Tag Archives: investing

Vanguard announces the passing of founder John C. Bogle

The investment industry is saddened to learn of the passing of Vanguard founder John C. Bogle today. A true giant of the industry, Bogle was virtually the creator of index mutual funds and ETFs, and passive investing in general. Below is the press release issued today by Vanguard, which we reprint in full. I have added a few subheads and made only very minor edits.  

VALLEY FORGE, PA (January 16, 2019) — Vanguard announces the passing of John Clifton Bogle, founder of The Vanguard Group, who died today in Bryn Mawr, Pennsylvania. He was 89.

Mr. Bogle had legendary status in the American investment community, largely because of two towering achievements: He introduced the first index mutual fund for investors and, in the face of skeptics, stood behind the concept until it gained widespread acceptance; and he drove down costs across the mutual fund industry by ceaselessly campaigning in the interests of investors. Vanguard, the company he founded to embody his philosophy, is now one of the largest investment management firms in the world.

“Jack Bogle made an impact on not only the entire investment industry, but more importantly, on the lives of countless individuals saving for their futures or their children’s futures,” said Vanguard CEO Tim Buckley. “He was a tremendously intelligent, driven, and talented visionary whose ideas completely changed the way we invest. We are honored to continue his legacy of giving every investor ‘a fair shake.’”

Mr. Bogle, a resident of Bryn Mawr, PA, began his career in 1951 after graduating magna cum laude in economics from Princeton University. His senior thesis on mutual funds had caught the eye of fellow Princeton alumnus Walter L. Morgan, who had founded Wellington Fund, the nation’s oldest balanced fund, in 1929 and was one of the deans of the mutual fund industry. Mr. Morgan hired the ambitious 22-year-old for his Philadelphia-based investment management firm, Wellington Management Company.

Mr. Bogle worked in several departments before becoming assistant to the president in 1955, the first in a series of executive positions he would hold at Wellington: 1962, administrative vice president; 1965, executive vice president; and 1967, president. Mr. Bogle became the driving force behind Wellington’s growth into a mutual fund family after he persuaded Mr. Morgan, in the late 1950s, to start an equity fund that would complement Wellington Fund. Windsor Fund, a value-oriented equity fund, debuted in 1958.

In 1967, Mr. Bogle led the merger of Wellington Management Company with the Boston investment firm Thorndike, Doran, Paine & Lewis (TDPL). Seven years later, a management dispute with the principals of TDPL led Mr. Bogle to form Vanguard in September 1974 to handle the administrative functions of Wellington’s funds, while TDPL/Wellington Management would retain the investment management and distribution duties. The Vanguard Group of Investment Companies commenced operations on May 1, 1975.

The “Vanguard experiment”

To describe his new venture, Mr. Bogle coined the term “The Vanguard Experiment.” It was an experiment in which mutual funds would operate at cost and independently, with their own directors, officers, and staff—a radical change from the traditional mutual fund corporate structure, whereby an external management company ran a fund’s affairs on a for-profit basis.

“Our challenge at the time,” Mr. Bogle recalled a decade later, “was to build, out of the ashes of major corporate conflict, a new and better way of running a mutual fund complex. The Vanguard Experiment was designed to prove that mutual funds could operate independently, and do so in a manner that would directly benefit their shareholders.”

First index mutual fund in 1976

In 1976, Vanguard introduced the first index mutual fund — First Index Investment Trust — for individual investors. Ridiculed by others in the industry as “un-American” and “a sure path to mediocrity,” the fund collected a mere $11 million during its initial underwriting. Now known as Vanguard 500 Index Fund, it has grown to be one of the industry’s largest, with more than $441 billion in assets (the sister fund, Vanguard Institutional Index Fund, has $221.5 billion in assets). Today, index funds account for more than 70% of Vanguard’s $4.9 trillion in assets under management; they are offered by many other fund companies as well and they make up most exchange-traded funds (ETFs). For his pioneering of the index concept for individual investors, Mr. Bogle was often called the “father of indexing.”

