Decumulate & Downsize

Most of your investing life you and your adviser (if you have one) are focused on wealth accumulation. But, we tend to forget, eventually the whole idea of this long process of delayed gratification is to actually spend this money! That’s decumulation as opposed to wealth accumulation. This stage may also involve downsizing from larger homes to smaller ones or condos, moving to the country or otherwise simplifying your life and jettisoning possessions that may tie you down.

How Real Return Bonds compare with regular Bonds, protecting against unexpected rises in Inflation

Posted By |

Real Return Bonds (RRBs) pay you a rate of return that’s adjusted for inflation, but that’s not always as promising as it seems.

When a real-return bond is issued, the level of the consumer price index (CPI) on that date is applied to the bond. After that, both the principal and interest payments are typically adjusted every six months, upwards or downwards from that base level, to compensate for a rise or fall in the CPI.

In general, Government of Canada real-return bonds pay interest semi-annually, on June 1 and December 1.

How a real-return bond works: A theoretical example

The Bank of Canada issues $400 million of 30-year bonds maturing on December 1, 2049. The bonds have a coupon, or interest rate, of 2%.

If after six months from the date of issue, the new CPI level is, say, 1% above the level of the CPI on the issue date, then each $1,000 of bond principal is adjusted to $1,010 of bond principal ($1,000 x 1.01). The semi-annual interest payment is then $10.10 ($1,010 x 2% / 2).

If after 12 months, the level is 2% higher, then the bond principal is adjusted to $1,020 ($1,000 x 1.02), and the interest payment rises to $10.20 ($1,020 x 2% / 2).

Three important considerations to recognize with real-return bonds

1.) The price you pay for real-return bonds reflects the anticipated rate of inflation. In other words, if investors feel that inflation will rise 2% over the long term, the price of the bond will reflect that future inflation increase and its effect on the bond’s principal and interest payments. So, when you buy a real-return bond, you are only protecting yourself against unanticipated rises in inflation.

2.) When the inflation rate falls over a six-month period, the principal and interest payments of a real-return bond fall. In times of deflation, the inflation rate turns negative. In a prolonged period of deflation, the principal of a real-return bond could fall below the purchase price. Interest payments would fall, as well.

3.) As with regular bonds, holders of real-return bonds must pay tax on interest payments at the same rate as ordinary income. That income gets taxed at the investor’s marginal rate. In addition, holders of real-return bonds must also report the amount by which the inflation-adjusted principal rises each year, as interest income, even though you won’t receive that amount until the bond matures. That amount is added to the bond’s adjusted cost base.

If the CPI level falls, that reduces the inflation-adjusted principal. You deduct the amount of that reduction from your taxable interest income that year, and also subtract it from the adjusted cost base.

Real-return bonds in comparison to regular bonds

In simple terms, a bond is a form of lending whereby you lend money to a corporation or government. In return, a bond pays a fixed rate of interest during its life. Eventually, a bond matures, and holders get the bond’s face value—but nothing more. Receiving the fixed interest and face value at maturity is the best that can happen. Note, though, that in some cases, corporate bonds can go into default. As well, inflation can devastate the purchasing power of bonds and other fixed-return investments. Continue Reading…

Making the most of CPP and the Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS)

Posted By |

 

By Graeme Hughes, PFP, for Cutthecrapinvesting

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Note from Dale Roberts: This is a guest post by invitation, from Graeme Hughes, PFP. Thanks to Graeme, this is a wonderful follow up post to The 3 Most Common Mistakes of Canadian Investors. Over to Graeme …

Canada’s tax and benefits system is a convoluted tangle of programs, rules and exceptions that can be a genuine challenge to navigate. Like all complex systems, having some knowledge of how it works often reveals opportunities to benefit. And as a taxpayer, it only makes sense to ensure that we are accessing all the benefits our tax contributions have made possible.

One of the greatest areas where this type of planning pays off is in structuring our early-retirement income to maximize pension benefits. Here we will be looking at two benefits in particular, the Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS) and the Canada Pension Plan (CPP).

Accessing the Guaranteed Income Supplement (GIS)

Often, the GIS is viewed as being strictly a benefit for seniors who are living in poverty. However, recent studies show almost a third of Canadian seniors are receiving this benefit, and it can add substantially to your total retirement picture.

The GIS is an add-on payment to Old Age Security (OAS). It provides a maximum monthly benefit of $907.30 for single OAS recipients, and $546.17 each for married and common-law OAS recipient. Benefits are income tested, and clawed back at a rate of at least $1 for every $2 of taxable income for singles, and at least $1 each for every $4 of combined income for couples. The clawback rates are variable depending on total income, and more detailed tables can be found here.

The GIS is a non-taxable benefit, and OAS amounts are not included in the income calculation. Once annual income reaches $18,408 for individuals, or $24,336 in combined income for couples, the GIS benefit drops to zero.

How to maximize the GIS if you have modest savings

Knowing this, if I were a retiree with modest savings and no employer-sponsored pension, I would be tempted to ensure I reached age 65 without any RRSPs. Given the GIS clawback would apply to taxable RRSP withdrawals, the RRSP becomes a very inefficient way to fund additional retirement spending.

