Debt & Frugality

As Didi says in the novel (Findependence Day), “There’s no point climbing the Tower of Wealth when you’re still mired in the basement of debt.” If you owe credit-card debt still charging an usurous 20% per annum, forget about building wealth: focus on eliminating that debt. And once done, focus on paying off your mortgage. As Theo says in the novel, “The foundation of financial independence is a paid-for house.”

Bond ETF discounts during recent periods of Volatility

Posted By |
Rich Powers, Vanguard head of ETF product management

By Rich Powers and Scott Johnston, Vanguard Americas

(Sponsor Content)

The waves of volatility from the coronavirus outbreak have reached every corner of the financial markets. For bond ETFs, the waves have resulted in both volatile market price swings and larger-than-usual gaps between market prices and net asset values (NAVs).

When the gap is positive (that is, when the market price is greater than the NAV), it’s called a premium. A discount occurs when the NAV is greater than the market price. While such gaps can be unsettling, history shows that premiums or discounts are always present with bond ETFs, and their widening amid market volatility tends to be short-lived.

Bond ETFs are an important source of liquidity

Along with heightened market volatility in the bond market over the last few weeks, there’s been a drop in liquidity of many types of individual bonds: that is, the willingness of market participants to buy and sell. Bond ETFs, on the other hand, have maintained their liquidity and have been the primary mechanism for price discovery in the fixed income markets.

In such a volatile environment, bond ETFs can be expected to trade at discounts or premiums. Though discounts and premiums of this breadth and magnitude are rare, bond ETFs have been tested during prior bouts of volatility and actually do a good job of reflecting in real time the value of the underlying fixed income securities. In times of volatility with rapidly evolving macroeconomic, interest rate, and credit environments, investors should expect premiums or discounts in bond ETFs. Bond ETFs tracking similar benchmarks have experienced large variations in market returns as well.

Fewer inputs can create greater price disparities

Discounts and performance differences reflect the fact that there are two ways to determine portfolio values. In setting end-of-day NAVs, ETF pricing specialists use both actual trades and an adjustment factor based on bid/ask spreads for bonds, especially for bonds that haven’t traded recently. Market prices, in contrast, are collectively determined by ETF investors and “market-makers.” If, as happened in the second last week of March, bond trading is fairly diminished in the underlying market, NAV calculations will have fewer inputs and thus there’s an increased chance for differences from market prices.

Unlike a NAV that’s calculated by a pricing provider, market prices for bond ETFs reflect the market’s minute-by-minute judgment, which includes factors such as:

  • Valuation estimates of the underlying holdings by market-makers.
  • Supply and demand for the ETFs.
  • The cost for providing liquidity in fast-moving markets where underlying bonds may have less liquidity.

Since these calculations have different inputs, investors should expect different outcomes, particularly in volatile markets. When viewed over longer periods — say a month or a quarter — these short-term disparities are generally imperceptible, as they are over a “normal” day or week. Continue Reading…

5 financial benefits of having a healthy lifestyle

Posted By |

By Morgen Henderson

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Most of us have been given medical advice to eat healthier and get regular exercise, and there are certainly daily benefits to these choices, like feeling more energetic, having a better mood, and experiencing less pain. But we don’t always consider the financial benefits of a healthier lifestyle.

Although spending more money upfront on things like organic food and gym memberships or other fitness activities might seem like it doesn’t fit into a frugal financial lifestyle, the money you’ll save both in your monthly spending and in the long run makes the initial costs well worth it.

1.) Cheaper insurance later in life

When you get older, you may need life or burial insurance (if you don’t have it already), and being healthy will help you get better rates for your policy. Living in an unhealthy way may lead to health problems down the line. Although it’s still possible to get it, it can be more difficult to get funeral insurance for pre-existing conditions (also known as “final expense” and “burial” insurance). For instance, if smokers need insurance, but they now have lung cancer, it may be hard for them to find a policy, and if they do, it may cost them more.

2.) Lower health care costs

Health care companies often charge higher premiums for people with pre-existing conditions or chronic health problems such as hypertension and diabetes, and sometimes also for smokers. Beyond that, if you have a chronic health condition, you’ll need to pay more out of pocket for prescriptions, doctor visits, and medical treatments. While not all such conditions are preventable through healthy living, many common ones — diabetes, heart disease, certain types of cancers, and osteoporotic hip fractures, to name a few — are.

The World Health Organization found that “physically active individuals in the USA save an estimated $500 per year in health care costs.” That’s based on data from 20 years ago, so savings are even higher today.

unsplash

3.) Less spending on filler foods

Choosing whole foods over packaged, processed foods like chips and other snacks means you’re getting more nutrition for your dollars. Changing your snacking habits can help you do this. And adjusting portion sizes to meet what your own body needs will also help shave down your spending on food.