1977: Direct to investors

Mr. Bogle and Vanguard again broke from industry tradition in 1977, when Vanguard ceased to market its funds through brokers and instead offered them directly to investors. The company eliminated sales charges and became a pure no-load mutual fund complex—a move that would save shareholders hundreds of millions of dollars in sales commissions. This was a theme for Mr. Bogle and his successors: Vanguard is known today for maintaining investment costs among the lowest in the industry.

A champion of the individual investor, Mr. Bogle is widely credited with helping to bring increased disclosure about mutual fund costs and performance to the public. His commitment to safeguarding investors’ interests often prompted him to speak out against practices that were common among his peers in other mutual fund organizations. “We are more than a mere industry,” he insisted in a 1987 speech before the National Investment Company Services Association. “We must hold ourselves to higher standards, standards of trust and fiduciary duty. Change we must—in our communications, our pricing structure, our product, and our promotional techniques.”

Mr. Bogle spoke frequently before industry professionals and the public. He liked to write his own speeches. He also responded personally to many of the letters written to him by Vanguard shareholders, and he wrote many reports, sometimes as long as 25 pages, to Vanguard employees — whom he called “crew members” in light of Vanguard’s nautical theme. (Mr. Bogle named the company after Admiral Horatio Nelson’s flagship at the Battle of the Nile in 1798; he thought the name “Vanguard” resonated with the themes of leadership and progress.)

In January 1996, Mr. Bogle passed the reins of Vanguard to his hand-picked successor, John J. Brennan, who joined the company in 1982 as Mr. Bogle’s assistant. The following month, Mr. Bogle underwent heart transplant surgery. A few months later, he was back in the office, writing and speaking about issues of importance to mutual fund investors. Continue Reading…

Make Investing great again …. one day? Part 2

 

By Aman Raina, Investment Coach, Sage Investors

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

In Part 1, I shared some thoughts on a recent report by the Ontario Securities Commission (OSC) outlining the challenges the financial services industry is having in getting Millennials to invest. The OSC report had a great opportunity to address those investing pain points, but like so many financial literacy initiatives, the messaging is not clear, consistent, and understandable. The report identifies solutions, yet they are separate and not integrated and use a lot of industry jargon that people just won’t connect with. They emphasize processes over results. What is the outcome we want Millennials to achieve with investing?

Another way?

In this post, I’d like to share from my experience as Investment Coach and as someone who works with people to develop their investing competencies, some approaches that I found have better motivated people and not just Millennials into becoming more engaged with investing. They address the pain points people have with expressed about investing which include; being scared of investing, feeling overwhelmed by the process, feeling paralyzed when trying to make a decision, and not knowing how to start and take that first step. These are my takes and perspectives. They are by no means the most definitive and all encompassing. 

The First Step: Define the investing path

The OSC report identified taking the first step in investing as a major pain point for people. For most people, after they have the epiphany that they should start growing their savings and invest, the most common series of events that occur include opening a brokerage account, buying some books or researching investing on the Internet or simply doing what their peers are doing. They buy a few stocks and some work out and some don’t and that’s where the fear pain point comes in.

The default for investing seems to be buying stocks, but does this really apply to everyone? In Part 1, I said that investing can be a very boring, repetitive, and time consuming process. Investing in stocks requires a major time commitment to analyze and evaluate stocks and managing the portfolio. For a lot of people, they really couldn’t be bothered to learn about investing because they have other more pressing priorities in their life … and that’s OK.

There are different investing paths we can take but ultimately we want to be on an investing path that compatible our life situation. If I don’t have the time to invest maybe I should consider working with a financial advisor, maybe use a robo-advisor service. Maybe buying a basket of Exchange Traded Funds (ETF’s) is a better path than buying individual stocks. 

Why are you investing?

It is critical that at the people define right away the appropriate investing path they want to travel. It begins with defining what the end of the path looks like (Why am investing?) as well how the road will be travelled. Will I travel it alone (Do-It-Yourself) or with someone else?

Once you’ve been able to answer these questions and defined a path, then you will have defined and reduced your scope of investments that you will use and begin work on building your investing competencies. Why learn about investing in stocks when you will be investing in ETFs?

