Tag Archives: foreign exchange

MoneySense Retired Money: CDRs reduce currency risk of US stocks for Canadian investors

https://www.neo.inc/

My latest MoneySense Retired Money column looks at the newish CDRs, or Canadian Depositary Receipts. You can find the full column by clicking on the highlighted text: CDRs versus U.S. Blue-chip stocks: which makes more sense for Canadian investors?

CDRs resemble the much more established American Depositary Receipts (ADRs), which I’d wager most seasoned investors have used. See also this article on CDRs republished on the Hub early in 2022: Should you invest in CDRs? 

ADRs were launched by J.P. Morgan in 1927 for the British retailer Selfridges and are a way to gain easy access to global stocks in US dollars trading on US stock exchanges. According to Seeking Alpha, among the ten most actively traded ADRs are China’s Baidu [Bidu/Nasdaq], the UK’s BP [BP/NYSE], Brazil’s Vale [Vale/NYSE], and Switzerland’s Novartis. Here’s Wikipedia’s entry on ADRs.

Dividends paid by ADRs are in US dollars. Canadians are of course free to buy ADRs just as they buy US stocks or US ETFs trading on American stock exchanges. But they will have to convert their C$ to US$ to do so, and ultimately if they plan to retire here, they will have to pay again to repatriate that money.

By contrast, CDRs give Canadian investors a way to buy popular US stocks (particularly the FAANG stocks) in Canadian dollars and trading on the Canadian NEO exchange. As you can see in the above image, there are also such popular stocks as Pfizer, Berkshire Hathaway, IBM and MasterCard. You can find more information at CIBC, which developed CDRs. As you might expect, CIBC puts a positive spin on CDRs, saying they provide the “same stocks, lower risks,” with a “built-in currency hedge,” while also offering “fractional ownership, easier diversification.”

They even went so far as to trademark the slogan “Own the company, not the currency.” A video found here says that while Canadian stocks only account for 3.1% of the world’s stock market capitalization, most Canadians have 59% of their investments in Canadian stocks. To the extent foreign [and especially American] stocks have generated stronger returns, arguably Canadians are missing out. It suggests that one reason for this is Foreign Exchange.

CDRs may be of particular advantage to younger investors with limited wealth, since they are a way of accessing high-priced stocks that may have prohibitive minimum investments. For example, Amazon (AMZN) currently costs a whopping US $3,200 for a single share. Compare that to the CDR version, AMZN.NE, which costs just C$20 a share. Generally, the CDR version has the same ticker as the underlying US stock, so be careful when you are buying to specify which version you wish to acquire.

If the US company pays a dividend, then so will the CDR. The two main advantages then are that you don’t get dinged on currency conversions between the US and Canadian dollar, and those with modest amounts to invest have the equivalent of buying fractional shares in some of their favorite stocks. Since most retirees will spend their golden years in Canada, you can diversify beyond Canada’s resource and financial-concentrated market, but still have your assets and dividends in Canadian dollars.

CDRs still count as Foreign Content

When I first heard about CDRs, I had a faint hope that perhaps they would not be considered foreign content by the Canada Revenue Agency. However, that is not the case. So investors with large foreign taxable portfolios will be disappointed to learn that even though they trade in Toronto, CDRs are still considered foreign content, so must be included in the CRA’s requirement that portfolios with more than C$100,000 (book value) must complete its T1135 Foreign Income Verification Statement.  The MoneySense column goes into this aspect in more depth.

Canadian ETFs versus US ETFs

 

By Michael J. Wiener, Michael James on Money

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

When it comes to investing, we should keep things as simple as possible. But we should also keep costs as low as possible. These two goals are at odds when it comes to choosing between Canadian and U.S. exchange-traded funds (ETFs). However, there is a good compromise solution.

First of all, when we say an ETF is Canadian, we’re not referring to the investments it holds. For example, a Canadian ETF might hold U.S. or foreign stocks. Canadian ETFs trade in Canadian dollars and are sold in Canada. Similarly, U.S. ETFs trade in U.S. dollars and are sold in the U.S. Canadians can buy U.S. ETFs through Canadian discount brokers but must trade them in U.S. dollars.

Vanguard Canada offers “asset allocation ETFs” that simplify investing greatly. One such ETF has the ticker VEQT. This ETF holds a mix of Canadian, U.S., and foreign stocks in fixed percentages, and Vanguard handles the rebalancing within VEQT to maintain these fixed percentages. An investor who likes this mix of global stocks could buy VEQT for his or her entire portfolio without having to worry about currency exchanges. It’s hard to imagine a simpler approach to investing.

Investors who prefer to own bonds as well as stocks can choose other asset-allocation ETFs offered by Vanguard Canada, BlackRock Canada, or BMO. But the idea remains the same: we own just the one ETF across our entire portfolios. For the rest of this article we’ll focus on VEQT, but the ideas can be used for any other asset-allocation ETF.

