Decumulate & Downsize

Most of your investing life you and your adviser (if you have one) are focused on wealth accumulation. But, we tend to forget, eventually the whole idea of this long process of delayed gratification is to actually spend this money! That’s decumulation as opposed to wealth accumulation. This stage may also involve downsizing from larger homes to smaller ones or condos, moving to the country or otherwise simplifying your life and jettisoning possessions that may tie you down.

The Decumulation Dilemma of Defined Contribution pensions

Depositphotos_18757183_xsAh, life was so simple when all we had were Defined Benefit pension plans! I sometimes envy my late father, who only had to invest in GICs (Guaranteed Investment Certificates) to supplement his inflation-indexed Ontario Teachers pension. Just like a salary, that guaranteed pension flowed in like clockwork, including a healthy survivor’s benefit after my father predeceased my mother.

Unfortunately, such pensions do not pass to the next generation and it’s becoming harder to find employers that offer new employees DB plans: even if you’re fortunate enough to be in one, you may be subjected to pressures to switch to a Defined Contribution Plan, putting stock-market risk squarely on the pensioner’s shoulders instead of the employer’s.

Decumulation Issues similar with RRSPs and RRIFs

Since RRSPs behave quite similarly to DC pensions, the issues are almost the same, both on the wealth accumulation side as well as what we call the Decumulation side. (Here at the Hub, we have sections devoted to blogs on either topic).

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John Por, Decumulation Institute

One of the frequent contributors to the Hub’s Decumulation section is John Por, founder of the (you guessed it!) Decumulation Institute. John recently wrote an intriguing article in Benefits Canada about the need to overcome the Behavioural Obstacles inherent in Decumulation Decision Making.

Unlike DB plans, members of DC plans need some employer-supplied education so as to optimize both the wealth accumulation as well as the ultimate decumulation that is the ultimate raison d’être of any pension. Por says an OECD study found most employer communications programs about DC pensions were rather ineffective in improving the behaviour of the plan members when it came to investing decisions. The average score of such programs was only 10 out of a maximum 100.  (a range of 50-60 is considered effective).

Anyone near retirement and without significant income from old-fashioned DB plans well knows the stress of seeing RRSP or RRIF values fluctuate with financial markets. As Por notes, one reason for the disappointing DC scores is this:

Plan members are expected to make complex decisions about an uncertain future … Members are expected to make the same or even more difficult decisions as chief investment officers (CIOs) of large pension funds.

His fifth point is also instructive:

Educators fail to recognize the inherent challenge of overcoming limitations imposed by human nature, such as people’s hard-wired biases and heuristics.

Most DC plans do a good job educating members in the Accumulation years. Por says default options can guide more than 80% of members to a well-diversified efficient portfolio at low costs. But it all breaks down just when the money is needed at retirement:

Unfortunately, much of this support disappears at the decumulation decision— the very point where complexity explodes. Yet 60 cents of every retirement dollar are paid by returns earned after retirement as the direct result of decumulation decisions.

Por delves into behavioural economics, noting that one reason retirees shy away from annuities is that they “discount” the value of the tradeoff involved in converting capital to long-term secure income stream that should last 20 or 30 years.

While Por’s focus is DC plans, remember that the decumulation issues are also quite relevant for those planning for the transition from RRSPs to Registered Retirement Income Funds (RRIFs). But with 9 million Canadians set to retire in the next 15 or 20 years, he’s optimistic that employers and financial institutions will rise to the Decumulation challenge:

Canadian society will produce 1,500 retirees every working day for the next 20 years, and financial institutions have an overriding interest in serving them. As these institutions vie for asset decumulation, competition will result in better financial products and more effective education efforts.

 

The Scourge of Dementia: Taking Charge of Your Health

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Doug Dahmer

By Doug Dahmer

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

“Alzheimer’s disease – the degenerative brain condition that is not content to simply kill its victims, it must first snuff out their essence.” – Time Magazine, October 31, 2010

By age 85, an individual has a 50% chance of developing Alzheimer’s disease. It’s a matter of a flipping a coin. Chances are if you don’t have Alzheimer’s, you will be caring for someone who does.

 

The Grim Statistics about Dementia
• The incidence of Alzheimer’s disease is reaching epidemic proportions. Today, 500,000 Canadians have the disease or a related dementia.

• Alzheimer’s disease is considered the second most feared disease of aging.
• While 1: 11 people 65 years of age and older suffer from Alzheimer’s disease, 71,000 Canadians < 65 have the disease.
• It is estimated that one person is diagnosed every five minutes and it is projected that by 2035, 1.1 million Canadians will be living with Alzheimer’ or a related dementia. Continue Reading…

A strategy for leasing a car in retirement

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2014 Nissan Versa Note

One of the features of the Decumulation years is making limited funds stretch. Below, early retiree and Montreal resident Michael Trani shows his analysis for his decision to lease rather than buy late-model cars for 20- and 30-year periods following his early retirement at age 55. He uses income from an investment to fund the lease, a strategy that lets him drive a new car every four years. He says he’ll never buy outright again. 