The investment industry doesn’t really take the time to work with people on defining their investing path because they established a default that people that come to them want to invest in stocks when in reality they may have no interest or tolerance for it. The starting point is such a difficult pain point for many because once they begin to follow an investing path that was not compatible with their life and quickly they fell off it and into a ditch, it becomes harder to emotionally get back at it. These type of conversations need to happen before opening a broker account or signing up for an investing course.

Building investing competencies

I view financial literacy to be more about building competencies, more specifically investing competencies. From my experience, the people that have this investing thing pretty figured out possess three competencies. My role as an Investment Coach is to help people develop these investing competencies. 

Competency 1: Education – Principles versus Formulas

Once we have defined an investing path, we can target our learning to focus on developing our investing competencies in those areas. If we are committed to investing in individual stocks then we should focus our education on learning that area. Most investing education focuses on the mechanical aspects of investing and those mechanics which involve formulas, spreadsheets, and math trigger people’s pain points of finding investing overwhelming. Continue Reading…

Tracking your financial health in Retirement

Sailing in Boracay, Philipplnes

By Billy and Akaisha Kaderli

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

No matter what stage of life you are in, it is important to know your financial health. This is not something you do just around income tax time but throughout the year. It’s good to check in at least monthly or, as we do, daily. The same as any successful business must know their income and liabilities, so should you.

Today there are plenty of free online tools that can help you, but we are old school and prefer to be able to check and edit our data anywhere in the world and at any time regardless of an internet connection. We have done this since we retired in 1991. Back then we used a paper notebook and pen, but today we created a spreadsheet using an Excel program that is on most computers sold today.

How it works

Throughout the day as we spend money we keep a mental note of the cost. Then, usually in the evening while winding down, we enter the data into our spreadsheet. We created categories such as housing, food, dining, transportation, donations, healthcare, and so on. Each of those entries then gets automatically added giving us a total for the day. That number is added to all of the previous entries and then divided by the day number in the year, 1 through 365, giving us a daily average.

Utilizing this system we can adjust the entries using local currencies, therefore knowing what we are spending in Mexican Pesos, Thai Baht, Vietnamese Dong, Guatemalan Quetzales or the money of any place where we are traveling. While this figure can easily be converted to dollars if we want, we prefer to think of our costs in the currency of our host country. This keeps our spending at the perspective of the natives instead of distorting it by thinking in Dollars.

This information is important

Once you know how much you are spending per day you can utilize this information to adjust spending accordingly if necessary. You are in control of your outflow at this point, and you can make changes in real time.

Net worth: What is it?

Another important tool for understanding your financial health is calculating your net worth. This number is derived by adding up all of your assets minus your liabilities. Do you own a house or rentals? Figure out what they are worth, then subtract out what you owe and this equates to the equity you have. It is important to use realistic numbers knowing that if you sold today, there would be fees and expenses involved as well as taxes to be paid. Do you have cars? Even though they are a depreciating asset, meaning they lose money over time, you still have some value there. How about retirement accounts? IRAs or RRSPs, 401(k)s or Defined Contribution pensions, regular banking and brokerage accounts, credit-card and student loan debt: all need to be factored into the equation.

This information is a powerful retirement tool

Now that you know your net worth and what you are spending per day, you can take further control of your future by figuring out what percentage of your net worth you are spending. Continue Reading…

Bucking the public’s confirmation bias on Chinese stocks

By Jeff Weniger, CFA, WisdomTree Investments

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Does the “global trade war,” quotation marks intentional, spell doom? It depends on your silo. 

The 2009 American Recovery and Reinvestment Act poured some C$1.03 trillion of stimulus into the system, while China’s coincident crisis-era package dumped a C$768 billion package on top.1Central banks added trillions in bond purchases for the trifecta.

But some people may have missed the boat. Who? Those who couldn’t get past their ideological differences with the last U.S. president, who made some of them think the global financial crisis would lead to a perpetual depression. Distorted reality costs money, and what happened with Obama’s detractors is now happening in the Trump administration. Some proportion of the public, including many on Wall and Bay Streets, are letting their political views with respect to President Trump get in the way of arithmetic.

That can create opportunity for the sober observer.

What is one mistake investors are making? Prognosticating “global trade war” doom.

