Tag Archives: stock-picking

Choose investments carefully when building dividend portfolios for long-term gains

Posted By Pat McKeough | March 14, 2018

A dividend portfolio should focus on high-quality stocks with a proven record of paying dividends

High-growth dividend stocks offer investors a measure of security. Dividends, after all, are much more stable than earnings projections. More important, dividends are impossible to fake: either the company has the cash to pay them or it doesn’t.

It’s important to make sound moves while building a dividend portfolio. That’s why we recommend looking for dividend stocks that have a strong position in their market and have a history of building revenue and cash flow.

The best stocks for your dividend portfolio dominate their markets

When we suggest dividend stocks for a portfolio we look for dividend stocks that have industry prominence, if not dominance. Our reasoning, besides brand recognition, is that major companies can influence legislation, industry trends, etc. to suit themselves. Minor firms can’t do that.

How to avoid sabotaging your dividend portfolio

You may decide to vary how much money you invest every year, depending on your view of the market outlook. But nobody can consistently guess right about the market outlook. Trying to do so is likely to cost you money about half the time.

If you invest more money in years when you’re confident about the economy or market, you may wind up buying more shares when prices are high. If you cut back on your investing in years when the outlook is uncertain, you’ll buy fewer shares when stock prices are low.

Investors may go so far as to try to improve their returns by taking money out of the stock market when they feel risk is high. They often get this urge after a few weeks or months of bad financial news or unsettling political developments. By then, however, the market may have already dropped enough to offset any negative developments.

Often, these temporary sellers wind up buying their way back into the market when the news has improved and stock prices have gone above the price where they sold.

Some brokers encourage this costly practice. From time to time, they may advise clients to “take some money off the table,” setting up a false analogy between investing and gambling. That’s in a broker’s interest. Continue Reading…

10 ways to spot investment opportunities before the herd piles in

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | November 9, 2017

By Dakota Findley

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

If you learn how to spot investment opportunities early, you could significantly increase the profits you make. Fortunately, doing this isn’t as hard as many people believe. Here are the ten essential components of spotting investment opportunities before everyone else jumps on the bandwagon.

1.) Find a Problem Solver

In 2009, Professor Raffi Amit of the University of Wisconsin noted that “Customers don’t buy technology. Customers buy products that add value.” These two sentences are vital to understanding which investment opportunities are worth pursuing.

An effective problem-solver is a company that:

Has identified one or more problems that a potential market is experiencing,
Has a plan, product, or service designed to address that problem, and
Can implement their solution in a scalable and cost-effective manner

In other words, you’re not just looking for companies to invest in: you’re looking for businesses that will be selling what customers are looking for.

2.) Learn to Understand the Criteria for an Investment’s Success

A 2011 study found that firms receiving angel investments (capital provided mainly for business startups) were about 25% more likely to survive for at least four years than companies that did not receive such funding.

The reason this fact matters is that a good early investment is one that gets enough funding to succeed. If your investment isn’t sufficient to help an opportunity succeed and nobody else is buying in, then it doesn’t matter how good their ideas are.

3.) Assess Your Risk Tolerance

How much risk are you willing to take on? We’ll be blunt with you: many early investments fail. Perhaps they didn’t get enough funding to succeed, or they suffered from poor management by people who were good at making products but not so good at running a company.

Whatever the reasons for failures, though, you’ll need to learn how to ass ess both how risky a given investment is and how much you can afford to lose.

As a good rule of thumb, you should never invest more than you could safely afford to lose.

4.) Practice Patience

Loss avoidance: The power of long-term thinking

Posted By Financial Independence Hub | October 18, 2017

By John WIlson

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

A friend of mine was planning a long trip outside of Canada and didn’t really have a definite date as to when he’d be back. He was thinking a good six months to a year. I remember asking him about what he would do with his car; where he planned to park it. He thought it would cost too much to put it in long-term parking, somewhere around $200 to $300 a month. He was, as he saw it, just going to park it on the street.

You may detect where this story is heading.

