General

How do insurers calculate your home & auto insurance premiums?

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By Matt Hands, Ratehub.ca

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Insurers look at historical data, as well as real and perceived risks when calculating your insurance premium. If we dig a little deeper, we can identify specific factors that affect the price you pay for home and car insurance. Even better, we can determine which of those particular factors can help you save money and get you closer to financial independence.

Car Insurance Rates

Factors beyond your control

Age: There are certain factors that you can’t change:  like your age. A younger driver will pay more for car insurance because, with less experience on the road, there’s a higher chance of an accident. Historical statistics have proven time, and again that younger drivers take more risks than more mature drivers.

Location: Where you live affects your insurance premium, so unless you’re willing to move, there’s not much you can do. Specific location factors that impact pricing are: number of accidents, levels of fraud, the value of claims, theft & vandalism, as well as climate considerations. For instance, if you compare Ontario car insurance quotes vs. Alberta car insurance quotes you might find, all things being otherwise equal, that Albertans pay less for car insurance. The reasons for the cheaper pricing could be any number of reasons from lower claims volumes to population density.

Factors you can use to save money

Your Car: It should come as no surprise that the more expensive the vehicle, the more it will cost to insure. We don’t have to compare Maseratis to Civics to find better pricing though. The Insurance Bureau of Canada (IBC) uses the Canadian Loss Experience Automobile Rating, or CLEAR table, to determine how cars may be rated differently when calculating their insurance premiums. Use IBC’s How Cars Measure Up Guide and browse for vehicles with lower collision or comprehensive claims that will result in lower insurance premiums.

Your driving activity: This point is three-fold. If your general driving activity is safe, if there are no accidents, no speeding tickets or other major offences on your record, you’ll save money on car insurance. Your driving history, or the longer your driving activity is free and clear of any blemishes on your record, the more your insurer will reduce your monthly payments. Finally, how much you drive will affect your premium. The more you’re driving on the road, the higher the risk of an accident, and the more you’ll pay for car insurance. If you can walk, take public transit, or shorten your overall commute, the more you’ll save on car insurance.

Level of Coverage: To pay the least amount of car insurance, you can opt for the minimum coverage if you own your car outright, but keep in mind, this exposes you to significant costs should you be in an accident.

For instance, you can opt out of collision insurance which protects your car against damages sustained in a crash. You can decide against comprehensive which protects your vehicle against damages from events not related to driving, like a tree falling on your car after a storm. You can also choose to only take the minimum third party liability allowed in your province. This puts most of the risk on you though, and if anything does happen, you’ll probably be paying much more than your monthly premium.

Higher Deductible: A quick and easy way to pay less without touching your coverage is to increase your deductible. The deductible is the amount you pay after being approved for a claim, but before the insurance company will pay their portion up to the limit specified in your policy. If you increase your deductible from $500 to $1000, this is a signal to the insurer that you’re taking on more risk, and they’ll reduce your premium accordingly. Continue Reading…

10 keys to picking the best Canadian income trusts and REITs

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Canadian income trusts have always involved far more risk than most investors realize. This is why we’ve recommended so few of them in the past.

Income trusts are a type of investment trust that holds income-producing assets. Their units trade on stock exchanges, but they flow much of their income through to unit holders as “distributions.”

On January 1, 2011, Ottawa imposed a tax on distributions of income trusts. The new tax put income trusts on an equal tax footing with regular corporations.

Virtually all Canadian income trusts then converted into conventional corporations. But some are still out there: mostly real estate investment trusts (REITs).

Investing in trusts — and in particular oil and gas trusts — was risky, as the businesses that underpinned them needed steady cash flow. But that could stagnate during economic downturns. At the same time, we believed that investors should have looked for trusts with low capital expenditures and mature businesses.

More about Canadian Income Trust taxes

Canada offers special tax treatment for Canadian income trusts. When they flow their income through to their unitholders, they don’t pay much if any corporate tax. Investors pay tax on most of the distributions as ordinary income (although some distributions qualify as a tax-free return of capital).

Ottawa feels the income-trust business structure is appropriate for real estate investment trusts, or REITs, so it has exempted REITs from the income-trust tax.

Real estate investment trusts resemble Canadian income trusts, but with a key difference: REITs invest in income-producing real estate, such as office buildings, shopping centres and hotels. (We cover a number of carefully selected income trusts and real estate investment trusts in our Canadian Wealth Advisor newsletter.)

Regardless of whether or not they have converted, the basic tests we use to ferret out good investments and reject bad ones still apply, not only to Canadian income trusts, but to other types of investments, as well.

