Tag Archives: investing

Is a higher dividend yield better? Not Always. Learn how to spot the good from the bad to avoid this costly mistake.

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Investors Interested In Dividends Should Only Buy The Highest-Yielding Canadian Dividend Stocks If They Meet These Criteria—And Don’t Have These Risk Factors

Dividend yield is the percentage you get when you divide a company’s current yearly payment by its share price.

The best of the highest-yielding Canadian dividend stocks have a history of success

Follow our Successful Investor philosophy over long periods and we think you’ll likely achieve better-than-average investing results.

Our first rule tells you to buy high-quality, mostly dividend-paying stocks. These stocks have generally been succeeding in business for a decade or more, perhaps much longer. But in any case, they have shown that they have a durable business concept. They can wilt in economic and stock-market downturns, like any stock. But most thrive anew when the good times return, as they inevitably do.

Over long periods, you’ll probably find that a third of your stocks do about as well as you hoped, a third do better, and a third do worse. This is partly due to that random element in stock pricing that we’ve often mentioned. It also grows out of the proverbial “wisdom of the crowd.” The market makes pricing mistakes and continually reverses itself. But the collective opinion of all individuals buying and selling in the market eventually beats any single expert opinion.

Canadian dividend stocks and the dividend tax credit

Canadian taxpayers who hold Canadian dividend stocks get a special bonus. Their dividends can be eligible for the dividend tax credit in Canada. This dividend tax credit—which is available on dividends paid on Canadian stocks held outside of an RRSP, RRIF or TFSA—will cut your effective tax rate.

That means dividend income will be taxed at a lower rate than the same amount of interest income. Investors in the highest tax bracket pay tax of around 29% on dividends, compared to 50% on interest income. At the same time, investors in the highest tax bracket pay tax on capital gains at a rate of about 25%. Continue Reading…

How to invest during high inflation

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It’s common for investors to be concerned about inflation because it brings to mind the high inflationary period of the 1970s that completely wrecked stock and bond returns. It’s also easy for investors to draw spurious conclusions about government debt and linking that to the hyperinflation that occurred in Zimbabwe or Venezuela. This article aims to set the record straight about inflation and let investors know how to invest during periods of high inflation.

Are we experiencing high Inflation?

Inflation is one of the biggest concerns as we near the end of the global pandemic and economies begin to re-open. Governments around the world spent record amounts to keep their citizens, small businesses, and corporations afloat over the past two years, while a majority of those still employed were able to save money thanks to an economy devoid of travel and entertainment.

The result was a significant uptick in savings rates, with Canada’s household savings rate reaching a high of 28.2% in July 2020.

All this money sloshing around on the sidelines has been and will continue to be deployed into goods and services, creating additional demand for a still strained global supply chain. Consumers are ready to dine out in restaurants, attend concerts, and engage in “revenge travel” to make up for lost time.

When that happens, prices tend to rise. Canada’s consumer price index (CPI) has been rising steadily since March 2021. The 12-month change in the CPI for February 2022 was 5.7% (Stats Can). That’s well above the Bank of Canada’s 2% inflation target, and even above their acceptable range of 1-3%.

Meanwhile, the U.S. inflation rate soared to 7.9% in February 2022. (Trading Economics).

Both the Federal Reserve and the Bank of Canada previously signalled they were willing to let the economy run a little hotter than usual to make sure we achieve so-called full employment. But both central banks are now in tightening mode, raising interest rates by 0.25% in March 2022 to kick-off a series of expected rate hikes for the rest of 2022.

It’s clear that high inflation has arrived and persisted for longer than expected. The question is what should investors do about it (if anything)?

How Investors should position their portfolio to deal with high Inflation

What exactly is an inflation hedge? In an episode of the Rational Reminder podcast, Benjamin Felix said an inflation hedge needs the following three characteristics:

  1. It will correlate positively with inflation, including responding to unexpected inflation.
  2. It won’t be too volatile
  3. It will have a positive real expected return

The problem, Felix said, is that asset doesn’t exist.

Continue Reading…

What’s the real deal with Mutual Funds?

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By Anita Bruinsma, CFA

Special to the Findependence Hub

Mutual funds stir up heated debates all across the internet. Fund companies sing their praises while others say they are taking you to the cleaners. It can be confusing – are they good or bad? What’s the real deal with mutual funds?

A game-changer for investors

Mutual funds democratized the stock market, making investing accessible to more people, and this was a very good thing. Before the popularization of mutual funds in the 1950s, it was more difficult to get your money invested in the stock market: you needed a stock broker to buy stocks for you and you needed a fair amount of money. 

