Tag Archives: asset allocation ETFs

An Evidence-based Approach to Investing with Asset Allocation ETFs

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | April 25, 2025

By Erin Allen, CIM®, BMO ETFs

(Sponsor Blog)

Introduction

The importance of asset allocation in investment management cannot be understated. Pioneering research by Brinson, Hood, and Beebower attributed over 90% of a portfolio’s performance variability to asset allocation decisions, making it the most important determinant in long-term investment outcomes¹.

ETFs are remarkably effective market access tools, offering investors precision, liquidity, and cost efficiency to enhance portfolio construction.

This article explores asset allocation in depth, focusing on how Asset Allocation ETFs can serve as evidence-based approach for building resilient and diversified portfolios.

Theoretical Foundations of Asset Allocation: Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT)

Harry Markowitz’s (1952) Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) laid the groundwork for efficient portfolio construction², pointing out the benefits of diversification to manage risk levels. According to MPT, an optimal portfolio balances risk and return by combining assets with low or negative correlations, thereby reducing overall portfolio volatility². This is the idea of diversification with which we are likely more than familiar, not putting all your eggs in one basket. While some investments go up, others will go down, thereby mitigating losses.

MPT allows investors to find an optimal asset mix that reflects both their return aspirations and their risk tolerance, minimizing the prospect of unexpected outcomes.

BMO’s suite of Asset Allocation ETFs, such as the BMO All Equity ETF (ZEQT), enables investors to achieve broad global diversification — a key principle of MPT — by providing exposure to multiple geographies and sectors within a single vehicle. Regular rebalancing helps to align your portfolio with your personal risk tolerance and types of assets needed to meet your financial goals.

Asset allocation decisions must align with an investor’s risk tolerance and time horizon. Younger investors with longer time horizons may favor equity-heavy allocations, while retirees may prioritize income and capital preservation through fixed-income or conservative balanced strategies.

The key here is that individual investor needs are unique, and ETFs provide the tools for investors to create the optimal portfolio for their needs or, in the case of asset allocation ETFs, to choose from a pre-set mix ranging from conservative all the way to 100% equity.

A Note on Diversification

Diversification determines the level of volatility in your portfolio. A paper by S&P Dow Jones Indices research team titled Fooled by Conviction, showed that Between 1991 and May 2016, the average volatility of returns for the S&P 500 was 15%, while the average volatility of the index’s components was 28%.³ Looking at the variability between one stock and 500 is an extreme example, but it illustrates the important point that if the typical active manager owns 100 stocks now and alters to holding only 20, the volatility of his portfolio will likely increase.

Behavioral Finance and Asset Allocation

Behavioral biases, such as loss aversion, confirmation bias or overconfidence, often lead investors to deviate from their optimal asset allocation strategy.⁴ Common mistakes include choosing portfolios that may be too conservative to meet their financial needs, panic selling, following the latest meme trend, or failing to strategically rebalance their portfolio over time.

It’s not about timing the market; it’s about time in the market that pays off in the long run.

Rebalancing a portfolio is another potentially daunting task for investors. You have to remember to do it on a monthly or quarterly basis, but there’s also the emotional/psychological aspect which can often get in the way. Rebalancing is essentially selling your winners and adding to your loser. Not an easy thing to do, though we all know to buy low and sell high, as the old adage goes.

Allen Roth did a study around the benefit of rebalancing over time⁵. In a moderate or balanced portfolio, you can see that it added close to 20% to returns over a year period of almost 20 years. Although there is no guarantee rebalancing will add to your returns going forward, history has shown that it is effective, and it is an important risk control measure.

Investment Performance 12/31/99 – 12/31/17
Total Returns with/without Rebalance

Boosting Returns with Rebalancing, Allan Roth and etf.com, 2018 – For illustrative purposes only

An automated rebalancing facility, such as the one embedded in BMO’s Asset Allocation ETFs, can help mitigate the risks of a portfolio that becomes concentrated due to a failure to rebalance, ensuring portfolios remain aligned to their predetermined asset mix and risk levels.

A Passive Approach to Investing

Asset allocation ETFs take a strategic approach to portfolio construction, using passive index-based investing tools to build the underlying portfolio. Passive investing brings the benefits of being lower cost, efficient, diversified, and transparency to a portfolio. Here is a common misconception that is easily negated with SPIVA (Standard and Poors Index versus Active) research (SPIVA | S&P Dow Jones Indices). The evidence shows that active managers are highly cyclical but can add alpha or outperformance. In the majority of cases, however passive out-performs because it does not make predictions or assumptions. As is often said, the market, or its index, is a giant weighing machine that tracks capital movements over an economic cycle.