Keep “Investment Inputs” in mind when judging income trusts, or any investment

In evaluating investments, many investors focus on what we’d call “investment outputs,” such as earnings, dividends, cash flow, return on equity, sales growth and so on. These are all important, of course, but you shouldn’t focus on them to the exclusion of what you might call “investment inputs.”

Investment inputs are harder to work with than investment outputs, since it takes a judgment call to determine their risk or value. To give you a better idea of what we mean, here are 10 keys to picking the best Canadian income trusts and real estate investment trusts. We look each before recommending any income trust: Continue Reading…

Taylor’s golden rule of Stock Market size indices

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By Dr. Bryan Taylor, Chief Economist, Global Financial Data

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Global Financial Data has collected extensive data on stocks from the United States and the United Kingdom covering over 400 years. With this, GFD has generated indices that cover the history of the stock market from the incorporation of the Dutch East India Company in 1602 to the current market in 2018-2019.

One question that the creation of size indices creates is how many components should be in the large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap indices. Where should large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap begin and end? Currently, each index company treats large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap indices differently. Let’s look at how different index companies treat market capitalization.

Standard and Poor’s has three size indices for the United States with 500 shares in the large cap index, 400 in the mid-cap and 600 in the small-cap. The 500-share index was introduced in 1957, the 400-share Midcap was introduced in 1981, and the Small Cap Index was introduced in 1994. The proper weights for the three size indices was not calculated when the indices were introduced, so the S&P 500 Composite represents 90% of total market capitalization, the Midcap 400 7% and the Small Cap 3%.

The idea for a small-cap index was introduced by Russell in 1987 and the data was extended back to 1978. Russell has 1000 stocks in their large cap index and 2000 in their small-cap index. However, this creates an even greater imbalance for the large cap stocks since the Russell 1000 represents about 92% of the total market cap in the United States and the Russell 2000 represents about 8%.

Morningstar and MSCI have more balanced approaches to the size categories. Morningstar refers to the top 70% of stocks as large-cap stocks, the next 20% as mid-caps and the bottom 10% as small-caps. MSCI divides the US stock market into 300 Large Cap stocks, 450 Midcap Stocks, 1750 Small Cap Stocks and the remaining stocks (around 1000) as Micro-cap stocks. By our calculations, this would give about 70% to the Large Cap 300, 16% to the Midcap 450, 13% to the Small Cap 1750 and 1% to the Micro-Cap 1000.

Taylor’s Golden Rule

The problem with creating long-term indices is that the number of stocks that listed on the exchanges and over-the-counter grew dramatically over time and the number of stocks in the large-cap, mid-cap and small-cap groups vary accordingly. During most of the 1800s, there weren’t even 500 stocks listed on all of the exchanges in the United States. So how do you determine how to allocate stocks to the large cap, midcap and small cap categories if the number of stocks in existence is constantly changing? Continue Reading…

Should you invest in pot stocks? How do you invest in the cannabis sector?

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The Fed: “March”ing out like a Lamb

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By Kevin Flanagan, WisdomTree Investments

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

The transformation of Federal Reserve (Fed) policy continues. What was viewed as a hawkish Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) outcome at the December meeting has now morphed into a more dovish outlook. In fact, one could conclude the Fed is leaving March by “going out like a lamb.”

So far in 2019, Fed policy decisions have graduated to be less about an actual rate move to the question of what the blue dots are saying instead. Remember, these blue dots represent the policy makers’ own projections for the future Federal Funds Target Rate over a period of time. So, not moving the rate at an official FOMC meeting during the first half of this year is not necessarily of paramount importance, nor expected, for that matter. Instead, it has become all about their policy statement and Fed Funds forecasts.

With that in mind, the results of the March FOMC gathering were being anxiously awaited. Interestingly, fixed-income investors had become accustomed throughout 2017 and 2018 to the Fed essentially guiding the markets as to when a potential rate hike would be coming. While Fed-speak had led to expectations for no action at this latest policy gathering (the actual result on the Fed Funds Rates front), the uncertainty quotient was dialed up because investors were not as certain about the Fed’s blue dot path.

Overall, the voting members do envision some slowing in U.S. growth this year, but, to quote Chairman Powell, they still feel the economy is “in a good place.” This outlook was essentially confirmed in the March policy statement. In addition, the lack of inflation places no urgency on the Fed to contemplate a rate hike anytime soon, even though core measures are straddling the 2% threshold. Continue Reading…