All posts by Jonathan Chevreau

Boomers approaching the “Decumulation” Years

My latest blog for MoneySense.ca revisits the topic of Decumulation, a subject to which we gave full column treatment in the print magazine early in the fall. Think of Decumulation as the mirror image of Wealth Accumulation. And of course, here at the Hub we have sections devoted to both.

For one-stop shopping and archival purposes, we’re publishing the blog below as well, with some different subheads, links and the addition of an illustration and a photo of Decumulation Institute founder John Por.

Baby Boomers Word Cloud Concept

By Jonathan Chevreau

With 10,000 American baby boomers turning 65 every day, plus 1,200 Canadian boomers, there is fast approaching a major sea change in how this generation handles their investments.

When you’re working, things are somewhat automatic. Your employer deposits your paycheque into your bank account perhaps every second week, conveniently withholding income taxes at source. Perhaps you’ve automated your savings program and pension contributions.

In short, you are in Wealth Accumulation mode, and so likely is your financial advisor, since he or she is also probably personally in the same mode.

The Decumulation Institute

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John Por, Decumulation Institute

But once you turn 65 or cease to draw a full-time salary, you are now in the “Decumulation” zone. We devoted a column to Decumulation in the September issue of MoneySense, in which we highlighted a new undertaking by John Por called the Decumulation Institute.

Last week, I attended the second meeting of this group, which includes Malcolm Hamilton, the retired actuary who continues to be quoted by this magazine and others. Except for John and Malcolm, most of the attendees didn’t wish to be identified or quoted directly.

1,500 Canadians will retire each working day until 2034

In his progress report, Por said that by the year 2022, some $2 trillion in financial assets held by various Canadian financial institutions will be converted into retirement income. Over the next 15 to 20 years, he says 1,500 Canadians will retire each working day. Record keepers on average roll over about 30% of Defined Contribution pension assets at the retirement of the members of those plans.

Por’s research shows that bank-based advisors are “poorly trained in discussing retirement income issues,” in part because of the focus on Wealth Accumulation. Por says a mindshift is required to go from Investments to Income.

From the perspective of individuals preparing for this shift, a number of things have to be considered. These include adjusting lifestyle expectations, considering longevity risk, saving more money, taking more investment risk or simply postponing retirement.

Por has created a website at www.decumulation.ca and begun work on Decumulation Workshops that may help DC pensions, financial advisors or possibly their clients prepare for this transition.

It was Por’s pioneering work on Decumulation that prompted us here at the Financial Independence Hub to include sections on both Wealth Accumulation and Decumulation, as well as Longevity & Aging.

Advisors slow to make the leap?

In my experience, relatively few financial advisors have made this leap. One that comes to mind because he’s written a book about it is Daryl Diamond of Diamond Retirement Planning. The second edition of his book, The Retirement Income Blueprint, expertly maps out the terrain. Rogers Group Financial’s Clay Gillespie is another who has a similar focus.

Both of them are listed in the Getting Help section of the Hub (as is MoneySense’s online directory of fee-only planners). A third, who is also contributing articles on Decumulation for the site, is Doug Dahmer, of Emeritus Retirement Income Specialists in Burlington. He provides a number of tools and even games that let you run “what if” scenarios on life expectancy, inflation, timing of government benefits, tax rates etc.

Jonathan Chevreau is MoneySense’s editor-at-large and recently launched the Financial Independence Hub. (https://findependencehub.com/). He can be reached at jonathan@findependenceday.com

 

An Aging World: Not to be obsessed

We’ve mentioned Mark Venning and ChangeRangers.com several times in this site as well as sister site FindependenceDay.com. His insights on Aging and Longevity are a big reason why we have included a regular section of the Hub on this topic. One of his aphorisms is particularly insightful and directly related to financial planning and financial independence: “Plan for longevity, not retirement.

As the previous blog in this section (by Doug Dahmer)  explained, the fatal flaw in most retirement plans is failing to take into account extended longevity. Mark also regularly writes on this theme, as in a recent piece on Financing Longevity, which also provides a nod to the Financial Independence Hub.

Below, specially for the Hub, Mark has composed a year-end reflection on these themes, based on his recent travels. We hope to run more like this in the new year!

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Mark Venning, ChangeRangers.com

By Mark Venning,

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Hardly a day goes by that there isn’t some symposium, book or report (not to mention a blog post or three like this one) about an aging world, longevity and retirement. You can even Google search longevity calculators that can project how long you can expect to live. It’s an aging obsession.

As Ted C. Fishman says in his 2010 book, Shock of Gray – “…although the aging world is the sum of choices made by large populations, how we navigate the future of this world – how we love and care for ourselves and those we cherish – will also be an intensely personal matter.”

Continue Reading…

Review: Conrad Black’s Rise to Greatness

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Companion volumes?

By Jonathan Chevreau

With Christmas just a week and a half away, the burning question about Conrad Black’s new Rise to Greatness is this: Would you like a family member to buy you a copy and place it under the tree? Alternatively, is there someone in your circle who would appreciate such a gift?

With a suggested retail price of $50, this is more than you’d spend on most books. On the other hand, once wrapped it will have an impressive bulk. Weighing in at 1,106 pages it’s at least two-and-a-half inches thick (I measured it).

And as you can see from the photo, there is a close connection between this massive book and a dictionary. If you really want to benefit from Black’s Rise to Greatness: The History of Canada from the Vikings to the Present, you need to have a dictionary at hand, as I did. Continue Reading…

The 10-year rule: what home buyers can learn from the stock market

House With Life Preserver CrashingInteresting piece by the Globe & Mail’s Rob Carrick today about the 10-year rule. The columnist says prospective home buyers should follow the same 10-year rule that investors do with stocks:

“If you can’t wait at least a decade for a transaction to make financial sense, don’t do it.”

Carrick worries about the recent estimate by the Bank of Canada that housing here may be overvalued by 10 to 30%. With all the chaos going on in the world lately, “Houses don’t have immunity. They are financial assets, just like stocks, gold bars and gallons of oil.”

And in an example that hits home, he reminds us that after reaching $254,197 in 1989, the average house price in Toronto fell so long and hard it took until 2002 to set new highs. I recall personally buying a starter home in Toronto in 1988 for $230,000 and ultimately selling in 1996 for $182,000.

It worked out though, since we bought a better home closer to the lake: a strategy known as “moving up in a down market.” That initial $50,000 paper loss has been recouped ten or twenty times over.

On stocks, I’ve often heard experts cite a five-year rule but Carrick says a 10-year rule is more prudent and “a 10-year hold should work for housing, unless we get a crash like the one in the United States or in Toronto in the late 1980s.”

Ouch, he reminded me again!

 

The special challenges of retiring from your own business

DelInSuit
Del Chatterson

By Del Chatterson,

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

What, no pension plan? No early retirement package for the owner?

Of course not, you’re an entrepreneur and not dependent on anybody else to look after your welfare. But have you looked at the hard realities of exiting from your business to a comfortable and happy retirement? There are some special challenges.

When you do start looking it’s hard not to be envious of the friends and family on well-funded civil servant or big corporate pension plans. How did you miss that concept? Well, it may be too late now to change career paths, but it’s not too late to plan your exit strategy. Continue Reading…