All posts by Financial Independence Hub

Retirement Readiness: The investment fee gap can set retirement back four years

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By Jillian Kennedy, Mercer Canada

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

If someone said you could have four extra years to enjoy your retirement, you’d probably be thrilled. Now imagine being forced to hold off on retirement for four years longer than you planned. 

As it turns out, a gap in investment management fees can potentially make that a reality for many Canadians – but there is a fix.

Our newly released 2022 Mercer Retirement Readiness Barometer analyzed the various investment management fees in the market and their impact on retirement readiness. What we found is that someone paying the median level of fees for an individual investment account – 1.9% – would have to wait until age 70 to be retirement ready. Obviously, that’s well past the traditional retirement age target of 65 that many of us have in our sights.

 

It’s a different story if you consider the benefits of a workplace defined contribution (DC) plan. An individual paying 0.6% in fees – the median for a DC savings plan – would be ready for retirement four years sooner, at age 66. (The analysis assumed individuals are invested in a “balanced” target date portfolio with a 12% combined contribution rate – with 6% coming from the employee and 6% from the employer).

Those who have access to a workplace DC and savings plan can benefit from pooling power and lower fees in a group arrangement. Personal finance experts have commented for years on this fee disparity between group workplace plans and other investment savings vehicles, but this analysis puts that into clear perspective. Consider not only shaving years off your working life but having a better quality of life in the retirement years that follow.

The fee gap’s impact before – and after – retirement

This gap in fees doesn’t only affect the savings phase, but also the period after someone begins to draw from their retirement savings. It’s common to move retirement savings from a workplace plan into an individual account and at that point, higher fees tend to kick in.

Take, for example, an individual retiring at 65. Our analysis shows that if that person pays the median retail fee (1.9%) when they begin drawing money from their individual retirement savings account, they’ll run out of money five years earlier compared to someone paying the median group fee of 0.6%. 

If someone is paying the median group fee (0.6%) throughout their career, on the other hand, then retires at age 65 and subsequently invests their nest egg in an account paying that same rate, they will have an average of 12 more years of retirement income compared to a similar person paying the median retail fee (1.9%) over the same period.

Group pooling is a powerful tool

Of course, successful retirement income planning takes a comprehensive approach including workplace savings programs, government benefits and personal savings. Higher contribution levels and a smart investment strategy also play an important role, as does money management post-retirement.  Continue Reading…

What investors need to understand about the Russian invasion of Ukraine

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By Allan Small,  iA Private Wealth

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Markets are down. The Nasdaq is in bear territory and the S&P500 is in correction territory (at the time of writing).

This is the direct result of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. Not surprisingly, investors are nervous about what will happen to their wealth. I’ve certainly been getting calls from clients unsure about what to do.

Here’s what I’ve been telling them: Don’t panic. This too shall pass. The world has weathered terrible events in the past and come out the other side. We will again.

In my 25-year career as an investment advisor, investors faced Y2K, a worldwide financial collapse, and a global pandemic. In each case, downturns were followed by rebounds and even better returns.

This is temporary and stability will return

Russia’s war against the Ukraine is wrong and creating a tragic humanitarian crisis, but in terms of the markets, investors should view it as a temporary event: because it is. Yes, markets are down – for now – but they are not going to collapse. You are not going to lose all your money. Your wealth may drop for a period of time, but once the war is over, regardless of the outcome, stability will be restored and returns will tick up, in my opinion. For those fearing a global nuclear war, then market performance won’t matter.

Uncertainty causes markets to fall. Even before Russia invaded Ukraine, the markets were experiencing volatility because the central banks in Canada and the U.S. announced they would be increasing interest rates and reducing stimulus support. Higher interest rates are the primary tool to curb inflation, which is at record highs in both countries. While this made some investors nervous, it’s important to understand that the fact the Bank of Canada and the Federal Reserve are raising interest rates means the economies in both countries are strong.

Statistics Canada’s labour report for February showed just how strong. Unemployment had fallen below pre-Covid 19 levels for the first time since the start of the pandemic, down to 5.5%.[1] The Office of the Parliamentary Budget Officer projects an economic rebound and robust performance in the second half of 2022.[2] All of this is good for the markets and those benefits will be realized once the war and geopolitical tensions end.

