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Fraudsters more active than ever but less than half of us take protective measures

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Image www.antifraudcentre-centreantifraude.ca/

Yes, it’s March, also dubbed Fraud Prevention Month. To mark it, a TD survey has been released that finds fraudsters are getting more persistent as the cost of living keeps soaring.

While 62% of Canadians agree they are being targeted now more than ever, a whopping 46% haven’t taken any measures to educate themselves or take protective measures in the past year.

Among the findings:

  • 47% believe the rising cost of living and other financial hardships will expose them to more scams
  • 78% don’t have much confidence in their ability to identify fraud or scams
  • 54% feel stressed or anxious about financial fraud
  • 31% are too embarrassed to tell anyone if they were the victim of a fraud or scam
  • 66% of Gen Z and 44% of Millennials admit they wouldn’t tell someone if they were swindled

The full press release is here.

“As Canadians report being targeted by a record number of financial fraud attempts, many can benefit from using the tools and resources available to protect themselves and their loved ones,” says Mohamed Manji, Vice President of Canadian Fraud Management at TD in the release, “It’s very important to exercise caution, especially at a time when fraudsters may take advantage of the economic challenges many Canadians are currently facing. In addition to the robust security measures TD has in place for its customers, the best defence against financial fraud is being aware and knowing how to spot it.”

Both TD and the Canadian Anti-Fraud Centre offer a comprehensive library of articles discussing the latest trends in scams and measures Canadians can take to enhance their awareness and avoid falling victim to fraudsters.

Targeting mostly via e-mail or telephone 

The survey found 72% of Canadians reported being targeted by email/text message fraud, up 14 percentage points from last year, while 66% were targeted over the phone. Oddly, the poll finds Fraudsters seem to be pivoting away from social media, with only 26% targeted this way, 10 percentage points less than 2022.

Those polled were most concerned about identity theft (52%), title fraud (23%) and fake emergencies (20%).

Factors likely to increase vulnerability to fraud include age (43%),  loneliness or isolation (35%), moving recently to Canada (34%) and financial hardship or job loss (32%).

“We’re seeing more fraudsters preying on customers through the ‘grandparent’ or ’emergency’ scam,” adds Manji. “This cruel crime is often successful because it exploits someone’s desire to care for their loved ones. If you get a call from somebody claiming to be a family member or friend in immediate need of funds, hang up the phone and call them back using a number you have for them.”

TD says that with 31% saying they’d be too embarrassed to tell anyone if they were a fraud or scam victim, it’s clear there’s some stigma in talking about this type of crime. If someone believes they’ve fallen victim to a scam, they should immediately report it to their financial institution, local police department, credit bureaus (Equifax and TransUnion) and the Canadian Anti-Fraud Centre.

How can Canadians protect themselves?

TD recommends the following tips and advice: Continue Reading…

ETFs to generate Retirement Income

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By Mark Seed, myownadvisor

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Image courtesy MyOwnAdvisor/Dreamstime.com

Let’s dive in!

My retirement income plan and options

I’ve been thinking about my semi-retirement income plan for some time now.

Months ago, I captured a list of overlooked retirement income planning considerations that remain very relevant.

There are obvious ways to generate retirement income but I suspect some might not appeal to you for a few reasons!

  • Option #1 – Save more. Sigh. I doubt most people will like this option, I don’t! However, more money saved will help combat inflationary pressure, rising healthcare costs and longevity risk.
  • Option #2 – Work longer. Double sigh. If you didn’t like option #1, you might not like this one! Working longer into your 60s or potentially to your 70s might be the reality for some with a low savings rate.
  • Option #3 – Spend less. Spending less than you make seems simple but not easy!

Simple but not Easy

Meaning, the path to a well-funded retirement is usually (always?) spending less than you make, investing the difference, and growing that gap over time. This has largely been our plan – to let the power of compounding do its thing – but that does take discipline and time. Investing patience is a virtue.