A few months into the trip his car was impounded. As he wasn’t back in the country yet, he asked me if I could go to the lot on his behalf. About $2,500 in fees and several (not so enjoyable) hours later, his car was finally retrieved.

By choosing not to pay long-term parking up front, my friend may have enjoyed the short-term benefit of not having to put effort into making arrangements or paying any money. But the inherent risk in that decision played out; the car ended up in the impound lot and he had to pay quite a significant amount of money: not to mention the embarrassment of asking a friend to go for a long, impromptu visit to the lot on his behalf.

Short-term gratification can hurt in the long run

This story reminds me of how some of the highest-return investments in life are investments of time, where the payoff comes from the avoidance of loss.

We often see the tradeoff between short-term and long-term thinking in our interactions with management teams. For example, a company can really inflate its current earnings and make the latest report or annual release look a lot better by under-investing in intangibles, such as marketing.

Marketing is an expense that will hit the income statement every quarter, but often doesn’t provide a benefit until two, three, four or ten years down the road. The same thing goes with investments in R&D. The management team that focuses too much on optimizing current period earnings will often do so to the detriment of future profitability and competitive positioning. This is one of the reasons we encourage managers to adopt incentive plans that are based on long-term performance rather than short-term earnings targets or share price movements.

Bad investment advice & clichés you should ignore

Posted By Pat McKeough | June 9, 2017

If you take bad investment advice from others, you may end up selling a stock too early or engaging in unprofitable investing strategies

Most investor sayings and clichés have at least a hint of truth. But they can still lead you to take good or bad investment advice, depending on how you apply them.

For instance, you’ll sometimes hear investors say that you shouldn’t fall in love with your stocks. This seems to make sense. You should keep an open mind on your investments, rather than falling in love with them and holding them forever, despite any adverse changes in their business or the field in which they operate. However, investors sometimes use this tidbit of advice as a justification for selling a stock that has shot up unexpectedly.

Unexpected strength in a stock you like is a bad reason to sell

The stock may be stronger than you expected because you underestimated the growth potential or competitive advantages that led you to like it in the first place. Experienced investors can tell you that some of their best stock picks started going up out of proportion to what they expected, and kept outperforming for years. By the time the first significant “dip” or setback comes along in a stock like this, it may have tripled.

Can “RoboTrader” take the emotion out of picking individual stocks?

Posted By Jonathan Chevreau | August 29, 2016

My latest Financial Post blog looks at a new term, RoboTrader. You can find it by clicking on the highlighted text: VectorVest-Questrade partnership brings unemotional ‘robo’ to retail investing.

As I point out in the piece, the better-known term robo-advisor is well entrenched as a shorthand description of automated online investment services, and generally refers to semi-automated portfolio management systems built on low-cost exchange-traded funds or ETFs.

The idea is to build low-cost well-diversified portfolios and benefit by gradual dollar-cost-averaging of the underlying ETFs, as well as regular rebalancing. This takes a lot of the emotion out of building and monitoring an ETF portfolio.

By contrast, RoboTrader attempts to do a similar thing in the realm of individual stock-picking. RoboTrader revolves around 23,000 individual stocks rated every day by VectorVest Inc. of Charlotte, N.C., which provides investors with both tools to help them with both technical and fundamental analysis of stocks, as well as ETFs. VectorVest has announced RoboTrader as part of a partnership with Questrade Inc., the Toronto-based discount brokerage service.

VectorVest describes RoboTrader as a “powerful new trading tool that solves the biggest problem for many traders: executing a trading plan without letting emotions cloud judgement.” RoboTrader lets clients implement a trading plan that requires only client confirmation for fast, accurate execution, with results monitored in real time.

VectorVest says RoboTrader leverages the intelligence of its fundamental and technical analysis, making it easier to manage portfolios. RoboTrader sends instant alerts to investors’ VectorVest accounts, phone and email, “letting traders know exactly which trades to make, when to make them and in what order quantity.”

Similar deals with US-based TradeKing and TradeStation