The idea behind a mutual fund is simple: collect money from a group of people and hire professional money managers to invest this pool of money into dozens of stocks, generating a return for the investors. It’s the pooling of money that is so powerful: it allows a fund to be diversified, giving investors exposure to a myriad of stocks instead of just a few.

As an individual investor, you’d need a lot of money to get that kind of diversification. And whereas a broker would charge a large commission for every trade, a mutual fund has economies of scale, making the costs lower overall. Plus, as a mutual fund investor you don’t need to know one single thing about the stock market. What a win for the masses!

The downside

So why do mutual funds get a bad rap sometimes? It’s mainly because sales practices around mutual funds have a muddied history. Investment advisors who are making recommendations to their clients about what to invest in might be influenced by sales commissions, possibly encouraging them to put their clients’ money into funds that pay them the most commission. Worse, these commissions (and other perks that used to be permitted) were not always properly disclosed to clients. Regulations have improved in this area, but sales commissions can still influence an advisor’s choice of funds. Continue Reading…

Will Budget 2022’s proposed tax hurt Canadian financial services stocks?

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By Ian Duncan MacDonald

Special to the Findependence Hub

In the 2022 Federal budget a surtax of 1.5 per cent on bank profits over $100 million was proposed along with a one-time 15 per cent charge on income above $1 billion for the 2021 tax year.  Canadian banks are already among Canada’s largest taxpayers.

The six largest of Canada’s banks accounted for more than $12 billion in tax revenue and more than double that in dividend income.  They contribute 3.5%, or over $65 billion, to Canada’s gross domestic product. Over 280,000 are employed by these banks.

When Toronto-Dominion Bank’s chief executive, Bharat Masrani, recently stated that a proposed corporate tax rate increase that targeted financial institutions ““could lead to unintended consequences,” you could see the battle lines being drawn.

The pawns in this high-stake battle looming on the horizon are the millions of Canadian pensioners, charities, endowments, mutual fund investors, bank shareholders, pension funds, RRSP investors and others dependent on bank dividend payments.  The banks will do their best at every opportunity to frighten their 34,000,000 customers with dire predictions of the harmful, personal financial consequences these proposed taxes will cause.

The banks have your phone number, your e-mail address, and your street address.  Every time you deposit or withdraw funds, I would expect them to remind you of how you are being impacted by the proposed taxes. Every bank statement could carry their message their message that the tax is hurting you more than them. They are far better organized and motivated than the civil servants.

The stakes are huge.  The Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) would likely pay the most, an estimated additional $334.7 million. The Toronto-Dominion Bank would pay about $285.5 million, the Bank of Nova Scotia (Scotiabank), approximately $191.9 million, the Bank of Montreal would owe about $137.9 million, the Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce around $120.2 million, and the National Bank around $42.0 million.

The Federal government is already anticipating the pushback. It has stated they will not tolerate “sophisticated tax planning or profit-sharing” by the financial institutions to dilute the new measures. As well, new “targeted anti-avoidance rules” will be put in place.  The federal Financial Consumer Agency of Canada will be policing any “excessive” fee passed on to customers to offset the cost of the new corporate tax measures.

One thing to propose this tax, another to implement it

It is one think to propose such a tax.  It is another thing to implement it.

Canadians tend to take their long-established, successful banks for granted. They have no idea that out of the thousands of banks in the world, their banks are in the top 35 of the safest. These are banks that dwarf any of the banks that rank ahead of them. In North America they are the top six safest banks.  As commercial banks, they are in the top 18 of the safest banks.

What impact will the battle over the taxes have upon your shares in financial service companies? The taxes are still too hypothetical to base investment decisions on. All we can do now is work with the current financial information that is available.

In a March, 2022 an article that appeared in the publication Investment Executive, by Daniel Calabretta, was  headlined, “Financial services firms in a good position to weather expected market volatility.”The article was not directed at investors’ main concern.  Investors want to know ”For the long term, which Canadian financial service companies should  you consider adding to your investment portfolio?”

Charts in the Investment Executive article showed a comparison between 2020 and 2021 of “Assets, Revenues, Net Incomes and Earnings Per Share” for 40 financial service firms.  However, whether these figures went up or down from one year to the next does not really address which of these companies are expected to provide share price gains and an increasing dividend income for investors. Thirty-seven of the forty stocks did pay dividends.

Speculators only control share prices.  The experienced executives of these 40 companies, through their revenue and expense decisions, control profits.  From profits come dividends.

