Tag Archives: Financial Independence

Retired Money: Should big savers still fear outliving their money?

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MoneySense.ca: Photo created by freepik – www.freepik.com

My latest MoneySense Retired Money column looks at the topic of whether average savers transitioning to Retirement really need to fear outliving their money. The piece picks up from a blog this summer from Michael James on Money, which will be republished in its entirety tomorrow here on the Hub.

You can access the full MoneySense column by clicking on the highlighted text: How long will your retirement nest egg last?  In addition to citing Michael J. Wiener’s work, the piece passes on the views of two prominent recently retired actuaries: Malcolm Hamilton and Fred Vettese, as well as my co-author on Victory Lap Retirement, ex corporate banker Mike Drak.

Like this blog, despite being online the column’s scope is somewhat constrained by a word limit. In fact, in an email, Hamilton told me he didn’t think such a topic could be addressed in just 800 or 900 words.

Actuary and retirement expert Malcolm Hamilton

“Why? We presume that good advice is universal … that it applies to everyone. It does not, particularly when addressing concerns about running out of money. For years I have looked for evidence that large numbers of seniors spent too much and suffered as a consequence. I haven’t found anything persuasive.”

No one knows how much Canadians should save or how quickly they should draw down their savings after retirement, Hamilton added: “Some people are frugal. They save heavily before retirement and spend sparingly after retirement, leaving large amounts to their children when they die. We all want parents like this. Others are spendthrift. They save little before retirement and live frugally after retirement because they have no money except government pensions.”
Finding balance between extremes of Over-Saving and Over-Spending

Is the political heat melting your investment cool?

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By Steve Lowrie, CFA

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

I’ve said it before.  So has American financial commentator Barry Ritholtz.  Regardless of your political bent, it’s a bad idea to hitch your investment decisions to whoever is, is not, or is about to be in political power at any given time.

Given the upcoming Canadian election and all the related political storm and fury of late, it’s not impossible that we could end up with a minority government in the next election, with the NDP or Greens having the balance of power.  As a side note, residents of British Columbia have been dealing with this scenario for the past couple of years.  That said, this outcome is just speculation, and this post is not about how you and I may feel about that situation.

This is about the choices we make as investors.  As I said in 2016, and I’ll repeat here:

“Even when political news is strongly felt, there will likely never be a good time to shift your investments — neither in reaction nor as a defense.  First, no matter how certain one or another outcome may seem, how the market is going to respond to the news remains essentially unknown.  Second, by the time you’ve heard the news, it’s already priced into the market anyway.”

I’ve now been a financial advisor long enough that I’ve heard this refrain many times over: “If ‘X’ is elected I’m moving out of Canada!” Over the years and through multiple conversations, “X” has represented candidates from across the political spectrum.

Ironically, a similar refrain is often heard in the U.S.: “If ‘Y’ is elected, I’m moving to Canada!”Which is why Dimensional Fund Advisors provided us with a telling graphic to illustrate how impotent political parties actually have been at helping or hindering capital markets. Continue Reading…

Adam Smith wins again, as Hedge Fund returns disappoint

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Adam Smith: the Father of Economics

By Noah Solomon

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

It has been 243 years since Adam Smith, “The Father of Economics” wrote An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations. In this magnus opus, Smith introduced the concept of the “invisible hand,” which can be described as an unobservable market force that helps the demand and supply of goods in a free market to reach equilibrium automatically.

The erosion of Hedge Fund returns

At Outcome, one of our favourite sayings is “In the end, Adam Smith always wins.” Whereas the timing of this triumph is uncertain, victory is nonetheless assured. It is not a question of if, but merely one of when.

Smith’s invisible hand has indeed been at work in the hedge fund industry. At the beginning of 2000, there were relatively few hedge funds, and the global hedge fund industry had roughly $300 billion under management. Between 2000 and 2007, the HFRX Global Hedge Fund Index produced annualized returns of 9.75%. Even during the “tech wreck” of 2001-2, when the MSCI All Country World Index of stocks fell 33.1%, hedge funds rose an impressive 13.8%.