For example, if I am a single retiree, aged 65 or older, and I receive 70% of the maximum CPP amount ($808/month), I will be entitled to an additional $363 per month in GIS payments, along with my $607 OAS benefit (assuming 100% OAS eligibility).

While that may not seem like a lot of money, the GIS benefit represents 20% of my total income. For every dollar I take from an RRSP, I am going to lose at least 50 cents of that GIS benefit, and that would be a waste of my precious savings.

However, this clawback does not apply to TFSA withdrawals or withdrawals from non-registered accounts, since they are non-taxable. Keep in mind that in non-registered accounts, any interest, dividends or capital gains that are earned would result in GIS clawbacks, but these would likely be much more minor unless the balances are sizeable.

So for many retirees, it may be beneficial to liquidate their RRSPs prior to age 65, or shortly after 65, and move the proceeds to a TFSA first, with any excess amounts going to a non-registered account. This will maximize the value of the money they have worked hard to save, and optimize their entitlement to government benefits.

Of course, the tax consequences of liquidating RRSPs need to be carefully considered and compared to the GIS benefits likely to be gained. The larger the RRSP balances, the harder this strategy is to justify.

How to benefit from GIS if your Retirement Savings are more substantial

The GIS options become even more interesting for retirees that have larger amounts of savings and limited sources of retirement income outside of government pensions. In this case, appropriately structuring your affairs can provide a real advantage in increasing the longevity of your retirement assets. Continue Reading…

CPP Payments: How much will you receive from Canada Pension Plan?

Posted By |

Canada Pension Plan (CPP) benefits can make up a key portion of your income in retirement. Individuals receiving the maximum CPP payments at age 65 can expect to collect nearly $14,000 per year in benefits.

The amount of your CPP payments depends on two factors: how much you contributed, and how long you made contributions. Most don’t receive the maximum benefit. In fact, the average amount for new beneficiaries is just over $8,000 per year (as of March 2019).

CPP Payments 2019

The table below shows the monthly maximum CPP payment amounts for 2019, along with the average amount for new beneficiaries:

Type of pension or benefit Average amount for new beneficiaries (March 2019) Maximum payment amount (2019)
Retirement pension (at age 65) $679.16 $1,154.58
Disability benefit $980.24 $1,362.30
Survivor’s pension – younger than 65 $439.37 $626.63
Survivor’s pension – 65 and older $311.99 $692.75
Death benefit (one-time payment) $2,394.67 $2,500.00
Combined benefits
Combined survivor’s and retirement pension (at age 65) $869.86 $1,154.58
Combined survivor’s pension and disability benefit $1,096.12 $1,362.30

Now, you may not have a hot clue how much CPP you will receive in retirement, and that’s okay.

The good news is that the government does this calculation for you on an ongoing basis. This means that you can find out how much money the government would give you today, if you were already eligible to receive CPP. This information is available on your Canada Pension Plan Statement of Contribution. You can get your Statement of Contribution by logging into your My Service Canada Account, which – if you bank online with any of the major banks – is immediate.

Related: CRA My Account – How to check your tax information online

If you’d prefer to send your personal information by mail you can request a paper copy of your Statement of Contribution sent to you by calling 1.877.454.4051, or by printing out an Application for a Statement of Contributions from the Service Canada Website.

Note that the information available to you on your CPP Statement of Contribution may not reflect your actual CPP payments. That’s because it doesn’t factor in several variables that might affect the amount you’re entitled to receive (such as the child-rearing drop-out provision). The statement also assumes that you’re 65 today, which means that later years of higher or lower income that will affect the average lifetime earnings upon which your pension is based aren’t taken into consideration.

CPP is indexed to Inflation

Canada Pension Plan (CPP) rate increases are calculated once a year using the Consumer Price Index (CPI). The increases come into effect each January, and are legislated so that benefits keep up with the cost of living. The rate increase is the percentage change from one 12-month period to the previous 12-month period.

CPP payments were increased by 2.3 per cent in 2019, based on the average CPI from November 2017 to October 2018, divided by the average CPI from November 2016 to October 2017.

Note that if cost of living decreased over the 12-month period, the CPP payment amounts would not decrease, they’d stay at the same level as the previous year.

CPP Payment Dates

CPP payment dates are scheduled on a recurring basis a few days before the end of the month. This includes the CPP retirement pension and disability, children’s and survivor benefits. If you have signed up for direct deposit, payments will be automatically deposited in your bank account on these dates:

All CPP payment dates 2019

  • December 20, 2018
  • January 29, 2019
  • February 26, 2019
  • March 27, 2019
  • April 26, 2019
  • May 29, 2019
  • June 26, 2019
  • July 29, 2019
  • August 28, 2019
  • September 26, 2019
  • October 29, 2019
  • November 27, 2019
  • December 20, 2019

Why Don’t I Receive The CPP Maximum?

