Tag Archives: Retirement

Timeless Financial Tips #6: Aligning your Investments with your Time Horizon

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Lowrie Financial: Canva Custom Creation

By Steve Lowrie, CFA 

Special to Financial Independence Hub

I’ve spent my entire career railing against the dangers of market-timing — i.e., dodging in and out of markets based on current conditions. But there is a time when “timing” of a different sort matters. I’m talking about your investment time horizons.

Today, let’s look at how to use your personal time horizons to successfully separate today’s spending from tomorrow’s future wealth.

Spending and Investing over Time

One of the reasons we advocate for holding a diversified investment portfolio is because your investment horizons are diverse as well:

  1. For immediate spending, you’ll need cash reserves, which almost don’t count as investments.
  2. To preserve what you’ve already got and smooth out the ride, we turn to medium-term holdings such as bonds.
  3. For your long-term spending plans, nothing beats the overall staying power of owning a slice of the corporate pie, typically in the form of stocks, stock funds, or similar equity stakes in markets around the world.

On that last point, global equity markets are relatively dependable in one sense: by delivering on the success of collective human enterprise, they’ve delivered strong, inflation-busting returns in the long run. But these same markets are also quite chaotic in the near-term, with big, unpredictable price swings along the way. This means not all your dollars belong in this arena to begin with: only the ones you’re prepared to invest in for a good, long while. In other words:

Your cash reserves are for spending sooner than later. Your long-term investments are there for your future self, rather than as an ATM-like source for immediate spending.

Market-Timing vs. Financial Planning

How do you determine how long is “long-term” for your investments? Unfortunately, many investors use market-timing instead of personalized financial planning to decide when it’s time to move their money in and out of various positions. They pile into the action when markets surge and flee as they plummet. This is a timeless timing tragedy that foils the ability to preserve, if not grow, wealth over time.

Instead, use your own goals and investment timeframes to decide how much of your wealth to invest in pursuit of higher expected returns, as well as how much to shelter against the uncertainty.

  • For upcoming spending needs, your money may be best kept in cash or similar humdrum holdings. That way, it’s there when you need it. The catch is, cash and cash-like reserves aren’t expected to keep pace with inflation over time, which means your spending power gradually shrinks. So …
  • For spending that’s still years away, you’ll want to own positions that are expected to generate new wealth, rather than just maintain a status quo. That’s where the wonder of global enterprise comes in — aka, stocks. The catch here is, you must commit to keeping your future money patiently invested and ride out the downturns along the way.

Estimating your Time Horizon

Even if you’re committed to financial planning, it’s surprisingly common to underestimate how much time you’ve actually got to invest. For a couple retiring at age 65, there is a 50% chance one of you will live past age 90, which means your retirement timeline could be 25–30 years, or more. Extend it even further if you’d also like to leave a substantial financial legacy. Continue Reading…

Why 28% of Retirees are Depressed

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By Fritz Gilbert, TheRetirementManifesto.com

Special to Financial Independence Hub

It’s not something we talk about very often, but we should.

I talked about it recently with a man who had been a professional basketball player.  He even played in the Olympics.  He was a star.  And then, he was forced into retirement.  Many retirees are depressed, and those who are forced into retirement are especially prone to experiencing the challenge of depression.

I’ve always been intrigued by life after professional sports, and it was a fascinating discussion.

When he retired from basketball, he faced the same reality most of us face when we retire.

We aren’t as special as we thought we were. 

People come, and people go.  As much as we prefer to think otherwise, we’re essentially a gear in the machine that can (and will) be replaced. The world of basketball is doing quite well without him. Just as the world of aluminum is doing quite well without me, thank you very much.

The reality that you’re no longer the expert you thought you were is one of the reasons many retirees are depressed.

Depression is an unexpected reality for many when they retire, yet it seldom gets the attention it deserves.

I’m hoping to change that with this post.

Today, we’re looking into why so many retirees are depressed, and what you can do about it if you find yourself among the 28% who report being depressed in retirement.

The professional basketball player wasn’t prepared for life after his career ended. It’s true for most of us, and often leads to depression in retirement. Click To Tweet

Why 28% of Retirees are Depressed

The discussion with the basketball player (who will go unnamed to protect his identity) was arranged by a mutual friend, who happens to be a reader of this blog.  I had a great chat with him and enjoyed his perspective on the reality of depression in retirement.  Fortunately, he’s found his path forward and is now working with a firm that advises other professional athletes on how to prepare for their inevitable retirements.  He’s eager to learn and asked some great questions, and I’ve no doubt he’s found a place where he will contribute and help others.

It’s easy to envision depression among retired professional athletes.  After all, they’ve been on top of the world, and it’s easy to get the perception that your best days are behind you.

But what about the rest of us?