Canada’s best Asset Allocation ETFs

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | January 24, 2025

By Dale Roberts

Special to Financial Independence Hub

When the Canadian asset allocation ETFs were introduced several years ago, the investment community hailed them as “game changers.” That is, the final nail in the coffin for high-fee / low-performance Canadian mutual funds.

The asset allocation ETFs are well-diversifed, managed global portfolios available at 5 risk levels. The fees represent about a 90%-off sale compared to the typical mutual fund. The fees range from 0.17% to 0.25%. It’s a no-brainer for most Canadians. You can open an account with a discount brokerage, enter one ticker symbol (XEQT for example), enter an amount, press Buy and own thousands of companies around the globe. Are these the best funds available in Canada? Yes, that’s a rhetorical question.

Here’s an ode to XEQT from Loonies and Sense.

Cut The Crap Investing is the only blog that tracks the performance of the leading Asset Allocation ETF providers. I also sort them by risk level. For example, you’ll see the performance comparison between the balanced portfolios from Vanguard and BlackRock and the rest of the AA gang. You’ll also see the surprising outlier “winner” that includes modest amounts of bitcoin in its offerings.

Check out the ultimate Canadian asset allocation ETF page. Here’s a teaser: the balanced growth models. They range from 80% stocks / 20% bonds to 90% stocks / 10% bonds. The returns listed are average annual.

Build your own portfolio

While the asset allocation ETFs are the easiest, hands-off way to go, you can certainly build your own ETF portfolio. You’ll save modestly on fees, and you will be allowed some flexibility on how you would like to shape the portfolio. I’ve offered examples of core portfolio models.

Here’s the updated (to the end of 2024) total returns for the core Canadian ETF Portfolios on Cut The Crap Investing. The build-your-own models have outperformed the asset allocation ETFs, in modest fashion. Continue Reading…

A few thoughts on Trump’s victory and investing under Trump 2.0

Posted By Jonathan Chevreau | November 6, 2024

By now, there’s not much I can add to the ubiquitous media coverage of Donald Trump’s shocking imminent return to power.

Since our “beat” here is Financial Independence I’ll spin this that way. A few weeks back we looked at a Franklin Templeton webinar on the investment implications of either a Harris or a Trump victory. See this blog I wrote on October 23rd, headlined Don’t mix politics and investing but financial community thinks a Trump victory more positive for stocks.

You can say that again. As I write this in a daze mid Wednesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 1300 points or 3%. Bond prices, on the other hand, are going in the opposite direction.

Franklin Templeton also issued a press backgrounder conveying the view of various money managers. For obvious reasons, below I have cherrypicked the ones that address a Trump victory.

Before we get to that, I’ll point to a Globe & Mail column by Andrew Coyne published Wednesday (Nov 6th), in the aftermath of the election result. The headline tells the tale: Trump’s election is a crisis like no other, not only for the U.S. but the world. (likely under a paywall.) The world yes, but especially Canada. If you can access the column also check the hundreds of reader comments, which offer many and varied takes on the implications of Trump 2.0 on the Canadian economy and politics.

Personally, during the run-up to the election I did not tinker with our family’s portfolio to take advantage of any alleged “Trump trade” or “Kamala stocks.” Those who noted this site’s 10th anniversary the day before the election will probably feel this is a broken record, but I’ve found that a globally diversified balanced portfolio with exposure to all major asset classes is adequate preparation for whatever the investment world may have in store for us.

Asset Allocation ETFs play offence and defence

Let the money managers at places like Franklin Templeton, Vanguard Group, BMO ETFs, Blackrock or Robo advisors decide the relative proportions. Those who engage financial advisors or portfolio managers may want to check in for a portfolio update. For average DIY investors, those Asset Allocation ETFs often referred to in this site should allow investors to sleep at night no matter what horrors await us in January and beyond. In other words, the stocks component of these AA ETFs let you play offence and benefit from the rising of stocks as animal spirits take over investors. But a healthy fixed-income allocation also allows you to play defence in case things get too ebullient. As the old saying goes, you want to “Eat well and sleep well.”

Retired Money: What ETFs are appropriate for retirees?

Posted By Jonathan Chevreau | August 23, 2023

Photo by Alena Darmel from Pexels, via MoneySense.ca

My latest MoneySense Retired Money column looks at what ETFs might be appropriate for retirees and near-retirees. You can find the full column by clicking on the headlined text here: The Best ETFs for Retirement Income.