Why would anyone want to own a set of U.S. ETFs instead of just holding VEQT? Cost. It’s more work to own U.S. ETFs and trade them in U.S. dollars, but their costs are much lower. To see how much lower, we need to find a mix of U.S. ETFs that closely approximates the investments within VEQT. Readers not interested in the gory details of finding this mix of U.S. ETFs can skip the end of the upcoming subsection. Continue Reading…

The vulnerable Euro

By Jeff Weniger, WisdomTree Investments

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

These are interesting times for the euro. Relative to the Canadian dollar, it may be nearing the end of its four-year uptrend (figure 1).

Figure 1: EURCAD

 

Figure 2 shows the most recent Wall Street forecasts for 2019 exchange rates. Despite the great unknown of what happens when European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi passes the sceptre to Christine Lagarde this winter, the median estimate for EURCAD is a miniscule weakening of the loonie from C$1.484 to C$1.49 at year-end.

 

Figure 2: Street Consensus, EURCAD

Street Consensus EURCAD

Meantime, the backdrop is a total currency war, with Canada among the weakest of the fighters, which is a good thing for CAD bulls. Like the Bank of Canada, the Federal Reserve is — by comparison with many other central banks — fighting the currency war meekly. The U.S. central bank’s balance sheet has declined from US$4.5 trillion to US$3.8 trillion in about four years. But at the ECB and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), crisis-style quantitative easing is at the top of the rumour mill.

And though the Fed may not be fighting hard in the currency war, Washington makes up for it. President Trump is clearly jawboning for a weak dollar. There’s also the matter of the federal fiscal situation in the world’s largest economy, which doesn’t matter until it matters. The U.S. budget deficit-to-GDP ratio of 4.3% is the reddest ink in the G10. In sharp contrast, the Street forecast for Ottawa is for roughly balanced budgets as far as the eye can see.

Canada the exception?

We could almost understand the “need” for currency wars 5 or 10 years ago, but today, with the S&P 500 Index just off recent highs of around 3,000? Hardly. Yet almost every country is fighting this war, with the arguable exception of Canada, sitting here with a largely responsible budget and a central bank that may do nothing this year.

Continue Reading…

When and when not to hedge currency risk

depositphotos_16811249_s-2015-2By Tyler Mordy, Forstrong Global Asset Management

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

 An old Japanese proverb states “many a false step was made by standing still.”

So it is with currency exposures in investor portfolios. Consider the recent experience of Brazilian, Russian and even Canadian investors — to name a few countries with steeply depreciating exchange rates. By electing to remain invested in their domestic currency, they have all experienced a steep “loss” in their own global purchasing power (even if nominal values held up). An ostensibly conservative position has cost them dearly.

Welcome to the new, hyper-globalized world. Since the financial crisis, unorthodox policies — with central banks trying to outdo the effects of one another by plunging into a subterranean universe of quantitative easing and negative interest rates — have driven currency volatility much higher. Now, capital has a way of swiftly seeking out safe harbours and penalizing others who are not safeguarding their national currencies. Who would have thought the once-august Swiss franc would lose its safe haven status?

currency-chart-1-nov-2016

Indeed, currency exposures are having an outsized impact on portfolio returns. Currency-focused ETF vehicles could not have arrived at a better time, introducing yet another evolution in the portfolio management process.  Today, gaining global currency exposures is as easy as buying stocks.

Beyond the academic view

Continue Reading…

The US Forex trading market after the Election

3d render of forex trading conceptBy Justin Duke

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

All over the world, trading markets are rapidly evolving. There are a lot of factors influencing the difference in the high and low of global currencies. In America, the influencing factors only get bigger: talk of oil prices, the outcome of the election, and many more factors. Currency pairs are moving with the market trends. What exactly does this mean for forex traders? The market can be lucrative, and it can be resilient.

In the past few weeks, a lot has happened in forex trading that the investors of this market should be aware of. Risky trends in the market have been amplified lately, but with the American Thanksgiving holiday coming up soon, forex traders in the U.S. are looking at some sort of break, but this time off from the market trends also means a period away from the optimism that some currencies were showing in the past week.

How commodities impact Forex

The market is still recovering from the somewhat aggressive election run by Trump and Clinton. Other trading commodities that influence the Forex Trading market, like oil and gold, also experience major changes. Thanksgiving, in the past, has rigged the market of its liquidity. The S&P 500, for instance, hits some of its highs during such holidays, leading many investors to believe that holiday cheer is an influential factor that can move the market from a low to a high.

Oil rigs moved from 452 to 471 in just a week, while gold is making a move towards $1,200. Last week, US stocks were trading at a low thanks to the loss of the bias previously owned by the GBP/USD currency trading pair. The Fed is looking to diversify some of its policies so as to help strengthen the current position of the dollar in the market. The position of the Euro, on the other hand, might just be about to get very interesting given the current market flux in Europe. Forex traders should consider the word of trading experts before placing their investments on any currency combinations in the current risky markets. Continue Reading…