financial path.

The 4% rule says you should be able to ‘safely’ withdraw 4% of your original portfolio each year, adjusted for inflation, for at least 30 years and have a reasonably high chance of having money left over.

This means, in more practical terms based on this rule, that a $1.2 M portfolio should be able to last ~ 30 years (or more) by withdrawing $48,000 in year 1 of retirement ($1.2 M x 0.04), then increasing that amount over time with inflation.

That said, while having a core spending plan is all fine and good, it’s also having flexibility designed into your plan that is essential for success. You need to consider your spend on travel, hobbies, home renovations but also the ability to cover emergencies and more during retirement.

Rates of return also matter

The potential sequence of many bad years in the stock market could crush a retirement plan if you’re not careful. Also, while less risky portfolios (i.e., more fixed income portfolios) might fluctuate less in the short term, over the long term this will have a big impact on your returns. This means a more conservative portfolio can actually increase the risk of running out of money …

Karla and Toby case study

To help us figure out if this couple, who has a seemingly healthy $1.2 M in the bank, have “enough money” I’ve once again enlisted the help of Owen Winkelmolen, an advice-only financial planner (FPSC Level 1) and founder of PlanEasy.ca.

Owen let’s get into it!

Sure Mark!

Case study overview

First off, I want to say Karla and Toby are in a very good financial position for retirement with over $1M in financial assets in their 50s. That is excellent.

That said, they face some risk in the future. Let’s look at the information and numbers they sent you:

  • Karla, was and remains stay at home mom, Age 54. 
  • Toby, marketing manager, makes $110,000 per year now. Age 56. Toby wants to retire early next year in January when he turns 57. You told me they would love to start their winter renting from a Florida condo: sounds great!
  • They have lived in Canada their entire life. (re: they expect CPP and OAS benefits to come).
  • They live in Calgary, Alberta and own their home. 
  • They have no debt other than $19,000 Line of Credit (LOC) balance used for a recent vacation and monies borrowed to fund their adult daughter’s wedding earlier this year.
  • Karla has no workplace pension whatsoever although Toby has a small LIRA from a former employer to draw down.

 Portfolio assets:

  • They have $700,000 in combined assets within their RRSPs; invested in a mix of costly mutual funds.
  • Toby has $50,000 in his Locked-In Retirement Account (LIRA). Invested in similar mutual funds above.
  • They have $150,000 (combined) invested within their TFSAs. They hold a mix of Canadian REITs and a few Canadian bank stocks. 
  • They’ve got about $50,000 cash in an interest savings account.
  • Toby has $250,000 invested in a taxable/non-registered account that includes a mix of cash, U.S. stocks and some Canadian dividend paying stocks.

All told, they have about $1.2 million in investable assets and their home value is estimated at $550,000.  They are considering selling their home as they get older and renting, including renting property in Florida each winter. 

You also told me they have one car, now paid for, a 2014 Range Rover SUV and no plans to get a new one until at least five years from now. 

Mark those are great details to start some analysis with …

Owen’s analysis

Based on what details you shared with me Mark, because a large portion of their desired retirement spending will come from their investment portfolio, this creates a high risk of running out of money if they were to experience a period of poor investment returns in the future.  We’ll get into that in a bit. Continue Reading…

Q&A with author David Aston about his new book, The Sleep-Easy Retirement Guide

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Author David Aston, whose book becomes available today

Today is the formal release date for David Aston’s new book, The Sleep-Easy Retirement Guide. Below is a Q&A I conducted with David to mark the occasion. See also my review of the book at MoneySense that appeared in December, as well as the Hub’s throw to that piece. 

Jon Chevreau: What inspired you to write the book after so many years of writing about Retirement?

David Aston: I have covered most of the key issues in planning for retirement in stand-alone articles I have written over the years.  But I wanted to update that advice for current circumstances and figures, show how all the issues fit together as an interconnected whole, and provide it in a combined reference guide that people could have on their shelf and readily turn to when questions came up.

Q2: What do you think about the FIRE movement?