There are many financially weak, marginally profitable companies who can motivate speculators to buy their shares based only on promoting the potential for eventual profits and skyrocketing share prices. There are also many financially strong, profitable companies that are ignored by speculators.

That constant debate between thousands of optimistic speculators who think a share price is going rocket up and the thousands of pessimistic speculators who think the same stock’s share price is going to crash makes accurate predictions of future share prices impossible. A stock can not be bought by a speculator until another speculator who owns the stock is prepared to sell it upon receiving an attractivebid from a buyer. To accommodate such investment uncertainties, wise investors, diversify their share ownership among the stocks of different sectors to account for unpredictable speculator bids.

The Great Canadian Financial Stock Challenge

Which of the shares of these 40 Financial Industry stocks would you confidently buy if you could review an Excel spreadsheet with the following additional eleven facts that go beyond assets, revenues, and net income?  Continue Reading…

Investment fads and other destructive behaviours

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By Steve Lowrie
Special to the Findependence Hub

Chasing Investment Performance results in far more losers than winners

Would you like to improve your investment game?

Counterintuitively, you don’t necessarily need to master more fancy moves; it may be a more powerful play to simply reduce your biggest investment mistakes. It’s those false moves that usually cost you the most gained ground.

In particular, I’ve commented before on two common and costly behavioural mistakes, both of which stem from reacting to recent returns instead of patiently positioning your portfolio for future market growth.

  1. The first such blunder is to give in to a sense of gloom and doom, and sell out at low prices during down markets.
  2. On the flip side, many investors seem to love chasing after expensive trends in frothy markets. I’ve seen a lot of that behaviour lately, so let’s revisit why that typically doesn’t end well.

Fleeting Passions and Expensive Fashions

Admittedly, it’s tempting to chase investment fads when they are playing out in real time. Unfortunately, it’s only obvious in hindsight which lucky few will be long-run winners, and which of the far greater majority will end up as costly illusions, conjured up by an intoxicating brew of performance-chasing and FOMO (fear of missing out).

Here are four points to help you avoid following fads:

1.) Success stories abound. There is always a good story behind every hot investment trend. We humans are remarkable at devising new technologies, ground-breaking opportunities, and out-of-the-box ideas. A few of them pay off handsomely, especially for investors who manage to get in at the beginning of the run. However …

2.) By the time it’s in the popular press, it’s usually too late to profit on the news. Once a success story has gone mainstream, it’s too late to get in on its past exceptional performance. You end up buying high and hoping it will go even higher, despite the odds that it won’t.

A recent Canadian example was the full legalization of cannabis with huge amounts of fanfare on October 17, 2018. Trying to capture this trend, Horizons ETFs launched the Marijuana Life Sciences ETF (HMMJ) on April 4, 2017, holding a basket of North American stocks active in the marijuana business. From the initial $10/share price, the EFT skyrocketed to over $24 by September 2018. From there it declined to $22 by the October 17, 2018 legalization date, and then dropped further to $15 by the end of 2018. Currently, this ETF is trading just over $5. Its past performance is horrendous, –53% over the past 12 months, –32% for the past 3 years, and –5.63% per year since inception. So much for following what was garnering the most attention in the media!

3.) It’s easy to forget that there are a lot more market losers than winners. Think you can pick the ones with room to grow? Although markets in aggregate have delivered premium returns over time, those returns tend to come from a tiny minority of securities. For example, in a recent report on pursuing individual stock returns, JP Morgan looked at U.S. stock performance from 1980–2021. They found about 10% of stocks across all sectors proved to be “mega winners,” but 66% failed to outperform the Russell 3000 Index, and 42% delivered negative absolute returns. In sharing this and other data, Wall Street Journal columnist Jason Zweig observed:

“Winners like Walmart are vivid … Failures fade as if they were written in invisible ink — but they are much more common than successes.”

4.) Your investment attention is up for sale. Despite these points, Bay Street and Wall Street are always looking to capitalize on the next big investment trends. Trade brokers and product manufacturers are no fools. When they see opportunities to make easy money by selling hot hands, they’re happy to “help.” Whether you win or lose they can feast on fat commissions and tasty trading revenues.

Quacking Ducks

Who me, cynical? I’ve covered most of these points in my 2018 piece, Investing fads: Quack like a duck and you may get plucked. I described how there’s even a saying for these sorts of popular feeding frenzies: “When the ducks quack, feed them.” As one source described, “when investors want to buy something … that something is offered for sale. It doesn’t make any difference if Wall Street knows in its heart of hearts that that something (such as an IPO) is overpriced.” Continue Reading…