What’s more, cutting out other indulgences many people regularly consume, such as tobacco and alcohol, will save money each year that you can redirect to retirement savings or other investments. Healthier eating habits and reduced substance use will affect your budget now, and your health care costs later. Continue Reading…

Coping with the Costs of Covid-19

Posted By |
 
By Carrie Hunter
Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Our world, as we’ve known it, has changed dramatically over the last few weeks. Likely, forever.

If you have children, and like me live in Alberta, you can now add homeschooling to your c.v. You and your spouse are now living and working in this same space 24/7 practising the soon-to-be-normalized cultural rite of social isolation.

When you do step outside, gratefully breathing in fresh air, looking up as a neighbour passes and takes a step back, yet still cheerfully waving, you’re reminded again of the new normal: social distancing.

Back in your home, you open up your laptop only to be inundated with Covid-19 news headlines, across every possible platform, and overwhelmed by the inconceivable number of people being felled by the novel coronavirus.

The Zombie Apocalypse

Unsurprisingly, global financial markets, reflecting the fear, anxiety and uncertainty of investors, are in free fall — the TSX and S&P were down 34% and 32% respectively the week of March 20th — cliff-diving off record highs of just a month ago. Reporting of these numbers is closely followed with economists’ dire predictions of a recession once the Covid-19 crisis subsides. It’s surreal. I can’t shake the feeling I’m an extra in a Zombie apocalypse movie. If only.

How do we cope as the once relatively reliable world we knew, just a few short weeks ago, continues to experience seismic shifts that shake and loosen the very foundation supporting our lives?

Keep calm, Carry on

We can only control what’s within our reach. This is my mantra; only now, I repeat it several times a day. Here are  some tips to help cope with day-to-day changes:

Emergency Fund

Practically speaking, ensure you have an emergency fund. Typically, you’re looking to sock away three to six months of living expenses for the “just in case” scenario. Don’t have it now? Don’t panic. Take a good hard look at your monthly expenses and incorporate this savings target into your budget. Anticipating an income tax refund? Earmark a portion of these dollars and deposit them into a high-interest savings account. Preferably one that’s CDIC insured.

Resist the temptation to save for your rainy day with extra monthly dollars. There’s rarely spare change at the end of the month; be intentional, add this line item to your budget. Even a few dollars to kickstart the account will make a difference in the long run.

Budgets

Do you have one? If not, this is a great time to put one together. Track ALL of your expenses for a month or two. Do you see any trends? Any obvious places you can trim expenses? Make it happen.

One of my favourite hacks is around groceries and meal planning. Each week, I shop in my freezer and pantry compiling a list of recipes for the week. Not only does it take the stress out of meal planning (and save money on takeout), but it limits trips to the grocery store.

Financial Support

More than one million Canadians have now applied for Employment Insurance. You may find yourself without work; caring for a loved one battling Covid-19 or staying home with your children due to school or daycare closures. The federal government will be offering financial support for 16 weeks, beginning in April (the online portal is scheduled to launch on April 6th) and payments will be retroactive to March 15th, through its COVID-19 Economic Response Plan.

Managing your portfolio performance

I review our portfolio on a daily basis. It’s not really something I should do, and given the performance of the last month, it may be a habit I soon break.

The last month has been startling; I’ve watched our collective portfolios steeply decline, briefly ascend only to decline again. It’s unbelievably tempting to hop off the rollercoaster, almost primal, really, sell what remains and seek shelter on the sidelines. Continue Reading…

Where are you parking your cash these days? GICs vs. High-interest savings accounts

Posted By |

Cash is king during times of economic trouble. Working families need emergency savings to pay the bills in case of job loss or a reduction in wages. Retirees or near retirees need a cash cushion to avoid selling stocks at a loss. But should you park your cash in a high interest savings account or a GIC?

For a short time, not too long ago, we lived in the golden age of high interest savings. The competition was lively, as online banks and credit unions pushed interest rates well above 2 per cent (LBC Digital briefly paid 3.3 per cent).

Rising interest rates on savings deposits made GICs look less attractive. GICs paid the same rates or lower, yet savers had to lock-in their deposits for 1-5 years. Where did the liquidity premium go?

High Interest Savings Account rates

The situation quickly changed when the coronavirus pandemic forced central banks to take emergency action and cut interest rates. The Bank of Canada lowered its key interest rates by 50 basis points on two occasions. The ripple effect caused high interest savings account rates to plummet.

