All posts by Financial Independence Hub

An income strategy for new retirees: HDIF

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By David Kitai,  Harvest ETFs

(Sponsor Content)

One third of recently retired Canadians surveyed by RBC insurance said they retired sooner than they planned because of the COVID-19 pandemic. That same survey found that retirees, especially new retirees, are increasingly concerned about affording their retirement.

More than 78% of survey respondents said they were concerned about the impact of inflation on their savings. 47% said they were concerned about a lack of guaranteed income and 48% said they worry about outliving their savings.

All three of these concerns come down to income. New Canadian retirees, many of whom retired early due to COVID, are worried that they don’t have a stable source of income that can overcome the rapidly rising cost of living and last for their whole lifespans.

One income asset class can help with those worries.

Inflation worries come after years of low-yielding bonds

The income concerns discovered by the survey should come as no surprise. For the better part of a decade income yields from fixed income investments have been at or near historic lows. Retirees used to live on the income these investments provided but yields at sub 2% levels have been unsustainable.

More recently, rates have begun to rise as central banks attempt to reign in inflation. However, with inflation in spring of 2022 hitting levels above 6%, those rising bond yields are still paying negative real income.

That trend is reflected in the fact that 78% of survey respondents said they were concerned about inflation. Many traditional income sources seem incapable of matching what inflation has done to ordinary retirees’ balance sheets.

Many income sources, but not all.

Equity Income ETFs for retirees

An equity income ETF takes a portfolio of equities — stocks — and uses a combination of dividends and a covered call strategy to generate consistent monthly cashflows for unitholders. This results in an ETF with a target annual yield that can be as high as 8.5%, paid in the form of a monthly cash distribution. These assets can still participate in market growth opportunity, like an ordinary equity ETF, albeit with some growth opportunities limited due to the covered call strategy. The end result is a product paying consistent income with exposure to market growth opportunities. Continue Reading…

How to mitigate the burden of Sudden Wealth

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Image Source: Pixabay

By Beau Peters

Special to the Findependence Hub

You’ve always dreamt about it and now it’s happened. Your ship has come in. You’ve found the pot of gold at the end of the rainbow. Your future is secure. You have found sudden wealth and now the world lies at your feet, just as you’ve always wanted.

And yet, perhaps life isn’t quite what you expected. Perhaps the affluence you’ve found has brought with it as many unanticipated burdens as it has alleviated. Indeed, no matter how you came into your good fortune, the simple truth is that sudden wealth has its own challenges, ones that you must be prepared to address effectively if you want to secure your own future well-being.

The Psychological Toll

Before you came into your money, you probably imagined that if you were only rich, your life would be perfect. To be sure, wealth can solve a lot of problems. You no longer have to worry about how you’re going to keep a roof over your head or food on the table. You don’t have to worry about the car note or your student loans. You’re secure, as is your family.

However, when you’re absolved of financial worries, especially when this relief comes quickly, that can all too often shine a bright spotlight on other issues in your life. The obligation to make a living and pay off your debts might well have served as a distraction, enabling you to avoid confronting challenges in your relationships, your career, or even your own mental health.

With this obligation removed, so too is the distraction it once provided. You may well find yourself overspending in the effort to continue the avoidance. You may panic buy to comfort yourself or to relieve boredom. 

You may lavish your friends and loved ones with expensive gifts in an unconscious attempt to buy their affection or to compensate for guilt you may feel over your sudden prosperity. In fact, emotional spending is one of the most significant, and most pernicious, ways people waste money because the pattern is such a difficult one to break.

Whatever the reason, overspending can be one of the first and most important symptoms of psychological distress in your new life. Confronting the source of the issue, the depression, fear, guilt, or trauma that often lies at the root, is essential to overcoming it.  

Managing the wealth

When you’ve had a windfall, it can be tempting to think that the hard work is done. It’s often just the beginning. Far more often than not, the greatest challenge lies not in acquiring wealth but in keeping it.  Continue Reading…

How DIY investors can invest in strategic or tactical opportunities with Sector ETFs

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By Sa’ad Rana, Senior Associate – ETF Online Distribution, BMO ETFs

(Sponsor Blog)

Sector ETFs provide exposure to a specific industry or market sector and have grown in popularity amongst “Do It Yourself” investors who are looking to add strategic or tactical opportunities to their investment portfolios.

Why ETFs for Sector Exposures?

Sector ETFs have many benefits that ETFs provide in general: diversity, transparency, liquidity, and cost efficiency. Using a sector ETF, investors can tactically add exposure to an entire sector within a single trade. A sector ETF generally holds anywhere from 10 to over 100 different securities providing instant diversification, which minimizes single-stock risk and maximizes exposure to the entire sector. This diversification also helps to lower overall portfolio volatility.