DA: The Financial Independence Retire Early (FIRE) movement is certainly laudable.  It’s an admirable concept that people should try to achieve Financial Independence as early as possible, which frees them up to do work that is most meaningful to them (rather than being obligated to do work that maximizes income).  As I understand it, it also includes the concept that people should adopt a modest lifestyle that consumes money carefully and wisely without wasting it, which in turn helps make Financial Independence more achievable at a relatively young age.  But from what I’ve read, many of the FIRE scenarios are oriented to extreme examples of people trying to achieve Financial Independence in their 30s.  So it sometimes comes up as a concept for millennials who are looking for Financial Independence as a near-time goal rather than one that is achieved after a long career at work.  That’s only possible for a tiny minority of people.  In my experience, it is far more common for people in their 30s to go through a very difficult financial crunch period where they are struggling to buy a house, then make humungous mortgage payments, and cover the expensive costs of raising kids.  FIRE goals are not realistic and achievable in your 30s for the vast majority of people.  However, the quality of thriftiness and emphasis on saving can be emulated by everyone. I personally think FIRE makes a fair amount of sense for the far more common case of people of average means who might aspire to achieving Financial Independence in their early 60s or possibly their late 50s, but that may not sound particularly appealing to millennials.

Q3: What’s your take on Semi-Retirement and/or Phased Retirement?

DA: The whole world of work for older workers is opening up.  The once accepted norm that people retired from their career job to live a life of leisure close to age 65 has pretty much gone out the window.  There are lots of expanding options for people to do post-career work that is different than their career job.  Often it involves reduced hours, but it can also be full-time work that is less stressful or more fulfilling, or some combination of these attributes.  There are various forms of part-time work, contract work, self-employment, consulting or temp work.  Often it means switching employers or being self-employed, but it can also mean gearing down to reduced hours or a less stressful role with the same employer.   And these post-career options are often started in your early 60s, but they can also happen earlier or later. So there is a vast array of options out there and it’s really up to people to pursue the opportunities that appeal to them the most.

I should mention that “phased retirement” is a term that is sometimes applied to formal corporate programs that allow older employees to adopt a reduced-work schedule or otherwise gear down with the same company prior to full-retirement from their career job.  If you go back about 10 years or so, there was an expectation that these kind of corporate programs would increasingly catch on and be offered by major corporations.  However, it never really caught on as formal corporate programs that are broadly offered to all older employees. What I have seen happen is that you get a lot of these kind of arrangements to offer reduced hours or less stressful/more fulfilling job functions negotiated on an informal, individual basis. They aren’t offered to everybody in the company.  Whether or not an employee can achieve something like that or not depends on the nature of their job, what their boss is looking for, as well as their individual wants and needs. Continue Reading…

Victory Lap: Second Round

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By Mark Venning, ChangeRangers.com

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Unless you have been hiding in a cave for the last couple of decades, you have likely heard more than enough versions of the dialogue and plays with words around the changing attitudes and approaches to the long-standing social construct “Retirement.”

Not to mention the numerous metaphors we have applied to interpret this later life transition from a full time working life to…whatever we think we should call it…whatever works for you. In this case, it’s a Victory Lap.

Exactly three years ago in a two-part blog post, I interviewed the then co-authors of the book Victory Lap Retirement: Mike Drak and Jonathan Chevreau, published October 2016. Now in May 2019, the second edition arrived. Based on the success of book sales for version one and some strong endorsements from a number of respected specialists and writers in the financial services field, this no doubt is good cause for this second round.

Beyond those reasons, I asked Mike Drak recently, “What prompted you to arrive at the 2nd edition and add a third contributor, Rob Morrison?”

Mike: “Our intention is to keep revising Victory Lap Retirement as we learn more from ongoing research and also from our own experiences. We added Rob Morrison CFP® as we wanted to release the book in the US and he could bring US expertise to the table as President of financial services firm Huber Financial Advisors, LLC, in Lincolnshire, Illinois. He is well versed with respect to Retirement.”

Smart decision, given the size of the US market and that fact that perspectives are not that much different between the US and Canada when it comes to older adults rethinking pathways in a later life journey. And in this manner, when it comes to co-authors working together as Mike Drak says, “We speak the same language and share the same beliefs that traditional full stop Retirement is a thing of the past and that we need to develop a better concept, one that will work today.”

As I mentioned in my 2016 post on the first review of Victory Lap Retirement, over my twenty years in the career services world, where I worked directly with business executives in their later life transitions – leaving the corporate crow’s nest, as I called it, since 2001 I produced three Retirement programs, delivered countless seminars and engaged many coaching conversations. Continue Reading…

Comparative saving for Financial Independence: Is the world financially stacked against women?