Save, invest, earn

Our semi-retirement income plan has us leveraging a mix of income streams in a few years:

  1. Earn income from part-time work – to remain mentally engaged but also to fund some income needs and wants in our 50s.
  2. Spend taxable (but tax-efficient) dividend income from our basket of Canadian stocks.
  3. Make strategic Registered Retirement Savings Plans (RRSPs) withdrawals in our 50s and 60s.

We’re not quite “there” yet in terms of having 1, 2 and 3 running smoothly to meet our semi-retirement income needs yet, but we are getting there and making some lifestyle choices accordingly…

We hope to semi-retire sometime in 2024.

We have been working hard to build up our taxable dividend income stream for about 15 years now.

We continue to max out our TFSAs as our first investing priority every January (and we’re saving for that again in early 2023).

We have been maxing out contributions to our RRSPs, and we’ll continue to do so for the next couple of years.

What are my retirement income needs? 

In a nutshell, we figure once we can earn close to $30,000 per year from a few key accounts (for example, from our taxable account(s) and TFSAs x2), and then make those strategic RRSP withdrawals on top of that, we should have enough to start part-time work.

Here are some estimated very basic expenses in semi-retirement:

Key expenses Monthly Annually Semi-retirement comments ~ end of 2024??
Mortgage $2,240 $26,880 We anticipate the mortgage “dead” before the end of 2024.
Groceries/food $800 $9,600 Although can vary month-to-month!
Dining/takeout $100 $1,200
Home maintenance/expenses $700 $8,400 Represents 1% home value per year, increasing by inflation.
Home property taxes $500 $6,000 Ottawa is not cheap, increasing by inflation or more.
Home utilities + internet/TV/cell phones, subscriptions, etc. $400 $4,800
Transportation – x1 car (gas, maintenance, licensing) $150 $1,800 May or may not own a car long-term!
Insurance, including term life $250 $3,000 Term life ends in 2030, will self-insure after that without life insurance.
Totals with Mortgage $5,140 $61,680
Totals without Mortgage $2,900 $34,800 As you can see, once the debt is gone, we’ll be in a much better place for financial independence!

Add in other spending/miscellaneous spending to the tune of $1,000 per month on top of that, and our semi-retirement budget is likely at the basic-level about $4,000-$4,500 per month.

What are your retirement income needs?

Until the end of time, I suspect one of the most popular retirement planning questions will be: how can I generate retirement income?

That’s a HUGE quesiton to answer. I mean, we have rising inflation, higher interest rates, and the need to make your money last to fight any longevity risk, higher taxation and the need to cover essential healthcare costs as you age. This also makes how you can generate retirement income a VERY important question to answer.

Passionate readers of this site will know I’m a big fan of investments that generate meaningful income. Sure, you can invest in real estate, private equity, run a business into your 60s and 70s but for many people: the stock market is a common vehicle for average people/average investors to be long-term business owners.

This makes the hope of capital gains or getting paid today via dividends an interesting paradox.

As I get older, while the best total returns are always the goal, I’m more concerned about the tangible income my portfolio can (and will) generate moreso than hoping for stock market prices to work in my favour.

Full stop: I like investments that generate income. I like individual stocks as investments that pay ever growing income!

While I believe in (and own) low-cost, passive Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) for total portfolio growth, a major portion of my portfolio rewards me to be a shareholder. I am attracted to investments that pay dividends or distributions. You may wish to consider the same for your meaningful retirement income needs.

Should you use ETFs to generate your retirement income needs? 

I believe so, at least a consideration if you’re not going to be an owner of some individual dividend-paying stocks!

While I invest in many Canadian and U.S. individual dividend-paying stocks for income and growing income, today’s post is about those lower-cost income-oriented ETFs you can own in certain accounts to avoid individual stock risks. Continue Reading…

$1.7 million to retire, revisited

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Image by Pexels: Tima Miroshnichenko

My latest MoneySense Retired Money column takes a more in-depth look at the Hub blog that ran earlier this month. For the full Retired Money version that ran on Friday, click on the highlighted text here: How much money do you need to retire in Canada? Is it really $1.7 million? 

