Monthly Archives: December 2014

Why I Pushed My Findependence Day Back 5 Years

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Robb Engen, Boomer & Echo

By Robb Engen, Boomer & Echo

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Last summer I thought I’d be financially free by 40. Reality – and unplanned expenses – set in this year and I’ve adjusted that ambitious projection by five years. I’m still on track to reach a net worth of $1 million by the time I turn 41, but financial independence will have to wait a few more years.

Here’s why:

Remember, financial independence doesn’t necessarily mean retirement. It simply means the date your income from investments exceeds your day-to-day expenses so that you no longer have to rely on regular employment to meet your needs.

My initial projection was indeed ambitious – with us having a paid-off mortgage by 2020 and increasing the income withdrawn from our business by 100 per cent (from $3,000 per month to $6,000).

But borrowing $35,000 to develop our basement this year meant we couldn’t continue our aggressive mortgage pay-down, and a four-year car loan has cut into our ability to save as much as we wanted.

That’s okay – on paper the original plan didn’t factor in these expenses, plus I hadn’t fleshed out exactly how I’d make those numbers work. Now I have a better idea, but unfortunately it’ll cost us five years. Here’s our financial Freedom 45 plan:

Financial independence at 45

In late 2016, once we pay off the HELOC and car loan, we’ll have $27,000 per year to save toward our ‘findependence’ goal. With that amount, we’ll put $12,000 into my RRSP and $10,000 into our TFSAs, plus throw an extra $5,000 payment toward our mortgage.

That pushes our mortgage freedom date back to January 1, 2025. At that time, our home should be worth $600,000 (using a conservative 3 per cent annual growth rate), my RRSP should be worth $380,000, tax-free savings accounts should total in excess of $150,000, and the commuted value of my defined benefit pension will be roughly $310,000.

The key to paying our monthly expenses after financial independence will come from our business income. We currently withdraw $3,000 per month from our small business, which includes income earned from three websites, freelance writing, and from my fee-only financial planning business.

My original plan showed business income increasing to $6,000 per month in five years, but without any clear path to explain how to double revenue. And, after losing my main freelancing gig at the Toronto Star, this goal seemed unrealistic.

But the fee-only planning service has gone better than anticipated – earning $10,000 in less than one year and expected to grow to $18,000 in year two as existing clients stay on and I continue to add one or two clients per month.

After completing the CFP certification in two years I’ll have the opportunity to ramp up my efforts and potentially offer fee-only planning services full-time. At that point, between existing and new clients, the service could bring in roughly $36,000 per year.

My three blogs collectively earn about the same – $36,000 per year – after expenses and so if I can maintain or increase that income then I’ll be able to meet my $6,000 per month goal for business income.

Our projected expenses haven’t changed. After the mortgage is paid off we could live comfortably on $36,000 per year, which leaves the additional $36,000 of income to go toward taxes, short-term savings, and retirement.

Final thoughts

A financial plan is just words on a page unless you commit to taking action. Even if your financial independence date seems like a moving target, it’ll become more precise as you monitor and update projections based on your true reality.

While it’s disappointing to push financial independence back five years, it’s comforting to know that I’m zeroing in on a target date that’s based on reality and not a wild projection.

Editor’s Note:You can find the original version of this blog at Boomer & Echo earlier this week, here. Note too the several comments at the bottom. When we can coordinate at both ends, we hope to make Robb or Marie’s blog available here as many Thursdays as we can manage. Also, in his original headline, Robb used the phrase “Findependence Date.” When I asked why not “Day,” he said he “didn’t want to steal your thunder.” I realize that good bloggers respect others’  intellectual property but let me make it clear that I’m fine with people using the phrase Findependence Day and Findependence. Half the point of this site is to bring these terms into general usage and displace “Retirement.” — JC

Boomers approaching the “Decumulation” Years

My latest blog for MoneySense.ca revisits the topic of Decumulation, a subject to which we gave full column treatment in the print magazine early in the fall. Think of Decumulation as the mirror image of Wealth Accumulation. And of course, here at the Hub we have sections devoted to both.

For one-stop shopping and archival purposes, we’re publishing the blog below as well, with some different subheads, links and the addition of an illustration and a photo of Decumulation Institute founder John Por.

Baby Boomers Word Cloud Concept

By Jonathan Chevreau

With 10,000 American baby boomers turning 65 every day, plus 1,200 Canadian boomers, there is fast approaching a major sea change in how this generation handles their investments.

When you’re working, things are somewhat automatic. Your employer deposits your paycheque into your bank account perhaps every second week, conveniently withholding income taxes at source. Perhaps you’ve automated your savings program and pension contributions.

In short, you are in Wealth Accumulation mode, and so likely is your financial advisor, since he or she is also probably personally in the same mode.

The Decumulation Institute

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John Por, Decumulation Institute

But once you turn 65 or cease to draw a full-time salary, you are now in the “Decumulation” zone. We devoted a column to Decumulation in the September issue of MoneySense, in which we highlighted a new undertaking by John Por called the Decumulation Institute.

Last week, I attended the second meeting of this group, which includes Malcolm Hamilton, the retired actuary who continues to be quoted by this magazine and others. Except for John and Malcolm, most of the attendees didn’t wish to be identified or quoted directly.