As if following Smith’s playbook, this stellar performance attracted a massive influx of assets from investors and prompted the launch of countless new funds. The resulting increase in competition and “crowding” has had a predictable impact on results. From the beginning of 2008 through the end of last August, the HFRX Index declined at an annualized rate of -0.5% and has fallen 5.7% on a cumulative basis. Moreover, hedge funds failed to diversify investors during the financial crisis of 2008, when the HFRX Index plummeted 23.2%.

As always, Adam Smith wins.

Performance & Fees: Fundamentally disconnected

Despite the severe decline in average hedge fund performance, there has not been a proportionate decline in the high fees that they charge investors. Continue Reading…

Why Robb Engen is striving not for FIRE but to be a FIE (Financially Independent Entrepreneur)

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I’ve written before about my modified pursuit of FIRE (Financial Independence, Retire Early). The twist is that I’m striving for FIE: to be a Financially Independent Entrepreneur. It’s an idea that I haven’t been able to get out of my head lately. Here’s why:

For as long as I’ve been writing this blog I’ve had a goal to achieve financial freedom by age 45. I’ve also declared a goal of reaching $1M in net worth by the end of 2021, the year I turn 41.

I’m on pace to achieve that, perhaps slightly ahead of schedule. More importantly, though, is a realization that my so-called side hustle – the online income earned from blogging, freelance writing, and financial planning – has far surpassed my full-time salary. Simply put, I could leave my day job tomorrow and still pull in enough income to meet our spending and savings goals.

So what’s holding me back? A few things. The security of a full-time job with benefits. A wife and two children who depend on my income. A $200,000 mortgage. The angst of where my next freelance contract will come from (and when it will be paid). Navigating the constantly changing online world while trying to earn a living. Having enough of a cushion in the bank in case things go sideways.

Never been busier

I think about all of those things. But the reality is my business has grown by nearly 50 per cent this year. I’ve never been busier, and I know there’s plenty of opportunities I’m leaving on the table because I can only do so much on evenings and weekends. Continue Reading…

How has the Home Buyers’ plan Changed?

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By Penelope Graham, Zoocasa

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Of the tax breaks and incentives offered to first-time home buyers in Canada, the Home Buyers’ Plan is likely the most utilized; the program, which allows qualifying buyers to pull, tax-free, funds earmarked for retirement from their RRSPs for a home purchase, has steadily grown in popularity since it was first introduced back in 1992.

Eligibility for the program is fairly straightforward; first, the prospective buyer must have some funds saved in an RRSP. They must also be classified as a first-time home buyer, meaning they do not own, or have owned, a principal residence in Canada within the last four years.

The funds must be sheltered within the RRSP account for a minimum of 90 days before they can be withdrawn for the HBP, and the money must be paid back within a 15-year timeline, to kick in the calendar year after the withdrawal is made, in installments of one-fifteenth of the total amount.

While the program is structured to allow home buyers to tap into their retirement funds, it also ensures they pay themselves back; should one of the 15 installments be missed, that portion of the withdrawal funds loses its tax-free status, which the buyer will see reflected in their income tax bill.

However, there are some new changes afoot for the HBP, as announced as part of the federal budget in March, including the program’s first maximum expansion in a decade, and a tweak of the rules to improve eligibility for more home buyers. Let’s take a look at what’s new.

New maximum withdrawal now $35,000

As of March 19, the maximum withdrawal amount for the HBP has been expanded to $35,000, up from $25,000, where it had remained since 2009. This also means that, if a couple is purchasing a home together and both qualify as first-time home buyers, each could theoretically withdraw $35,000, to a combined total of $70,000; an amount that will give buyers greater pull in expensive markets, such as those buying homes for sale in Toronto. Continue Reading…

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