Both look at the widely publicized BMO poll that found Canadians now need $1.7 million to retire on average. The figure used to be $1.4 million but inflation has made it a bit tougher. Here’s the CNW newswire release from Feb. 7th.

As I mention in the MoneySense column, the Hub version was written off the top of my head and published as part of the initial news cycle. With an extra week to go to expert sources, the updated column is more nuanced and has more accurate returns projections and calculations where the first version consisted of guesstimates.

Of course, generalizations are always dangerous and that goes double for retirement planning, especially over the kind of 40-hour time horizon involved. It’s one thing to be a Millennial investor just starting out on the retirement journey and quite another to be a boomer like myself, looking back at portfolios begun three or four decades earlier. As the original Hub version commented, $1 million isn’t what it used to be. Even so, even maxing out your RRSP contributions each year will take some doing: as I wrote after my quick guesstimate, if you divide $1.7 million by 40 you get $42,400 a year that needs to be contributed each and every year, or almost twice the maximum RRSP contribution permitted even if you’re a top earner.

If you’re fortunate enough to be one half of a couple, $850,000 per spouse seems a lot more achievable. And if you have a Defined Benefit pension plan, you may not need anything else, whether from an RRSP, TFSA or non-registered savings. If you hang in to a gold-plated DB pension plan for 40 long years, odds are it alone will be the equivalent of $1 million, and possibly backstopped by taxpayers and indexed to inflation to boot.

But if you begin investing early, you won’t need to save anywhere close to $1.7 million because of investment returns that are tax-deferred inside an RRSP. Because of the time value of money, even the modest 4% compounded annual investment returns will over the course of 40 years get you to the promised land.

The Hub blog assumed investment returns of 4% per annum either from fixed income (4- or 5-year GICs) or from high-yielding dividend-paying stocks, like Canada’s bank stocks, utilities or telecom majors. In the MoneySense column, wealth advisor Matthew Ardrey of TriDelta Financial assumes a more hopeful 5% return across those asset classes.

Using the retirement calculator Calculator.net, used by BMO (www.calculator.net), if you can earn a conservative 4% a year, you’d need to contribute only $17,202 (rounded) at the end of each year to reach $1.7 million after 40 years. That breaks down to $688,074 in total contributions and another $1,011,926 in interest payments.

And if you can do better than 4%, you could contribute even less and make up the difference in investment returns: at 5% a year, you’d need to contribute only $13,403 (rounded) at the end of each year to reach $1.7 million after 40 years. That breaks down to $536,110 in contributions and $1,163,891 in interest.

P.S. MyOwnAdvisor doesn’t think most need to save $1.7 million

As a postscript, I note that on his Weekend Reads feature, MyOwnAdvisor also tackled this question of $1.7 million, which ran after I had already submitted my MoneySense column on the same topic. You can find Mark’s take here, but here’s his bottom line:

Do you really need $1.7 million to retire?

I highly doubt it.

Or, maybe.

I dunno.

“It depends.”

It depends on you. I mean that! 🙂

 

 

 

 

 

Sector ETFs for Defensive Plays

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By Mirza Shakir, Associate Portfolio Manager, BMO ETFs

(Sponsor Content)

What are Sector ETFs?

Sector ETFs allow targeted exposure to sectors or industries like financials, materials, or information technology – domestic, regional, or global. The sectors are usually classified according to the Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS), but other classifications can also be used. While sector ETFs could be active funds, most track an index, offering transparency, liquidity, and low fees.

There are eleven broad GICS sectors that can be invested in with sector ETFs.

  • Energy
  • Materials
  • Industrials
  • Consumer Discretionary
  • Utilities
  • Real Estate
  • Communication Services
  • Financials
  • Health Care
  • Consumer Staples
  • Information Technology

There are two common approaches in constructing a sector portfolio: market capitalization weighted and equal weighted. As the names suggest, the former approach weights securities in the portfolio by market capitalization while the latter weights them equally.

