News

News

Ukraine invasion underlines investors’ need for super diversification

It’s scary times for everyone, investors included. As this site focuses on Financial Independence, I’ll try in this blog to direct readers to some useful sources of financial advice.

We’ll start with MoneySense, since in my role as Investing Editor at Large, I’m on top of much of the investing content there.

First, I’d point to Allan Small’s article that appeared over the weekend: The Meaning of market swings and why you should care. Allan recaps current trends in rising inflation and rising interest rates, noting that geopolitical uncertainties can create buying opportunities on certain stocks:

“The key is to make sure your portfolio is diversified. It’s the best — and cheapest — strategy to protect your portfolio in any environment. Balance it with different sectors of the economy.”

Second, Dale Robert’s weekly market wrap for MoneySense always has plenty of good insights into up-to-the-minute market action. His February 27th instalment of Making Sense of the Markets is particularly instructive. Hub readers will be familiar with Dale’s own site, Cutthecrapinvesting, as we regularly republish Dale’s blogs here on the Hub (with his kind permission, of course!).

Here’s Dale’s recent blog on the Ukraine situation. Here’s an excerpt:

“Even a few weeks ago it was easy to predict what would help investors make their portfolios more battle-hardened. Gold and energy certainly rose to the unfortunate occasion.”

Ever since Covid hit, Dale has been furnishing sound investment ideas, often ahead of the rest of the financial blogosphere. For example, he was one of the earliest to sound the alarm that Covid would be a serious problem for investors. He was also early in recommending energy plays like Eric Nuttall’s Nine Point Energy Fund (NNRG) and inflation-fighting recommendations like the Purpose Real Assets ETF (PRA.) That’s one reason why we included Dale as a panelist in MoneySense’s yearly ETF All-Stars feature: the 2022 edition will be out this spring, albeit under the direction of a new writer, Bryan Borzykowski.

No one ever made a dime panicking

How am I responding to the financial aspect of this crisis? Well, as Mad Money’s Jim Cramer often reminds readers in such times, “No one ever made a dime panicking.” Just yesterday, The Successful Investor publisher Patrick McKeough reminded Hub readers that short-term investment decisions all too often sabotage long term returns.

Patrick has been hugely consistent over the years with the following three-fold guidelines, which are as relevant during this Ukraine crisis as in they are in sunnier times:

1.) Invest mainly in well-established, dividend-paying companies;

2.) Spread your money out across most if not all of the five main economic sectors (Manufacturing & Industry; Resources & Commodities; Consumer; Finance; and Utilities);

3.) Downplay or avoid stocks in the broker/media limelight.

In his Inner Circle Advice bulletin issued after Tuesday’s market rout, McKeough titled one section “Putin goes for broke” while urging investors to stay the course if they adhere to the three points above:”In the past third of a century, Russia has gone from dictatorship to fledgling democracy and back to dictatorship. If his Ukraine venture goes awry, it could be the end of the Putin era and the start of a new try at western-style government for Russia.

“Meanwhile, we advise sticking with your portfolio if your investments are in tune with our Successful Investor directives. Now, though, is a good time to re-emphasize that recent IPOs tend to be a poor investment choice, on average. But that’s especially so in a market situation like this one, in which volatility is likely to be above average for some time.”

Some other newsletters to which I subscribe recapped historical market action in advance and during prior outbreaks of war and invasions; generally they found that investors who “bought the invasion” eventually did well.

On the other hand, in an article in the Globe & Mail this Monday, veteran commentator Gordon Pape suggested it wouldn’t hurt to raise cash where you have significant capital gains: while they’re still gains. You can find the article, albeit paywalled, by clicking on this highlighted headline: Investors should take these steps to protect their portfolios from  the Russia-Ukraine conflict.  Pape also warned, as have many pundits, that if Russia does get away with its Ukraine invasion, it may embolden China to make a similar move on Taiwan.  Continue Reading…

Canadian Financial Summit 2020 is now online

The four-day Canadian Financial Summit 2020 edition kicks off at 8 pm EST (5 pm PST) tonight (Oct. 14): an all-virtual event featuring 30 personal finance speakers and financial bloggers. You can get tickets and catch up here. Tickets are free via the website.

After kicking off with a webcast tonight, the online event runs till this Saturday, October 17.

Kornel Szrejber

The summit’s host is Kornel Szrejber, who runs the finance and investing podcast The Build Wealth Canada Show.  Szrejber [pictured right] says on the site that he became one of Canada’s youngest retirees at age 32 (“before I got bored and took on the Podcast and Summit as passion projects,”) following a career in the financial planning and investing industry.

The event will also feature the experiences of two others who are among Canada’s youngest retirees, Kristy Shen and Bryce Leung, who will pass on their wisdom about how they reached retirement at so tender an age.

Scheduled speakers include Rob Carrick of the Globe & Mail, former Toronto Star financial columnist and consumer advocate Ellen Roseman, and Financial Post columnist Peter Hodson.