Global Trade War?

2018 has witnessed nothing but improvement in relations between China and Japan, nothing but improvement in relations between Japan and Europe and, arguably, nothing but improvement in relations between the U.S. and both Mexico and Canada, at least compared to this past summer.

Some global trade war this is, with major foreign leaders jumping over each other to prove their free market bona fides.

“We must promote trade and investment, liberalization and facilitation through opening up—and say no to protectionism.”— Chinese President Xi Jinping, 2017

“It is also quite vital that we keep on raising high the flag of free trade.” — Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, 2017

“We believe multilateral cooperation can add value for everyone, and that’s why we’re advocating global trade that is as free as possible and which is based on common rules. ”— German Chancellor Angela Merkel, 2018

The truth is that Trump is calculating that Americans have finally hit a wall on the status quo with respect to China. Regular people on the street may not know the specific trade numbers, but they know where the knock-off purses come from, they know now about wanton intellectual property theft and, most disconcertingly, cyberwarfare.

In reframing the argument about global trade, does anyone care that Japan, China and South Korea are sitting at the table with one another for trilateral trade talks?2How about the big August trade deal between Japan and the EU? Talk about large economies. 

While market angst is focused on the Trump administration’s “global trade war,” most of the planet is actively making deals, in direct contrast to the meme of global internecine tariff warfare.

And China’s Scythe on Taxes

While markets react to headlines, China’s fiscal stimulus continues apace. Some investors appear to be missing the good in hoping for Trump to prove an economic failure. One such “good” is the total revolution happening in China’s personal income tax code, shockingly ignored by so many. Figure 1 shows the C$565 tax cut that the average white-collar Chinese worker, earning C$17,689 a year, is set to witness. There’s more too if we count mortgage, student loan and child deductions (figure 1).

Figure 1: Proposed China Personal Income Tax Example, Average White-Collar Worker

Proposed China Personal Income Tax Example

That comes on the heels of this spring’s 1% cut in value-added tax (VAT) rates. Combined with income tax relief, we count C$135 billion in cuts this fiscal year alone (figure 2).4

Figure 2: VAT + Personal Income Tax Cuts, 2018 Amount

VAT Personal Income Tax Cuts 2018 Amount

Granted, there are offsets. For example, Beijing is also vaguely promising reductions in social insurance premiums, but that may be more than offset by the tax authority’s ratcheting up of collections efforts this year. The result could be a net tax hike on this front.

Nevertheless, figure 3 shows the decade-long effect of Chinese President Xi Jinping’s tax cuts on the VAT and personal income fronts. At slow-to-fast growth rates, the cumulative 10-year estimate is C$1.35 trillion to C$2.66 trillion, straddling both sides of Trump’s C$1.97tn package that sent stocks higher in 2017.

Figure 3: Cumulative 10-Year Total, Xi Tax Cuts (Using WisdomTree’s C$135bn Calculation for 2018)

Cumulative 10 Year Total Xi Tax Cuts

Meanwhile, we present figure 4; China’s exports to the U.S. have been shooting higher in a largely uninterrupted fashion for most of this century.

Figure 4: Annual USD Chinese Exports to the U.S.

Annual USD Chinese Exports to the US

The Play

Our TSX-listed dedicated China strategy is the WisdomTree ICBCCS S&P China 500 Index ETF (CHNA.B). It hits broad China with a 9+% earnings yield and tracks China’s S&P 500.5Because it is so broad, it can be used as a single line item for a portfolio’s entire Chinese equity exposure. 

While the mass of investors focus on “global trade wars,” few observers are noting Chinese fiscal expansion or, for that matter, big trade deals being signed right now. There’s your edge, contrarian reader.

1Sources: Congressional Budget Office, Publication 49958, Estimated Impact of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act on Employment and Economic Output in 2014. Chinese stimulus data by The Economist, China Seeks Stimulation, 11/10/08.2Source: Laura Zhou, “China, Japan and South Korea Aim to Speed Up Talks on Free-Trade Agreement to Counter U.S. Tariffs,” South China Morning Post, 9/22/18.
3Average white-collar worker income calculated by Zhaopin Ltd., a career platform similar to Monster.com, as of end-2017. Tax cut calculations by WisdomTree, using the PBoC’s tax proposal that is likely to become law in October.
4See source data beneath Figure 1.
5Sources: Bloomberg, WisdomTree, as of 10/24/18.