At BMO ETFs, our suite of sector ETFs covers equal-weighted and market-weighted strategies across all sectors, locally and globally. We opt for equal-weighted strategies for sectors that have the potential to get concentrated in a few large names with the market-capitalization approach, ensuring effective diversification and mitigating individual company risk.

 

Source: BMO GAM, BMO ETF Roadmap February 2023 (Visit ETF Centre – CA EN INVESTORS (bmogam.com)

Annualized Distribution Yield: The most recent regular distribution, or expected distribution, (excluding additional year end distributions) annualized for frequency, divided by current NAV.

Risk is defined as the uncertainty of return and the potential for capital loss in your investments.

Why Invest in Sector ETFs?

Sector ETFs can offer differentiated return and risk profiles for investors, not only from broad market portfolios but also from other sectors. Additionally, investing in a sector ETF allows access to a broad range of companies that have businesses that operate in similar or related industries, which can be more diversified than investing in a single stock. The investor does not have to place individual bets on single companies, which helps limit company-specific risks.

The table shown at the top of this blog, and shown to the right in miniature, shows the performance of all sectors in the U.S. from 2011 to 2022. Notably, the best and worst performing sectors change every year, leaving an opportunity for market timing to generate high returns. However, timing the markets can be extremely difficult. A more effective strategy can be sector rotation, which involves overweighting or underweighting sectors relative to the stage of the business cycle.

Playing Defense – Sector Rotation Strategies

The business or economic cycle refers to a cycle of expansion and contraction that economies undergo, accompanied by similar upswings and downswings in economic output and employment. Continue Reading…

Best stocks for new investors seeking profits share these qualities

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Image courtesy TSInetwork.ca

Finding top stocks for new investors is easier when you know what to look for. Discover the types of stocks to invest in and some investments to avoid.

We caution investors to maintain a healthy sense of skepticism at all times. It’s especially crucial for investment newcomers to observe this rule.

Here are some recommendations on the types of stocks for new investors to focus on: and ones to avoid.

Focus on investment quality  

The best investment plans or systems use a variation of the value investing approach. That is, they revolve around choosing high-quality investments and diversifying your holdings.

Safer investing also means taking a careful and methodical approach to investing that does not jeopardize your savings or your investment goals. There will always be some inherent risk when investing, so making safer investing decisions lets you minimize that risk.

The safest way in our view for Successful Investors to invest money is to place a lot of importance on investment quality.

We do our own stock market research for our newsletters and investment services, and we apply it from a portfolio manager’s perspective. That’s why we advise sticking to mostly well-established companies; they tend to hold on to more value when things go wrong and recover faster.

Zero in on dividend-paying investments

One tip we share often is to invest in companies that have been paying a dividend for 5 or more years. Dividends are typically cash payouts that serve as a way for companies to share the wealth they’ve accumulated. These payouts are drawn from earnings and cash flow and are paid to the shareholders of the company. Typically, these dividends are paid quarterly, although they may be paid annually or even monthly. Canadian citizens who own shares in Canadian stocks that pay dividends will also benefit from a tax break.

Building a diversified portfolio of top stocks for new investors

Always maintain a diversified stock portfolio: and avoid the temptation of trying to pick hot stocks or sectors.

Different investors may be more comfortable holding a larger or smaller number of investments in their portfolios. Here are some tips on diversifying your stock portfolio:

When it comes to a diversified stock portfolio, stocks in the Resources, and Manufacturing & Industry sectors in general expose you to above-average share price volatility.

  • Stocks in the Utilities and Canadian Finance sectors entail below-average volatility.
  • Consumer stocks fall in the middle, between volatile Resources and Manufacturing companies, and more stable Canadian Finance and Utilities companies.

Most investors should have investments in most, if not all, of these five sectors. The proper proportions for you depend on your temperament and circumstances.

Investments that should be avoided: Cryptocurrencies & IPOs

I still can’t think of anything that would make me optimistic on bitcoin or any cryptocurrency, even after the deep slump the whole sector has gone through recently. The best thing I can say about bitcoin is that it will probably remain volatile, rather than vaporizing like the worst crypto performers. Continue Reading…