LBC Digital had already lowered its rate to 2.8 per cent – now it sits at a still respectable 2.25 per cent. Wealthsimple Cash had arguably the worst-timed launch when it came out with a 2.4 per cent interest rate for its chequing/savings account hybrid. That rate was quickly dropped to 1.9 per cent, and then lowered again to 1.4 per cent.

EQ Bank lowered the interest rate on its Savings Plus account to 2 per cent, while motusbank dropped its rate to 1.75 per cent. What a difference a month makes!

Here are the top high interest savings account rates today (March 25, 2020):

Bank Interest rate
LBC Digital 2.25%
Motive Financial 2.20%
Implicity Financial 2.10%
Outlook Financial 2.10%
EQ Bank 2.00%
Oaken Financial 2.00%

 

As always, savers need to look beyond the big banks to maximize the interest earned on their deposits. If inflation averages 2 per cent, then you need to earn at least 2 per cent on your savings to maintain purchasing power. Even still, at best you’re treading water.

Despite the recent drop in rates, a high interest savings account is still the best place to park your emergency savings. You never know when you’ll need to access cash for an unexpected bill, or to pay for your living expenses during a period of unemployment.

A high interest savings account is also a must-have for retirees and near-retirees to stash one year’s worth of spending – the first bucket in the three-bucket approach to retirement income planning.

What this current rate crisis has highlighted is the fact that high interest savings account rates are not guaranteed. Those who eschewed GICs to chase higher yielding savings accounts now find their savings account paying 0.50 – 1.00 per cent less than it was a month ago. Not ideal.

GIC rates

One of my clients recently alerted me to an email sent by Oaken Financial advertising an increase in GIC rates. Its one-year GIC now pays 2.5 per cent, which is a full 25 basis points more than the top-paying high interest savings account. Oaken’s five-year GIC now pays 2.95 per cent interest. It looks like the liquidity premium is back.

You’ll easily find one-year GIC rates paying at or above the best high interest savings account rate.

Bank Interest rate
Oaken Financial 2.50%
Canadian Tire Bank 2.50%
EQ Bank 2.40%
Wealth One Bank of Canada 2.40%
Peoples Trust 2.30%

 

Longer-term rates vary widely so be sure to shop around for promotions. Here are the top five-year GIC rates as of this writing:

Bank Interest rate
Oaken Financial 2.95%
Wealth One Bank of Canada 2.60%
Canadian Tire Bank 2.55%
EQ Bank 2.55%
Peoples Trust 2.55%

 

Readers should know that GICs are typically non-redeemable, so you should be absolutely certain that you won’t need the money when you lock it in for 1-5 years.

That means GICs are ill-suited for an emergency fund, but ideal for a goal with a specific time period.

Using High Interest Savings Accounts and GICs for Retirement Income

For retirees and near-retirees, GICs are best-suited for “bucket two” in your three-bucket approach to retirement income. Bucket two is where you build a GIC ladder with three to five years of annual retirement spending. Continue Reading…

Americans extremely worried about job security, finances and Retirement due to Coronavirus

Posted By |

By Mike Brown

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Due to COVID-19, 57% of adult Americans are worried about their job security, while 63% are concerned about both their retirement savings and ability to make monthly student loan payments. Plus, many other insights from LendEDU’s newest survey.

At the time of this writing, Johns Hopkins’ Coronavirus Resource Center has reported 353,692 cases of Coronavirus around the world and 15,430 deaths. In the United States, there have been 35,345, while the total number of deaths is 473 by most estimates.

Then there’s the economic fallout in the U.S. as the stock market has gone into a tailspin, and a recession, or worse, seems likely. With the nation necessarily self-quarantining itself, countless small businesses are shuddering their doors and laying people off.

In the wake of this global pandemic, LendEDU has surveyed 1,000 adult Americans to better gauge the micro-level economic impact that COVID-19 will have on our country.

We found that a substantial proportion of people are worried about their job security, retirement savings, mortgage or student loan payments, and taking on too much credit card debt.

Click here to jump to the full survey results

If you would like to see a specific breakdown of the data other than those provided (ex. state-by-state, gender, age), please email me at brown@lendedu.com.

Observations & Analysis: How is Coronavirus Impacting the Finances & Employment of Americans?

All data is based on a survey of 1,000 adult Americans commissioned by LendEDU and conducted by research firm Pollfish. The survey was conducted on March 18, 2020. For some questions, the answer percentages may not add up to 100% exactly due to rounding.

Job Security

We first asked respondents how Coronavirus has already impacted their job since the virus’ impacts started being felt by the U.S.

35% of adult Americans have been fortunate enough to see no changes to their job due to COVID-19, while a combined 24% have not lost their job, but have seen their hours either reduced or eliminated. Unfortunately, 6% of respondents have lost their job in the Coronavirus fallout.