There are also several names that should be familiar to regular Hub readers: BoomerandEcho’s Robb Engen, MyOwnAdvisor’s Mark Seed and certified financial planner Ed Rempel. (The Hub often republishes their blogs.)

You can see some of the other speakers below, including Tom Drake, Kyle Prevost and other well known bloggers and personal finance gurus.

 

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Book Review: 12 takeaways from Michael Cohen’s Trump book, Disloyal

There are of course a glut of books about Donald Trump, especially now we’re fewer than two months away from the U.S. election. We have previously looked at several of these from an investment point of view, and most recently Mary Trump’s book, Too Much and Never Enough.

On the weekend I read Michael Cohen’s Disloyal, which — like Mary Trump’s book — provides the kind of insider perspective that outsider journalists and authors can’t quite match. Cohen spent a decade as Donald Trump’s personal lawyer and “fixer” and as he says in the book, “I know where the skeletons are buried, because I helped bury them.”

In its review this week, the Washington Post is a bit harsh on Cohen but I found the book to be among the most insightful I have read about Trump: certainly more enlightening than John Bolton’s snoozer, or some of the early journalistic books like Michael Wolff’s Fire & Fury.

Below are a dozen takeaways that provide either insights not before quite articulated, or which seem to bear repeating. While much of what follows may be known or hinted at it in earlier books and journalistic investigations, Cohen wraps it all up with his ten years of close observance of Trump as he evolved from real estate hustler to Reality Show “star” and now his turn as the Reality TV president.

Clearly, Cohen views Trump as a purely transactional beast who cares little for anything but his own hide and possibly his close family members. He doesn’t come out and say it explicitly but my own view of Trump is that he epitomizes the single-minded pursuit of the four goals cherished by many in this secular society: Money, Power, Sex and Fame. And give him credit for this if nothing else: he certainly has attained copious quantities of all four.

1.) Motivation to run in the first place was as a “lark and a PR stunt.”

Trump, largely at Cohen’s instigation, initially decided to run for president because “it would be cool” and as “a lark and a P.R. stunt.” Or as Cohen has famously said, the presidency would prove to be “the greatest infomercial in the history of politics.” Not exactly noble motivations and there’s not a hint of even pretending it was ever about “public service.” Even if Trump’s team thinks he deserves the Noble Prize (which his team infamously misspelled the other day, when the correct spelling of course is “Nobel,” after Alfred Nobel.)

2.) What’s with the Putin obsession?

Trump’s fascination for Russia’s Vladimir Putin is based on his perception that Putin is also the richest man in the world, and therefore hugely influential. He also serves as a model for the “dictator for life” aspiration Trump clearly harbours. And, Cohen insists that should he lose the November election, he will try to find a way not to leave.

3.) “a cheat, a liar, a fraud, a bully, a racist, a predator, a con man.”   

No surprise here on this list of character traits. From page 15 of the e-book I read on SCRIBD:

“…. I bore witness to the real man, in strip clubs, shady business meetings, and in the unguarded moments when he revealed who he really was: a cheat, a liar, a fraud, a bully, a racist, a predator, a con man.”

It’s been previously reported how Trump has repeatedly stiffed contractors but Cohen cites several particular examples, including even those that backfired: like when he tried to welch on one of those famous $130,000 porn star payoffs covered by the tabloid National Enquirer.

4.) Pathological lying and baseless smears

The dirty tricks and pathological lying will continue. Cohen nicely recaps how the birtherism lie about Barack Obama originated, which first propelled Trump to media prominence. Similarly, he recaps the shameful smears that let Trump eliminate his Republican rivals in 2015-2016, ending with the smear about Ted Cruz’s father’s alleged (and ridiculous) role in the assassination of JFK.

5.) Sexual allegations

There’s plenty of salacious material about Trump’s sexual predator inclinations, both as the owner of beauty pageants and various ogling incidents, including ones about Cohen’s own daughter on a tennis court. That same daughter declared soon after Trump’s run was announced that he “wasn’t qualified” to become president. Out of the mouths of babes …. Continue Reading…

Welcome to the Financial Independence Hub!

Welcome to the Hub!

We are a North American portal site dedicated to all things related to Financial Independence: blogs, books, podcasts, discussion forums, web videos and the like. We are not a site about Personal Finance per se. Personal Finance is all about tactics, not long-term strategy. Nor are we strictly a site about Retirement. We believe there is a profound difference between the traditional concept of “Retirement” and the paradigm shift we call Financial Independence. We always refer readers to Wikipedia’s definition of financial independence.

To save syllables speaking about financial independence, we’ve invented the contraction “Findependence.” The state of being financially independent we call “findependent.” Therefore we have also unveiled a mirror site to help save a few keystrokes: www.findependencehub.com. We expect it to get more use as the term “Findependence” gains currency.

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