I found a fascinating study titled Prevalence of Depression in Retirees: A Meta-Analysis that sheds some light on the realities of how many retirees are depressed. (Shout-out to Benjamin Brandt’s Every Day is Saturday for making me aware of the study.)

Depression is a serious problem, with the WHO reporting 300 million people suffering worldwide, the primary reason for the 800,000 suicides committed every year (sources from the study cited above).  The study broke down the data from previous studies to compile their results on depression in retirement, and the findings are worth noting.

Key Findings on Depression in Retirement

To save you the effort of reading the entire report, I’ve summarized the key findings below:

  • 28% of retirees suffer from depression, or almost 1/3 of all retirees.
  • The highest prevalence of depression is among people forced into retirement, either due to downsizing or illness.
  • The uncertainty of the retirement transition results in retirees being more susceptible to developing mental health issues than the general population.
  • Commitment and support from family members reduce the risk of experiencing depression during retirement (from the report: “the greater the level of social support, the lower the incidents of depression”).

I also cited additional studies in my post, Will Retirement Be Depressing, in which I cite the following facts:

  • Retirement increases the probability of depression by 40%.
  • For some, retirement diminishes well-being by removing a large portion of one’s identity.  For years, your job was an easy answer to the frequent question “What do you do?”. With retirement, that identity is gone.
  • 60% of folks retire earlier than they had planned, which can increase the risk of depression
  • When people have spent the majority of their time fostering relationships with co-workers at the expense of people outside the workplace, there is a natural sense of isolation following the move into retirement.

The Bottom Line:  Retirement is a big adjustment, with the loss of many of the non-financial benefits once received from the workplace (sense of identity, purpose, relationships, structure, etc) coming as a surprise to many.  The unexpected loss of these benefits often leads to a difficult transition, which frequently leads to depression.  Fortunately, the majority of the depression highlighted in the study was not severe, and most retirees work through it with time.

Recommendations For Dealing With Depression in Retirement

Given the increased risks faced during the retirement transition, the report summarized recommendations they had found in the studies they researched (bold added by me):

“For this reason, some of the articles included in this review suggest that health professionals must implement programs intended to evaluate and help people in this period of their lives…helping individuals in their search for new activities that motivate them, to encourage them to participate in community groups, to help them build the necessary will powerto face the new situation, and to find activities that improve their self-esteem.” Continue Reading…

Canadians losing confidence in Retirement plans and stressed about running out of money

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Canadians have lost confidence in their ability to retire on time and debt-free, according to a new report by the Canadian Public Pension Leadership Council (CPPLC). As a result, almost half of those polled by Pollara Strategic Insights are stressed about the prospect of running out of money in Retirement, as the graphic from the report illustrates below:

You can find the full report, which runs roughly 40 pages, by clicking on its highlighted title here: The Pensions Canadians Want: Perceptions of Retirement (2016–2022).

A press release issued Monday says the report comes from a Canada-wide survey conducted in 2022 similar to an earlier survey by the CPPLC on retirement perceptions prepared in 2016.

An introduction recaps the three major pillars of the Canadian retirement income system: government-sponsored CPP/OAS/GIS; Workplace Retirement Plans and Personal Savings (primarily RRSPs/TFSAs/non-registered savings).

However, a minority of Canadians currently have access to the workplace pension plans of Pillar 2: only 39.7% as of 2021, according to Statistics Canada. Worse, Pillar 3 savings are not making up for that gap: the report cites a Bank of Montreal finding that the average RRSP account balance is $144,613. That is not enough to fund an average yearly spending level of $64,000 (2019 average) over a retirement that may last 20 or 30 years. It also finds that not everyone is using TFSAs: those who do tend to older and married, with higher incomes and education.

As you can see from the graphic on the right, those with Employer Pensions (especially classic Defined Benefit plans) experience somewhat less stress than those who do not. (Actually, I’m surprised the gap isn’t wider!).

As you might expect, given that they tend to live longer, women are more stressed than men about running out of money: a majority (53%) are stressed about running out of money once retired, compared to 41% of men.

Women also report more uncertainty about managing retirement savings themselves. And they rate the importance of maintaining standard of living higher than men, as shown in the graphic below:

Four key Observations

1.) Canadians consistently show preferences for predictable, inflation-adjusted, and lifetime
guaranteed retirement income

2.) Canadians continue to place importance on maintaining their standard of living in retirement

3.) Fewer Canadians are confident about managing their savings or that they will reach their
objectives and retire when they want

4.) Canadians are less confident they will be debt free in retirement and continue to report low
knowledge of retirement income sources

Three major recommendations

1.) Increase access to collective plans: leverage homegrown expertise to increase participation in
workplace pension plans by encouraging the growth of sector- and broader-based public sector
plans. Continue Reading…

Now that interest rates are higher, is it time for near-Retirees to consider partial Annuitization?