 

By Michael Trani,

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

A few months ago, for family-related reasons, I was forced to retire from my job at the relatively young age of 55. Yes, lucky me, I was now living the Freedom 55 dream! I was well aware that in this new phase of my life, my future earning capabilities would be severely restricted. Wishing to provide stability to my financial affairs, I embarked on a mission to essentially fix all the present and future costs I could control.

My first order of business was to develop a low-cost strategy to provide me with a car for the next 20 to 30 years.  While employed, I had saved quite a bit of money to purchase and carry out the required maintenance on a new car. However, now that I did not have the safety net of a job, I knew that once this money was spent, it would be gone for good. I certainly would not be able to replace it. I had been buying cars at 10-year intervals, and for my potential future car in 2024, things did not look good.

The solution to my predicament was simple. Why not simply invest the money I had saved in an investment that returned regular, monthly, tax-advantaged income,  then use this income to finance a car lease in perpetuity?

With the aid of a spreadsheet, I compared the cost of purchasing a new car for “cash” every ten years with a car lease financed strictly with the monthly distributions of my investment. My comparison looked exclusively at the 20- and 30-year timeframes, as these represent my future driving years. I also factored in the necessary tax treatment for the monthly distributions and the residual value of the investment.

The investment I used to finance my car lease strategy is: Investors Group Allegro Balanced Growth Canada Focus Class –T J DSC. This is a special balanced mutual fund that distributes 7% yearly on a monthly basis. The distributions are treated as a Return of Capital, and when all the capital has been returned (in approximately 15 years) the distributions become capital gains. I am sure that other well-established financial institutions will have similar products available.

In the following table I have summarized the findings of my comparison.

Comparison of car strategies for 20 and 30 years

Car: 2014 Nissan Versa Note

Duration of lease: 48 months

 

Car strategy 20-yr strategy; cost per month  20-yr strategy; total cost 20 years 30-yr  strategy; cost per month 30-yr strategy; total cost 30 years
purchase “cash” $300.60 $72,144.00 $300.60 $108,216.00
lease strategy $119.08 $28,579.76 $119.53 $43,030.76
savings of lease over “cash” $181.52 $43,564.24 $181.07 $65,185.24

 

Note 1: The lease includes the dealer-offered free scheduled maintenance for the duration of the lease (in this case 48 months) and a $600 winter tire credit ( ufficient to purchase 4 brand-new Michelin X-ICE tires)

Note 2: With the purchase “cash” strategy there is no free scheduled maintenance and no $600 winter tire credit

I was totally blown away by these results. Certainly, I had made assumptions in my calculations, but, nevertheless, it is clear that the leasing strategy considerably reduces the cost of financing new cars, in perpetuity I may add. The cost reduction is not trivial when I can lease a car with only a third of the money required to purchase that same car.

Leasing yields a new car every four years

Sure enough, I followed through on my plan. I implemented my investment strategy and recently leased a Versa Note. Now every four years I will have a new car. I realize that at the end of 20 or 30 years, I certainly will not own a car, but will instead own the units of the Allegro fund, which will continue to generate monthly income. I believe I succeeded in my mission to devise a low-cost strategy to finance my future car requirements. I will never buy a car outright again.

As a side note, while negotiating my car lease, I learned that car dealers are willing to give away quite a bit of goodies for free. I negotiated four years of free scheduled maintenance and four really good, brand-name, winter tires for free as well. What more could I ask for?

The following table I details all my calculations, to permit easy verification.

Fund: Investors Group Allegro Balanced Growth Canada Focus Class – T J DSC

Date: June-27-2014

Unit Value on this date: $10.8492

Monthly Distribution: $0.0616 per unit

To generate $332.50 monthly requires 5,397.7273 units or $58,561.02 to be invested in the Allegro fund (the initial cost)

20-year strategy          

Purchase price of a 2014 Versa Note:                  $19,072.00                   cash payment in full, assume value of trade-in cancels the sales tax

Average maintenance cost per year:                  $1,700.00

Total cost for 10 years:                                    $36,072.00

Total cost of purchasing per month:                  $300.60

Total cost for 2 cars over 20 years:                  $72,144.00

 

Leasing a 2014 Versa Note for:                   $332.50                  per month                                                                        line 1

Maintenance expense:                                    $0.00                  per month, free scheduled maintenance                                    line 2