Energy self-sufficiency will be a positive

Energy prices are high now because demand is greater than supply. Worldwide sanctions against Russia, a major global producer of oil and natural gas, mean Canada, the U.S. and Europe are looking for other suppliers and working to become more energy self-sufficient:  a positive going forward. When the Russia-Ukraine situation becomes more stable, those prices, which are also driving up inflation, will drop, in my opinion. Continue Reading…

Markets can be scary but more importantly, they are resilient

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By Steve Lowrie, CFA

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Most investors understand or perhaps accept the fact that they are not able to time stock markets (sell out before they go down or buy in before they advance).

The simple rationale is that stock markets are forward looking by anticipating or “pricing in” future expectations.

While the screaming negative headlines may capture attention, stock markets are looking out to what may happen well into the future.

Timing bond markets is even harder than timing stock markets

When it comes to interest rates and inflation, my observation is that the opposite is true. Most investors seem to think they can zig or zag their bond investments ahead of interest rate changes. This is perplexing, as you can easily make the case based on evidence that trying to time bond markets is even more difficult than trying to time equity markets.

Another observation is that many investors tend to be slow to over-react. Reacting to today’s deafening headlines ignores that fact that all financial markets are extremely resilient. Whether good or bad economic news, good or bad geopolitical events, markets will work themselves out and march onto new highs, albeit sometimes punctuated by sharp and unnerving declines. Put another way, declines are temporary, whereas advances are permanent. And remember, this applies to both bond and stock markets.

It is easy to understand why we might be scared about the recent headline inflation numbers and concerned about rising interest. It is very important to keep this in context, which is what we will address today.

Interest Rates are Rising (or Falling)

With interest rates in flux, what should you do? Consider this…

Positioning for Inflation – Dimensional Fund Advisors

Also, check out DFA’s video: How to Think about Rate Increases

But as it relates to your immediate fixed income holdings we don’t recommend reacting to breaking news. A recent Dimensional Fund Advisors paper, “Considering Central Bank Influence on Yields,” helps us understand why this is so. Analyzing the relationship between U.S. Federal Reserve policies on short-term interest rates versus wider, long-term bond market rates, the authors found:

“History shows that short- and long-term rates do not move in lockstep. There have been periods when the Fed aggressively lifted the fed funds target rate — the short-term rate controlled by the central bank — while longer-term rates did not change or “stubbornly” declined.”

Steve Lowrie holds the CFA designation and has 25 years of experience dealing with individual investors. Before creating Lowrie Financial in 2009, he worked at various Bay Street brokerage firms both as an advisor and in management. “I help investors ignore the Wall and Bay Street hype and hysteria, and focus on what’s best for themselves.” This blog originally appeared on his site on March 7, 2022 and is republished here with permission.

The TSX Composite Index: No longer a Second-Class Citizen?

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By Noah Solomon

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Canadian stocks have had a very decent run since the global financial crisis of 2008. From December 31, 2008, through the end of last year, the TSX Composite Index returned an annualized 10.1%. This pales in comparison to the performance of the S&P 500 Index, which has risen at an annualized rate of 16.1%. Had you invested $1 million in the TSX Composite Index at the end of 2008, your investment would have been worth $3,477,264 at the end of last year. By comparison, the same investment in the S&P 500 Index would have a value of $6,873,269, which is a stunning $3,396,005 more than the Canadian investment.

Looking for Love in all the wrong places

The composition of the Canadian stock market is dramatically different than that of its southern neighbor. As the table below illustrates, there are a handful of sectors that feature either far more or less prominently in the TSX Composite Index than in the S&P 500. Specifically, Canadian stocks are far more concentrated in financial, energy, and materials companies, while the U.S. market is more concentrated in the technology, health care, and consumer discretionary sectors.