1,500 Canadians will retire each working day until 2034

In his progress report, Por said that by the year 2022, some $2 trillion in financial assets held by various Canadian financial institutions will be converted into retirement income. Over the next 15 to 20 years, he says 1,500 Canadians will retire each working day. Record keepers on average roll over about 30% of Defined Contribution pension assets at the retirement of the members of those plans.

Por’s research shows that bank-based advisors are “poorly trained in discussing retirement income issues,” in part because of the focus on Wealth Accumulation. Por says a mindshift is required to go from Investments to Income.

From the perspective of individuals preparing for this shift, a number of things have to be considered. These include adjusting lifestyle expectations, considering longevity risk, saving more money, taking more investment risk or simply postponing retirement.

Por has created a website at www.decumulation.ca and begun work on Decumulation Workshops that may help DC pensions, financial advisors or possibly their clients prepare for this transition.

It was Por’s pioneering work on Decumulation that prompted us here at the Financial Independence Hub to include sections on both Wealth Accumulation and Decumulation, as well as Longevity & Aging.

Advisors slow to make the leap?

In my experience, relatively few financial advisors have made this leap. One that comes to mind because he’s written a book about it is Daryl Diamond of Diamond Retirement Planning. The second edition of his book, The Retirement Income Blueprint, expertly maps out the terrain. Rogers Group Financial’s Clay Gillespie is another who has a similar focus.

Both of them are listed in the Getting Help section of the Hub (as is MoneySense’s online directory of fee-only planners). A third, who is also contributing articles on Decumulation for the site, is Doug Dahmer, of Emeritus Retirement Income Specialists in Burlington. He provides a number of tools and even games that let you run “what if” scenarios on life expectancy, inflation, timing of government benefits, tax rates etc.

Jonathan Chevreau is MoneySense’s editor-at-large and recently launched the Financial Independence Hub. (https://findependencehub.com/). He can be reached at jonathan@findependenceday.com

 

An Aging World: Not to be obsessed

We’ve mentioned Mark Venning and ChangeRangers.com several times in this site as well as sister site FindependenceDay.com. His insights on Aging and Longevity are a big reason why we have included a regular section of the Hub on this topic. One of his aphorisms is particularly insightful and directly related to financial planning and financial independence: “Plan for longevity, not retirement.

As the previous blog in this section (by Doug Dahmer)  explained, the fatal flaw in most retirement plans is failing to take into account extended longevity. Mark also regularly writes on this theme, as in a recent piece on Financing Longevity, which also provides a nod to the Financial Independence Hub.

Below, specially for the Hub, Mark has composed a year-end reflection on these themes, based on his recent travels. We hope to run more like this in the new year!

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Mark Venning, ChangeRangers.com

By Mark Venning,

Special to the Financial Independence Hub

Hardly a day goes by that there isn’t some symposium, book or report (not to mention a blog post or three like this one) about an aging world, longevity and retirement. You can even Google search longevity calculators that can project how long you can expect to live. It’s an aging obsession.

As Ted C. Fishman says in his 2010 book, Shock of Gray – “…although the aging world is the sum of choices made by large populations, how we navigate the future of this world – how we love and care for ourselves and those we cherish – will also be an intensely personal matter.”

Continue Reading…

Review: Conrad Black’s Rise to Greatness

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Companion volumes?

By Jonathan Chevreau

With Christmas just a week and a half away, the burning question about Conrad Black’s new Rise to Greatness is this: Would you like a family member to buy you a copy and place it under the tree? Alternatively, is there someone in your circle who would appreciate such a gift?

With a suggested retail price of $50, this is more than you’d spend on most books. On the other hand, once wrapped it will have an impressive bulk. Weighing in at 1,106 pages it’s at least two-and-a-half inches thick (I measured it).

And as you can see from the photo, there is a close connection between this massive book and a dictionary. If you really want to benefit from Black’s Rise to Greatness: The History of Canada from the Vikings to the Present, you need to have a dictionary at hand, as I did. Continue Reading…

The 10-year rule: what home buyers can learn from the stock market

House With Life Preserver CrashingInteresting piece by the Globe & Mail’s Rob Carrick today about the 10-year rule. The columnist says prospective home buyers should follow the same 10-year rule that investors do with stocks:

“If you can’t wait at least a decade for a transaction to make financial sense, don’t do it.”

Carrick worries about the recent estimate by the Bank of Canada that housing here may be overvalued by 10 to 30%. With all the chaos going on in the world lately, “Houses don’t have immunity. They are financial assets, just like stocks, gold bars and gallons of oil.”

And in an example that hits home, he reminds us that after reaching $254,197 in 1989, the average house price in Toronto fell so long and hard it took until 2002 to set new highs. I recall personally buying a starter home in Toronto in 1988 for $230,000 and ultimately selling in 1996 for $182,000.

It worked out though, since we bought a better home closer to the lake: a strategy known as “moving up in a down market.” That initial $50,000 paper loss has been recouped ten or twenty times over.

On stocks, I’ve often heard experts cite a five-year rule but Carrick says a 10-year rule is more prudent and “a 10-year hold should work for housing, unless we get a crash like the one in the United States or in Toronto in the late 1980s.”

Ouch, he reminded me again!