Only 6 per cent of CPP recipients receive the maximum payment amount, according to Employment and Social Development Canada. The average recipient receives just 59 per cent of the CPP maximum. With that in mind, it’s best to lower your CPP expectations when calculating your potential retirement income. Continue Reading…

The Pros and Cons of Dividend Investing

Posted By |
Photo created by rawpixel.com – www.freepik.com

My latest MoneySense Retired Money column has just been published, which you can retrieve by clicking on the highlighted headline: The Pros and Cons of Dividend Investing.

As with most of the Retired Money articles I write for the site, the piece looks at dividend investing from the perspective of someone in their 60s who is nearing retirement or semi-retired, as well as full retirees in their 70s.

It notes there are two major schools of thought on income investing.

In his book, You can retire sooner than you think, author and financial planner Wes Moss makes the case for retirees 60 or older having 100% of their portfolio in income-generating vehicles: whether interest, dividends, rental income from REITs or other securities: “Everything should be paying you an income from age 60 on.”

But there is a “total return” camp that argues total returns are what counts, whether generated by capital gains or cap gains combined with a growing stream of dividend income. In his series of “Stop doing” blogs, Toronto-based advisor Steve Lowrie argued investors should Stop chasing dividends.

One of the most romanticized ideas in personal finance?

Also in the total-return camp is PWL Capital portfolio manager Benjamin Felix, who tackled this in a Q&A column where a young Gen Y investor asked how he could create an all-dividend portfolio so he could retire early. Felix has said dividend investing is “one of the most romanticized ideas in personal finance”—citing a 2013 study by Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA) that found 60% of U.S. stocks and 40% of international stocks don’t pay dividends, plus the fact that Warren Buffett declared dividends should not matter in making great investments. So, he concluded, an all-dividend approach would lead to “poor diversification.” Felix also dispelled the misconceptions that dividends are a guaranteed source of returns, offer protection in down markets, and that companies that grow their dividends necessarily beat the market. Continue Reading…

Renting in Retirement

Posted By |

By Benjamin Felix, for Boomer & Echo

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Canadians value few things more than a home that is owned outright. This might be especially true for retirees. The thinking seems to be that once your mortgage is paid off, your housing expenses evaporate. Unfortunately, this could not be further from the truth.

The alternative, renting, is often frowned upon. Renting is seen as throwing money away. The reality is that renting in retirement can make a lot of sense, both financially and psychologically, when it is properly understood.

The first step to accepting renting as a sensible housing choice is understanding the financial aspect of the decision. To compare the financial implications of renting and owning we need a common ground. That common ground is unrecoverable costs.

Unrecoverable Costs

Rent is an unrecoverable cost. It is paid in exchange for a place to live, and there is no equity or other residual value afterward. That is easy to grasp.

Owning also has unrecoverable costs. They are less obvious and usually get missed in the renting versus owning discussion. An owner of a mortgage-free home still has to pay property taxes and maintenance costs, both unrecoverable, to maintain their home. Each of these costs can be estimated at 1% of the value of the home per year on average.

In addition, an owner absorbs an economic cost for keeping their capital in their home as opposed to investing it in stocks and bonds. This economic cost, or opportunity cost, is a real cost that an owner needs to consider. Estimating this portion of the cost of owning is harder to do. It requires estimating expected returns for stocks, bonds, and real estate for comparison with each other.

Expected Returns

Estimating expected returns is not an easy task; it starts with understanding historical risk premiums. The market will demand more expected return for riskier assets, and this relationship is visible in historical returns.

For stocks, bonds, and real estate, the Credit Suisse Global Investment Returns Yearbook offers data going back to 1900. Globally, the real return for real estate, that’s net of inflation, from 1900 through 2017 was 1.3%, while stocks returned 5% after inflation, and bonds returned 1.9%. If we assume inflation at 1.7%, then we would be thinking about a 3% nominal return for real estate, a 6.7% nominal return for global stocks, and a 3.6% nominal return for global bonds.

To keep things simple and conservative, we will assume that real estate continues to return a nominal 3%, while stocks return an average of 6%, and bonds return 3%.

The Cost of Capital

With a set of expected returns, we can now start thinking about the cost of capital. Every dollar that a home owner has in home equity is a dollar that they could be investing in a portfolio of stocks and bonds. A retiree is unlikely to have an aggressive portfolio of 100% stocks, so we will use the 5.10% expected return for a 70% stock and 30% bond portfolio. The 2.10% difference in expected returns between the portfolio and real estate is the opportunity cost carried by the owner.

It is important to note that asset allocation, which is a big driver of these numbers, will depend on many factors including other sources of income like pensions, tolerance for risk, and portfolio withdrawal rate.

Comparing Apples to Apples

Adding up the unrecoverable costs, we now have 4.10% of the home value between property tax, maintenance costs, and the cost of capital. This is the figure that we can compare to rent.

A $500,000 home would have an estimated annual unrecoverable cost of $20,500 ($500,000 X 4.10%), or $1,708 per month. If a suitable rental could be found for that amount, then renting would be an equivalent financial decision in terms of the expected economic impact.

Other Financial Considerations

So far, we have looked at pre-tax returns. Taxes could play an important role in this decision. Increases in the value of a principal residence are not taxed. Income and capital returns on an investment portfolio are taxed. Continue Reading…