Insurance for replacement value:                  $17.51                  per month, $840.40 for 48 months                                    line 3

Insurance for end of lease protection:                  $19.79                  per month, $950 for 48 months                                    line 4

For 20 years this will cost:                                    $88,752.00

The actual cost of leasing:                                    $67,513.02                  A. the initial cost of the Allegro fund + ((lines 2+3+4) x 240 months)

The capital gains tax:                                    $4,987.50                  B. to be paid on the distributions from years 15 to 20

The net cost of leasing for 20 years:                  $72,500.52                  C. defined simply as (A + B)

Residual value of the Allegro fund:                  $43,920.77                  D. value of the Allegro fund after all return of capital has been used up and units theoretically sold

The “true cost” of leasing for 20 years is:                  $28,579.76                  E. defined simply as (C – D)

The “true cost” of leasing per month is:                  $119.08                  F. defined simply as (E / 240 months)

30-year strategy

Purchase price of a 2014 Versa Note:                  $19,072.00                  cash payment in full, assume value of trade-in cancels the sales tax

Average maintenance cost per year:                  $1,700.00

Total cost for 10 years:                                    $36,072.00

Total cost of purchasing per month:                  $300.60

Total cost for 3 cars over 30 years:                  $108,216.00

 

Leasing a 2014 Versa Note for:                  $332.50                  per month                                                                        line 1

Maintenance expense:                                    $0.00                  per month, free scheduled maintenance                                    line 2

Insurance for replacement value:                  $17.51                  per month, $840.40 for 48 months                                    line 3

Insurance for end of lease protection:                  $19.79                  per month, $950 for 48 months                                    line 4

For 30 years this will cost:                                    $133,128.00

The actual cost of leasing:                                    $71,989.02                  A. the initial cost of the Allegro fund + ((lines 2+3+4) x 360 months)

The capital gains tax:                                    $14,962.50                  B. to be paid on the distributions from years 15 to 30

The net cost of leasing for 30 years:                  $86,951.52                  C. defined simply as (A + B)

 

Residual value of the Allegro fund:                  $43,920.77                  D. value of the Allegro fund after all return of capital has been used up and units theoretically sold

The “true cost” of leasing for 30 years is:                  $43,030.76                  E. defined simply as (C – D)

The “true cost” of leasing per month is:                  $119.53                  F. defined simply as (E / 360 months)

Montreal-based Michael Trani can be reached at michael_trani@hotmail.com.

 

 

Free to Be: A Lesson in Financial Independence

The guest blog below by certified financial planner Matthew Ardrey followed a discussion we had on social media about the distinction between traditional retirement and financial independence. Matthew, who is with T. E. Wealth, uses a definition of financial independence that is virtually identical to the one we use on this site, right down to having a paid-for home. We especially like this line: “One can be retired and not financially independent or vice versa.” Over to Matt:

MattArdrey
Matthew Ardrey, T.E. Wealth

By Matthew Ardrey, CFP

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

I was first introduced to the concept of retirement as a young boy, when my grandfather retired from the TTC on his 65th birthday. I understood that he no longer worked, and that this is what you do when you reach 65. From the eyes of a child, it seemed like a far away notion.

It wasn’t until 2000, when I started working in the financial services industry, that I was properly introduced to the concept of financial independence as it differs from retirement. The proprietary financial planning software we used at my workplace did not have a retirement calculator. Instead, it had a “Financial Independence Needs” analysis tool. As I was young and green, I saw it as a fancy way of saying retirement planner. Through the benefit of experience, I would soon discover that financial independence was something else entirely.

Retirement vs. Financial Independence

Retirement, by definition, is the cessation of work with the intent of not returning. Financial independence, on the other hand, is having sufficient financial assets to have the choice about whether or not you continue to work. So, one can be retired and not financially independent or vice versa.

When I explain financial independence to my clients, I let them know that the main differentiator is freedom of choice. If you are not financially independent, you have no choice but to continue working if you don’t want to alter other aspects of your life. Once you are financially independent, you can choose if you want to continue to work in the same capacity – or at all. This freedom to choose is empowering and it’s what I encourage all of my clients to work towards.

How to Get There

I’m often asked how one can get to this wonderful nirvana known as financial independence. The first step is to pay off your home. By having a debt-free residence, you have eliminated what is most people’s largest single expense. Without this hanging over your head, you have freed up significant cash-flow.

The second step is budgeting – both before and after you have reached financial independence. Before, determine what you will need to save to reach your goals, and pay yourself first. After, understand what and how you spend to determine if you have accumulated sufficient assets in the “before” stage.

