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Canadians embracing low-cost ETFs: Is a tipping point on the horizon?

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By Dale Roberts, CutTheCrap Investing

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Data shows that Canadians continue to embrace low-cost ETFs. That said, more monies continue to flow into high-fee mutual funds. As you likely know, Canadians pay the highest mutual fund fees in the developed world. Of course, those high fees are wealth destroyers and can eat up 50% of your investment returns over the decades.

But here’s the good news: more Canadians are moving more monies to low-cost ETF portfolios by the way of self-directing or through Canadian Robo Advisors or by way of those One Ticket Asset Allocation Portfolios.

Here’s a look at the flow comparisons for Mutual Funds and ETFs courtesy of the IFIC site:

Here’s the sales figures for mutual funds in what we would typically call the usually robust RRSP season, January and February:

Mutual Fund Sales 2019 Jan FebAnd here’s the sales figures for the ETF industry for RRSP season:ETF Assets 2019 Jan Feb

If we want to be optimists, that is more than promising. While 2019 was a soft RRSP season for money flows into mutual funds and ETFs (compared to 2018 figures) there was an acceleration of flows to ETFs compared to mutual funds, year over year.

  • In 2019 35% of new monies went to ETFs.
  • In 2018 27% of new monies went to ETFs

That is certainly something to celebrate. While the total mutual fund industry is almost 10 times the size of the ETF industry, they did not even double the size of inflows for January and February of 2019. That aligns with the findings of Nest Wealth, which conducted a poll in RRSP season. Respondents suggested one third of all new account openings would be by way of one of the Canadian Robo Advisors: also known as digital wealth managers. For more on that please have a read of There will be a tipping point for ‘Robo Advisors’ suggests Randy Cass of Nest Wealth. Keep in mind the poll was reading account openings, not the move of assets or amounts of assets.

Here’s another way to frame that more than ‘good news’. Continue Reading…

How are changes to Renewable Energy affecting our daily lives?

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By Sia Hasan

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

One of the biggest changes to the energy industry has been the introduction of renewable energy. The idea that energy could be produced without having to burn fossil fuels was extremely foreign to the industry at its inception. Luckily, more and more consumers have made the switch to solar and other renewables to build a greener and more sustainable energy infrastructure. This gradual switch to solar has affected more than just large utilities. So, how have changes to the renewable energy sector affected the daily lives of most citizens?

  • Average Energy Bills Are Falling
  • The Cost Of Installing Solar Is Lower Than Ever
  • More Legislative Actions Are Being Taken To Support Renewable Energy

Average energy bills falling

Homeowners who make the switch to solar will immediately see that they now have lower energy bills. This is because fewer kilowatt hours must now be pulled from the grid because many are already being supplied for free by the sun via your rooftop solar system. These lower bills mean keeping more money in your pocket to spend on other things like better food on the table or a fun weekend getaway for the family. Over the 30+ year lifetime of a solar system, the savings can be massive. Additionally, those who install a solar system usually begin to value electricity more than those who don’t. This can cause homeowners to take additional measures such as installing energy efficient appliances and undertaking LED lighting upgrades which can even further lower energy bills.

Cost of installing Solar lower than ever

Thanks to improved manufacturing processes and higher demand for home renewable energy systems, the average solar panel cost has been falling at a fairly predictable rate over the years. In fact, it is estimated that the cost of solar is falling even faster than some experts expected. So what does this mean for consumers? Continue Reading…

Paying taxes on capital gains could be the best decision you make this year

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When it comes to capital gains taxes, sometimes it pays investors to give Ottawa its due (Shutterstock)

Marc Bellefeuille, Manulife Wealth

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

In times of market volatility, anything can happen from one quarter to the next. Market participants witnessed a wipeout in the financial markets in Q4 of 2018. The S&P 500 saw its fortunes accumulated throughout the year evaporate from September to November and American stocks suffered the worst declines ever recorded on a December 24thtrading day. Other markets around the world followed suit.

Fast forwarding to Q1 of 2019, the bounce-back for equity markets has been nothing short of impressive. So what can investors take away from the last six months? Certainly, many investors may have questioned those who advise them at the end of 2018, only to be rewarded for having stayed the course in recent months. But what lessons can we learn from recent events, and how should we adjust to protect our precious nest eggs in the years to come?

