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Is every day a Saturday in Retirement?

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Is every day a Saturday in retirement? That’s what behavioural scientists Dan Ariely and Aline Holzwarth claimed in a recent study about retirement income. The premise being that when you’re no longer working 40 hours a week (or more) all of a sudden you have 40 hours a week available to spend money. Every day is like Saturday. Not to mention, many of the things your employer used to pay for, such as coffee, a smart-phone, or gym membership, now falls on you.

The study’s conclusion? Retirees should expect to spend as much as 130 per cent of their preretirement income after they retire. Yikes!

That flies in the face of typical retirement planning advice, which pegs the income replacement rate at around 70 per cent of your preretirement income. A lot of expenses should disappear when you reach retirement age. Hopefully your kids have left home, and your mortgage is paid off. You’ll no longer have payroll deductions for income taxes, CPP, and EI. Say goodbye to the long, soul-crushing commute, along with the expensive business attire.

Because of these reasons (and others) some retirement experts, like Fred Vettese, even champion a much lower retirement income target of 50 per cent of your income.

On the flip side, in this article about money myths, financial advisor Kurt Rosentreter seems to concur with the Ariely / Holzwarth study:

All the old retirement planning textbooks said you could expect to live off less than your working income (e.g. 70 per cent). The reality of what we are seeing in the trenches doing this work everyday is that there are three phases: Age 60 to 70 where we are seeing as high as 110 per cent of pre-retirement spending; age 75 to age 85, where costs can drop to 80 per cent after the first spouse death; and costs in the final phase of age 85 onward that can be lower or higher depending on health care.

This study resonated with me because one of my biggest fears about retirement is that I’ll overspend and completely blow my carefully planned budget.

Overspending is one of the biggest Retirement fears

Why is that a fear?

We do spend more money on the weekend. That’s when we do our shopping, our leisure activities, and when we go out for dinner. Weekends can be expensive!

Continue Reading…

If you have no faith in the future, should you invest?

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By Billy Kaderli

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

As many know, I am more than willing to offer financial advice in order to help others to become financially independent (aka “findependent.”) The sooner the better” that’s good for everyone, right?

I met a lady at a recent event that Akaisha and I attended, and in our visiting together I steered the conversation towards finances. Knowing that she lived in Hawaii and seeing that she was probably in her 40s, I falsely assumed she had some knowledge of money and how it works.

I was wrong.

After I shared with her that we retired at the age of 38, I asked what her financial plan for retirement was. She told me that she did not have much faith in the future, therefore she had no plan.

I asked her, “What if you are wrong?”

Her response was “I do not think I am wrong”

The Dollar is going to collapse

I have been hearing of the impending collapse of the Dollar for the last forty years.

First it was going to be replaced with the German Mark, then the Swiss Franc, then the Russian Ruble, Chinese Yuan, and now Bitcoin. Maybe someday they will be right, but so far, betting against the Dollar has been a costly investment.

I like to tell people that the Dollar is the cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry bin. Maybe you have some special inside trading information, but for me, I’ll stick with the U.S. currency.

Various apocalyptic scenarios

Maybe it’s part of being human, but it seems that society creates ominous future scenarios of various sorts to scare the living bejesus out of everyone. Continue Reading…

Poking fun at investing clichés

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“You sell when people are greedy and buy when people are fearful.” —Warren Buffett

Do you ever wonder what the gurus are really saying when they speak in clichés? Typically in trying to draw your attention to what is happening in the markets.

Don’t fret. I often find myself wondering just what someone said or meant. I suggest poking a little fun at this topic is a valuable exercise.

As in practically every other part of life, the world of investing is full of clichés. Some are pearls of wisdom to behold.

Hopefully, poking a little fun at these investing clichés helps you better understand ‘guru speak.’

They are found throughout the internet. Let’s uncover some common clichés favoured by the pundits and what the translations really mean.

Guru speak gems
Here is my sampling of “guru speak” gems and corresponding translations that stand out for me:

 

1.) “It’s different this time”
Some wild and crazy logic is about to be let loose.

 

2.) “Markets never move in a straight line”

Take the ups and downs in stride.

 

3.) “You’re catching a falling knife here”

It’s going to get worse before it gets better.

 

4.) “Greed can be the achilles heel of investors”

Sell when you can, not when you must.

 

5.) “Markets can stay irrational longer than you can stay solvent”

You had better have some deep pockets.

 

6.) “All the weak hands are getting shaken out”

I’ve lost a lot of money on this, but I’m still right.

 

7.) “You have to be defensive here”

I have no idea what is going on in the markets.

 

8.) “My thesis is still intact”

I am so underwater on this investment, I see the ocean floor.

 

9.) “Bulls make money, bears make money, pigs get slaughtered”

Take the money and run.

 

10.) “It’s the start of a new quarter”

Expect new money to flow into the markets to keep things going

 

11.) “There are big headline risks right now”

Hide your cash under the mattress.

 

12.) “Buy on rumour, sell on news”

Buy as you hear something may happen, sell when the company confirms it’s happening.

 

13.) “The markets like it”

I have no clue why stocks are rising.