TSX Composite Index vs. S&P 500 Index: Sector Weights (Dec. 31, 2021)

In 1980, the song “Lookin’ for Love,” by American country music singer Johnny Lee was released on the soundtrack to the film Urban Cowboy. The tune’s iconic lyric, “Lookin’ for love in all the wrong places,” serves as a fitting description of the dramatic underperformance of the TSX vs. the S&P 500. The majority of disparity in performance between the two indexes can be explained by their different sectoral weightings. When financial, energy, and materials stocks outperform their counterparts in the information technology, health care and consumer discretionary sectors, it is highly likely that the TSX will outperform the S&P 500, and vice-versa.

Over the past two years ending December 31, 2021, the information technology sector has been the star performer both in Canada and the U.S. Interestingly, the TSX technology index fared better than its U.S. peer, returning 113.9% vs. 92.4%. However, due to the far greater weighting of tech companies in the S&P 500 than in the TSX (23.2% vs. 5.7% as of the end of 2019), tech stocks have had a far greater impact on the returns of the S&P 500 than on the TSX. On the other hand, financial, energy, and materials stocks were all underperformers on both sides of the border, which served as a drag on the performance of Canadian relative to U.S. stocks.

Macro Drivers and Tipping Points: It’s About Growth & Oil

Given that differing sector weightings account for the lion’s share of performance disparities between Canadian and U.S. stocks, it is essential to determine the macroeconomic factors that have historically caused certain sectors to out/underperform others, and by extension TSX outperformance or underperformance. Continue Reading…

9 Financial Literacy Basics to help with Retirement

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What are the basics of financial literacy that can help with retirement? 

To help professionals gain financial literacy to understand their retirement future, we asked business professionals and finance experts this question for their best tips. From attending financial workshops to creating a roadmap for your unique needs, there are several financial literacy basics to help you plan your retirement. 

Here are 9 financial literacy basics to help with retirement: 

  • Attend financial workshops
  • Talk to an attorney about Estate Planning
  • Books on Financial Literacy
  • Reach out to your Insurance Providers
  • Consult a Certified Financial Planner
  • Talk to a Budgeting Coach
  • Start researching
  • Customer Support for IRAs often is of high quality
  • Create a roadmap for your unique needs

Attend Financial Workshops

Financial literacy helps workers understand what avenues are available to build wealth for retirement. 401ks and Roth IRAs are valuable means of building passive income streams to grow nest eggs. However, there are many means of saving for retirement. Financial education can make professionals aware of available approaches and can help these individuals build a combination plan to manage finances. One way aspiring retirees can learn more is to attend financial workshops offered through community programs or workplaces, especially if these events provide the chance to ask an expert questions. –– Tasia Duske, Museum Hack

Talk to an attorney about Estate Planning

Estate planning is heavy business, as it involves creating a plan for everything you want to happen after your death. This can include details about inheritance, funeral arrangements, and so on. When made with an attorney, the right estate plan will ensure that these important tasks are completed correctly the first time. Doing this can save your family significant additional stress after you’ve passed. — Carey Wilbur, Charter Capital

Read relevant books on Financial Literacy

If you are retired or approaching retirement, get some books about personal finance. Consider these books an investment in your future. A solid library of books on financial literacy can help you to build financial awareness and navigate retirement. Being financially literate will give you the knowledge you need to make sound financial decisions now, and help you maintain control of your finances once retired. — Henry Babichenko, European Denture Center

Reach out to your Insurance Providers

It’s important that retirees utilize every financial resource they have, and insurance providers are one such resource. Make sure all of your personal information is up to date, especially regarding your beneficiaries. While every insurer is different, don’t be afraid to get in touch with any questions you have. You should always feel free to ask your insurance provider questions you have about payouts, payments, and packages that could save you or your loved ones money. — Vicky Franko, Insura

Consult a Certified Financial Planner

Retirees need financial security to live happy and fulfilling lives after retirement. It is important to make a plan for your living arrangements, income, and expenses as soon as possible to avoid financial trouble down the road. A Certified Financial Planner can help you make a sound financial plan that fits your needs and goals. Seek out a CFP’s help so you can enjoy retirement to the fullest. — Brian Greenberg, Insurist Continue Reading…