In the famous paper by Brison, Hood and Beebower, “Determinants of Portfolio Performance,” the authors suggest that a whopping 93.6% of portfolio return volatility is explained by the asset allocation of the investment portfolio1. Nobel prize-winning economist Harry Markowitz called diversification “the only free lunch in finance.”

Yet, more often than not, I see portfolios of bright and capable people concentrated in a few specific positions. The culprit? Capital gains tax. Investors feel at ease by the value they see on their quarterly statements and often feel like they are playing with house money so they can justify letting their portfolios drift into a state of concentration of their winners. The idea of paying the taxman keeps them from rationally re-balancing their portfolios which, ironically, can expose them to large shocks during market corrections.

The average market drop in a recessionary bear market is 30.4%.2These kinds of drops often take place without warning – and certainly without mercy – and can drag every sector down with them. These declines can often be more severe to high net-worth investors due to under-diversification of their investments.3

Most high net-worth investors know they should follow a diversified portfolio strategy. However, knowing is only half the battle. Many, when asked, could not explain their strategy for selling positions within their investment portfolios. When pressed, many investors believe that, for any position that declined by more than 10%, they would advocate to hit the sell button and stop the loss. But when a position was up 10% or more the button was harder to push: the greater the gain the harder it gets to take the profits. Investors tend to be loss averse but when they are, in their minds, playing with house money the rules go out the window and many sit on large gains without re-balancing back to their strategic asset allocation.4

Better off taking profits and rebalancing

One of the impediments to profit taking is the tax bill. Let’s do the math. Assume a successful investor put half a million into the shares of one of the big five Canadian banks in the fall of 2008 and the stock doubled. Were they to sell those shares, as a resident of Ontario, the tax bill would be approximately $133,800: assuming the top marginal tax bracket. Continue Reading…

Retired Money: Work Optional and the FIRE movement

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My latest MoneySense Retired Money column looks at the so-called FIRE movement: (an acronym for Financial Independence/Retire Early), as well as a new book by a FIRE blogger titled Work Optional. You can find the full column by clicking on the highlighted headline here: How “Work Optional” can fit into your Retirement Plan.

You’ll see that regular Hub blogger Doug Dahmer — founder of the Retirement Navigator planning software — has been using the phrase Work Optional for at least five years, even though the new book of that name was just published in January 2019. It’s a useful phrase that describes the kind of thing Mike Dark and I refer to as Victory Lap Retirement in our jointly authored book of the same name.

There are many ways to describe this phase, but generally it refers to a period after full-time employment. FIRE proponents often declare that they “retired” in their 30s or 40s but of course most of them do not spend the next half century doing absolutely nothing. They really create encore careers based on self-employment, and often build businesses based on book-publishing, blogging and public speaking, wherein they reveal “how they did it.”

Victory Lap and Findependence

To some extent this very website does a similar thing, focused as it is on Financial Independence, or my contraction of it, Findependence. Continue Reading…

Upside Down … the Yield Curve Inverts

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By Kevin Flanagan, WisdomTree Investments

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Recently, the big news has been that the U.S. Treasury (UST) 3-month/10-year yield curve became inverted for the first time since 2007. It is certainly a noteworthy development in bond-land. As of this writing, the closely watched UST 2-year/10-year spread is still on the positive side at 15 basis points.

Here are some quick insights:

  • The effect of last month’s Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting is still resonating, with any economic data being viewed through that prism accordingly.
  • The catalyst for this latest inversion may have been the continued soft performances of the Eurozone Purchasing Managers’ Indexes (PMIs), specifically those of the manufacturing sector and Germany.
  • The manufacturing PMIs for Germany, France and the Eurozone are now all in recession territory, with Germany’s at its lowest level since 2012.
  • The 10-year German bund yield dropped into negative territory as a result of the PMIs.
  • This is important for the U.S. rate outlook because the Fed mentions global growth as one of its primary concerns.
  • U.S. economic data has been more mixed but does suggest a slowing in Q1 growth.
  • The U.S. PMI came in below consensus for March, but still safely above the “50” threshold of contraction versus expansion.
  • Existing home sales increased by 11.8% in February. Continue Reading…