
By Les Stelmach, Izabel Flis, Mike Richmond, Naveed Sunderji
Franklin Bissett Investment Management
(Sponsor Content)
This is an interesting time for the energy industry. Occasional reflexive selling based on emerging demand or supply concerns has been short-lived. Late last fall (based on January distribution), consuming nations like the United States tried to mitigate higher crude oil prices by releasing volumes from their strategic petroleum reserves to little avail.
More recently, higher rates of COVID infection in some European countries and the emergence of the Omicron variant sparked some selloff in oil prices, but this is likely to be short-lived as the trajectory for global demand approaches pre-COVID levels.
In addition, the ongoing focus on climate change concerns — most recently articulated at the COP26 conference in Glasgow, — has increased pressure on producing nations and companies to limit production. The current lack of a coordinated suite of energy alternatives that can deliver reliably at the necessary scale does little to deter demand. Arguably, this phase of the transition is contributing to higher prices for crude oil and natural gas. Prices for both commodities have supported greater returns and profitability for oil and gas companies, rewarding investors willing to ignore the volatility.
The path to net zero: journey of 1000 steps
While the last 20 years have seen significant improvements in cost-effectivenes and efficiency for renewable technologies, the sobering reality is that they are not yet able to carry the full load of global economic activity. Renewables still generate comparatively less energy than hydrocarbons, are less stable and vulnerable to demand shocks. An aggressive transition to renewables can backfire, as Californians discovered during last summer’s severe heatwave when their heavily renewable-reliant energy supply was unable keep up with the increased demand. The result was rolling blackouts.
The infrastructure created to support the extraction, production and transportation of hydrocarbons will not be transformed overnight, but in some cases it will become part of the transition to cleaner energy. Pipelines, for example, are essential conduits for hydrocarbons. Political controversy aside, from an environmental perspective they are currently the safest, most efficient, most cost-effective and cleanest mode of transport.
Some natural gas exports are already serving decarbonization efforts in developing nations. In the future, some pipelines may be converted to carry low-carbon recycled natural gas (RNG), hydrogen or carbon dioxide to be sequestered as these alternatives become more widely adopted. Longevity and cash flows for these assets are considered stable over the near future.
Energy and ESG: surprisingly compatible
For oil and gas companies, the emphasis on “E” in ESG (environmental) is really a “C” (climate change). The scrutiny around gas emissions does not isolate one measure to the exclusion of others. Water and waste management, turnover rate, injury rates: these and many other factors are part of a comprehensive ESG analysis. Continue Reading…