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My latest MoneySense Retired Money column looks at our own family’s experience in starting to annuitize. Click the highlighted text for the full column: Should retirees in their early 70s partly annuitize?

Apart from the fact interest rates are now closer to 5% than zero, my wife and I are approaching the time when our RRSPs must be collapsed, converted to RRIFs, or fully or partly annuitized. That of course is required by the end of the year you turn 71.

One financial blogger and financial planner was ahead of the curve on rates and annuities. A year ago, on his Boomer & Echo blog, Robb Engen made the case for annuities just as interest rates were starting to rise. See Using annuities to create your own personal pension in Retirement. “Annuities fell out of favour (if they ever were in favour) when interest rates plummeted over the past 10-15 years,” he wrote, “But with interest rates on the rise, annuities are certainly worth another look.”

Engen’s case for annuities revolves around how they minimize longevity risk: the fear many retirees have that they’ll outlive their money. “An annuity provides a predictable income stream for life – much like how a defined benefit pension, CPP, and OAS pays benefits for as long as you live. Nothing protects you from longevity risk quite like having a guaranteed income that’s paid for life.”

 Those who lack an employer-sponsored Defined Benefit pension plan and therefore have hefty RRSPs are particular candidates for annuitization. Yes, it’s true that most Canadians will have some inflation-indexed annuities in the form of the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) and Old Age Security (OAS) but some may feel comfortable transferring a bit of stock-market and interest-rate risk from their own shoulders to that of the insurance companies that offer annuities.

With respect to the interest rate rises of the past year and what it means for annuities, “I agree that the timing is ripe for those approaching retirement,” says Rona Birenbaum, founder of Toronto-based Caring for Clients, a financial planning firm that includes annuities in its recommendations.

 Birenbaum – who is working to help our own family take a partial plunge to annuitization – suggested looking first to non-registered money that could be earmarked for an annuity, as it’s very tax efficient. Alterntively, “using RRSP assets makes sense providing the lack of liquidity doesn’t constrain future needs.”

Moshe Milevsky a fan of “slow partial” annuitization

Famed finance expert Moshe Milevsky, who has authored several books on retirement and annuities – notably Pensionize Your Nest Egg, coauthored with Alexandra Macqueen — told me in an email that “I will say that I have grown to become a fan of ‘slow partial’ as opposed to ‘rapid full’ annuitization, which helps smooth out the interest rate risk and is even more valuable from a behavioral psychological perspective.” Continue Reading…

Discovering Retirement Blind Spots – Part Two

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IV. Discovering Retirement Blind Spots – Part Two

By Fritz Gilbert, TheRetirementManifesto.com

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

The full report includes three other graphs focused on the gap between retirees and pre-retirees, each of which includes some important discoveries.  For brevity, the main findings for each topic are summarized below:

Things That People Miss About Their Career

what will you miss when you retire

A surprisingly large 62% of retirees miss the Social Interaction from work, whereas only 29% of pre-retirees expect that to be an issue.  With a 33% gap, this was one of the largest retirement blind spots discovered by the survey.

The other two big blind spots related to what you’ll miss from your career include missing Mental Stimulation (38% retirees vs. 21% pre-retirees) and a Sense of Identity (31% vs. 22%)

FRITZ:  I’ve written extensively on the many non-financial benefits we receive from work, and yet it’s something that most pre-retirees continue to underestimate.  The most successful retirees discover ways to replace the non-financial benefits they once received from work, such as social interaction, mental stimulation, and a sense of identity highlighted by this study.

ERIC: I see this all the time among my clients who are still working. At this stage in their lives, they primarily associate their jobs with a paycheck and bonus. Their eyes are focused on the prize money at the finish line. They fail to see the psychological income that does not show up on their paystubs in the form of intellectual stimulation, purpose and meaning, and the most ignored component of all, social interaction.  I can’t put a number on how much of your work paycheck comes from psychological income, but in my experience it’s a significant amount that until you retire you are probably seriously under-estimating.  Most people assume that the primary challenge of retirement planning is financial when, for most people, the real challenge is replacing the psychological benefits from their work days with new activities that provide meaning and purpose as well as social interaction.

Challenges of The Retirement Transition

the challenges of retirement transition

The highest response rate for transition challenges was finding the right Balance of Structure, with 39% of retirees citing that as a challenge.  Fortunately, it appears that many pre-retirees also recognize this will be a challenge, with 45% citing it as a concern.