Sector ETFs in Canada

Canada has over 1100 ETFs and 150 of these are categorized as sector ETFs. BMO ETFs has 20 different sector ETFs and was one of the first to list sector ETFs on the TSX in 2009.

 

The Canadian market is very concentrated in several different sectors: Financials, Energy, Industrials and Materials. For investors using a broad-market Canadian ETF they may be underexposed to other areas of the market. For example, the Health Care and Info Tech sectors in Canada are extremely small relative to the global economy.  Therefore, Canadian investors may consider U.S. and global sectors for a more diversified portfolio. This completion trade makes sector ETFs in Canada very popular. Continue Reading…

Building the Energy Dividend portfolio

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By Dale Roberts, cutthecrapinvesting

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

When it comes to sectors, energy is the most useful inflation fighter. In fact it is the only sector that has delivered positive real returns across every inflationary period, looking back some 100 years of stock market history. Energy stocks also delivered incredible returns during the stagflationary period of the 1970s and into the early 1980s. We have entered a stagflationary enviornment and (like the 70’s show) it includes an energy and commodities price shock. While I have enjoyed some very generous total returns from our energy ETFs, I am set to harvest most of those total returns, and will start building the energy dividend portfolio.

From an RBC report …

We peg free cash flow generation (before dividends) across  the Canadian majors — Canadian Natural Resources, Suncor Energy, Cenovus Energy and Imperial Oil

—at $46.0 billion in 2022 and $48.7 billion in 2023.”

The free cash flow gushers are just ridiculous. The dividends (and investors) are enriched by that free cash flow.

Here’s a Tweet thread from Larry Short that sets the table.

Yes, have a look for my “Don’t drill baby, don’t drill” reply.

You can also have a look at the quarterly update video from iA Private Wealth.

They’ve stopped drilling and now they’re filling – your brokerage account. From that very good video, Larry picks up an interesting chart from our friends at Ninepoint Partners.

You might say this is the money chart, the money shot.

Canadian energy stocks

And here is a post on Cut The Crap Investing that invited readers to consider investing in Canadian energy stocks, from October of 2020. That was about 300% ago. With even more gains available if you invested in the Ninepoint Energy Fund.

I have admitted to being late to eat my own cooking. In our accounts we have gains in the 100% to 150% range. In a TFSA account, I have sold a modest amount of shares in iShares XEG to pay our price at the pump for the next year or two. Being that I am in the semi-retirement stage with my wife being 2-5 years away from retirement, I will make that transition, selling down shares and moving the proceeds to dividend-paying stocks and specialized income-producing energy ETFs. That will take away the price risk for the energy producer sector. But certainly, the financial health of the sector and the companies is still very important. Only healthy companies (and sectors) deliver stable or growing dividends. Continue Reading…

The Rout in Long-Term Bonds

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By Michael J. Wiener

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

 

The total return on Vanguard’s Canadian Long-Term Bond Index ETF (VLB) since 2020 October 27 is a painful loss of 24%.  Why did I choose that particular date to report this loss?  That’s when I wrote the article Owning Today’s Long-Term Bonds is Crazy.

Did I know that the Canadian Long-Term bonds returns would be this bad over the past 18 months?

No, I didn’t.  But I did know that returns were likely to be poor over the full duration of the bonds.  Either interest rates were going to rise and long-term bonds would be clobbered (as they have), or interest rates were going to stay low and give rock-bottom yields for many years.  Either way, starting from a year and a half ago, long-term bond returns were destined to be poor.

Does this mean we should all pile into stocks?

No.  If you own bonds to blunt the volatility of stocks, you can choose short-term bonds or even high-interest savings accounts.  This is what I did back when interest rates became low.

Does that mean everyone should get out of long-term bonds?

It’s too late to avoid the pain long-term bondholders have already experienced.  I’m still choosing to avoid long-term bonds in case interest rates rise more, but the yield to maturity is now high enough that owning long-term bonds isn’t crazy.

Isn’t switching back and forth between long and short bonds just a form of active management?

Perhaps.  But it’s important to understand that bonds and stocks are very different.  Stock returns are wild and impossible to predict accurately.  There is no evidence that anyone can reliably time the stock market.  However, when you hold a (government) bond to maturity, you know exactly what you will get (in nominal terms).  When a long-term bond offers a yield well below any reasonable guess of future inflation, buying it is just locking in a near-certain loss of buying power for a long time. Continue Reading…