Tag Archives: loonie

Finance 101: How currency hedging affects your investment return

By Neville Joanes

(Sponsor Content)

If you invest overseas, your holdings may be valued in foreign currency. When markets are volatile, a portfolio manager can use currency hedging to protect the value of the investment.

Let’s look at how currency changes can affect how your money works. For instance, let’s say you book a vacation in Miami, Florida for your family. You’ll fly down from Toronto and enjoy some fun in the sun in the wintertime. You can relax while your kids cool off in the hotel swimming pool.

But between booking your reservation in the summer and actually paying your bill at the end of your stay in January, you notice that your costs jumped nearly 10 per cent – even though the bill in US dollars was the same as when you booked it months before! What gives?

If you had purchased US dollars at the time you booked and paid for your vacation with it, you’d be fine. But you used a credit card (like most folks), and had to pay the difference in the value of the currency. Now the vacation is over and you spent more than you intended.

A similar thing can happen with investments. Let’s see how it works.

Non-hedged vs. hedged investing: a simple example

Imagine a Canadian investor with diversified, international holdings. A few months ago, they bought some tech stocks that looked ready to go up. And lo and behold, they did! Their US tech company stock went up 8 per cent (measured in US dollars).

But there was another factor working against this investor: Canada! Surging oil prices powered the economy ahead at full speed. The Canadian dollar appreciated by an impressive 6 per cent against the US dollar!

What’s the result of this non-hedged investment? The investor’s US tech stock investment gives them a positive return of just 2 per cent. Not so impressive.

What would have happened if the investor hedged their investment? In that case, the investor gets the full 8 percent return!

See, hedging is like an insurance policy, when volatility is high. But here’s the catch: hedging is complicated. It’s time-consuming. You need high-level expertise and bandwidth to watch the market carefully.

For most Canadian investors, that’s not an option. It’s probably something you want to let your portfolio manager (like ours) take care of for you.

Hedging on an income stream to ensure steady returns. That’s how we do it

Let’s say there is an income stream from a dividend-paying investment, like in our bond and income-generating ETFs. That income stream is where we look to hedge the investment. Continue Reading…

When and when not to hedge currency risk

depositphotos_16811249_s-2015-2By Tyler Mordy, Forstrong Global Asset Management

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

 An old Japanese proverb states “many a false step was made by standing still.”

So it is with currency exposures in investor portfolios. Consider the recent experience of Brazilian, Russian and even Canadian investors — to name a few countries with steeply depreciating exchange rates. By electing to remain invested in their domestic currency, they have all experienced a steep “loss” in their own global purchasing power (even if nominal values held up). An ostensibly conservative position has cost them dearly.

Welcome to the new, hyper-globalized world. Since the financial crisis, unorthodox policies — with central banks trying to outdo the effects of one another by plunging into a subterranean universe of quantitative easing and negative interest rates — have driven currency volatility much higher. Now, capital has a way of swiftly seeking out safe harbours and penalizing others who are not safeguarding their national currencies. Who would have thought the once-august Swiss franc would lose its safe haven status?

currency-chart-1-nov-2016

Indeed, currency exposures are having an outsized impact on portfolio returns. Currency-focused ETF vehicles could not have arrived at a better time, introducing yet another evolution in the portfolio management process.  Today, gaining global currency exposures is as easy as buying stocks.

Beyond the academic view

Continue Reading…

Time to repatriate US dollar gains back into loonie?

The Canadian dollar or loonie is under pressure amid weak oil prices and a strengthening U.S. currency. Today, the loonie dropped to 78.39 cents for a U.S dollar the lowest in a many years.
The Canadian dollar is under pressure amid weak oil prices and a strengthening U.S. currency.

My latest Financial Post blog is titled It might be time to repatriate your US$ investments and book those currency gains.

Actually, the C$ has strengthened of late, so the timing isn’t as opportune as a few weeks ago. After a long period of strength, the US$ has slightly weakened against various global currencies, even against the loonie.

Even so, we’re still a long way from par and it may make sense to book some of the gains, and if the loonie starts to sag further, repeat the process every time it falls 3 cents or so.

See also the following mid-January Hub blog by Adrian Mastracci: Falling Loonie Strategies.

Falling Loonie strategies

The Canadian dollar or loonie is under pressure amid weak oil prices and a strengthening U.S. currency. Today, the loonie dropped to 78.39 cents for a U.S dollar the lowest in a many years.By Adrian Mastracci, KCM Wealth

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

“Investors who have US cash and/or US portfolios are advised to revisit their currency strategies.

Canada’s Loonie has been falling to under 70 Cents against the US Dollar.
Recall it climbed from near 86 cents in mid-2009 to over parity.

Many market forces, such as currencies, are well beyond investor control.
Currency adds yet another potential hazard or reward to portfolios.

Of course, currencies are extremely hard to predict. They can also move very quickly in either direction.

Treat currency as an asset class

Treat currency as an investment with longer time horizons. Those with US cash and/or US portfolio may consider the merits, if any, of converting to Canadian Dollars.

It is important to get a handle on the Canadian tax cost of the US cash/portfolio before taking any action. It may also make good sense, depending on account values, to convert on more than one occasion.

Other considerations: Continue Reading…

The economy in 2016: half-speed ahead

Couple Relaxing on BoatBy Aubrey Basdeo

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Coming off a tumultuous 2015, Canadians are ready for some good news in 2016. When it comes to the economy, however, they might have to wait a while longer.

This is not to say we foresee uniform doom and gloom. One bright spot remains the U.S. economy, which was given a vote of confidence last month when the Federal Reserve raised its target interest rate. If the U.S. expansion is as robust as the Fed thinks it is, that should bode well for the Canadian economy and exporters, which rely heavily on the American market.

On a broader level, the Fed liftoff was also a signal that monetary policy, which has dominated the macroeconomic landscape for years now, will be less important going forward. The days of easy money may have begun to draw (slowly) to a close, and as they recede we’ll have a clearer picture of other factors – like the business cycle and asset valuations – which have been masked by accommodative monetary policies for nearly a decade.

But we might not like what we see. Growth globally is poised to be slow in 2016. Canada’s prospects will be tied to this low-flying trajectory, in large part because there are so few potential growth drivers in the domestic economy.

5 reasons for only modest growth in 2016

Continue Reading…