In other areas, pre-retirees are also more concerned with the challenges than appear to be warranted by the actual experience of retirees.  In particular, pre-retirees responded with a higher % of concern than retirees for each of the following categories:

  • Anxiety Over Future  (30% pre- vs. 23% post-retirement)
  • Meaning/Purpose    (33% pre- vs. 23% post-retirement
  • Outdated Identity     (27% pre- vs. 20% post-retirement
  • Mental Stimulation (30% pre- vs. 18% post-retirement
  • Finding Happiness  (23% pre- vs. 18% post-retirement

The Retirement Transition Isn’t As Smooth As Expected

having a difficult transition to retirement

A concerning 52% of pre-retirees “mostly agree” that the retirement transition will be smooth, whereas only 32% of retirees feel the same.  This 20% gap is a warning to all pre-retirees and is further strengthened by the 26% of retirees who responded “mostly or strongly disagree” (vs. only 5% of pre-retirees).  The reality is that transitioning into retirement is more challenging than most folks expect.  A good takeaway for pre-retirees is to expect some turbulence during the transition.  Ignore this retirement blind spot at your own risk.

FRITZ:  It’s interesting to study the above results.  While retirees tend to have better scores than pre-retirees on specific challenges, a much higher percentage of retirees report some difficulty in the transition compared to the expectation of pre-retirees.  In fact, only 51% of retirees Agree/Strongly Agree that the transition was smooth, compared to 70% of pre-retirees who expect it will go smoothly.

ERIC: I think that most people in the planning phase only think of the positives of life in retirement. They seriously underestimate how big of a transition retirement can be. In fact, other industry surveys show this disconnect between expectations and reality. The greatest source of disconnect usually happens after the “honeymoon” period wears out. That typically happens within the first two years of retirement. I call this the “messy middle”. Many people associate retirement with a new beginning without ever acknowledging the ending of our prior stage in life or recognizing that all transitions in life usually involve a period of introspection and uncertainty before finding the necessary clarity and direction to move forward. Only a few of us skip out on the “messy middle.” I think it’s best when we plan for some turbulence ahead so that when we are shaken out of our comfort zone we’re neither surprised nor paralyzed from making the required adjustments. I like to remind my clients that a plan is just a guide meant to be revised as new data comes in. Keep iterating forward!

V. Which Components Lead To A Good Life in Retirement?

The final section of the survey was, in hindsight, a bit of “Motherhood and Apple Pie.”  What does it take to lead a good life?  Ask anyone, and you’ll likely see similar responses to what was revealed in the survey.  In the survey, you’ll see we asked both pre- and post-retirees to rank these components.  Results were similar between both groups, so for this summary, we’ll simply rank the components identified by those already retired, in descending order:

Components Rated as Very Important

  •  Healthy Living (77%)
  • Time Management (68%)
  • Financial Plan (53%)
  • Relationships (52%)
  • Purpose/Meaning (41%)
  • Self-Identity (27%)

VI. Conclusion

We thank the 1,734 of you who participated in this joint study and hope all of you have found the results to be useful. We trust the findings on retirement blind spots will be helpful for those who are planning their retirements in the coming years.  To reiterate the key blind spots, below is the conclusion of the key points from the Full Study write-up:

Major Retirement Blind Spots 

  • You’ll miss more than just the paycheck when you retire. You’ll miss the mental
    stimulation and social interaction associated with work. Start now cultivating new social
    connections and finding new sources of mental stimulation to replace the psychological
    benefits of work.
  • It will take you longer to shed your work identity than you expect. This will be primarily a
    challenge in your early days in retirement. Don’t hang on to an outdated image of who
    you were in the past. Retirement gives you the freedom to re-invent yourself.
  • The transition from full-time work to life in retirement won’t go as smoothly as you
    expect. You’ll struggle initially to come up with a new sense of purpose and meaning. Be
    patient, but not complacent. Only you can figure out what’s important to you!
  • Finding the right balance of structure in your schedule will be a greater challenge than
    you currently likely anticipate. Making time for activities that bring joy and fulfillment is
    important. A schedule is not a bad thing if it reflects your values and aspirations.
  • Once you retire, you’ll worry less about money issues and more about your health and
    that of your loved ones. As you plan your retirement think beyond just money issues. Take
    a holistic approach that incorporates all the important areas of your life. Emphasize
    balance.

In closing, it’s reassuring to see that the life satisfaction scores were highest among people who have been retired for more than two years.  The future is bright.

Learn from those who are ahead of you on the retirement journey.

Your retirement will be better as a result.

Your Turn:  If you’ve already retired, what was your biggest surprise about the transition?  If you’ve not yet retired, what’s your biggest takeaway from this study, and are there any modifications you’ll make in your planning as a result?  Let’s chat…

 

Fritz Gilbert is the Founder of The Retirement Manifesto, a Plutus Award winning blog dedicated to helping people Achieve A Great Retirement.  After 30+ years in Corporate America, most recently as a Commodity Trader, Fritz retired as planned in June 2018 at Age 55.  He and his wife are looking forward to extended travel and “giving back” to their community through charitable work in retirement. This blog was published on his website on May 18, 2023 and is republished here with his permission.