I researched this topic as part of a MoneyShow presentation on the ETF All-Stars, scheduled early in September, to be conducted by myself and MoneySense editor Lisa Hannam. Regular MoneySense and some Hub readers may recall that I was the lead writer for the annual ETF All-Stars package but after almost a decade decided to pass the reigns to new writers: this year’s edition was spearheaded by Michael McCullough.

While the ETF All-stars (which are selected now by a panel of seven Canadian ETF experts) are appropriate for all ages and stages of the financial life cycle, a solid subset of the picks can safely be considered by retirees. A prime example are the Asset Allocation ETFs, many of which have been All-Star picks since Vanguard Canada launched them several years back, and since matched by BMO, iShares, Horizons and others.

Generally speaking, young people can use the 100% growth AA ETFs like VEQT etc., or (which I’d be more comfortable with), the 80% growth/20% fixed income vehicles like VGRO. Near-retirees might go with the traditional 60/40 stocks/bonds mix of classic balanced funds and indeed pension funds: VBAL, XBAL, ZBAL, to name three.

Those fully in Retirement who want less risk but a bit of growth could flip to the 40/60 stocks/bonds mix of VCNS, XCON (check) and ZCON (check.).

In theory all you need is a single asset allocation ETFs, no matter where you are in the financial life cycle. After all, all these ETFs are single-ticket highly diversified global plays on the stock market and bond market, covering all or most geographies and asset classes. And their MERs are more than reasonable: 0.2% or so.

A single Asset Allocation ETF can suffice, but consider adding some tactical layers

In practice, most investors (whether retired or not) will want to do a bit more tinkering than this. For one, the asset allocation ETFs tend to have minimal exposure to alternative asset classes outside the stocks and bonds realm. They will include gold stocks and some real estate stocks or REITs, but little or no pure exposure to precious metals, commodities or indeed cryptocurrencies. (Maybe that’s a good thing!).

The MoneySense article bounces my ideas for adding tactical layers to an AA ETF. For example, you might use the 40/60 VCNS instead of 60/40 VBAL, for 80% of your investments, reserving the other 20% for more tactical mostly equity specialized ETFs. You’d aim for a net 50/50 asset mix after blending the AA ETF and these tactical ETFs. Continue Reading…

Should you Dump your All-Equity ETF?

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | July 7, 2023

By Justin Bender, CFA, CFP

Special to Financial Independence Hub

In our last blog/video, we introduced the all-equity ETFs from iShares and Vanguard. These ETFs make it easy to gain and maintain exposure to global stock markets with the click of a mouse, eliminating the hassle of juggling several ETFs in your all-equity portfolio.

Vanguard and iShares don’t offer their services for free though.

The MERs for their all-equity ETFs are slightly higher than the weighted-average MERs of their underlying holdings. Consider this modest surcharge as the price of admission for their professional asset allocation and rebalancing services. In my opinion, that’s a bargain for most investors.

Then again, there are those who might prefer to squeeze every last penny out of their portfolio costs. If that’s you, you may want to try skipping the value-add of an all-equity ETF, and simply purchase the underlying ETFs directly, in similar weights. If you take on the task of rebalancing back to your targets each month when you add new money to your portfolio, you should be able to mimic an all-equity ETF for a lower overall MER.

That’s the goal anyway. But it’s still going to take time, money, or both to keep your asset allocations on track each month. Let’s look at three potential strikes against trying to reinvent an all-equity ETF on your own, as well as one potential play that may serve as a suitable compromise.

Strike One: The potential cost savings are minimal.

For example, let’s say you’ve got $10,000 to invest. Instead of investing it in the Vanguard All-Equity ETF Portfolio, or VEQT, you could divide it up among VEQT’s component funds. The estimated cost savings might let you rent an extra movie each year, but are the savings really worth it? The extra time you’ll need to spend on rebalancing may not leave you much time to even enjoy your movie.

For larger amounts, the fee savings start adding up, but only if you can buy and sell ETF shares at zero commission as you rebalance. If not, you can forget about it.

Strike Two: Managing a portfolio of four ETFs (instead of just one) will be more difficult.

Sticking with our VEQT example, a DIY investor would either need to visit Vanguard’s website monthly to collect the individual ETF weights within VEQT, or use the market cap data from the FTSE and CRSP index fact sheets to determine how to allocate each of the underlying ETFs. They would then need to calculate how many ETF units to buy or sell across various accounts to get their portfolio back on target, and place multiple trades to get the job done. Continue Reading…

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