But, just because the majority of respondents have kept their job in some manner does not mean they aren’t still concerned about losing it. This rings especially true amongst those who have seen hour reductions.

Amongst those that maintained their job in some manner, the majority, 57%, were still concerned about job security moving forward as the impact of Coronavirus widens.

67% of those who have seen reduced hours are worried about keeping their job, while 73% of respondents who had their hours completely cut but kept their job are concerned over job security.

Compare these numbers to the 48% of those who have seen no change in their job, but are still worried about their losing it.

No matter the position employees find themselves in as COVID-19 takes hold, it is clear that stressing over job security will almost be impossible to avoid during this time. Maintaining morale will be a challenge for employees, employers, and the economy as a whole.

General Finances

Before Coronavirus and its impacts hit home here in the U.S., how many Americans were living paycheck to paycheck?

No matter how the data is broken down, the majority of respondents were living paycheck to paycheck before COVID-19 became a large-scale issue in the U.S. This has been reported in other studies as well.

So, while the Coronavirus outbreak in the U.S. may not drastically change the financial lives of those who have seen no changes to their jobs, it could cause severe trouble for those who have seen reduced hours or lost their jobs completely.

For example, 70% of those who have seen their hours partially cut due to COVID-19 were already living paycheck to paycheck, while 82% who have lost their jobs because of the pandemic were doing the same.

Over the next few weeks or even months, these folks will be stretched thin like never before when it comes to their finances. This is why a plan to send Americans checks due to COVID-19 is being discussed in Washington D.C.

With financial woes forthcoming or already here for many Americans, some will be drawing from an emergency fund or savings account to cover expenses.

And when it came to the expenses that Coronavirus has brought on, whether it be toilet paper or T-bone steaks, we found that our respondents have spent an average of $335.65 on COVID-19-related expenses since the pandemic began to seriously impact the U.S.

When expenses run high, many consumers need to access debt, typically via credit card, to finance their purchases. We asked poll participants with at least one credit card if they will be taking on more credit card debt than they would like due to Coronavirus.

Retirement Savings

Coronavirus has already had a crippling impact on the stock market, and it’s likely to get worse. For older Americans especially, there’s a pervasive fear that retirement nest eggs might get completely decimated as a result.

38% of our respondents indicated they are currently saving for retirement through something like a 401(k), Roth IRA, or high-yield savings account. We asked these folks about their concerns over their retirement savings due to COVID-19.

Within each age breakdown, the majority of Americans indicated that they are worried about their retirement savings due to COVID-19 and the ramifications it will have on the market.

Not surprisingly, this is especially true for older Americans ages 55 and up who are in the retirement red zone. 67% of this cohort are concerned about their retirement nest eggs.

Monthly Finance Payments (Mortgages, Student Loans, & Credit Cards)

With financial worries widespread and budgets tightening, we wanted to ask a few questions related to common financial obligations that Americans have, like payments for student loans, credit cards, or a mortgage.

The following graphics are based on questions only asked to those respondents that stated they had a mortgage (35%), outstanding student loan debt (23%), and/or at least one open credit card account (63%).

Many respondents are quite concerned about meeting their monthly financial obligations, whether they be related to a mortgage, student loans, credit cards, or all three.

Most alarming was how those adult Americans that lost their jobs due to Coronavirus answered these few questions. 96% of this group was worried about meeting mortgage payments, 88% about student loan payments, and 93% about credit card payments.

Widespread delinquency or default would have severe implications on the economy at large. In an attempt to combat this, we have seen the Trump Administration waive further accruing interest on student loans and suspend all evictions and foreclosures until April for FHA-insured mortgages.

Investments

While we did touch on investments as they pertained to retirement savings earlier, we wanted to dedicate a section to more active, personal investments that consumers make through personal brokerage accounts.

To describe the stock market in the last couple of weeks as turbulent would be an understatement. There have been sharp rises and drops (mostly the latter), and trading has actually been halted a few times in recent weeks on both the New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq. The 15-minute halts happen when an initial steep drop in the market triggers “circuit breakers” that shut down trading.

27% of our poll participants indicated that they were actively invested in the market through a personal brokerage account when COVID-19 started impacting the U.S.

We asked this group a couple of questions in regards to playing the market.

As expected, the vast majority of Americans who were making personal investments in the market when Coronavirus escalated got clobbered. 79% of respondents indicated they lost money, while just 8% made a profit.

And, how will these respondents invest moving forward as the pandemic continues to disrupt daily life?

As it turns out, the majority of investors plan on riding out the storm and holding steady on their stock plays. Meanwhile, 21% plan on buying more during this crisis, while 13% will be looking to dump shares.

Full Survey Results

Continue Reading…