Know Your Asset Returns

Understand the return on the assets that are funding your freedom. Which assets in your portfolio are generating income or appreciating, and at what rate are they growing? How are taxes affecting these returns? These are questions to which you should know the answer, as small changes in that rate compounded over a long period of time can have a significant effect.

Costs matter, period. Focus on the cost/benefit relationship of your investment structures. Benchmark both what you make and what you pay to make it. If you find that the costs are inordinate while the performance is average or worse yet, lackluster, take steps to fix the cost/benefit. Even better yet, get the jump on “CRM2” by asking your advisor to fully delineate all costs pertaining to your investments and what services are offered in exchange for these costs.

As I guide my clients towards their future goals, I find the word “retirement” is used less and less in my lexicon. When my clients leave the workforce, the pursuits they undertake tend to be much different from my grandfather’s, who retired 35 years ago. What they are pursuing is the freedom to make their life whatever they want it to be.

Matthew Ardrey is a Certified Financial Planner with T. E. Wealth. He can be reached at its Toronto offices here. He is also on Twitter as @MattArdreyCFP

Why I Pushed My Findependence Day Back 5 Years

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Robb Engen, Boomer & Echo

By Robb Engen, Boomer & Echo

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Last summer I thought I’d be financially free by 40. Reality – and unplanned expenses – set in this year and I’ve adjusted that ambitious projection by five years. I’m still on track to reach a net worth of $1 million by the time I turn 41, but financial independence will have to wait a few more years.

Here’s why:

Remember, financial independence doesn’t necessarily mean retirement. It simply means the date your income from investments exceeds your day-to-day expenses so that you no longer have to rely on regular employment to meet your needs.

My initial projection was indeed ambitious – with us having a paid-off mortgage by 2020 and increasing the income withdrawn from our business by 100 per cent (from $3,000 per month to $6,000).

But borrowing $35,000 to develop our basement this year meant we couldn’t continue our aggressive mortgage pay-down, and a four-year car loan has cut into our ability to save as much as we wanted.

That’s okay – on paper the original plan didn’t factor in these expenses, plus I hadn’t fleshed out exactly how I’d make those numbers work. Now I have a better idea, but unfortunately it’ll cost us five years. Here’s our financial Freedom 45 plan:

Financial independence at 45

In late 2016, once we pay off the HELOC and car loan, we’ll have $27,000 per year to save toward our ‘findependence’ goal. With that amount, we’ll put $12,000 into my RRSP and $10,000 into our TFSAs, plus throw an extra $5,000 payment toward our mortgage.

That pushes our mortgage freedom date back to January 1, 2025. At that time, our home should be worth $600,000 (using a conservative 3 per cent annual growth rate), my RRSP should be worth $380,000, tax-free savings accounts should total in excess of $150,000, and the commuted value of my defined benefit pension will be roughly $310,000.

The key to paying our monthly expenses after financial independence will come from our business income. We currently withdraw $3,000 per month from our small business, which includes income earned from three websites, freelance writing, and from my fee-only financial planning business.

My original plan showed business income increasing to $6,000 per month in five years, but without any clear path to explain how to double revenue. And, after losing my main freelancing gig at the Toronto Star, this goal seemed unrealistic.

But the fee-only planning service has gone better than anticipated – earning $10,000 in less than one year and expected to grow to $18,000 in year two as existing clients stay on and I continue to add one or two clients per month.

After completing the CFP certification in two years I’ll have the opportunity to ramp up my efforts and potentially offer fee-only planning services full-time. At that point, between existing and new clients, the service could bring in roughly $36,000 per year.

My three blogs collectively earn about the same – $36,000 per year – after expenses and so if I can maintain or increase that income then I’ll be able to meet my $6,000 per month goal for business income.

Our projected expenses haven’t changed. After the mortgage is paid off we could live comfortably on $36,000 per year, which leaves the additional $36,000 of income to go toward taxes, short-term savings, and retirement.

Final thoughts

A financial plan is just words on a page unless you commit to taking action. Even if your financial independence date seems like a moving target, it’ll become more precise as you monitor and update projections based on your true reality.

While it’s disappointing to push financial independence back five years, it’s comforting to know that I’m zeroing in on a target date that’s based on reality and not a wild projection.

Editor’s Note:You can find the original version of this blog at Boomer & Echo earlier this week, here. Note too the several comments at the bottom. When we can coordinate at both ends, we hope to make Robb or Marie’s blog available here as many Thursdays as we can manage. Also, in his original headline, Robb used the phrase “Findependence Date.” When I asked why not “Day,” he said he “didn’t want to steal your thunder.” I realize that good bloggers respect others’  intellectual property but let me make it clear that I’m fine with people using the phrase Findependence Day and Findependence. Half the point of this site is to bring these terms into general usage and displace “Retirement.” — JC