 

Hopefully, poking a little fun at these investing clichés helps you better understand “guru speak.” Listen attentively for the next ones.

The messages are typically short and simple. For example, Warren Buffett reminds us how to buy low and sell high.

I’ve only just scratched the surface.

Adrian Mastracci, Discretionary Portfolio Manager, B.E.E., MBA started in the investment and financial advisory profession in 1972. He graduated with the Bachelor of Electrical Engineering from General Motors Institute in 1971, then attended the University of British Columbia, graduating with the MBA in 1972. This blog is republished here with permission from Adrian’s website, where it appeared on May 29, 2018. 

Could you become car-free?

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Billy and Akaisha on a Jak-a-Ran in Thailand

By Akaisha Kaderli, RetireEarlyLifestyle.com

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

It wasn’t a decision we took lightly.

In fact, Billy and I discussed the idea of becoming car-free for several years. There were good reasons to do it: no more maintenance and repair costs; no more fees for insurance, license plate renewal, or registration; no more fuel expense; and no more worry about storing the vehicle here in the States when we are traveling overseas for months or years at a time.

But there were also some obvious downsides. We wouldn’t have the freedom to come and go at a whim. And because we live in the American Southwest, where temperatures reach triple digits in the summer, we wondered how we’d manage to get around during the sun season.

Silly idea or feasible plan?

Most people we know couldn’t fathom the idea of giving up their vehicle and saw this new lifestyle choice as a hardship. Americans love their automobiles, and owning one is packaged as part of the American Dream. A look at the automobile and truck commercials today describe how we will be sexier, more popular, physically stronger, and obviously smarter if we purchase their brand of car.

As we’ve described on our Retire Early Lifestyle website, Billy and I live in an active adult community where we are within walking distance to stores, restaurants, and several different entertainment options. Most of what we need is near to us, and we appreciate the slower pace of life with all the rewards it brings. Many of our neighbors use a small scooter, golf cart, or bicycle to get around within a reasonable range. When we need to go somewhere farther, we trade services or pay cash to a neighbor or friend for their time. This is much cheaper than a taxi, more sociable, and we aren’t bogged down with worries about maintaining a vehicle. Both sides appreciate the trade, and our lives are enriched.

After almost two decades of world travel, we realized that the only place where we need to drive is in the States. Elsewhere, we take public transportation or hire a private driver. For the amount of time we live in the States, and for the amount of money that owning our own transport required, we finalized our decision to sell our vehicle.

The year was 2009.

What about you? 

Retirement takes many expressions and even if you could never see yourself as becoming completely free of car ownership, maybe you have toyed with the idea of keeping only one vehicle instead of two.

The following sites may help you with this transition: Continue Reading…

The (Renewed) Case for GICs

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**This is a sponsored post written by me [Robb Engen] on behalf of EQ Bank. However, as always, all opinions are my own.

A guaranteed investment certificate (GIC) is unlikely to spark an exciting dinner party conversation but when stock markets are reeling, like they were earlier this year, investors often seek safe havens to wait out the storm. Cash is king for those who don’t have the stomach to watch their portfolio plunge in value, and GICs at least offer the promise of a modest return.

Back in February 2009, when the global financial crisis had just about reached rock-bottom, 30-year-old me was scrambling to meet the RRSP deadline and bought a five-year GIC. It was a costly mistake in hindsight. The Toronto Stock Exchange surged ahead for the next five years, earning annual returns of 9.52 per cent, while my five-year GIC earned an average annual return of 2.75 per cent.

Instead of turning my $7,000 contribution into nearly $10,000, I only had $7,800 to show for my decision. At the time, though, I thought the GIC was a smart move because I had to make a quick decision on what to do with my contribution, and the stock market still looked downright nasty.

Why invest in GICs?

The truth is there’s nothing wrong with stashing your savings inside the comfort of a GIC. Here are four times when it makes good sense to put your money in GICs:

1.) When your entire portfolio is sitting in cash, waiting for “the right time” to get into the market

If you’re the type of investor who can’t ignore the doom-and-gloom economic headlines, and who’s convinced that a market meltdown is always imminent, maybe the stock market isn’t right for you.

Having your retirement savings constantly sitting in cash and earning nothing is like sitting on the fence and being paralyzed to move for fear of making the wrong decision at the wrong time.

A GIC ladder, which might involve purchasing equal amounts of one, two, three, four, and five-year terms, will maximize your risk-free returns and still give you the option of dipping your toes in the market each year when one of the terms comes due.

2.) When your investing strategy boils down to chasing last year’s winning stocks or mutual funds

If you’re the type of investor who’s constantly looking for the latest fad, you might be falling victim to the behaviour gap – the difference between investment returns and investor returns.

Consider that, according to DALBAR, from 1986 to 2016 the S&P 500 Index averaged 10.16   a year, but the average equity fund investor earned just 3.98   a year.

When you think about our poor investor behaviour, coupled with sky-high mutual fund fees (at least, here in Canada), those investors who just can’t help themselves might be better off parking their savings in the best five-year GIC and earning a guaranteed return. Continue Reading…