Jeff Weniger, CFA serves as Asset Allocation Strategist at WisdomTree. Jeff has a background in fundamental, economic and behavioral analysis for strategic and tactical asset allocation. Prior to joining WisdomTree, he was Director, Senior Strategist with BMO from 2006 to 2017, serving on the Asset Allocation Committee and co-managing the firm’s ETF model portfolios. Jeff has a B.S. in Finance from the University of Florida and an MBA from Notre Dame. He is a CFA charter holder and an active member of the CFA Society of Chicago and the CFA Institute since 2006. He has appeared in various financial publications such as Barron’s and the Wall Street Journal and makes regular appearances on Canada’s Business News Network (BNN) and Wharton Business Radio.

 Important Risks Related to this Article

There are risks associated with investing, including possible loss of principal. Foreign investing involves special risks, such as risk of loss from currency fluctuation or political or economic uncertainty. The Fund focuses its investments in China, including A-shares, which include risk of the RQFII regime and Stock Connect program, thereby increasing the impact of events and developments associated with the region, which can adversely affect performance. Investments in emerging or offshore markets are generally less liquid and less efficient than investments in developed markets and are subject to additional risks, such as risks of adverse governmental regulation and intervention or political developments. The Fund’s exposure to certain sectors may increases its vulnerability to any single economic or regulatory development related to such sector. As this Fund can have a high concentration in some issuers, the Fund can be adversely impacted by changes affecting those issuers. The Fund will be required to include cash as part of its redemption proceeds which introduces additional risks, particularly due to the potential volatility in the Chinese market and market closures. The Fund invests in the securities included in, or representative of, its index regardless of their investment merit and the Fund does not attempt to outperform its index or take defensive positions in declining markets. Due to the investment strategy of this Fund, it may make higher capital gain distributions than other ETFs. Please read the Fund’s prospectus for specific details regarding the Fund’s risk profile.

Another week. Another (Kiddie) stock roller coaster ride

And here’s the performance of the Canadian Markets (TSX Composite), 2018 year to date:

While that might look like a wild ride it’s all more of a kiddie coaster compared to the real thing such as the Leviathan at Canada’s Wonderland in Vaughn, Ontario. That coaster makes the 12 Scariest Rides according to tripsavvy.com.

Canadian markets are down by about 5% for the year. Once again: Kiddie Coaster. Serious stock market roller coaster rides will take you down by about 30%, 40%, even 50% or more. Yup, in a major correction you might have to watch your monies get cut in half if you’re in an all-stock portfolio. That 50% haircut has happened twice in the last 20 years. Many of us have been ‘lucky enough’ to invest through the two biggest market corrections since the Depression of the 1920s/1930s.

Those real roller coaster rides taught us some valuable lessons. Some investors did lose a lot of money through those corrections. Why? Because they invested outside of their risk tolerance level. They took on too much risk. They were not emotionally prepared to watch their investment portfolio drop by 40%, 50% or more. They perhaps needed some of those shock absorbers known as bonds.

Those of us who were heavily invested in the tech-heavy indices such as the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) or science and technology funds had to watch those investments drop by some 80%. Imagine watching every $100,000 fall to $20,000. Of course, many would jump off that roller coaster before hitting the bottom. Here’s a roller coaster ride that would make the list of Scariest Investment Rides. This is the QQQ ticker Nasdaq, chart courtesy of portfoliovisualizer.com. Full disclosure: I was ‘on’ that ride, and I don’t want to talk about it.  Once again the stock market can teach us some expensive lessons.

Friday Nasdaq

We can see that investors who did hang on were eventually rewarded with positive returns, even more than a doubling of their initial investment. In fact, if an investor had been consistent and had kept investing on a regular schedule through those ups and downs they could have seen returns approaching 9% annual.

Buy. Hold. Add. 

We might say that the risk assessment is deciding what roller coaster ride you can handle. Continue Reading…