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By Billy and Akaisha Kaderli, RetireEarlyLifestyle.com

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Why do women lag in retirement savings as compared to men?

Are women at a disadvantage for reasons too numerous to list? Is it sexism? Are females not good savers? Big spenders? Is it really true that women get paid less for the same work performed? Is the world financially stacked up against women?

I read lots of articles noting all the reasons that “women have it harder” than men when it comes to saving for retirement. Regularly listed are the following:

  • The difference in men’s and women’s wages, also affecting their Social Security amounts later: but the articles don’t give honest insight into why the wages vary. This leads the reader to conclude that it’s sexism that determines pay.
  • Women often live longer than their spouses, “forcing” them to live on one SS check instead of two:  however, by women living longer, this gives more time for their investments to compound.
  • Women take off work to raise children or to become a caregiver to a family member, thus affecting their career path earnings. See the tools offered below which – if used – both stay-at-home-moms and caregivers can become financially independent.

Think outside the box

I don’t enjoy reading articles that tell me “statistically,” I’ll be settling for less and that I don’t have options. Or that “according to the numbers” – somehow – I am doomed to a mediocre savings rate and career path. Or because I am a woman, I’m going to have it tougher in life: all across the board.

So, let’s think outside the box for a moment.

First things first: education and career choice

It’s called OPEH.

OPEH is an anacronym for Occupation, Position, Education and How many hours worked a week. These four things affect a person’s income far more than one’s gender.

And we, as women, have choices in all of these categories.

Occupation

Georgetown University composed a list of the best paying college majors and the percent of men and women majoring in those fields.

The highest paying majors were Engineering, Math and Science. Men dominated these job choices, so their career path was set to earn a good, solid wage with upward mobility.

The lowest paying majors were those in Psychology, education, and social services. Women dominated these fields, so their career path was set to earn less than the above-mentioned choices that males made. These different career choices limited their upward mobility within their jobs.

We women have a choice as to what field we want to excel in, and we need to choose wisely.

Position

Teaching young girls the value of STEM courses (Science, Technology, Engineering and Math) will place them in careers where they will earn more. Upward mobility in STEM careers is greater and this will translate to better earnings on their future bottom line.

Education

Within those STEM fields, males tended to gravitate towards a specialty or training that paid better. In other words, males once again made different choices for their focus. Nothing is stopping us from making these same choices. Our brains are every bit as good, wouldn’t you agree?

Hours worked per week

Even within the same job categories – and this is important here – one of the things that differentiated male workers from female workers was the willingness of male workers to put in more hours per week on the job. Males were more inclined to be on call or be at the office any time the firm might call them. Continue Reading…

Celebrating Findependence Man. Five Years On!

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By Mark Venning, ChangeRangers.com

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

In between meetings with your financial planning advisor, where do you go for ongoing news and commentary on personal financial matters? If you live in North America there is a wealth, so to speak, of media options, books and seminars to pick from, but one reliable source for news and views that has served up some of the best, curated content over the last five years is the website Findependence Hub, produced by Jonathan Chevreau.

Author of the book Findependence Day, Chevreau got the idea for this title around 2008, just before the financial crisis. As Jonathan tells me, “It just came to me one day, when I was playing around with the idea of Financial Independence and the American Independence Day … Financial Independence was a bit of a mouthful, so shortened it to Findependence.”

Isn’t that the way most of today’s catchy brand names or tag lines come to life?

Uniquely, the Findependence Day book has a Canadian and US version. Jonathan describes it as, “a Wealthy Barber-ish financial fiction format,” based on a story of a couple undergoing their financial life cycle as they experience the usual modern churn in a narrative of job loss, buying a home, raising children, investing and pensions, starting a business all the while navigating stock market volatility and other life dilemmas.

True, Jonathan says, “David Chilton’s classic bestseller Wealthy Barber spawned many imitators but I tried to be a bit different with my book … it makes an attempt to incorporate real elements of traditional fiction: plot, characterization, setting, including frequent “setbacks” or conflicts between the characters that keep people reading. It turns out that the ‘setback’ or conflict structure of fiction is well suited to portraying financial planning.” Continue Reading…